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USC Munoz-Wong Aff

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  • Syria ICT 1AC - Swing

    • Tournament: Sample Tournament | Round: 1 | Opponent: Sample Team | Judge: Sample Judge


    • Contention 1 – The Status Quo

      Access to information is a key battleground in Syria – citizens and the government are locked in a struggle for greater control

      Susannah Vila, April 18, 2011,
      “Amid protest, is the Syrian online space redefining internet freedom?”
      http://www.movements.org/blog/entry/Syria-Damascus-internet-freedom-protest-online-activism-facebook-twitter/

      Assad welcomed freer access to information under the assumption that he could control it
      AND
      and tech savvy, activated citizens unfolds in real time.

      The Syrian government is winning – they have mixed denial of access, liberalization, surveillance and counter-propaganda in unique ways to control its people.

      Jillian York, Director of International Freedom of Expression at the Electronic Frontier Foundation, June 1, 2011
      “The Dark Side Of The Syrian Internet”
      http://www.indexoncensorship.org/2011/06/the-dark-side-of-the-syrian-internet/

      In his book, The Net Delusion, released in early 2011, Evgeny Morozov warned us of the dark
      AND
      alike. A competing narrative had emerged and seeks to challenge — and stifle — the narrative of freedom.

      The US and EU are applying pressure now

      POMED 11/29/11 (Project on Middle East Democracy, “U.S. Pressures Syria, Russia Won’t Support Arms Embargo”, http://pomed.org/blog/2011/11/u-s-pressures-syria-russia-wont-support-arms-embargo.html/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+POMED_blog+%28Project+on+Middle+East+Democracy+Blog%29#.TtXfMHMbX58) 

      As violence escalates in Syria with reports documenting mass atrocities, international pressure has mounted on Syria
      AND
      also expressed concern over the atrocities committed by the Syrian government, and urged states to act on the U.N. report.

      Current US export policy is stifling for Syrian internet users – fear of export controls means companies don’t provide tech to Syria – Syrians can only get pirated versions of software and no access to opensource projects.

      Jillian York, June 16, 2010, Director of International Freedom of Expression at the Electronic Frontier Foundation, The Guardian, “US gives Iran more net freedom – but what about Syria?” http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/libertycentral/2010/jun/16/internet-iran-syria-export-controls

      Iran, of course, is an obvious target for these amendments,
      AND
      and what that means for the United States' "brand" of internet freedom.

      Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase the provision of information and communication technology to Syrians, including hardware, software and training.

      Contention 2 – Syria

      Syria is on the brink of civil war

      Dr. Randa Slim, a research fellow at the New America Foundation being interviewed by PBS 11 (“A Closer Look at Syria’s Fragmented Opposition”, 11/10/11 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/foreign-affairs-defense/syria-undercover/a-closer-look-at-syrias-fragmented-opposition/) 

      There is a serious risk of Syria eventually descending into a protracted, low-intensity armed
      AND
      Syrian opposition, thus increasing the prospect of an armed struggle.

      Sanctions have crippled Syria’s economy and Assad has nowhere to turn to

      Anderson ‘11 (“Syria: 30 years on, are sanctions finally starting to pinch?” http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2011/Nov-09/153428-syria-30-years-on-are-sanctions-finally-starting-to-pinch.ashx#axzz1dQzptIvf)

      Syria’s political leadership has weathered sanctions for over three decades, but experts say a
      AND
      peaceful solution they might have, which will make the crisis worse.”
      He’ll collapse—business class and international isolation

      Morgan Roach studies and writes about Africa, the Middle East and transatlantic relations as research associate in The Heritage Foundation 11 (“Arab Spring: Winners and Losers in 2011”, http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2011/12/06/arab-spring-winners-and-losers-in-2011/)

      With widespread unrest throughout the spring and summer, the Assad regime has lost
      AND
      regimes. It is becoming increasingly likely that in 2012 Syria will undergo a government transition. With power dwindling rapidly, the Assad regime is running out of options.

      Assad will fall and it’s just a matter of time – less than 1% chance he stays

      Wall Street Journal ’11 (Syria Opposition Leader Interview Transcript – interview between Burhan Ghalioun, the leader of the Syrian National Council, and the Wall Street Journal, December 2, 2011, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203833104577071960384240668.html)

      All of the businessmen are annoyed because of Assad's handling of the situation and bad governance.
      AND
      There isn't even a 1% chance that Assad will survive. The only way he can carry on—if he does—is to continue the killing. They know if they stop killing they're over.

      It’ll be in the next few weeks

      AFP ’12  (Syria's Assad has only 'few weeks' left in control: Israel, AFP, January 2, http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Syria+Assad+only+weeks+left+control+Israel/5935890/story.html)

      JERUSALEM - The family of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has only "a few weeks" left in
      AND
      Committees network of activists put the number at 5,862 including 395 children and 146 women.

      The result of a full-out civil war will be genocide – all the warning signs are present and Syria is a uniquely high risk.

      Genocide Watch, June 7, 2011, Coordinator of the International Alliance to End Genocide, “Genocide and Mass Atrocity Warning:  Syria” http://www.genocidewatch.org/syria.html

      Since the beginning of March, the stability of the Syrian Arab Republic has degenerated at an
      AND
      history of violence against dissenters in Syria  it is evident that this is a high risk situation for the residents in targeted cities.

      Preventing genocide outweighs – it’s an overriding ethical concern

      Harff-Gur, Professor at Northwestern University, 1981 (Humanitarian Intervention as a Remedy for Genocide, pp. 37-41)

      Much has been written about the evil of wars their possible prevention. Though pessimism remains about whether wars can be avoided
      AND
      existence, which enables them to build such systems to protect and enhance their interests and ideals

      Now the impacts:

      First – Israel-Iran War

      Collapse causes Assad to provoke a war with Israel and Iran – proxies will get drawn in and escalate the conflict – Israel will face a multi-front war which engulfs the region

      Ceren, 2011 (Omri Ceren, Just How Bad Could a Syrian Collapse Get? Commentary, August 1, http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/08/01/syrian-collapse-israel/)

      But the continued stability of the Syrian regime is only one highly unpleasant option. The other side of that coin is Assad will
      AND
       stopping the rockets raining down on Israeli cities, and confronting state-backed Arab armies for the first time in decades.

      Draws in all nations – causes extinction

      Stirling, 2010 (Lord Timothy Stirling, B. sc. In Poli Sci, M.A. in European Studies, holds several Scottish/Canadian feudal titles, 4-17-2010, “Jordan's King Warns Mideast War 'Imminent',” Rense, http://www.rense.com/general90/jordd.htm)

      This is rather frighting information. The Jordanian Royal Family is always well up-to-date on the intelligence of what is happening and
      AND
      This will be a fatal shortcoming that future historians will write about someday, assuming anyone is left to write about it.

