1AC
Advantage 1 is US-Egypt Relations
Previous US aid has strained relations with Egypt (because it bypassed the government)
Chick 11 – Kristin, Christian Science Monitor
[8/12, http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2011/0812/Why-Egypt-is-angry-over-65-million-in-US-democracy-grants]cs
The Egyptian government’s hostile response
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was an affront to national sovereignty.
Egyptian relations are crucial for U.S. heg
Aly 6 – Abdel, Director of Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies and Fellow at the Brookings Institute
[Jan, AN AMBIVALENT ALLIANCE THE FUTURE OF U.S.-EGYPTIAN RELATIONS]cs
Even when Egypt is not an active participant
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—and approved 29,000 overflight requests.
Heg prevents all major wars
Kagan 7 – Robert, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
[“End of Dreams, Return of History” Policy Review, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/8552512.html#n10]cn
This is a good thing, and
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in the United States and Europe.
How we help the transition to Democracy will determine the level of US-Egyptian relations in the future
Heydmann 11 – Steven, Fellow at the United States Institute of Peace
[2/14, http://www.usip.org/publications/egypts-transition#israel]cs
America's relationship with Egypt will change, and
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and moving their country toward a democratic political order
Advantage 2 is Stability
FIRST, Instability in Egypt prevents global economic recovery and is driving an impending collapse
Okoronkwo 11 – Ijeoma, Editorial Assistant for the Lawyer’s Chronicle, quoting El-Erian, CEO of Pimco, and Roubini, economist and professor at the Stern School of Business, NYU
[Acc. Sept 7, 2011, “THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE EGYPTIAN CRISES,” http://thelawyerschronicle.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=119:14-management-a-control-of-oil-and-gas-&catid=36:international-affairs&Itemid=60]cn
Egypt the most populous country in the Arab world
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fear has created gitters in the global economy.
Econ collapse causes nuclear World War III
O'Donnell 9 – Sean, writer and Marine Corps Reserve squad leader
[Feb 26, http://www.examiner.com/x- 3108-Baltimore-Republican- Examinery2009m2d26-Will-this- recession-lead-to-World-War- III]cn
Could the current economic crisis affecting this country
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is averted. However sometimes history repeats itself.
Econ decline causes war – multiple reasons; the consensus of up-to-date research agrees
Royal 10 – Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense
[“Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,” in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215]cn
Less intuitive is how periods
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considered ancillary to those views.
SECOND, The lack of effective police has overstretched the Egyptian military, empowering militants and collapsing border security with Israel
Neriah 11 – Jacques, Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
[8/22, http://jerusalemcenter.wordpress.com/2011/08/22/egypt-and-israel-caught-in-an-al-qaeda-whirlpool/]cs
A clear strategic context explains the recent flare
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eradicating the fundamentalist cells in Sinai and beyond.
Border security is getting worse every day – left unchecked, this will spark full-scale Mid-East war
Rubin 11 – Barry, professor at the Interdisciplinary Center, director of the Global Research in International Affairs Center, senior fellow at the International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism, Research Director of the Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy, and Strategy; editor of the journal Turkish Studies; editor of The Middle East Review of International Affairs; editorial board of Middle East Quarterly
[Aug 18, http://pajamasmedia.com/barryrubin/2011/08/18/news-flash-new-phase-in-war-as-terrorists-cross-egypt-israel-border-many-dead/]cn
News Flash: New Phase in War
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will be Egyptian public opinion.
Mid-East war goes global
Primakov 9 – Yevgeny, President of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of the Russian Federation
September, RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS VOL. 7 • No. 3, “The Middle East Problem in the Context of International Relations”
The Middle East conflict is
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does not completely rule out such a possibility.
The impact is global nuclear war
Steinbach 2 – John, Center for Research on Globalization
[Mar 3, http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/STE203A.html]bg
The Israeli nuclear arsenal has profound implications for
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could trigger a world conflagration." (44)
Advantage 3 is Democracy
Police are independently preventing Egyptian democracy now
Adel 11 – Deena, BA Communications and journalist in Egypt
[June, http://www.policymic.com/article/show?id=672]cs
In Egypt, Police are the Revolution's Greatest Obstacle
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resuming their law-breaking habits.
Democracy in Egypt spills over to the Mid-East
Kagan & Dunne 11 – Robert, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, and Michele, senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace – they are co-chairs of the nonpartisan Working Group on Egypt
[Mar 6, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/06/AR2011030603366.html]cn
With the horrific carnage in Libya, the
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Arab Spring will live or die in Egypt.
Mid-East democracy is key to alt energy
Jervey 11 – Ben, Editor of GOOD – a multimedia platform presenting business, NGO, and independent agency news
[6/1, http://www.good.is/post/what-the-arab-spring-could-mean-for-solar-in-the-sahara/]cs
For the past couple of years
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scale of the climate challenge.
Overwhelming scientific consensus indicates warming is accelerating and anthropogenic
Pearce 7 – Fred, environment consultant for New Scientist
[With speed and violence: why scientists fear tipping points in climate change, GoogleBooks, pp. 10-17]cn
First, the basic physics. As we
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can be heard making the case against climate change
The impact is extinction – alternative energy is key
Heinberg 7 – Richard, Senior Fellow at Post Carbon Institute, recipient of the Award for Excellence & Energy Education
[Peak Everything, p. 19-22]cn
First, some problems are more critical
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other intangible goods listed earlier.
U.S. police training solves the biggest obstacle to Egyptian democracy
Exum 11 – Andrew, Ph.D., Senior Fellow with the Center for a New American Security, former military advisor and subject matter expert on Egypt and the Levant for CENTCOM
[Mar 1, http://www.cnas.org/blogs/abumuqawama/2011/03/todays-most-important-story-you-will-likely-not-read.html]cn
Of all the institutions Egypt may need to
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in military aid the United States supplies annually.
Last is Solvency
U.S. police training is empirically effective and is both necessary and sufficient to solve Egyptian democracy, stability, and relations
Akhlaghi 11 – Reza, M.A., M.B.A., senior writer for the Foreign Policy Association, presiding over Middle East issues
[Jun 1, http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2011/06/01/whats-wrong-with-egyptian-security/]cs
With every passing day,
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the way the world is hoping
No DAs – Democracy Assistance now
Baky 11 – Mohamed Abdel, writer for Al Ahram
[Aug 24, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1061/eg1.htm]cn
The back-and-forth between the
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as the Ministry of State for International Cooperation.
Thus, the Plan:
The United States Executive Branch should substantially increase its police training for Egypt
