Economic collapse is inevitable – it forces a transition to sustainable communities – we indict your authors
Brownlee 10 – This essay was adapted from a presentation at Xavier University in Cincinnati on Nov. 7, 2010, as part of a lecture series on Ethics, Religion, and Society (Michael, 11/30, “The Evolution Of Transition In The U.S,” http://countercurrents.org/brownlee301110.htm)
Here, we need to ... in a larger Universe.
Collapse now allows us to survive, but delay risks multiple scenarios for extinction
Barry 8 – Ph.D. in Land Resources from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, a Masters of Science in Conservation Biology and Sustainable Development also from Madison, and a Bachelor of Arts in Political Science from Marquette University (Glen, 01/14, “Economic Collapse And Global Ecology,” http://www.countercurrents.org/barry140108.htm)
Humanity and the Earth ... final, fatal death swoon.
Growth causes worse wars with bio and nanoweapons
Zakaria 11 – Economic Consultant at Sageconsulting Sdn Bhd. Malaysia (Ahmad Zaki, 09/13, “The five generations of warfare,” http://recognitia.blogspot.com/2011/09/five-generations-of-warfare.html)
Advances in warfare usually ... on maintaining the status quo.
Bioweapons cause extinction
Broyles 5 – Senior editor (Janell, “Chemical and Biological Weapons in a Post-9/11 World,” http://janellbroyles.com/chemical-and-biological-weapons-in-a-post-911-world/)
Weapons of mass destruction ... spread them to others.
Nanoweapons outweigh
Vassar 6 – Head of the Long-Term Strategy Division (Michael, Robert A. Freitas Jr., Head of the Nanomedicine Division, with participation by Amara D. Angelica, Philippe Van Nedervelde, Mike Treder, and other Scientific Advisory Board members, “Lifeboat Foundation NanoShield Version 0.90.2.13,” http://lifeboat.com/ex/nano.shield)
Molecular manufacturing also raises ... regional conflict blowing up.
Try or die for the neg – we only need to win a small risk of our turns
Meyercord 1 – MA from the American University of Beirut (Ken, The Ethic of Zero Growth, http://www.zerogrowth.org/ZeroGrowth.htm)
Do we need an ... to be right once.
Turns the case – growth makes all environment impacts and nuclear war inevitable in the short term
Ehrlich 11 – president of the Centre for Conservation Biology at Stanford University (Paul R., 10/27, “A global population of seven billion - the point of no return?” http://www.publicserviceeurope.com/article/1045/a-global-population-of-seven-billion-the-point-of-no-return)
As the world population ... too much total consumption.
Environment outweighs nuclear war
New York End Times 6 – non-partisan, non-religious, non-ideological, free news filter. We monitor world trends and events as they pertain to two vital threats - war and extinction. We use a proprietary methodology to quantify movements between the extremes of war and peace, harmony and extinction.
We rate Global Climate ... become better tactical options.
Their authors’ methodology has been co-opted
Beistegui 97 – Professor of Philosophy at the University of Warwick (Miguel D., Heidegger and the Political, p.71)
What monstrousness does Heidegger ... flaunts as his “truths.”
Economic collapse is inevitable
a. The laws of thermodynamics
Martenson 11 – PhD from Duke University (Chris, 10/24, “Oil and the Economy,” http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2011/10/oil-and-the-economy-by-chris-martenson/)
The critical fact is ... incomplete world of economics.
b. Empirics, increasing complexity and finite resources – collapse now is better than later
MacKenzie 8 – science journalist who writes regularly in New Scientist and other publications, cites Joseph Tainter, Head of the Department of Environment and Society at Utah State University, leader at the Rocky Mountain Research Station in the USDA Forest Service, also cites Thomas Homer-Dixon, director of the Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation, CIGI Chair of Global Systems at the Balsillie School of International Affairs (Debora, 04/05, “Are we doomed?” EBSCO)
DOOMSDAY. The end of ... but these are limited.
c. Tectonic stresses and diminishing returns – innovation is unsustainable and only further guarantees collapse
MacKenzie 8 – science journalist who writes regularly in New Scientist and other publications, cites Joseph Tainter, Head of the Department of Environment and Society at Utah State University, leader at the Rocky Mountain Research Station in the USDA Forest Service, also cites Thomas Homer-Dixon, director of the Waterloo Institute for Complexity and Innovation, CIGI Chair of Global Systems at the Balsillie School of International Affairs (Debora, 04/05, “Are we doomed?” EBSCO)
Homer-Dixon doubts we can ... this cannot be sustainable.
Your evidence ignores the newest and best data
Brown 11 – distinguished professor at the University of New Mexico and external faculty of the Santa Fe Institute (James H., William R. Burnside, William C. Dunn, Jordan G. Okie, and Wenyun Zuo are PhD candidates in the Department of Biology at the University of New Mexico, Ana D. Davidson is a postdoctoral researcher at the National University of Mexico and adjunct professor of biology at the University of New Mexico, John P. DeLong is a postdoctoral associate at Yale University in the Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Marcus J. Hamilton is an archaeological anthropologist at the University of New Mexico and the Santa Fe Institute, Norman Mercado-Silva is a research specialist with the School of Natural Resources and the Environment, Arizona Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, at the University of Arizona, in Tucson, Jeffrey C. Nekola is an ecologist at the University of New Mexico, William H. Woodruff is a scientist at Los Alamos National Laboratory and external faculty at the Santa Fe Institute, January, “Energetic Limits to Economic Growth,” JSTOR)
We are by no ... limits to economic growth.