      It also means Assad will release Syria’s bioweapons as he goes down

      Ceren, 2011 (Omri Ceren, Just How Bad Could a Syrian Collapse Get? Commentary, August 1, http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/08/01/syrian-collapse-israel/)

      That’s not the worst case scenario, though. The worst case scenario is one where, as the IDF made quick
      AND
      a desperate and surreal situation that will not cause Israeli politicians to overreact less.

      The US is disastrously underprepared for a bioweapons attack now – Syria is uniquely unstable.

      Matishak ‘11 (Martin Matishak, U.S. Receives Poor Marks in Latest Biodefense Report Card, Global Security Newswire, Ocotber 13, 2011, http://www.globalsecuritynewswire.org/gsn/nw_20111013_2213.php)

      WASHINGTON  Despite improvements made over the last decade, the United States remains broadly AND
      the "quantity, quality and trend line of their development of biological capabilities," according to Graham, who did not elaborate.

      Syrian bioweapons use outweighs nuclear war in magnitude

      Dr. Uwe Siemon-Netto, former religious affairs editor of United Press International, September 5, 2011, International journalist for 55 years, Currently directs the League of Faithful Masks and Center for Lutheran Theology and Public Life in Irvine, California.“Saddam’s Bio Arms – Wait Till Syria Falls” http://uwesiemon.blogspot.com/2011/09/saddams-bio-arms-wait-till-syria-falls.html

      My intensive research began more than one year before “Curveball’s” defection to Germany.
      AND
      it seemed to me extraordinarily irresponsible to trivialize this problem into an issue for petty partisan bickering.

      Assad will use smallpox – or he’ll give it to terrorists for dispersal.

      Jerome R. Corsi, March 5, 2007, WND's senior staff reporter, Corsi is a senior managing director at Gilford Securities.“Syria ready with bio-terror if U.S. hits Iran” http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=40459 (Jill Bellamy-Decker currently directs the Public Health Preparedness program for the European Homeland Security Association under the French High Committee for Civil Defense.)

      WND asked Bellamy-Decker if the Syrians have any history of having used biological weapons."
      AND
      or even if civilians were infected as well, as long as they are vaccinated. I think it is a real threat."

      Smallpox release causes extinction

      Clifford E. Singer, professor of nuclear engineering and director of the Program in Arms Control, Disarmament, and International Security at the University of Illinois at Urbana—Champaign, Spring 2001 (Swords and Ploughshares, http://www.acdis.uiuc.edu/homepage_docs/pubs_docs/S&P_docs/S&P_XIII/Singer.htm)

      There are, however, two technologies currently under development that may pose a more serious
      AND
      and thus the survival of a globally connected human family may be in question when and if this is achieved.
      Our impact is most probable – civil war creates safe havens for Al Qaeda

      Daniel L. Byman, Director of Research, Saban Center for Middle East Policy
      The Brookings Institution 11 (“Can Al Qaeda Capitalize on Unrest in Egypt and Syria?”, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/1201_alqaeda_democracy_byman.aspx) 

      Opportunities for al Qaeda will also arise if unrest turns to civil war, as is happening in Syria
      AND
      Should democratization fail in these countries, al Qaeda may find new life.

      Second – Saudi-Iran War

      Saudi Arabia and Iran will fight over the transition – it’s the new center point of tensions.

      Kamel ‘11 Ayham Kamel is an analyst in Eurasia Group's Middle East practice group. “Saudi Arabia and Iran set to jockey for position in Syria” http://eurasia.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/08/11/saudi_arabia_and_iran_set_to_jockey_for_position_in_syria

      Saudi leaders, meanwhile, are still on the fence about what the kingdom's Syria policy
      should be.
      AND
      In the meantime, all eyes are on Ankara to see if Turkey's leaders will be able to convince Assad to accelerate his reform program and resolve the crisis.  

      Increased tensions cause a regional arms race

      Spindle and Coker 2011   
      Bill, Maraget, WSJ, 4-16, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704116404576262744106483816.html?mod=WSJ_World_LeadStory

      "The cold war is a reality," says one senior Saudi official. "Iran is looking to expand its influence.
      AND
      it could exacerbate what many fear is a looming nuclear arms race in the region.

      Middle Eastern arms race goes nuclear.

      Cirincione 2007
      Joseph, Director of Nuclear Policy at the Center for American Progress, "Apocalypse When?," November 12th, http://www.nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=15998, AD 7/7/11

      Third is the risk of new nuclear nations. I agree with Mueller that the danger here is not that Iran or North Korea
      AND
      not one nuclear-weapons state, Israel, but four or five. That is a recipe for nuclear war.

      Third – Turkey

      Syrian violence causes mass refugee flows into Turkey – tensions could erupt into violence at any time – conflict will draw in NATO, Iran, Russia and China into World War III.

      Pakalert Press, June 28, 2011 “Could We Actually See A War Between Syria And Turkey?” http://www.pakalertpress.com/2011/06/28/could-we-actually-see-a-war-between-syria-and-turkey/

      In recent days, there have been persistent rumors that we could potentially be on the verge of a military conflict
      AND
      When it does, let us just hope that World War III does not erupt as a result.
      War originating in Syria has the highest potential to draw in great powers

      Peter Apps Global Risk Correspondant—Reuters  11 (“Analysis: Syrian civil war drags in Mideast, global powers”, http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/world/12209951/analysis-syrian-civil-war-drags-in-mideast-global-powers/) 

      As Syria's uprising escalates into outright civil war and begins to drag in other states
      AND
      "Nature abhors vacuums and so do rising great powers."

      Contention 3 – Solvency

      Greater ICT access reduces the scope of violence in Syria. We will identify several specifics reasons

      First, Citizen journalism – Individual access to video and news is an essential source for the outside world. Government news bans prevent outside media from showing the world what is happening in Syria. 

      Ma’an News 11 (“Citizen journalism keeps Syria uprising alive” Ma’an News Agency, Thursday 26/05/2011. Source:
      http://www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=391409)

      BEIRUT (AFP)  Defying a state-imposed media blackout…and fed into international mainstream media outlets." 

      This social media content is essential deterring atrocities, even if Assad wants to harm his people he will stop because he can’t hide evidence 

      Nidaa Hassan, The Guardian, June 8, 2011
      “Syria: How social media is defending a town from the regime's wrath”
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jun/08/syria-hide-uprising-internet

      The Syrian regime's apparent hesitancy to bear down …and usually uploaded by computer shortly afterwards.

      Second – large scale social organization – Assad is using internet monitoring to block protestors from using social media tools to organize – their reluctance to use these tools uniquely hampering large-scale gatherings.

      Kendra Srivastava, August 3, 2011, “Syrian Protestors Scared to Use Facebook, Twitter” http://www.mobiledia.com/news/101219.html

      Syrian protestors are scared to use Facebook and Twitter… with the aim of preventing people from rallying against him on Facebook and in the streets.

