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Wyoming Bouzis-Steiner Affirmative

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  • UNLV 1AC

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Plan: The United States federal government should offer the Freedom and Justice Party of Egypt a substantial amount of assistance for political party development.

      First, the Muslim Brotherhood is currently barred from receiving party assistance—this poisons US credibility

      Slavin 11
      [Barbara, staff-writer, Inter-press Service, “MIDEAST: U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, April 14 wyo-tjc]
      Even where the U.S. appears to …. He did not rule out similar assistance to a party or parties formed by the Muslim Brothers in Egypt.

      Second, US contact with the brotherhood is minimal- the plan is essential to create the perception that we are an honest broker

      Brown 8-9
      [Nathan, CEIP, National Interest, “What Does the U.S. Want to Talk to the Brotherhood About?”, Aug 9 2011, p.http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/what-does-the-us-want-talk-the-brotherhood-about-5721 wyo-tjc]
      In this sense, the later State Department … would take place. And, to the best of my knowledge, no meetings have followed this policy change.

      Finally, Islamist power in Egypt is inevitable—we control uniqueness

      Duss 11
      [Matthew, Fellow at American Progressive, American Prospect, 1.31, “Making Good on the Cairo Speech”, p.http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=making_good_on_the_cairo_speech wyo-tjc]
      Getting our approach to Islamism right … If we’re serious about democracy, there’s no other option.

      First, Obama’s initial fund of $65 million has already been allocated but there remains room for tens of millions more to be reprogrammed

      McInerney 11
      [Stephen, Executive Director of the Project on Middle East Democracy, POMED, “The Federal Budget and Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2012”, July, p. http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/FY2012-Budget-Report-web.pdfwyo-tjc]
      For many years, Egypt has been at the center of …million for economic growth, much of which has not yet been obligated.

      Second, the United States federal government should make the Muslim Brother eligible for its party strengthening assistance.  Even if they say no, this move is essential to American credibility with both Egypt and the greater Arab world

      Carothers 11
      [Thomas Carothers, Vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “How not to promote democracy in Egypt”, February 24, 2011, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/24/AR2011022406530_pf.html wyo-bb]
      As the U.S. government assesses the uprisings across … political favoritism and exclusion would be a good way to start.

      Third, an equitable offer of assistance is key to strengthen the alliance and US presence

      Kull 11
      [Steven, senior research scholar at CISSM and director of the Center on Policy Attitudes, Harvard International Review, “On Egypt: What Should America Do Now?”, March 9, p.http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/brmiddleeastnafricara/682.php wyo-tjc]
      But what should the United States do now? …Liberal ideas are strong, but identification with Islam is stronger.

      First, the status quo’s assistance model guts credibility and ensures a collapse of American presence in the region

      Maginnis 8-17
      [Robert, retired Army lieutenant colonel, a national security and foreign affairs analyst for radio and television, Human Events Online, “Muslim World More Anti-American Than Ever”, p. lexiswyo-tjc]
      Candidate Barack Obama's 2008 campaign slogan boasted, "Yes we can." Then the new President promised a 2009 Egyptian audience "a new beginning between the United States and Muslims," and in November 2009 … a group aligned with al-Qaeda, attacked two police stations in el-Arish. 

      Second, failure to act soon will cause the US to be frozen out of the entire Middle East

      Hughes 8-8
      [Michael, Foreign Policy Strategist, New World Strategies Coalition, Huffington Post, “US on Wrong Side of History in Arab Spring”, p. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-hughes/us-on-wrong-side-of-histo_b_920864.html wyo-tjc]
      Suspicion of the U.S. will not dissipate easily, …seal its fate as the biggest loser of the Arab Spring.

      A power vacuum in the Middle East guarantees arms racing and makes a power war more likely by stampeding states into acquiring nuclear and biological weapons.

      ROSEN (Prof National Security & Military Affairs @ Harvard) 2003
      [Stephen Peter, “An Empire, If You Can Keep It”, National Interest, Spring 2003, p. asp wyo-tjc]
      Rather than wrestle with such difficult and … alternatives are that much more attractive.

      Middle East Prolif risks global nuclear war

      Cirincione 7
      [Joseph and Andrew Grotto, Center for American Progress, “Contain and Engage: A New Strategy for Resolving the Nuclear Crisis with Iran,” March 2007. Available from the World Wide Web at:http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2007/02/iran_report.html]
      Regardless of how Iran behaves … this is a recipe for nuclear war.

      Bioweapons lead to extinction
      Ochs 2
      Richard, June 9, pg. http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html. 

