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Plan Text
The United States federal government should substantially increase civil society direct grants to democratic unregistered non-governmental organizations in the country referenced in United States Code Title 22, Chapter 49, Subchapter I, section 3403 which are not registered with the government of that country.
Adv 1 is Signaling
Minimal Levels of Current Assistance From Goes to Unregistered NGOs in Egypt
Sharp, 6-17-’11 (Jeremy- Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs, “Egypt in transition”, CRS)
The degree of U.S. direct
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consensual, government-to-government projects.
Recent Changes in US Aid Policy Are Cosmetic – A Majority of Went to US Contractors and Not Civil Society Organizations
Michael Allen Editor of Democracy Digest August 19 2011 Egypt’s military doing ‘exactly what Mubarak did’ to stifle democrats Demdigest.net
The US announced $65 million in assistance
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US should only fund government-approved NGOs.
The Plan is Key to Solidify Commitment to Civil Society – Decoupling Democracy Assistance From Egyptian Politics Reaffirms Our Commitment to a Democratic Transition
By Quinn O'Keefe Senior Associate, Human Rights Defenders August 16 2011 “U.S. Should Be Proud of Doing the Right Thing to Support Independent Civil Society in Egypt” Human Rights First
The U.S. government is really
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can register and operate without undue government interference.
The Plans Unambiguous US signal is key to reestablish civil society and Would Solidify Any Current Gains in US Leadership Within the Region
Kramer and Puddington 8/4/2011 (David J. and Arch, president of Freedom House, director of research at Freedom House, Look to the cold war to chill fresh calls for American isolationism; Several Democrats and Republicans are calling for a fresh -- and dangerous -- isolationism. But just as Europe needed US leadership after the cold war, so does the Arab world now., Christian Science Monitor, lexis)
To be sure, Americans' unease with global
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America will certainly count itself among the losers.
Absent This Shift in US Strategic Thinking Decline is Inevitable
Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. 2007 [quals: Armitage is president of Armitage international and former Deputy Secretary of State During Bush Jr, Nye is a prof of poli sci @ Harvard] “HOW AMERICA CAN BECOME A SMARTER POWER” CSIS COMMISSION ON SMART POWER
Our view, and the collective view of
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a new way of thinking about American power.
U.S. hegemony is the only way to solve any terminal impact
Friedman and Mandelbaum October/November 11 (November, Thomas L., foreign-affairs columnist for the New York Times, Michael, Christian A. Herter professor of American foreign policy at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies, "America Really Was That Great", http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/10/11/america_really_was_that_great)
The stakes are exceptionally high. For Americans
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the steps necessary to remain an exceptional country.
Independently the Plans Signal is Key to Contain Regional Terrorism
Zarate and Gordon, 6-’11 (Juan- a Senior Adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the former Deputy National Security Advisor for Combating Terrorism, and David- Program Manager and a Research Assistant with the CSIS Transnational Threats Project, “The Battle for Reform with Al-Qaeda”, Washington Quarterly)
If inadequate reform leads to disillusionment, the
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drawing on the disillusionment of democrats and dissidents.
Terrorism Guarantees Nuclear Retaliation and an Arms Race
Rhodes Richard, affiliate of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, Former visiting scholar at Harvard and MIT, and author of “The Making of the Atomic Bomb” which won the Pulitzer Prize in Nonfiction, National Book Award, and National Book Critics Circle Award. 12-14-09“Reducing the nuclear threat: The argument for public safety” http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/op-eds/reducing-the-nuclear-threat-the-argument-public-safety
The response was very different among nuclear and
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attacks in the name of sending a message.
Advantage 2 is Elections
The Muslim Brotherhood Will Win a Majority in the Parliamentary Elections Now
Amin Saikal Professor of Political Science and Director of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies at Australian National University August 11, 2011 Egypt must tough it out on the often rocky road to revolution
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/egypt-must-tough-it-out-on-the-often-rocky-road-to-revolution-20110810-1imnl.html#ixzz1UhbNfKoW
IN EGYPT, the balance of political popularity
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well be Muslim Brotherhood dominance in Egyptian politics.
Strengthening Civil Society is Key to Changing the Outcome of the Elections – 2 Reasons
First is Resources
Reese Neader is the Roosevelt Institute Campus Network’s Policy Director. 2011 August 16 Egypt’s Future Lies in Empowering the Working Class http://www.newdeal20.org/2011/08/16/egypts-future-lies-in-empowering-the-working-class-55083/
The Muslim Brotherhood has been providing social services
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to resources that can properly address those issues.
Second is Lack of Alternatives
By Marwan Muasher, Special to CNN 9/14 September 14, 2011 What's next for the Arab Spring? http://www.cnn.com/2011/09/14/opinion/muasher-arab-spring-lives/
Indeed, the uprisings are entering a difficult
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that they have to engage in constituent politics.
And Absent Opportunity to Win Activists Will Boycott the Election – That Tanks Election Legitimacy
By Marc Lynch Associate Professor of Political Science and International Affairs" at The George Washington University, 9/6, 2011 Will Egypt's Activists Boycott the Election?
Egyptian activist groups have called for another "
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and, hopefully, to be proven wrong.
Muslim Brotherhood Takeover Tanks US Power Projection and Guarantees Israeli Lash Out – Only A Democratic Victory in the Elections Can Solve
By George Friedman Chief Executive Officer and founder of STRATFOR 2011 January 30 The Egypt Crisis in a Global Context: A Special Report STRATFOR
For the United States, an Islamist Egypt
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power, the geopolitical arrangements would remain unchanged.
And The Brotherhood Will Nuclearize to Counter Israel – That Will Spark a Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East
Henry Sokolski Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 2011 February 8, Gimme Fuel Gimme Fire The New Republic
When the Iranian Revolution overthrew the Shah in
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for securing U.S. nuclear cooperation.
Middle East Prolif Causes War and Nuclear Terrorism
Stanley Kurtz, senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, “Our Fallout-Shelter Future”, August 26th 2006, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/218561/our-fallout-shelter-future/stanley-kurtz,
Right now, the Indians and Pakistanis … them from escalating into nuclear confrontations.
MORE TERROR We’re familiar with the horror scenario
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, and how shall we shape our alliances?
Independently MB Takeover Causes Israeli Nuclear Strikes Suez Closure and Destabilizes the Entire Region
Taylor Rose International Relations and Strategic Intelligence – Liberty University, 2011 “The Islamic Revolution Part II”, Youth for Western Civilization, 2-1, http://www.westernyouth.org/articles/the-islamic-revolution-part-ii/
The riots in Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria
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allowing the further global advancement of her enemies.
Suez closure causes US intervention and escalatory nuclear war
Nazemroaya 11 (Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya, Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG), February, 13, 2011, “THE DIVISION OF EGYPT: THREATS OF US, ISRAELI, AND NATO MILITARY INTERVENTION?” http://www.setyoufreenews.com/2011/02/division-of-egypt-threats-of-us-israeli.html)
Recall the 1956 Invasion of Egypt? There
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global empire through militarism overseas and domestic militarization.
Even brief closure of the Suez Canal collapses the world economy
Brockmeyer 11 (Peter Brockmeyer, studied in the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University and the Economics Department at the London School of Economics, February 1, 2011, PolicyMic, “The Suez Canal: What Happens If Egypt Shuts It Down?,” http://www.policymic.com/beta/business-economy/suez-canal-what-happens-if-egypt-shuts-it-down)
In the midst of the unrest, the
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the longer route will impair supplies, too.