      A quick victory by opposition possible if more Syrians take part in the demonstrations – fear of the regime prevents this mobilization which can stop a civil war.

      Carnegie Middle East Center 2011 <The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “Turmoil in Syria and the Regional Consequences” Tamara Wittes, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs, U.S. Department of State Murhaf Jouejati, Professor of Middle East Studies, National Defense University Ammar Abdulhamid, Founder and Director, The Tharwa Foundation Itamar Rabinovich, Charles Bronfman Distinguished Nonresident Senior Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy Paul Salem, Director, Carnegie Middle East Center http://carnegie-mec.org/events/?fa=3267>

      Possible Scenarios for Change The panelists agreed that a return to the status quo … But there is still a wall of fear preventing many people from demonstrating, he added.

      Third, nonviolent protests –  Evidence from across the Arab Spring proves social media activism is critical to preventing mass protests from becoming violent.

      Stepanova 11 (Ekaterina, Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Russian Academy of Sciences. “The Role of Information Communication Technologies in the “Arab Spring”: IMPLICATIONS BEYOND THE REGION.” PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 159, May 2011)

      If there is a positive pattern to discern in the impact of Internet-based … This pattern is certainly one that merits further empirical and analytical investigation.

      Fourth, speed – ICT accelerates social change – the Arab Spring proves that social trends can quickly change and topple governments that seem very secure 

      Fontaine & Rogers, Center for New American Security, June 2011, Richard Fontaine - Senior Fellow, Will Rogers -Research Associate “Internet Freedom: A Foreign Policy Imperative in the Digital Age” p. 18, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_InternetFreedom_FontaineRogers_0.pdf

      In addition to the political and economic effects described above…that had been in power for decades in a matter of weeks. 63

      The status quo’s piecemeal approach means Google, Java, and SoureForge can’t get products into Syria – companies have blocked tools and restricted their services

      Jillian York, Director of International Freedom of Expression at the Electronic Frontier Foundation, September 26, 2011, “Stop the Piecemeal: Obama Administration Should Fully Free Communications Tech Exports to Syria (& Companies Should Help)” https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2011/09/stop-the-piecemeal-export-approach

      EFF has long complained about export restrictions by the …that wants to take these steps but doesn’t have the resources to do it. 



10/26/11
3
  • 2AC Turkey CP

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Only the US can solve

      a. US export controls are key – creates a haphazard blend of subpar tech to Syria – York & York

      b. Only the US has the tech – companies like Blackberry & Cisco are based in the US, key to distribution – York

      c. Proves that Turkey has no leadership on internet training – all of their evidence is too generic – they have no expertise or tech – the CP would kill Turkish leadership by making them look foolish.

      Perm do both – The perm is key to Turkish regional leadership over Iran 

      Ben-Meir ‘11 (Alon Ben-Meir Senior Fellow, NYU's Center for Global Affairs, “Keystone Influence: Syria's Arab Spring and the Race for Regional Hegemony” 11/28/11)
      It is the non-Arab states other than Israel, Turkey and Iran, that are now on a collision course...We won’t work with anyone who supports Turkish intervention in Syria.”

      No uniqueness for Turkish leadership – Arab League intervention should have undercut Turkish leadership

      Turkey doesn’t want to lead – they’re afraid Assad will play the Kurdish card and they don’t want to be seen as responsible for the wave of refugees
      Couvas 2011
      Jacques N. Couvas, Why Erdogan Can't Let Assad Down, http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=55043
      Domestic problems in Syria are of particular sensitivity to Turkey...and six million Northern Iraqi Kurds to claim an independent state. 

      Turkey has no credibility – can’t lead
      Cook ’11 (Steven A. Cook Hasib J. Sabbagh Senior Fellow for Middle Eastern Studies, Turkey: From Zero Problems to Cok Problems”, 11/17/11, http://blogs.cfr.org/cook/2011/11/17/turkey-from-zero-problems-to-cok-problems/?cid=oth_partner_site-atlantic)
      With the sharp deterioration of Turkish-Syrian relations...took matters into their own hands and began bringing down Ankara's friends.

      Turkey already giving aid to Syria now and called on Assad to leave – Roach

      Your leadership claims are wrong – Turkey is waiting for the US to act
      Tanir 11-11    Ilhan, Washington reporter for Turkish Daily Vatan, Columnist for Hurriyet DN, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=how-turkey8217s-syria-policy-evolved-2011-11-11
      Ankara wants to actively support human rights causes...to come forward before it takes further steps

      Your uniqueness arguments don’t assume new sanctions against Iran.  Post the IAEA report, Turkey doesn’t want leadership – they’d rather stay out of the way
      BBC 11-9 Monitoring Middle East BBC Monitoring quotes from Middle East Arabic press
      The Turkish role may be decisive in the west's management...(Commentary by Ayman Mustafa - "Iran's Dossier")

      Turkey can’t get Assad out – they can’t beat Assad’s air defense system – only the US can.
      Kresler ’11 (Oren, 'No substitute for US leadership on Syria,’ December 12, 2011, http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=249058)
      Andrew Tabler, a Syria expert...to show greater leadership against Syrian President Bashar Assad.

      Turkish involvement is inevitable – they’ll get drawn into a war when violence spills over into Turkey – Pak Alert Press

      Perm do the plan and have Turkey provide information and communication technology –  including hardware, software and training – to Bahrain, Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, or Yemen

      International fiat is a voting issue—it distorts the role of the decision maker and sidesteps the core question of the resolution—Counterplans to have the US incentivize  to act solves all of their offense



01/13/12
4
  • 2AC Russia Adventurism DA

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: 2 | Opponent: UNLV EM | Judge: Hardy


    • Cal

      The impact is inevitable – war over Turkey draws Russia in – that’s Pakalert Press – this war has the highest likelihood of drawing in great powers – that’s Apps

      Russia is just posturing – Libya proves no lashout
      Kendall ’11 (Bridget, Syria unrest: Russia pulled two ways, BBC, December 16, 2011, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16223754)
      And Russia is highly sensitive to the geography
      AND
      , Russia too echoed the call that he should go.

      Assad’s fall inevitable takes out the link to the DA – Russia will abandon Assad – they don’t want to go down with him
      Kendall ’11 (Bridget, Syria unrest: Russia pulled two ways, BBC, December 16, 2011, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16223754)
      And Russia, seemingly, was stung by accusations
      AND
      and how to secure whatever it can salvage for the longer term.

      No impact – Common ties, Russian leadership, and defense spending checks
      Aron 6 (Leon, Director of Russian Studies – American Enterprise Institute, “The United States and Russia”, 6-29,
      http://www.aei.org/publications/pubID.24606/pub_detail.asp)
      Yet the probability of a frontal confrontation
      AND
      were less than one-eleventh of what the U.S. spent ($522 billion).[18]

      Russia would like the plan – UN resolution proves
      Gutterman ’11 (Steve, Analysis: Russia's Syria shift a bid to guard image, interests, Reuters, December 16, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/16/us-russia-syria-idUSTRE7BF1YL20111216)
      (Reuters) - Russia's offer of a new U.N.
      AND
      The point is to show that Russia favors a settlement but is not a protector of Assad's regime," he said.

