The United States Federal government ought to provide funding to unregistered nongovernmental organizations operating in the country referenced in the United States Code Title 22, Chapter 49, Subchapter 1, Section 3403.
Advantage 1 Regional Stability
Minimal Levels of Current Assistance From Goes to Unregistered NGOs in Egypt
Sharp, 6-17-’11 (Jeremy- Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs, “Egypt in transition”, CRS)
The degree of U.S. …, government-to-government projects.
Recent Changes in US Aid Policy Are Cosmetic – A Majority of Went to US Contractors and Not Civil Society Organizations
Michael Allen Editor of Democracy Digest August 19 2011 Egypt’s military doing ‘exactly what Mubarak did’ to stifle democrats Demdigest.net
The US announced $65 million …hould only fund government-approved NGOs.
The Plan is Key to Solidify Commitment to Civil Society – Decoupling Democracy Assistance From Egyptian Politics Reaffirms Our Commitment to a Democratic Transition
By Quinn O'Keefe Senior Associate, Human Rights Defenders August 16 2011 “U.S. Should Be Proud of Doing the Right Thing to Support Independent Civil Society in Egypt” Human Rights First
The U.S. government is really taking it on the chin in Egypt these days. The current Egyptian government and members of the press that had previously been … organizations can register and operate without undue government interference.
And Egypt Wont Say No Despite Public Opposition
Gamal Essam El-Din political analyst and reporter with Al-Ahram Weekly Friday 5 Aug 2011
US aid to Egypt's civil society: a need, a blessing and a curse
http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContentP/1/17749/Egypt/US-aid-to-Egypts-civil-society-a-need,-a-blessing-.aspx
Aboul-Naga’s senior advisor, … Egypt more than $50 billion in civil assistance over 40 years.
The Plans Unambiguous US signal is key to reestablish civil society and Would Solidify Any Current Gains in US Leadership Within the Region
Kramer and Puddington 8/4/2011 (David J. and Arch, president of Freedom House, director of research at Freedom House, Look to the cold war to chill fresh calls for American isolationism; Several Democrats and Republicans are calling for a fresh -- and dangerous -- isolationism. But just as Europe needed US leadership after the cold war, so does the Arab world now., Christian Science Monitor, lexis)
To be sure, Americans' unease with … reemerge triumphant, America will certainly count itself among the losers.
Absent This Shift in US Strategic Thinking Decline is Inevitable
Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. 2007 [quals: Armitage is president of Armitage international and former Deputy Secretary of State During Bush Jr, Nye is a prof of poli sci @ Harvard] “HOW AMERICA CAN BECOME A SMARTER POWER” CSIS COMMISSION ON SMART POWER
Our view, and the collective view of this …, and requires a new way of thinking about American power.
Legitimacy is Key to Solve War
Brookes, Senior Fellow for National Security Affairs at the Heritage Foundation and is a member of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, 7-20-11 (Peter, “Why the World Needs a Strong America”, http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/id.9986/pub_detail.asp)
Some say American clout is waning—… that is the envy of all other armed forces.
Independently the Plans Signal is Key to Contain Regional Terrorism
Zarate and Gordon, 6-’11 (Juan- a Senior Adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the former Deputy National Security Advisor for Combating Terrorism, and David- Program Manager and a Research Assistant with the CSIS Transnational Threats Project, “The Battle for Reform with Al-Qaeda”, Washington Quarterly)
If inadequate reform leads to … disillusionment of democrats and dissidents.
Al Qaeda in Egypt is Modeled
Garvey, 6-11-‘11 (William- Strategic Intelligence Studies Graduate Student- American Military University, “Whither Al-Qaeda? The Future of Extremist Groups in Post-Revolutionary North Africa”)
The results of this study may be of interest to anyone holding a stake in the future of North Africa. Egypt is very influential in the Arab world and … with persistent observation and close analysis, some light may be shed on the path they will tread.
That Causes Nuclear Terrorism and Guarantees Nuclear Retaliation and an Arms Race
Rhodes Richard, affiliate of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, Former visiting scholar at Harvard and MIT, and author of “The Making of the Atomic Bomb” which won the Pulitzer Prize in Nonfiction, National Book Award, and National Book Critics Circle Award. 12-14-09“Reducing the nuclear threat: The argument for public safety” http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/op-eds/reducing-the-nuclear-threat-the-argument-public-safety
The response was very different among … nothing to do with those attacks in the name of sending a message.
Advantage 2 Solar
David Schenker Director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute 2011 July 25 Egypt’s Enduring Challenges--Policy Recommendations http://www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=52459
. Reallocate financing for civil society. … frustrations with the new government.
