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Text: The European Union should… <Insert plan mechanism of democracy assistance>

The EU solves democracy promotion in the Arab world
Abboud 2010 (Noufal Abboud was Project Coordinator at the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA) project on Democracy in the Arab Word, focusing on elections, political parties and women’s participation in politics in Egypt, Yemen and Jordan.  He has a MA in Human Rights from Mahidol University, Thailand, and a Licence en Droit (BA in Law) from University Hassan II in Casablanca, Morocco; "Regenerating the State in the Arab World: The Role Of the European Union in Democracy Building"; http://www.idea.int/resources/analysis/upload/Abboud_low_1.pdf, SRM)
It is only with knowledge of the local …. role of either catalyst or teacher.

The EU is comparatively more effective than the US at democracy promotion - Arab perception
Abboud 2010 (Noufal Abboud was Project Coordinator at the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (International IDEA) project on Democracy in the Arab Word, focusing on elections, political parties and women’s participation in politics in Egypt, Yemen and Jordan.  He has a MA in Human Rights from Mahidol University, Thailand, and a Licence en Droit (BA in Law) from University Hassan II in Casablanca, Morocco; "Regenerating the State in the Arab World: The Role Of the European Union in Democracy Building"; http://www.idea.int/resources/analysis/upload/Abboud_low_1.pdf, SRM)
Finally, the Arab world desperately …. tolerance, diversity and justice.

EU credibility low now
Walter Russell Mead, The American Interest, 8/19/11, online: http://www.businessinsider.com/european-crisis-deepens-2011-8

The bad news just keeps coming. Coming close on the recent revelation that economic growth is slowing faster than expected in France and Germany, British labor figures have disappointed forecasters and it seems that Greece is heading for yet another recession despite optimistic predictions to the contrary.
A familiar pattern is emerging …getting worse, not improving.

CP increases EU soft power
E. A. Fakhro, The European Union and Islam: Democracy Promotion in Bahrain and the Arab World, 2009, online: http://www.idea.int/resources/analysis/upload/Fakhro_low_2.pdf

Any entity that seeks to promote democracy …. ally and partner of the Arab world. 

Increasing EU credibility is critical to avert an economic crisis
Tabellini 10 (Guido, Italian economist, “The ECB: Gestures and Credibility,” May 26, 2010, tek.org.tr, YS)
The currency crisis that is …. other European authorities. 

Failure to restore the economy leads to global great power wars.
Mead, ’09 [Walter Russell, Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, New Republic, February 4, http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=571cbbb9-2887-4d81-8542-92e83915f5f8&p=2]

So far, such half-hearted experiments … we may still have to fight.

A. US-Israel relations high-Obama and Netanyahu consultation, security commitments, and delegation exchanges
Khaleej Times August 11th, 2011 (“Obama, Netanyahu speak amid Syria turmoil”  http://www.khaleejtimes.com/displayarticle.asp?xfile=data/middleeast/2011/August/middleeast_August254.xml&section=middleeast&col=, jj)

US President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu …  overwhelmingly pro-Israel US Congress. 

B. Israel strongly opposes democracy assistance
Sanger 5-21-11(David E, Chief Washington Correspondent for The New York Times and is one of the newspaper's senior writers, New York Times, “Half a doctrine will have to do” http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/22/weekinreview/22sanger.html, jj)

Mr. Obama clearly has faith …  a long, hot summer.  

C. This undermines relations
IISS ’11 (International Institute for Strategic Studies, “Arab upheaval prompts concerns in Israel” http://www.iiss.org/publications/strategic-comments/past-issues/volume-17-2011/april/arab-upheaval-prompts-concerns-in-israel/, jj)

Some Israelis, looking at the US response …  adept diplomacy, or confrontation.

D. Israel relations are critical to maintaining every aspect of US hegemony
Oren ’11 (Michael, Israeli Ambassador to the US, May/June, Foreign Policy, “The Ultimate Ally” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/25/the_ultimate_ally?page=0,0, jj)

Israel is not, of course, situated … "absolutely critical" to U.S. national security. 