      Syria doesn’t trigger their adventurism link – Russia has no coherent foreign policy on Syria
      Abdul-Hussain 1/9 (Hussain, In Syria, what does Russia want? The Daily News Egypt, January 9, 2012, http://thedailynewsegypt.com/global-views/in-syria-what-does-russia-want.html)
      Russian policy on Syria might seem planned and coherent
      AND
      to a compromise with other world powers over his removal.

      Swing

      Impact inev – Russia gets drawn in through war with Turkey – case OW on timeframe

      Clearly other AS policies should have caused the link

      Pressure now N/U the DA – 1AC POMED

      Normal means is covert through CIA funds – no link to the DA

      FPI 2011 (The Foreign Policy Initiative, contributors include Jamie M. Fly (FPI), Robert Zarate (FPI), Mark Dubowitz (FDD), Reuel Marc Gerecht (FDD), Tony Badran (FDD), Ammar Abdulhamid (FDD) and John Hannah (FDD), Towards a Post-Assad Syria: Options for the United States and Like-Minded Nations to Further Assist the Anti-Regime Syrian Opposition, November 8, 2011, http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/content/towards-post-assad-syria-options-united-states-and-minded-nations-further-assist-anti-regime)
      Washington should also work with partners should help opposition groups...and soliciting the remainder from our European and Arab partners.

      Loss of Libya should have triggered the link

      The D/A is non-unique

      a. We provided internet training to Syrian rebels in April
      AFP 11 “US trains activists to evade security forces” 4/8/11, http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/04/08/us-trains-activists-to-evade-security-forces/)
      The United States is training thousands of cell phone..."They went back and there's a ripple effect," Posner said. 

      b. Lifted export sanctions on Iran and Sudan
      Dayanim et al ’11 (BEHNAM DAYANIM, SCOTT M. FLICKER, AND TARA GIUNTA, Obama Administration Relaxes Access to U.S. “Social Networking” Technology – Exports to Iran, Sudan and Cuba Authorized, Paul Hastings, March 2010, http://www.paulhastings.com/assets/publications/1539.pdf)
      This week, the Administration took another big step...so deregulation of exports of the pertinent software and technology to that destination will have to be undertaken separately).

      b. Aid to Syrian civil society over the past 7 years
      Johnson ’11 (Gary H. Johnson, Jr. is the Senior Advisor for International Security Affairs at the Victory Institute, Syria: The Libya Precedent, Family Security Matters, April 22, 2011, http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/id.9351/pub_detail.asp)
      On Monday, April 18th, the U.S. State Department..."sees this kind of assistance as a threat to its existence." 

      Give Russia war zero probability – politics, military superiority, economic concerns, and nuclear security
      Graham 2007 - (Thomas, Russia in Global Affairs, "The dialectics of strength and weakness", http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/numbers/20/1129.html, WEA)
      An astute historian of Russia, Martin Malia...while laying the basis for more constructive long-term relations with Russia.



01/13/12
4 01/13/12
5
  • 2AC Orientalism

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: 3 | Opponent: Kansas KK | Judge: Montreuil


    • Case outweighs – Assad fall is imminent in the status quo and will cause major power wars in the Middle East – the alternative has no way to resolve this in the short-term means it’s try or die for the aff.

      Turn – the plan allows Syrians to counter Orientalist images of the revolution – citizen journalism breaks Assad’s control on information flowing out of the country.

      Alt doesn’t solve

      a. Can’t unite the protestors – social media key to mobilizing large-scale movements against Assad – Srivastava – it’s only way to overthrow Assad, that’s Carnegie.

      b. Doesn’t stop the rev from becoming violent – ICT key to keeping protests non-violent – Stepanova.

      c. No spillover – only ICT disseminates information to the outside world – that’s the only way others know what’s going on in Syria – Ma’an News & Hassan

      Default aff-their authors generalizing claims guarantee failure
      BARNETT 11     Clive, Pf geographies of democracy & public life @ Open U, Geoforum, 42(3), pp. 263–265.
      The ‘Arab Spring’, the mobilization for democratic change
      AND
      that lend themselves best to his own vision of revolutionary possibility.   

      Permutation do the plan and all non-mutually exclusive parts of the alternative

      Leveraging claims like Orientialism deters future scholarship.  Your aff has already been played out in debates over Edward Said’s work – it will inspire a CRIPPLING FORM of timidity because scholars will be too afraid that their work is Orientialist.
      Teitelbaum & Litvak, 2006 /Senior Fellow, Moshe Dayan Center for Middle East and African Studies, Tel Aviv University & Senior Fellow at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle East and African Studies/Joshua & Meir, “STUDENTS, TEACHERS, AND EDWARD SAID: TAKING STOCK OF ORIENTALISM”, Middle East Review of International Affairs, Vol 10 no. 10, March/
      Said's over-generalized and non-historic conception of "Orientalism
      AND
      are fearful of developing an opinion of their own.

      And genocide outweighs – it’s an overriding ethical concern – intentional targeting of civilian populations is worse than war, which kills indiscriminately – Harf-Gur

      Permutation do the plan and reject Orientalist representations in all other instances.

      Realism is inevitable – human nature
      Solomon, 96
      (Hussein, PolSci Professor and Director of the Centre for International Political Studies, Pretoria In Defence of Realism, http://www.iss.co.za/pubs/ASR/5No2/5No2/InDefence.html//greenhill-chris)
      The post-modern/critical theory challenge to realism
      AND
      all bear testimony to the folly of such a view.

      Threats are real
      Olav. F. Knudsen, Prof at Södertörn University College, 2001
      [Security Dialogue 32.3, ―Post-Copenhagen Security Studies: Desecuritizing Securitization,‖ p.
      360]
      Moreover, I have a problem with the underlying implicatio
      AND
      not least to find adequate democratic procedures for dealing with them.



01/13/12
3
  • 2AC EU Fund The NED CP

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: 3 | Opponent: Kansas KK | Judge: Montreuil


    • Permutation do both

      No new spending for the plan 

      a. Plan uses previous Internet funding
      Washington Post 11 (“Moving forward with Internet freedom”,
      http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/03/AR2011030305488.html)
      Yet 16 months have passed since the State Department was allotted $30 million in funding for Internet freedom
      AND
      but with democratic revolutions spreading and the Internet fast changing, Congress should not tolerate any more delays.

      b. If any money needs to be spent it would be through covert CIA funds
      FPI 2011 (The Foreign Policy Initiative, contributors include Jamie M. Fly (FPI), Robert Zarate (FPI), Mark Dubowitz (FDD), Reuel Marc Gerecht (FDD), Tony Badran (FDD), Ammar Abdulhamid (FDD) and John Hannah (FDD), Towards a Post-Assad Syria: Options for the United States and Like-Minded Nations to Further Assist the Anti-Regime Syrian Opposition, November 8, 2011, http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/content/towards-post-assad-syria-options-united-states-and-minded-nations-further-assist-anti-regime)
      Washington should also work with partners should help opposition groups
      AND
      and soliciting the remainder from our European and Arab partners.