Absent a Strong Civil Society activism will focus on street politics - that ensures fragmentation and devolution into violence
Marc Lynch Associate Professor of Political Science and International Affairs" at The George Washington University August 1 2011 “Tahrir Turning Points” Foreign Policy http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/08/01/tahrir_turning_points
But the Brotherhood's dilemma pales …and prepare for the coming elections and a return to civilian rule.
Only by preventing violent unrest can the Desertec solar power initiative be succesful- Solves economy and regional stability
Jervey, 6-1- ‘11(Ben- Contributing Editor @ Good Environment, “What the Arab Spring Could Mean for Solar in the Sahara”, Good Environment)
While it may look and sound … of the rest of us from outside the region as well.
Solves Global Warming and European energy security- Starting in Africa ensures market competitiveness
Hulme et al., ’10 (Proffesor Michael- Founding Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, “100% renewable electricity A roadmap to 2050 for Europe and North Africa”)
The combination of increased … under the land area constraints faced by Europe.
Extinction
Tickell ‘8 (Oliver, Climate Researcher, “On a Planet 4C Hotter, All We Can Prepare for is Extinction,” The Guardian, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/11/climatechange, Mike)
We need to get prepared for four degrees of global warming, ...propel us towards a similar hothouse Earth.
Advantage 2 is Elections
The Muslim Brotherhood Will Win a Majority in the Parliamentary Elections Now
Amin Saikal Professor of Political Science and Director of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies at Australian National University August 11, 2011 Egypt must tough it out on the often rocky road to revolution
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/egypt-must-tough-it-out-on-the-often-rocky-road-to-revolution-20110810-1imnl.html#ixzz1UhbNfKoW
IN EGYPT, the balance of political popularity is …Brotherhood dominance in Egyptian politics.
The Most Frequently Cited Polls Going the Other Way Are Wrong – They Use Small Sample Sizes, Selectively Publish Data and Ignore Political Realities
by Valentina Colombo Professor of Geopolitics of the Islamic world at the European University of Rome August 10, 2011 The Muslim Brotherhood and the Egyptian Elections
"It seems clear that the Big Bad Brotherhood … leader of the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party, as did the Japanese ambassador to Egypt.
Strengthening Civil Society is Key to Changing the Outcome of the Elections – 2 Reasons
First is Resources
Reese Neader is the Roosevelt Institute Campus Network’s Policy Director. 2011 August 16 Egypt’s Future Lies in Empowering the Working Class http://www.newdeal20.org/2011/08/16/egypts-future-lies-in-empowering-the-working-class-55083/
The Muslim Brotherhood has been providing social services …; what they don’t have is the access to resources that can properly address those issues.
Second is Electoral Transparency
David Schenker Director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute 2011 July 25 Egypt’s Enduring Challenges--Policy Recommendations http://www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=52459
Given the present situation, the trajectory of … that a credible process of reform is under way.
And Absent Opportunity to Win Activists Will Boycott the Election – That Tanks Election Legitimacy
By Marc Lynch Associate Professor of Political Science and International Affairs" at The George Washington University, September 6, 2011 Will Egypt's Activists Boycott the Election?
Egyptian activist groups have called …provoke some public discussion... and, hopefully, to be proven wrong.
Muslim Brotherhood Takeover Tanks US Power Projection and Guarantees Israeli Lash Out – Only A Democratic Victory in the Elections Can Solve
By George Friedman Chief Executive Officer and founder of STRATFOR 2011 January 30 The Egypt Crisis in a Global Context: A Special Report STRATFOR
For the United States, an Islamist Egypt would be … geopolitical arrangements would remain unchanged.
Israel Deterrence Args Don’t Apply to the Brotherhood
Paikin, 6-6-’11 (Zach- research associate at the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs, “What America’s Mid-East Foreign Policy Directive Should Look Like”, The Sentry)
On the Arab-Israeli front, the United States … of the West’s petroleum interests as happened in 1973-1974.
And The Brotherhood Will Nuclearize to Counter Israel – That Will Spark a Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East and Makes War Inevitable
Henry Sokolski Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 2011 February 8, Gimme Fuel Gimme Fire The New Republic
When the Iranian Revolution overthrew the Shah in… rejected American pleas to forswear making nuclear fuel as a condition for securing U.S. nuclear cooperation.
Egypt Israel Conflict Goes Nuclear
Eldar, ‘3 (Dan- adjunct research fellow at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies, Tel Aviv University. He was previously senior analyst at the Israeli prime minister's office., “Egypt and Israel: A Reversible Peace, Middle East Quarterly Fall 2003, pp. 57-65)
In addition, there is a risk that relations … with dire consequences for the entire region.