Hegemony prevents nuclear war
Arbatov ‘07 [Alexei Arbatov, Head of the Center for International Security Center of the Institute for International Economy and International Relationships of the Russian Academy of Sciences “Is a New Cold War Imminent,” http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/numbers/20/1130.html, 2007]

A multipolar world … major capitals of the world.

A) Uniqueness – Obama will push the CTBT now – but it will require capital
San Francisco Examiner 6/27/11 (James Carafano, a senior research fellow for national security at The Heritage Foundation, 6/27/11, " Nuclear treaty that Obama is pushing will put US at risk ", http://www.sfexaminer.com/opinion/op-eds/2011/06/nuclear-treaty-obama-pushing-will-put-us-risk)

The “bullets” in this revived game … best chance to ram a treaty through.

EGYPT LINK - The plan requires massive political capital from Obama
El Amrani, January 6th, 2011 (Issandr, Project on Middle East Democracy, “Confronting Egypt’s Dangerous Decline” http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/policy-brief-series_elamrani.pdf, jj)

The U.S. needs to send a strong … contradictions of its current approach.

C) CTBT solves extinction
Granoff and Tyson, President and Senior Author of the Global Security Institute, 09 (Jonathan and Rhianna, “Achieving the Entry-Into-Force of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty: What UN Member States Can Do Now,” April, Accessed 7-12-09)

The treaty remains as important today … living systems upon which it depends.

Text: The United States Federal Government should enter into and implement the outcome of binding consultation with the Israeli government on whether the United States Federal Government should:
The United States Federal Government should abide by the results of consultation.

Contention 2:
Israel will say yes-but reassurances are key.
Ron Kampeas, JTA News Analyst, 6-1-2010, “Obama and Netanyahu: a few unfortunate incidents, or a clash of worldviews?,” http://jta.org/news/article/2010/06/01/2739401/obama-and-netanyahu-a-few-unfortunate-incidents-or-a-clash-of-world-views

The question for Netanyahu's government … unwavering U.S. support.

Contention 3: The Net Benefit:

First - Reviving genuine consultation with Israel is key to US-Israeli relations
Freilich ’06 (Dr. Chuck, Senior Fellow at the Belfer Center at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government, “Hizballah in Lebanon: The War Was Not Supposed to End This Way”, Jerusalem Viewpoints, http://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp546.htm)

The U.S. and Israel maintain intensive… war in Lebanon.

Second – consultation on the Middle East specifically is key to successful strategies
Bolourchi ’06 (Neda, JD, MA, “A case for engagement”, Asia Times, May 28, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HE27Ak03.html)

In fact, this observer said… provides to the United States,” he said.

Third - Israel relations are critical to maintaining every aspect of US hegemony
Oren ’11 (Michael, Israeli Ambassador to the US, May/June, Foreign Policy, “The Ultimate Ally” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/25/the_ultimate_ally?page=0,0, jj)

Israel is not, of course…. "absolutely critical" to U.S. national security. 

Hegemony prevents nuclear war
Arbatov ‘07 [Alexei Arbatov, Head of the Center for International Security Center of the Institute for International Economy and International Relationships of the Russian Academy of Sciences “Is a New Cold War Imminent,” http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/numbers/20/1130.html, 2007]

A multipolar world … major capitals of the world.

A. Uniqueness – Piecemeal reform will pass and solve the economy – Obama push

The Vindicator, 10/13/11 (“Defeat of Obama’s jobs bill opens door to new strategy,” http://www.vindy.com/news/2011/oct/13/defeat-of-obama8217s-jobs-bill-opens-doo/, bgm)

Defeat of Obama’s jobs bill …. an investment is a waste of money.

B. The plan requires massive political capital from Obama

El Amrani, January 6th, 2011 (Issandr, Project on Middle East Democracy, “Confronting Egypt’s Dangerous Decline” http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/policy-brief-series_elamrani.pdf, jj)

The U.S. needs to … contradictions of its current approach.

And political capital is key

Sneed September 12 2011 (Toney, US News and World Report Writer, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/articles/2011/09/12/will-congress-pass-obamas-jobs-bill)

Thursday evening, President Obama … ready to hand him a win?"