      Of all the weapons of mass destruction, … hundreds of such plagues? HUMAN EXTINCTION IS NOW POSSIBLE.

      And credibility in the Middle East is key to global hegemony

      BRZEZINSKI (Former National Security Adviser) 2007
      [Zbigniew, Second Chance, P. 159 wyo-tjc]
      Beyond destabilizing the Middle East, the Iraq War had a further, much more important consequence. It made the success or failure of U.S. policy … in order to survive in such a turbulent environment.

      The collapse of American power creates arms race and great power wars across multiple theaters 

      THAYER (Professor of Strategic Studies @ Missouri State) 2007
      [Bradley, American Empire: A Debate , P. 108 wyo-tjc]
      The fourth critical fact to consider is that … world dominated by the United States is an era of peace and stability.

      And hegemony controls every impact- American unipolarity contains the possibility of world wars, even if there is instability at the regional level

      Jervis 9
      [Robert, a professor of international politics at Columbia University, World Politics, “Unipolarity: A structural perspective”, January 2009, p. aspwyo-tjc]
      With unipolarity, world war is less of a … it would at most be an enabling one.12

      Finally, the plan is the only way to shore up hegemony in the region

      Hamid 11
      [Shadi, Brookings Analyst, States News Service, April 26, “the Struggle for Middle East Democracy”, p. lexiswyo-tjc]
      A great deal is at stake. America was rightly …. This has not happened.

      First, Instability, civil war and terrorism are all inevitable because of the failure to engage the Brotherhood

       Enver Guseynov, 7-10
      Contributing Writer, Graduated from Eastern Washington University with a major in International Relations,  Muslim Brotherhood, Israel and US Intervention in Egypt, Muslim Brotherhood, Israel and US Intervention in Egypt | Suite101.com http://www.suite101.com/content/muslim-brotherhood-israel-and-us-intervention-in-egypt-a378984#ixzz1VVTJXVDL, accessed 8-19-2011,WYO/JF
      Within the organization there exists a … but it will likely destabilize Egypt and create additional insecurity in the Middle East.

      Second, Integration into democracy is the only way to mitigate extreme tendencies and avoid terrorism

      Philpott 8-11
      [Daniel, associate professor of political science and peace studies at the University of Notre Dame, Christian Science Monitor, “The Trouble of Secularism in the Middle East”, p. http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/trouble-secularism-middle-east?page=full wyo-tjc]
      Since the Arab Spring began last December, ….not an enemy, of American interests and ideals.

      Third, the plan discredits extremists by shutting off the recruiting pipe-line by reconciling Islam and democracy

      Glenn 11
      [Cameron Glenn, B.A. in Middle Eastern Studies and Linguistics, “The Muslim Brotherhood Can Be a Moderate Voice in Islamist Politics”, Aug. 10, 2011, http://www.policymic.com/articles/the-muslim-brotherhood-can-be-a-moderate-voice-in-islamist-politics,
      wyo-bb]
      In a country struggling to navigate an … pushing Al-Qaeda further into irrelevance.

      Finally, their impact turns are just propaganda hype—the best data shows MB should be engaged

      Brown 11
      [Dr. Nathan Brown, Nonresident Senior Associate, Middle East Program Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Testimony House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Subcommittee on Terrorism, HUMINT, Analysis, and Counterintelligence Entitled “Muslim Brotherhood”, April 13, 2011,http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/0413_testimony_brown.pdf
       wyo-bb]
      Is there a hidden agenda?  I find little …. sincere and genuine indication of  the movement’s position.  




10/29/11
  • UNT 1AC

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • 1AC: Status Quo
      First, the Middle East Partnership Initiative currently is underfunded.
      Dorsey, 11
      (James M. Dorsey: US risks missing opportunity to play leading role in Middle East transition, 05 July 201, Al Arabiya News. James M. Dorsey, formerly of The Wall Street Journal, is a senior researcher at the National University of Singapore’s Middle East Institute.uwyokb )

      Plan is essential because Tunisian funding from the U.S. is much too low now.
      Kouichi, 10-6-11
      (Practical Proposals for the Obama-Essebsi Meeting, Kouichi Shirayanagi. Kouichi was a legislative fellow with the Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives. He was a student at the Bourguiba School in Tunis, studying modern standard arabic from October 2009 to April 2010. Editor in Chief | 06 October 2011, http://www.tunisia-live.net/2011/10/06/practical-proposals-for-the-obama-essebsi-meeting///uwyokb) 

      Plan
      Plan Text: The United States Federal Government should substantially increase its funding to the Middle East Partnership Initiative democracy assistance programing for Tunisia.

