Affirmative
Bahrainian policies increase Sunni-Shia divide increasing Iranian influence
LA Times, April 17, 2011
Sunni-Shia divide explodes into nuclear war
London, President Emeritus of the Hudson Institute and Prof. Emeritus at NYU, June 23, 2010 [Herbert, The Coming Crisis In The Middle East, http://www.herblondon.org/7648/coming-crisis-in-middle-east]
And, Instability inevitable, window to counter situation closing
Ibish, senior research fellow at the American Task Force on Palestine, April 15, 2011
[Hussein, Foreign Policy: In Bahrain, A Self-Fulfilling Prophecy,
And, Bahrain critical lynchpin for Iran’s new regional order
Unchecked Iran leads to nuclear conflict
Ben-Meir, Prof. of Int’l Relations at the Center for Global Affairs at NYU, 2/7/07
[Alon, Ending Iran Defiance, http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3361650,00.html]
Mid-east war guarantees escalation
Russell, managing editor of Strategic Insights, the quarterly ejournal published by the Center for Contemporary Conflict at the Naval Postgraduate School, Spring 2009
Specifically, causes Saudi-Iranian war collapsing global econ
Ghitis, World Politics Review contributing editor, March 17, 2011
[Frida, World Citizen: Saudi Arabia and Iran Face Off in Bahrain,
Econ decline causes war
Earl Tilford, PhD in history from George Washington University and served for thirty-two years as a military officer and analyst with the Air Force and Army, 2008, “Critical Mass: Economic Leadership or Dictatorship,” The Cedartown Standard, Lexis
Stratfor, June 1, 2011
Plan alone sends signal to counter Iranian narrative
Jacobs, policy analyst at the Institute for Gulf Affairs, June 1, 2011
Advantage 2: Credibility
Bahrain signal for broader Middle East policy
Bahrain policy trumps other signals in the region
LeVine, professor of history at UC Irvine and senior visiting researcher at the Centre for Middle Eastern Studies, Feb 18, 2011
[Joshua, Blunder in Bahrain,
Ottaway, Researcher at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, April 4, 2011
[Marina, Bahrain: Between the United States and Saudi Arabia,
Democratic model spreads globally
Gershman, President, The National Endowment for Democracy, March 1, 2011
Extinction
Diamond ‘95
(Larry, Senior Fellow – Hoover Institution, Promoting Democracy in the 1990s, December,
http://wwics.si.edu/subsites/ccpdc/pubs/di/1.htm)
Independently, American credibility solves conflict
Stanley, Ph.D. ,Walsh School of Foreign Service and Department of Government Georgetown University, Feb 2007
[Carl, Democracy’s New Moment: A Forward Strategy for Advancing Freedom in the World,
This holistic push for dialogue is key to solve
Aziz, legal fellow at the institute for social Policy and understanding, an associate professor of law at Texas Wesleyan university school of Law and holds an M.A. in Middle eastern studies from the university of Texas, and Musalem, holds degrees in sociology as well as Middle eastern language and cultures. Mr. Musalem grew up in bahrain, where he has conducted social research, July 2011
Specific issues such as releasing jailed protestors and torture key to counter tide of authoritarinism
Stork, Deputy Director of Middle East and North Africa Division, Human Rights Watch, and Indyk, Vice President and Director of Foreign Policy Program, Brookings Institution, June 29, 2011
Negative