C. Impact

Jobs bill success saves the economy and leads to Obama reelection

Ullah, 9/11/11 (Dr. A.H. Jaffor, Ph.D. Research Chemist of Protein Chemistry Phytase Engineering Program, Commodity Utilization Research Unit, USDA-New Orleans, “Obama’s new jobs bill – a tough sale to Republicans,” http://mukto-mona.com/wordpress/?p=1134, BJN)

The president has urged ….  Therefore, let us stay tuned.

Failure to restore the economy leads to global great power wars. 

Mead, ’09 [Walter Russell, Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, New Republic, February 4, http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=571cbbb9-2887-4d81-8542-92e83915f5f8&p=2]

So far, such half-hearted … we may still have to fight.

Republicans will strike Iran

Dilek 9-20-11 (Emine, addicting info, “All Republican Candidates Favor War with Iran” http://www.addictinginfo.org/2011/09/20/all-republican-candidates-favor-war-with-iran/, jj)

Prepare yourself my fellow Americans… at the ballot boxes.”

Iran attack will cause a global nuclear war that leads to human extinction

Hirsch Professor at the University of Califorina at San Diego 2008

(Seymour Hirsch, Professor of physics @ the University of California @ San Diego, 4/10/2k8 http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=HIR20060422&articleId=2317)

Iran is likely to respond … will all be gone before anybody has prevailed.

A) Payroll tax cut extension through 2012 is at the top of the docket – Obama’s pushing and it will pass

Smith 12-31-11 (Stephanie Z, ABC News, Obama Maps Out ‘Warrior of Working Class’ Message

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/12/obama-maps-out-warrior-of-working-class-message/, jj)

After a heated battle ... look more presidential.”

insert link

C) Obama’s leadership key to another extension

Nicholas 12-29-11 (Peter, Los Angeles Times, President lies low on break from the grind

Lexis, jj)

It all ends Monday. ...And his reelection campaign will begin in earnest.

First economy - The US economy is accelerating now – failure to extend through ’12 guarantees a double dip

Hill 12-28-11 (Patrice, the Washington Times, Economists fear withdrawal symptoms if payroll-tax cut vanishes

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/dec/28/economists-fear-withdrawal-symptoms-if-payroll-tax/, jj)

The $120 billion payroll-tax cut, .... their relatively brisk spending.”

General 1nc

The Republic of Turkey should ...

Turkish assistance key to democratic consolidation in the Middle East – has unique expertise

Ülgen ’11 (Sinan, visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on the implications of Turkish foreign policy for Europe and the United States, particularly with regard to Turkey’s regional stance. He is founding partner of Istanbul Economics, a Turkish consultancy that specializes in public and regulatory affairs, and chairman of the Center for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies (EDAM), an independent think tank in Istanbul. Ülgen is a regular contributor to Turkish dailies and his opinion pieces have been published in the International Herald Tribune, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, European Voice, and Le Figaro. He is the author of The European Transformation of Modern Turkey with Kemal Derviş (Centre for European Policy Studies, 2004) and Handbook of EU Negotiations (Bilgi University Press, 2005).

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, December, “FROM INSPIRATION TO ASPIRATION Turkey in the New Middle East” http://carnegieendowment.org/files/turkey_mid_east.pdf, jj)

A Valuable Model

In all these areas and no.... remains a source of inspiration.

AND the CP is key to Turkey’s leadership

Werz et al, 11 - Michael Werz and Caroline Wadhams are Senior Fellows with the National Security Team at the Center for American Progress, Matthew Duss is a Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress at the Center, and Sarah Margon is the Associate Director of the Sustainable Security and Peacebuilding Initiative at the Center (Michael, “After Turkey’s June Elections,” 6/23, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/06/turkey.html)

To highlight Turkey’s geostrategic.... range of issues. 

This prevents wars in every region of the world

Toronto Star 7-17-11 (Turkey: A vital member of the Western camp, lexis, jj)

Erdogan's stance .... but an equal partner.