      EU econ will collapse now—eurozone crisis
      Kyle Almond quoting Nial Ferguson prof @ Harvard 11/10/11 (“Is the euro tearing Europe apart?”, http://articles.cnn.com/2011-11-10/world/world_europe_eurozone-tension_1_greek-bailout-george-papandreou-greece?_s=PM:EUROPE)
      When the euro became official tender 12 years ago,
      AND
      but the EU, the bigger entity, begins to fall apart."

      Permutation do the counterplan

      Any EU action will just enhance Assad’s prestige

      Taheri ’11 (Amir, columnist at Asharq al-Awsat, Russia wants a share in post-Assad Syria, Al Arabiya News, October 11, 2011, http://www.alarabiya.net/views/2011/10/11/171236.html)
      No longer obliged to take into account Russian and Chinese “sensibilities
      AND
      helped Assad enhance his prestige at home.

      Doesn’t solve the case – only the US gov has the tech and expertise to train people – NED doesn’t have it – CP doesn’t mandate it

      Conditionality is bad



01/13/12
4
  • 2AC Russia Relations DA

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: 3 | Opponent: Kansas KK | Judge: Montreuil


    • Pressure now non-uniques the DA

      No solvency—relations don’t actually accomplish anything
      Ostapenko 2009 (7/8, Trend News, “Normalization in U.S.-Russian relations not to change political situation in world: analyst at French studies institute”, http://en.trend.az/news/important/opinion/1501081.html, WEA)

      Normalization of relations between the United States and Russia
      AND
      unlike European countries, including Russia.



01/13/12
1
  • AT: Fragmentation Turn

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: 5 | Opponent: Samford DV | Judge: Cronin


    • Zero uniqueness—

      Civil War Now—The opposition is coalescing into violent movements now—guarantees mass instability that triggers all of our impacts

      No Unification Now—

      Dr. Randa Slim, a research fellow at the New America Foundation being interviewed by PBS 11 (“A Closer Look at Syria’s Fragmented Opposition”, 11/10/11 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/foreign-affairs-defense/syria-undercover/a-closer-look-at-syrias-fragmented-opposition/)
      The disparate opposition groups that have materialized
      AND
      Yet, neither can claim to be the sole voice of the Syrian opposition forces.



01/13/12
4
  • 2AC China DA

    • Tournament: Fullerton | Round: 5 | Opponent: Samford DV | Judge: Cronin


    • The impact is inevitable – war over Turkey draws in China – that’s Pakalert Press – and Assad will collapse in weeks.

      US-China relations strong enough to overcome debate over Arab Spring.
      Quing 11 (Ye Qing is currently a visiting fellow with the Freeman Chair in China Studies at CSIS. He is also associate research fellow and deputy director of the Institute for Global Governance Studies at the Shanghai Institute for International Studies, Debating the Arab Uprisings: Views from China, CSIS Freeman Report, June 2011)
      China-U.S. relations have become the focal poin
      AND
      not to be derailed by this episode. 

      China would like the plan—they want to stop the violence in Syria  
      Bloomberg 11/9/11 (“Syria Crackdown Gets China to Agree With Russia in Appeal to End Violence”, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-09/syrian-crackdown-prompts-china-to-join-russia-in-appeal-to-halt-violence.html)
      China and Russia are calling for an end to violence in Syria
      AND
      Russia sold $6.8 billion of arms to Syria between 2003 and 2010

      Arab Uprisings good for US-China Relations, reorients US policy toward the Middle East.
      Quing 11 (Ye Qing is currently a visiting fellow with the Freeman Chair in China Studies at CSIS. He is also associate research fellow and deputy director of the Institute for Global Governance Studies at the Shanghai Institute for International Studies, Debating the Arab Uprisings: Views from China, CSIS Freeman Report, June 2011)
      Chinese scholars are also interested
      AND
      opportunity for improvement in the bilateral relations.

      Aid now non-uniques the DA – been giving assistance throughout the Arab Spring – no reason the plan would be perceived any differently

      Pressure now also takes out the link – POMED – more recent than their link ev

      Non-unique – Recent high profile tensions between the US China on trade policy, Tibet and currency – these are far larger than the plan
      Narayan Lankshman, November 12, 2011, The Hindu, “U.S.-China tensions colour APEC meet”
      http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/article2621976.ece
      This week even the stunning sunset-and-white-sands setting of Hawaii...and end the measures that disadvantage or pirate foreign intellectual property.”



01/13/12
2
  • Food Shortages Add-on

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Social media activism prevents food shortages – forces government accountability
      Ali 11 (Amir Hatem, Harvard Law School, J.D. 2011. “The Power of Social Media in Developing Nations: New Tools for Closing the Global Digital Divide and Beyond”)
      One might think Mr. Gates’ challenge
      AND
      by anyone with an eye towards development.

      Food shortages lead to World War III
      William Calvin, theoretical neurophysiologist at the University of Washington, January 1998 (Atlantic Monthly, The Great Climate Flip-Flop, Vol 281, No. 1, p. 47-64)
      The population-crash scenario is surely the most appalling
      AND
      It could no longer do so if it lost the extra warming from the North Atlantic.



01/13/12
2
  • Lebanon Add-on

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    •  


    • Syrian violence spills over into Lebanon – destabilizes the country
      Prothero ’11 (Mitchell Prothero, Assad’s Lebanese Invasion, Foreign Policy, December 22, 2011, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/12/22/assads_lebanese_invasion?page=0,3)
      This latest incident is just the latest example of
      AND
      they are not even safe from Assad's long reach in the capital of Beirut.

      Lebanon war goes global
      James Stuart, Strategist, Negotiator and Futurist: minimising future risk at Alt3.co.uk, 2006 (“Lebanon – the struggle continues” www.alt3.co.uk/discussion_files/lebanon.htm)
      Why is this important? Why is Lebanon, which is a small country,
      AND
      – and will be too much to stop. 



01/13/12
2
  • Chemical Weapons Add-on

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Full-scale civil war means chemical weapons use
      Huffington Post 11/23 (Alan Elsner, Author, 'Gates of Injustice: The Crisis in America’s Prisons'. “As Assad Regime Disintegrates, What Will Happen to Its Huge Chemical Weapons Stockpile?” Posted: 11/23/11. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alan-elsner/syria-civil-war_b_1107502.html)
      As Syria teeters ever closer to civil war
      AND
      enemies causing thousands of civilian casualties.