      1AC Stability Advantage
      Successful transition in Tunisia is on the brink of failure because of economic crisis and radical Islamism.
      Democracy Digest, 12-12-11
      (Ideology or interests to drive Tunisia’s transition? December 12, 2011, Democracy Digest, The Digest is edited by Michael Allen, Special Assistant for Government Relations and Public Affairs at the National Endowment for Democracy.http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/12/ideology-or-interests-to-drive-tunisias-transition///uwyokb) 

      Civil society groups key to work directly with local groups thus mitigating extremism and terrorism.
      Clinton, 11
      (Hillary Clinton, Secretary of State. Clinton's Speech on the "Smart Power Approach to Counterterrorism", September 2011 Published September 9, 2011 http://www.cfr.org/counterterrorism/clintons-speech-smart-power-approach-counterterrorism-september-2011/p25854//uwyokb) 

      Unchecked terrorists acquire nukes leading to “full scale nuclear conflict”.
      Speice, 6
      (Speice, Patrick F., Jr. "Negligence and nuclear nonproliferation: eliminating the current liability barrier to bilateral U.S.-Russian nonproliferation assistance programs." William and Mary Law Review 47.4 (Feb 2006): 1427(59)uwyokb)

      Reconciliation with extremism is key to successful democratic transition.
      Masmoudi, 12-6-11
      (Islam and democracy not at odds in Tunisia by Radwan Masmoudi 06 December 2011. Radwan A. Masmoudi is President of the Center for the Study of Islam and Democracy. http://www.commongroundnews.org/article.php?id=30759&lan=en&sp=0//uwyokb) 

      Democracy in Tunisia is key to democracy in the region.
      Kouichi, 10-6-11
      (Practical Proposals for the Obama-Essebsi Meeting, Kouichi Shirayanagi. Kouichi was a legislative fellow with the Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives. He was a student at the Bourguiba School in Tunis, studying modern standard arabic from October 2009 to April 2010. Editor in Chief | 06 October 2011, http://www.tunisia-live.net/2011/10/06/practical-proposals-for-the-obama-essebsi-meeting///uwyokb) 


      Tunisian democracy modeled regionally.
      Masmoudi, 11
      (May 18, 2011, Tunisia should be the priority, Radwan Masmoudi is president of the Center for the Study of Islam & Democracy.http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/05/tunisia-should-be-the-priority//uwyokb) 

      Democracy is essential to peace in the Middle East.
      Schnabel, 03
      (Albrecht Schnabel, Academic Programme Office in the Peace and Governance Programme of the United Nations University, 2003, Democratization in the Middle East, p. 25-26 uwyokb)

      Middle East war leads to global nuclear war.
      London 10
      [Herbert London, President Emeritus of Hudson Institute and Professor Emeritus of New York University, June 2010 “The Coming Crisis in the Middle East”, http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=7101&pubType=HI_Opeds,
      wyo-bb]


      1AC Economy Advantage

      Corruption is a problem in Tunisia in the squo.
      Pike, 11
      (“Tunisian Corruption”. 6-8-11, John Pike previously worked for nearly two decades with the Federation of American Scientists, where he directed the Space Policy, Cyberstrategy, Military Analysis, Nuclear Resource and Intelligence Resource projects. http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/tunisia/corruption.htm//uwyokb) 

      MEPI works to stop corruption- Lawyers against corruption campaign proves.
      State Department, 12-29-11
      (“MEPI in Tunisia”, State Department, Last updated: December 29, 2011. http://mepi.state.gov/med-region/tunisia2.html//uwyokb)

      Continued corruption leads to crisis escalation, situation in Gafsa province proves.
      Ayadi, 12-12-11
      (In central Tunisia, the struggle against corruption and unemployment continues
      By  Hassen Ayadi - 12 December 2011, http://www.latunisievote.org/en/society/item/421-in-central-tunisia-the-struggle-against-corruption-and-unemployment-continues//uwyokb)

      Corruption destroys economic growth.
      Zouhaier, 11
      (Corruption, Investment and Economic Growth, Hadhek Zouhaier: research professor in economics.   University of Gabès, Tunisia. Feb. 5, 2011. http://www.ijeronline.com/documents/volumes/Vol%202%20issue%205/ijer20110205SO(17).pdf//uwyokb) 