Now is key – the point of no return is within 5 years
Ulansey 6 – Professor of Philosophy and Religion at the California Institute of Integral Studies in San Francisco. He received his Ph.D. from Princeton University, and has taught at the University of California at Berkeley, Boston University, Barnard College (Columbia University), the University of Vermont, and Princeton University. He is the author of a book published by Oxford University Press (and is now completing a second book which will also be published by Oxford), and has published articles in Scientific American and numerous other scholarly journals (David, April, “Audio: David Ulansey -- The Impending Mass Extinction and How to Stop It,” http://www.energybulletin.net/node/23694)
My talk at the ... like Christianity or Buddhism!
Collapse forces a permanent mindset shift
Baker 10 – adjunct professor at Dona Ana Branch Community College, author of Sacred Demise: Walking The Spiritual Path of Industrial Civilization's Collapse (Carolyn, 12/09, “Transition: The Sacred, The Scared, And The Scarred,” http://www.countercurrents.org/baker091210.htm)
I began researching Peak ... industrial civilization has created.
Their arguments are trapped within the logic of growth and don’t assume recent events – prefer our authors
Baker 10 – adjunct professor at Dona Ana Branch Community College, author of Sacred Demise: Walking The Spiritual Path of Industrial Civilization's Collapse (Carolyn, 12/09, “Transition: The Sacred, The Scared, And The Scarred,” http://www.countercurrents.org/baker091210.htm)
There can be no ... transition at the core.
Growth causes terror
Javel 11 – cites Thomas Friedman, Noam Chomsky, John Norberg and Joseph Nye among others (09/11, “Globalization and Terrorism,” http://www.infobarrel.com/GLOBAL_TERROR_Globalization_and_Terrorism)
Globalization and terrorism are ... have developed with globalization.
Global nuclear war
Hellman 8 – Professor Emeritus of electrical engineering at Stanford University, a member of the National Academy of Engineering, a fellow of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, and a Marconi International Fellow (Martin E., Spring, “The Odds of Nuclear Armageddon,” www.nuclearrisk.org/paper.pdf)
The threat of nuclear ... and China over Taiwan).
Growth cause endocrine disruption that prevents human reproduction – guarantees extinction
Douthwaite 99 – council member of Comhar, the Irish government's national sustainability council and a Fellow of the Post Carbon Institute. Visiting lecturer at the University of Plymouth —ED By Ronaldo Munck andDenis O'Hearn (Richard, Critical Development Theory: Contributions to a New Paradigm, p. 158)
A third reason that ... is its economic system.
Growth triggers resource wars and multiple short-term environmental scenarios for extinction – tech doesn’t solve
Ward 11 – co-founded and led Families Against Incinerator Risk and HEAL Utah. A TomDispatch regular, he wrote about campaigns to make polluters accountable in Canaries on the Rim: Living Downwind in the West and about visionary conservationists in Hope's Horizon: Three Visions for Healing the American Land (Chip, 11/09, “Nature is the 99%, too,” http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/11/2011116132856199157.html)
The desperate effort to ... It hurts us all.
Resource wars cause extinction
Wooldridge 9 – free lance writer, once lectured at Cornell University (Frosty, “Humanity galloping toward its greatest crisis in the 21st century” http://www.australia.to/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=10042:humanity-galloping-toward-its-greatest-crisis-in-the-21st-century&catid=125:frosty-wooldridge&Itemid=244)
It is clear that ...
nuclear war ending civilization.
The K-wave is true – it will peak by 2025
Chase-Dunn 99 – Director of the Institute for Research on World-Systems, University of California-Riverside (Christopher, Bruce Podobnik, Assistant Professor in the Department of Sociology and Anthropology at Lewis and Clark College, The Future of Global Conflict, p. 43)
While the onset of ... its apex around 2025.
No transition wars – there aren’t any resources
Bennett and Nordstrom 2k – Department of Political Science, Pennsylvania State University (D. Scott, Timothy, “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 44, No. 1, Feb., pp. 33-61, JSTOR)
This leads to our ... with the United States.
Their evidence relies on flawed models – economic collapse forces countries to focus inward – solves risk of conflict
Bennett and Nordstrom 2k – Department of Political Science, Pennsylvania State University (D. Scott, Timothy, “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 44, No. 1, Feb., pp. 33-61, JSTOR)
Most scholarly works that ... attempts and further diversion.
Even if conflicts occur, they won’t escalate
Bennett and Nordstrom 2k – Department of Political Science, Pennsylvania State University (D. Scott, Timothy, “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries,” The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 44, No. 1, Feb., pp. 33-61, JSTOR)
When engaging in diversionary ... states experiencing economic problems.
Their arguments based on correlation, not causation
Miller 2k – economist, adjunct professor in the University of Ottawa’s Faculty of Administration, consultant on international development issues, former Executive Director and Senior Economist at the World Bank (Morris, Winter, “Poverty as a cause of wars?”)
The question may be ... violence to abort another).