      The magnitude of a chemical weapons attack is equivalent to nuclear war
      Gray ’94 (David G. Gray, NOTES: THEN THE DOGS DIED": THE FOURTH AMENDMENT AND VERIFICATION OF THE CHEMICAL WEAPONS CONVENTION, March, 94 Colum. L. Rev. 567, l/n)
      With the decline of the nuclear threat
      AND
      utterly horrific threat; its time has come.



01/13/12
5
  • 2AC Baudrillard

    • Tournament: Cal | Round: 2 | Opponent: SFSU VT | Judge:


    • Life is way more complex than you portray it.  People make sense of the world giving value to their life
      MILLER 1 (David, Rescuing media power, Sept, Vol 4)
      But in the real world, as E.P. Thompson argued
      AND
      any account of how people think and act in the world.

      Baudrillard’s arguments are huge generalizations
      Wolin ‘4 (Richard, Professor of history and comparative literature at the City University of New York, The Seduction of Unreason, pg 305-308)
      Once one understands Baudrillard’s simulacrum
      AND
      are condemned a priori to failure.61



01/16/12
5
  • 2AC Psychoanalysis

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Their Stavrakakis ev doesn’t apply – its about liberal democracy promotion as a whole – we flip that – stop focuses on US demo promo interests in terms of internet policy

      NO LINK – the aff is not an attempt to eliminate disorders within the state.  The aff is an abandonment of the current approach to democracy assistance, not an attempt to order the world.

      Turn – we allow individuals in Syria to determine how they can live their lives and realize their own desires – they can’t under Assad’s police state because he monitors the internet to crack down – York

      Automatically associating social media with western liberal democracy is a kneejerk reaction – it essentializes democracy and it’s poor scholarship
      Stepanova 11 (Ekaterina, Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Russian Academy of Sciences. “The Role of Information Communication Technologies in the “Arab Spring”: IMPLICATIONS BEYOND THE REGION.” PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 159, May 2011)
      Yet another set of reservations concerns the short-sightedness
      AND
      and ideological) and contextual forms of such protests. 

      Permutation do the plan and all non-mutually exclusive parts of the alternative

      Permutation solves best – the field of psychology cannot remain insulated from policy making – joint conversation is key
      Blight 1987 [James, G., professor of international relations at Brown University's Watson Institute for International Studies, formerly cognitive scientist at Harvard’s Center for Science and International Affairs, “Toward a Policy-Relevant Psychology of Avoiding Nuclear War: Lessons for Psychologists From the Cuban Missile Crisis”, American Psychologist Vol. 42, No. 1, p. JSTOR]
      The central fact to be faced by advocates of nuclear depth psychology is this
      AND
      with the wrong questions and answers.

      Perm solves – The 1AC is a form of protest against Assad – individual action is key to exposing the violence in Syria – pure rejection is defeatist and academic elitism.
      Freedland 8-30   Jonathan, award-winning journalist, author and broadcaster, The Guardian, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/aug/30/politicians-oust-foreign-tyrants-alternatives
      Enter Carne Ross, a former high-flying British diplomat
      AND
      We can act – and we surely must.

      Violence exists outside psychology – your K is too reductionist
      Keown, Dept of Historical & Cultural Studies @ U of London College, NO DATE
      (Damien, A Response to 'The Place for a Righteous War in Buddhism' by P.D.Premasiri,  
      http://www.buddhistinformation.com/a_response_to_place_for_right_war.htm)
      The first point I would make is simply to note
      AND
      To reduce all this to psychology is surely an oversimplification.

      NO IMPACT – our response to the world is not always suppression.  Even psychoanalysis concedes that there are different ways to cope with our insecurity
      Bersani 2006 [Leo, literary theorist and professor of French at the University of California-Berkeley, “Psychoanalysis and the Aesthetic Subject”, Critical Inquiry Vol. 32, Iss. 2, Winter, p. ProQuest]
      In his seminar on identification, Lacan asks:
      AND
      can surpass the pleasure of finding ourselves harbored within it.

      We should make predictions – scholars predicted the Arab Spring – studying democratic trends provides a sound basis for making predictions.
      Bunzel ‘11 (Cole M. Bunzel, M.A. candidate at SAIS concentrating in Strategic Studies, a graduate of Princeton University and the Center for Arabic Study Abroad in Damascus, Syria, he has worked at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy and the Department of Defense, Forecasting the Arab Spring, SAIS Review, 31:2, Summer-Fall 2011)
      Reuel Marc Gerecht, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies
      AND
      and have determined to win power via the ballot box.

      No root cause – democracy assistance can’t be explained by singular causes.
      Carothers 2k (Thomas Carothers, Struggling with Semi-Authoritarians, in Democracy Assistance: International Cooperation for Democratization, ed. Peter Burnell, p. 224-5)
      The five cases outlined above make clear
      AND
      and the experience of previous aid efforts in that country.

      Threats are real
      Olav. F. Knudsen, Prof at Södertörn University College, 2001
      [Security Dialogue 32.3, ―Post-Copenhagen Security Studies: Desecuritizing Securitization,‖ p.
      360]
      Moreover, I have a problem with the underlying implication
      AND
      in the interrelations of groups and states (such as civil wars, for instance), not least to find adequate democratic procedures for dealing with them.

      Alt doesn’t solve

      a. Can’t unite the protestors – social media key to mobilizing large-scale movements against Assad – Srivastava – it’s only way to overthrow Assad, that’s Carnegie.

      b. Doesn’t stop the rev from becoming violent – ICT key to keeping protests non-violent – Stepanova.

      c. No spillover – only ICT disseminates information to the outside world – that’s the only way others know what’s going on in Syria – Ma’an News & Hassan

      Default aff-their authors generalizing claims guarantee failure
      BARNETT 11     Clive, Pf geographies of democracy & public life @ Open U, Geoforum, 42(3), pp. 263–265.
      The ‘Arab Spring’, the mobilization for democratic change
      AND
      that lend themselves best to his own vision of revolutionary possibility.

      Turn – the plan allows Syrians to counter Assad’s biopower – citizen journalism breaks Assad’s stranglehold on Syria.
      And that proves that crackdown is a DA to the alt – the alt has no way to end Assad’s violence.

      THE LACK IS A MYTH – unfalsifiable and can’t be applied in non-theoretical contexts.  Acceptance of the lack guarantees a blind and repressive politics
      Robinson 2005 [Andrew, PhD in political theory at the University of Nottingham, “The Political Theory of the Constitutive Lack: A Critique”, Theory and Event volume 8 number 1, p. ProjectMuse]
      More precisely, I would maintain that "constitutive lack
      AND
      with something one does not understand.

