CP 1
Text: The European Union should increase its democracy assistance for Yemen by establishing an International Counter Narcotics and Law enforcement program for Yemen in order to support the rule of law.
The EU must aid the Yemeni transition –US lacks credibility and triggers backlash
Katz ’11 –Prof of government and politics at George Mason
Mark N., “Yemen after Saleh,” European Union Institute for Security Studies, March 2011, www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Yemen_after_Saleh.pdf
While this process of shaping .. well as the West as a whole.
Ptx
A) Unemployment benefits will pass – but it will require political capital and a commitment to reduce deficit spending – Failure to extend the benefits would be an economic disaster
WSJ, Nov 3rd 2011, http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/11/03/house-democrats-propose-unemployment-extension/?mod=google_news_blog
House Democrats introduced a bill … potential man-made human disaster.”
B) Plan saps capital
Cordesman, 11 - Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at CSIS. (Anthony, “Shaping and Communicating US Plans for the Future in a Time of Region-Wide Change and Instability,” 4/14, http://csis.org/publication/us-strategy-gulf
The US will have to rebalance its … excessive security measures are over.
C) Failure to extend the benefits will collapse the economy
Heather Boushey is a Senior Economist at the Center for American Progress. Matt Separa is a Research Assistant for the Economic Team at the Center, Sept 21st 2011, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/09/ui_creates_jobs.html
The unemployment insurance program is … families afloat. The evidence is conclusive.
The impact is great power wars
Mead, ’09 [Walter Russell, Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, New Republic, February 4, http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=571cbbb9-2887-4d81-8542-92e83915f5f8&p=2]
So far, such half-hearted experiments … we may still have to fight.
CP 2
Text: The United States federal government should coordinate with Saudi Arabia on securing the border along Yemen and increase special operation forces and unmanned aerial vehicle strikes within Yemen, with special focus in the provinces of Marib, Shabwa, Hadramawt, Al-Jawf, and Abyan.
Only the CP solves – we cannot solve Yemen instability – only contain it and prevent it from escalating
Roby C. Barrett, Ph.D., Middle Eastern & South Asian History Public Policy Center Middle East Institute and JSOU Senior Fellow, Yemen: A Different Political Paradigm in Context, JSOU Report, May 2011, BJN
Since the Yemen Revolution of 1962… Yemen will continue to be Yemen.
US must increase strikes now – window of opportunity is closing
Frank J. Cilluffo directs the Homeland Security Policy Institute at George Washington University and is a former Special Assistant to the President for Homeland Security. Clinton Watts is a principal consultant at PA Consulting Group and a Senior Fellow at the Homeland Security Policy Institute, “YEMEN AND AL QAEDA IN THE ARABIAN PENINSULA: EXPLOITING A WINDOW OF COUNTERTERRORISM OPPORTUNITY”, HSPI Issue Brief 11 June 24, 2011, http://www.gwumc.edu/hspi/policy/issuebrief_yemenaqap.pdf, BJN
The U.S. must act to counter … trapped in Yemen’s dual insurgencies.
K
The aff is wasted energy – fighting particular battles without changing the way the economy works means nothing really changes – the aff just obscures the logic of capitalism
Zizek, ’99 (Slavoj, Senior Researcher and professor at the Institute for Social Studies, Ljubljana, The Ticklish Subject, page 352-355)
The big news of today’s post-political … compulsion that effectively runs his life.
It is not possible to solve any situation without solving them all – only a criticism which attacks the universal of capitalism can solve their impacts and the inevitable destruction of the earth and its people. This proves only the alt can solve the plan.
Zizek, ’89
(Slavoj, Senior Researcher at the Institute for Social Studies, The Sublime Object of Ideology, page 3-4)
It is upon the unity of these … transparent, rationally governed society.
The alternative is to withdraw from the ideology of capital. Capitalism only survives because we believe it is a truth claim.
Johnston ’04 (Adrian, interdisciplinary research fellow in psychoanalysis at Emory, The Cynic’s Fetish: Slavoj Zizek and the Dynamics of Belief, Psychoanalysis, Culture and Society)
Perhaps the absence of a detailed … fetishism or the truth? I choose fetishism’’).