      Corruption affects whole regions’ chance of foreign direct investment.
      Mathur and Singh, 07
      (Foreign Direct Investment, Corruption, and Democracy  Aparna Mathur  American Enterprise Institute  and  Kartikeya Singh  PricewaterhouseCoopers. American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research. http://www.aei.org/files/2007/05/15/20070515_FDIMay2007.pdf//uwyokb)


      Tunisian economy also had no growth in 2011 because of protests, economic unrest and disappearance of tourism.
      AP, 12/4/2011
      (Associated Press, “Tunisia predicts zero or negative growth for 2011” http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/45541021/ns/business-stocks_and_economy/t/tunisia-predicts-zero-or-negative-growth/#.Tv5KVtQV2nm//uwyokb) 

      Tunisian tourism industry can rebound.
      Tunisian News Agency, 12-3-11
      (Tunisian tourism can recover, December 20th, 2011.Tunisian News Agency. http://www.tap.info.tn/en/en/economy/7733-tunisian-tourism-can-recover-houas.html//uwyokb) 

      Protests occurring now.
      Ya’ar, 12-4-11
      (“Tunisia Protests Enter Day Four During Constitutional Talks Elections were held, but there's only limited calm in the nation that ignited the region's "Arab Spring" - and now Day 4 of protests”. By Chana Ya'ar First Publish: 12/4/2011, http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/150371#.TvAg89QV2nk//uwyokb)

      MEPI’s actions stop protests.
      State Department, 11
      (“Tunisian Lawyers at the Frontlines of a Legal Transition”, State Department, 2011. http://mepi.state.gov/mh092711b.html//uwyokb)

      Failing economy in Tunisia leads to instability.
      Maqni, 12-19-11
      (“One Year After the Revolution: The Tunisian Economy is in the Red”, Nizar Maqni
      Published Monday, December 19, 2011 http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/one-year-after-revolution-tunisian-economy-red//uwyokb)

      Destabilization cuts off Algerian Transmed natural gas, devastates 20% of the EU’s energy supply.
      Ghettas 11
      (“The Geopolitical Repercussions of the Tunisian Jasmine Revolution on North Africa”. Lakhdar Ghettas doctoral student @ London School of Economics and Political Science 2011. www2.lse.ac.uk/IDEAS/publications/reports/pdf/SA008.pdf+The+Geopolitical+Repercussions+of+the+Tunisian+Jasmine+Revolution+on+North+Afuwyokb)


      Europe relies on Transmed Pipeline. No alternatives.
      Forbes, 11
      (“Instability In Algeria Could Have Serious Energy Implications For Europe” Marin Katusa, chief energy strategist for Forbes.1/30/11 http://www.forbes.com/sites/energysource/2011/01/30/instability-in-algeria-could-have-serious-energy-implications-for-europe///uwyokb)

      Algerian shock destroys Italian and Spanish economies.
      Egging et al, 08
      (Ruud Egging, Dep't of Civil and Env Enginering, University of Maryland College Park; Steven A. Gabriel, Dept of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Applied Mathematics and Scienteific Computation Program, University of Maryland College Park, Franziska Holz, DIW Berlin, Jifang Zhuang, Chevron, "A Complementary model for the European natural gas market," 4/15/08, Energy Policy, Volume 36, Issue 7, Lexusuwyokb) 

      The European economy can’t survive Spanish or Italian default- collapse happens and engulfs the EU and the US.
      Francis 9/14/11
      (“China and the Doomsday Scenario for Europe,” Fiscal Times, 9/14/11. David Francis is a reporter for the Fiscal Times, correspondent of the Christian Science Monitor, Financial Times Deutschland, and Deutsche Welle. contributing writer to World Politics Review, Georgetown University School of Foreign Service, the Johns Hopkins School for Advanced International Studies, and the World Affairs Council of Pittsburgh.
      http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2011/09/14/China-and-the-Doomsday-Scenario-for-Europe.aspx#page1,uwyokb)

      Economic collapse leads to global war.
      Mead, 2009
       (Mead, Henry A. Kissinger Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, 2/4/2009 Walter Russell, “Only Makes You Stronger,” The New Republic, http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=571cbbb9-2887-4d81-8542-92e83915f5f8&p=2), accessed 8-23-2011,WYO/JF

      1AC Solvency 

      The MEPI uniquely helps the Middle East in a variety of ways. It supports participatory democracy, creates economic opportunities, and promotes civil society.  
      Foreign Assistance dot Gov, No Date
      (Middle East Partnership Initiative (DOS), http://foreignassistance.gov/OU.aspx?OUID=355//uwyokb)



01/05/12

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