      YOUR PSYCHO-ANALYSIS IS JUST POP PSYCHOLOGY – it presents little actual evidence for the existence of the psychological condition and it over-simplifies nuclear attachment as social fantasy.
      Summers, Mount Allison University, 91   (Craig, Nuclear Texts & Contexts Spring No. 6)
      The tendency throughout Nuclear Madness
      AND
      could be used to arrive at the same conclusions. 

      Psychoanalysis can’t predict institutional behaviors – they lack analysis of the context of each situation
      Kaplan 1968 [Morton A., Distinguished Service Professor Emeritus at the University of Chicago and President in Professors World Peace Academy International, “Review: A psychoanalyst looks at politics: A Retrospective Tribute to Robert Waelder”, Reviewed work(s): Progress and Revolution: A Study of the Issues of Our Age. by Robert Waelder Source: World Politics, Vol. 20, No. 4, July, p. JSTOR]
      It is common knowledge that the great length of Freudian analyses
      AND
      will also be aware of the problematic nature of his conclusions.

      The impact is totalitarianism: the K diminishes what the present is or could be because it doesn’t correspond to the way the world has to be – turns the K
      Claude Lefort '2 Director of Studies Emeritus at the école des Hautes études en Sciences Sociales (Social Research, An International Quarterly of Social Sciences Volume 69, Number 2 / Summer, p. 621 - 656)
      Let us briefly recall the three characteristics of an ideology
      AND
      Unexpectedly we see here the sudden intrusion of the old theory of the "great men" in History.

      PSYCHO-ANALYSIS HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN USED TO TURN SOLUTIONS INWARD, ignoring larger external power relations.
      Mardorossian 2002 Prof of English @ UNY Buffalo [Carine M , Signs: Journal of Women in Culture and Society, vol. 27, no. 3]
      Ironically, the Foucauldian paradigm, which postmodernists often evoke to buttress their claims
      AND
      even as they seek to challenge them

      THE ALTERNATIVE CEDES THE POLITICAL TO ELITES – the willingness to accept re-interpretation as sufficient change reproduces the same politics Stavrakakis critiques
      Robinson 2005 [Andrew, PhD in political theory at the University of Nottingham, “The Political Theory of the Constitutive Lack: A Critique”, Theory and Event volume 8 number 1, p. ProjectMuse]
      It is in this pragmatism that the ambiguity
      AND
      nothing is to limit the practical consideration of tactics by dominant elites.

      Exposing the Real isn’t enough to stop violence
      Nicol 2001 [Bran, English @ Chichester, Paragraph, July, v. 24, n. 2, p. 152-3]
      Perhaps there is a note of anxiety in all the compulsive energy of Zizek’s project
      AND
      This, as Hannibal Lecter might say, is no more than a fantasy.

      THE K IS TOO PESSIMISTIC – Makes political change impossible and failure a self-fulfilling prophesy
      Robinson 2005 [Andrew, PhD in political theory at the University of Nottingham, “The Political Theory of the Constitutive Lack: A Critique”, Theory and Event volume 8 number 1, p. ProjectMuse]
      There is more than an accidental relationship
      AND
      by acting as a barrier to transformative activity.

      Your psychoanalysis doesn’t affect policy making – elites are just unwilling to listen
      Blight 1986 [James G., professor of international relations at Brown University's Watson Institute for International Studies, formerly cognitive scientist at Harvard’s Center for Science and International Affairs, “How might Psychology Contribute to Reducing the Risk of Nuclear War?”, Political Psychology Vol. 7 No. 4, p. JSTOR]
      As the compilers of the list suggest,
      AND
      the advice must seem presumptuous and irrelevant.



01/16/12
6
  • 2AC T-Democracy Assistance

    • Tournament: Cal | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • We MeetInternet freedom major emphasis of democracy assistance
      McInerney ’10
      [Stephen, Director of Advocacy for the Project on Middle East Democracy, “The Federal Budget and Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2011,” http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/fy11-budget-analysis-final.pdf] p.3
      Internet freedom is a major point of emphasis
      AND
      The Middle East is a particular focus of this approach.

      Democracy assistance programs can go to NGOs to consolidate democracy
      Gershman, NED president & Allen, Democracy Digest editor and special assistant to the NED vice-president for government and external relations, 6
      [Carl & Michael, Journal of Democracy, Volume 17, Number 2, April 2006, “Assault on Democracy Assistance”, p. 36, Project Muse, accessed 5-17-11]
      Since the fall of communism in Central Europe in 1989 and the cresting of the “third wave” of
      AND
      rights and access to information, and encourage democratic participation.

      Prefer our interpretation—

      1. Best Limit—limits out pressure and sanctions and diplomacy affs while allowing for discussion of key affs that provide direct assistance to foster democracy in topic countries

      2. Neg Ground—Technical assistance affs are key to core neg disads—only way to guarantee links to the best topic disads

      Err aff on T – it’s hard to be aff – No US key warrants, democracy assistance doesn’t solve anything, and the politics DA links to everything

      The neg gets generic disads, counterplans and K’s, default to a broader topic because the neg gets the block and sets the ground for the debate

      State Department DRL is the normal actor for internet freedom – central to democracy assistance
      McInerney ’10
      [Stephen, Director of Advocacy for the Project on Middle East Democracy, “The Federal Budget and Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2011,” http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/fy11-budget-analysis-final.pdf] p. 16
      The Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor (DRL)
      AND
      for sharp cuts to USAID’s funding for democracy and governance in Egypt.  

      US democracy assistance programs include technology and training now
      McInerney ’10
      [Stephen, Director of Advocacy for the Project on Middle East Democracy, “The Federal Budget and Appropriations for Fiscal Year 2011,” http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/fy11-budget-analysis-final.pdf] p. 20
      In her January speech on Internet freedom
      AND
      and to help establish robust privacy policies within those communities.

      FX T is inevitable and good – every plan takes multiple steps – they increase neg ground

      Reasonability—good is good enough 



01/16/12
3
  • 2AC EU

    • Tournament: Cal | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • The EU has little influence – it’s too ambiguous to influence
      International IDEA ‘10 International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, Centro Studi di Politica Internazionale (CeSPI), the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance and Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI), Islamist Mass Movements, External Actors and Political Change in the Arab World,
      www.idea.int/.../islamist_mass_movements/.../Islamist_mass_low_inlay.pdf
      On the basis of this picture
      AND
      which it can be said to have later regretted.16

      No substitute for US leadership on Syria – only the US has the resources necessary to end the crackdown and get Assad out.
      Kresler ’11 (Oren, 'No substitute for US leadership on Syria,’ December 12, 2011, http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=249058)
      WASHINGTON – Syria is too important
      AND
      It needs to be seen not just as a humanitarian crisis, but an opportunity to weaken the Iranian regime.”



01/16/12
2 01/16/12
5
  • 2AC Democracy K

    • Tournament: Cal | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Case outweighs – Assad fall is imminent in the status quo and will cause major power wars in the Middle East – the alternative has no way to resolve this in the short-term means it’s try or die for the aff.