Stability
1. Al Qaeda cannot gain popular support in Yemen
Sarah Phillips lectures at the Centre for International Security Studies, Sydney University. She lived and worked in Yemen for nearly four years and specializes in Middle Eastern politics and the politics of state-building, “What Comes Next in Yemen”, Middle East Program Number 107, March 2010, BJN
Ideologically, al-Qaeda might … whom the article termed “killers.”
1) No solvency - Price spikes due to demand
Joachim Fels et. al., co-heads Morgan Stanley’s Global Economics Team, and is the Firm's Chief Global Fixed Income Economist, “This Time Is Different”, March 4th 2011, http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/archive/2011/20110304-Fri.html (BJN)
So, it is tempting to look at … harm to the global economy.
2) No impact - Other countries will just pump more oil
New York Times Business, Feb 22nd 2011, http://www.financebusinessnews.net/saudis-say-opec-is-ready-to-pump-more-oil/ (BJN)
HOUSTON — Trying to calm turbulent … by the summer driving season.
3) Worst case scenario is 150 dollars a barrel
Deccan Herald, March 2011, http://www.deccanherald.com/content/142127/oil-climbs-despite-saudi-output.html (BJN)
Analyst Myrto Sokou told AFP … higher -- towards USD 150 per barrel."
4) That’s not enough to trigger their impacts
Nia Williams and Barbara Lewis, Reuters, April 14th 2011, http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/04/14/uk-demand-price-idUKLNE73D02S20110414 (BJN)
Oil could climb well above … in a high price environment."
5) Even if prices go up to 200 dollars it becomes self-correcting
Michael Brush, March 9th 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/09/business/economy/09gasoline.html (BJN)
Now, I'm not suggesting you sell …driving oil prices back down.
6) No impact and turn – high prices will drive green energy and no impact on the economy
Mike Dorning, Bloomberg Businessweek, March 17th 2011, http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_13/b4221037244553.htm (BJN)
Still, there's a silver lining in … the U.S Energy Information Agency.
7) Green energy is key to prevent extinction
Jagger ‘08 (Bianca, Chair, World Future Council, CQ Congressional Testimony, "RENEWABLE ENERGY," 3/6, lexis)
“If we go beyond the point … change and global inequality.
Saudi Relations
First, Saudis oppose US action
Roby C. Barrett, Ph.D., Middle Eastern & South Asian History Public Policy Center Middle East Institute and JSOU Senior Fellow, Yemen: A Different Political Paradigm in Context, JSOU Report, May 2011, BJN
The Saudis believe that … actually contribute to greater stability.
Secondly, no impact to prolif
A) No impact - Deterrence solves
Waltz ’10 (Kenneth N, adjunct professor of political science @ Columbia, senior research scholar in the Institute of War and Peace , the National Interest, “Is Nuclear Zero the Best Option?” Sep/Oct, Iss. 109; pg. 88, proquest, jj)
War may not pay, as British … seem to have done so.
B) Prolif is inevitable – Regional security concerns and prestige
Brown 2007 (The Washington Quarterly 31.1)
http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/washington_quarterly/v031/31.1brown.html
Motivations for the acquisition of … having them will damage it.
C) Will be slow
Yusuf 2009 (Fellow, Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future Boston University)
http://www.pugwash.org/01_nuclear_proliferation_yusuf.pdf
First, it reveals consistent misjudgments … Asia, and the Middle East.
Thirdly, No impact to Iran proliferation.
Ehsaneh I. Sadr (graduate student in the department of government and politics at the University of Maryland, College Park) SUMMER 2005 “THE IMPACT OF IRAN’S NUCLEARIZATION ON ISRAEL” MIDDLE EAST POLICY, VOL. XII, NO. 2
The above analysis indicates … Israel into its neighborhood.
Middle East won’t escalate
Steven A. Cook (fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations) Ray Takeyh (fellows at the Council on Foreign Relations) and Suzanne Maloney (senior fellow at Saban Center) June 28 2007 “Why the Iraq war won't engulf the Mideast”, International Herald Tribune
Finally, there is no precedent … enveloping the entire Middle East.