      Turn – we allow Syrians the ability to resist Assad’s domination – crackdown and mass violence occurring in the status quo

      Your K legitimizes Assad’s media silence over his brutality.  ASSAD has already claimed YouTube is epitome of "the West's moral bankruptcy”

      Nachawati ‘11    Spanish-Syrian activist and social media manager who writes on human rights and new forms of communication. She is a board member of AERCO (Spanish Association for Social Media Managers) and a contributor for projects including Global Voices Online and Periodismo Humano. Leila, Al Jazeera, http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/09/2011914105953917897.html
      The video platform became the subject
      AND
      moral bankruptcy and cooperation with terrorism".

      Alt doesn’t solve
      a. Can’t unite the protestors – social media key to mobilizing large-scale movements against Assad – Srivastava – it’s only way to overthrow Assad, that’s Carnegie.
      b. Doesn’t stop the rev from becoming violent – ICT key to keeping protests non-violent – Stepanova.
      c. No spillover – only ICT disseminates information to the outside world – that’s the only way others know what’s going on in Syria – Ma’an News & Hassan

      The plan flips their geopolitics link – the plan ends hypocritical & selective US internet freedom engagement based on Western security interests.
      Gharbia ’11 (Sami Ben Gharbia, The Internet Freedom Fallacy and Arab Digital Activism, Future Challenges, June 20, 2011, http://futurechallenges.org/local/the-internet-freedom-fallacy-and-the-arab-digital-activism/)
      The long tradition of the U.S and the West’s support
      AND
      the very same Arab governments the young social and political activists target for change.

      The status quo links way more than the plan – the US is currently pressuring Assad to leave – more of a geopolitical interest/ordering according to democracy interests than the plan.

      Perm do the plan and all non-mutually exclusive parts of the alternative

      Perm solves – corporations can work with Syrians to promote internet freedom – same goals of promoting open communication and avoids the cooption DA.
      George ‘11 (Erika R. Professor, University of Utah, S.J. Quinney College of Law. “Tweeting to Topple Tyranny, Social Media and Corporate Social Responsibility: A Reply to Anupam Chander” California Law Review Circuit Vol. 2 June 2011)
      I believe that the “Global Citizen” model
      AND
      determining appropriate industry obligations than Chander concedes.

      Aid now triggers the link – they can’t win a unique link to the aff

      Automatically associating social media with western liberal democracy is a kneejerk reaction – it essentializes democracy and it’s poor scholarship
      Stepanova 11 (Ekaterina, Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Russian Academy of Sciences. “The Role of Information Communication Technologies in the “Arab Spring”: IMPLICATIONS BEYOND THE REGION.” PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 159, May 2011)
      Yet another set of reservations concerns the short-sightedness
      AND
      and contextual forms of such protests. 

      We get to weigh 1AC versus the status quo or a competitive policy option – we should get to weigh the aff – there are an infinite amount of frameworks that they could say come first – that’s bad for aff ground and puts the aff at a big time disadvantage versus the block.
      And Judge Choice: The 1AC advantages are a justification—the judge can reject them and still vote aff

      Default aff-their authors generalizing claims guarantee failure
      BARNETT 11     Clive, Pf geographies of democracy & public life @ Open U, Geoforum, 42(3), pp. 263–265.
      The ‘Arab Spring’, the mobilization for democratic change
      AND
      that lend themselves best to his own vision of revolutionary possibility.   

      Syria is unique.  The government already owns the only two ISPs.  It can’t get worse.
      Oghia 10    Michael J. American University of Beirut Global Dilemmas of Security and Development in the Middle East international conference hosted by the Jagiellonian University in Krakow, Poland on 10 November 2010
      The Syrian Arab Republic presents a completely different picture
      AND
      but also dissemination



01/16/12
1
  • AT: Kiss of Death

    • Tournament: Cal | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Kiss of death doesn’t make any sense in the context of our plan – their evidence is about formal opposition groups, not the protestors in the streets – there’s no internal rivalry between groups citizen journalists – anyone can be a citizen journalist.

      Perception of US inaction is worse – perception of not supporting the protestors.
      Shaikh ’11 (Salman Shaikh, Preventing a Syrian Civil War, New York Times, October 12, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/13/opinion/preventing-a-syrian-civil-war.html?_r=1#h[])
      The longer the current situation lasts,
      AND
      preparing for a post-Assad Syria



01/16/12
0
  • New 1AC Cards - Cal

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase the provision of information and communication technology to Syrian people in Syria, including hardware, software and training. 

      Assad Fall Inev

      High ranking army defections mean Assad will fall
      Harel ’12 (Amos Harel and Avi Issacharoff, In the eye of the observer, Haaretz, January 6, 2012, http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/in-the-eye-of-the-observer-1.405894)
      Western intelligence officials said this week that
      AND
      who will be in power in Syria for many years.

      International pressure is about to build on Assad – failure of the Arab League mission
      Blottr 1/12 (Arab League Mission In Syria Is A Farce, Blottr, January 12, 2012, http://www.blottr.com/world/breaking-news/arab-league-mission-syria-farce)
      If the fall of the Assad regime in Syria
      AND
      on Bashar al-Assad himself.

      New Solvency Cards

      The outside world is dependent on social media content to follow what’s happening in Syria. This prevents the regime from hiding its massacres – citizen journalism has a unique ability to disseminate information.
      New Europe ’11 (Syria: Where the mobile is mightier than the gun, December 29, 2011, http://www.neurope.eu/article/syria-where-mobile-mightier-gun)
      As the government continues to ban many forms of social media
      AND
      that previously would have been crushed by government censors. 

      Fear of social media is critical to limit the scope of Assad’s violence – he’ll show restraint.
      Abdulla ’11 (Namo, Social Media and Syria’s Revolution, Rudaw, December 20, 2011, http://www.rudaw.net/english/news/syria/4244.html)
      NEW YORK, the United States  As thousands of Syrian protesters
      AND
      “Syrians will not sit until they achieve freedom.”

      Use of social media is critical to create common objectives and unite the protestors – Al Jazeera will use the feeds to secure the attention of millions of viewers
      Ismail ‘11  Nehad, Huffington Post, 11/5, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/nehad-ismail/arab-revolution-social-me_b_1032505.html
      It is believed by many media watchers that the
      AND
      Al Jazeera’s next target is the Syrian tyrant Bashar Al Assad. 

      Keeping the protests non-violent is key to their long-term success – violence hurts recruitment
      Serwer ’11 (Daniel, professorial lecturer at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and a Scholar at the Middle East Institute, 5 ways the US can help in Syria, The Atlantic, December 22, 2011, http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/12/5-ways-the-us-can-help-in-syria/250390/)
      3. Help maintain the opposition's nonviolence.
      AND
      they can then return and train others



01/16/12

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