Plan Text
The United States federal government should substantially increase civil society direct grants to democratic unregistered non-governmental organizations in the country referenced in United States Code Title 22, Chapter 49, Subchapter I, section 3403 which are not registered with the government of that country.
Adv 1 is Signaling
Assistance From Goes to Unregistered NGOs in Egypt
Sharp, 6-17-’11 (Jeremy- Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs, “Egypt in transition”, CRS)
The degree of U.S. direct
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approvedconsensual, government-to-government projects.
Recent Changes in US Aid Policy Are Cosmetic – A Majority of Went to US Contractors and Not Civil Society Organizations
Michael Allen Editor of Democracy Digest August 19 2011Egypt’s military doing ‘exactly what Mubarak did’ to stifle democrats Demdigest.net
The US announced $65 million in assistance
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US should only fund government-approved NGOs.
And That Funding is Funneled to Government Supported NGOs
Yasmine al-Qadi August 15 2011 US caves in to Egyptian govt demands over aid disbursement http://www.almasryalyoum.com/en/node/486752
Abdel Aziz Hegazi, president of the General
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tap into the aid in an illegal way.
The Plan is Key to Solidify Commitment to Civil Society – Decoupling Democracy Assistance From Egyptian Politics Reaffirms Our Commitment to a Democratic Transition
By Quinn O'Keefe Senior Associate, Human Rights Defenders August 16 2011 “U.S. Should Be Proud of Doing the Right Thing to Support Independent Civil Society in Egypt” Human Rights First
The U.S. government is really
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can register and operate without undue government interference.
And Egypt Wont Say No Despite Public Opposition
GamalEssamEl-Dinpolitical analyst and reporter with Al-Ahram Weekly Friday 5 Aug 2011
US aid to Egypt's civil society: a need, a blessing and a curse
http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContentP/1/17749/Egypt/US-aid-to-Egypts-civil-society-a-need,-a-blessing-.aspx
Aboul-Naga’s senior advisor, Talaat Abdel
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50 billion in civil assistance over 40 years.
The Plans Unambiguous US signal is key to reestablish civil society and Would Solidify Any Current Gains in US Leadership Within the Region
Kramer and Puddington 8/4/2011(David J. and Arch, president of Freedom House, director of research at Freedom House, Look to the cold war to chill fresh calls for American isolationism; Several Democrats and Republicans are calling for a fresh and dangerous isolationism. But just as Europe needed US leadership after the cold war, so does the Arab world now., Christian Science Monitor, lexis)
To be sure, Americans' unease with global
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America will certainly count itself among the losers.
Absent This Shift in US Strategic Thinking Decline is Inevitable
Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, Jr.2007 [quals: Armitage is president of Armitage international and former Deputy Secretary of State During Bush Jr, Nye is a prof of polisci @ Harvard] “HOW AMERICA CAN BECOME A SMARTER POWER” CSIS COMMISSION ON SMART POWER
Our view, and the collective view of
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a new way of thinking about American power.
U.S. hegemony is the only way to solve any terminal impact
Friedman and Mandelbaum October/November 11 (November, Thomas L., foreign-affairs columnist for the New York Times, Michael, Christian A. Herter professor of American foreign policy at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies, "America Really Was That Great", http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/10/11/america_really_was_that_great)
The stakes are exceptionally high. For Americans
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the steps necessary to remain an exceptional country.
Independently the Plans Signal is Key to Contain Regional Terrorism
Zarate and Gordon, 6-’11 (Juan- a Senior Adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the former Deputy National Security Advisor for Combating Terrorism, and David- Program Manager and a Research Assistant with the CSIS Transnational Threats Project, “The Battle for Reform with Al-Qaeda”, Washington Quarterly)
If inadequate reform leads to disillusionment, the
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drawing on the disillusionment of democrats and dissidents.
Sinai is a Unique Flashpoint For Terror
AmrYossef is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the Taub Center for Israel Studies at New York University 9/28 2011 Foreign Affairs Securing the Sinai
Instability in Sinai [1] has escalated
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a conflict with Israel that neither side wants.
Al Qaeda in Egypt is Modeled
Garvey, 6-11-‘11 (William- Strategic Intelligence Studies Graduate Student- American Military University, “Whither Al-Qaeda?The Future of Extremist Groups in Post-Revolutionary North Africa”)
The results of this study may be of
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be shed on the path they will tread.
Nuclear terror attack’s inevitable now
Us Russia Joint Threat Assessment, 5-‘11http:belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/files/Joint-Threat-Assessment%20ENG%2027%20May%202011.pdf ABOUT THE U.S.-RUSSIA JOINT THREAT ASSESSMENT ON NUCLEAR TERRORISM The U.S.-Russia Joint Threat Assessment on Nuclear Terrorism is a collaborative project of Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and the U.S.A. and Canada Studies Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
The expert community distinguishes pathways terrorists might take
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scale the first act of nuclear terrorism occurs.
That Causes Nuclear Terrorism and Guarantees Nuclear Retaliation and an Arms Race
Rhodes Richard, affiliate of the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, Former visiting scholar at Harvard and MIT, and author of “The Making of the Atomic Bomb” which won the Pulitzer Prize in Nonfiction, National Book Award, and National Book Critics Circle Award. 12-14-09“Reducing the nuclear threat: The argument for public safety” http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/op-eds/reducing-the-nuclear-threat-the-argument-public-safety
The response was very different among nuclear and
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attacks in the name of sending a message.
The US shift Mid East foreign engagement or risk total irrelevance- Egypt is the key
Fettner, 8-26-‘11(Peter- prof and PhD candidate in philosophy at Temple, published writer and researcher on US foreign policy, (writing under the pseudonym Byron), “Investigative Analysis: Soft Power in the Middle East – Reforming American Foreign Policy”,Press Storm)
It’s easy to read the revolutions across the
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the power of citizen diplomacy and international friendship.
Advantage 2 is Elections
The Muslim Brotherhood Will Win a Majority in the Parliamentary Elections Now
Amin SaikalProfessor of Political Science and Director of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies at Australian National University August 11, 2011 Egypt must tough it out on the often rocky road to revolution
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/egypt-must-tough-it-out-on-the-often-rocky-road-to-revolution-20110810-1imnl.html#ixzz1UhbNfKoW
IN EGYPT, the balance of political popularity
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well be Muslim Brotherhood dominance in Egyptian politics.
Strengthening Civil Society is Key to Changing the Outcome of the Elections – 3 Reasons
First is Resources
Reese Neader is the Roosevelt InstituteCampus Network’s Policy Director.2011 August 16 Egypt’s Future Lies in Empowering the Working Classhttp://www.newdeal20.org/2011/08/16/egypts-future-lies-in-empowering-the-working-class-55083/
TheMuslim Brotherhood has been providing social services in
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to resources that can properly address those issues.
Second is Electoral Transparency
David Schenker Director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute 2011 July 25 Egypt’s Enduring ChallengesPolicy Recommendationshttp://www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=52459
Given the present situation, the trajectory of
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a credible process of reform is under way.
Third is Lack of Alternatives
By Marwan Muasher, Special to CNN 9/14 September 14, 2011 What's next for the Arab Spring?http://www.cnn.com/2011/09/14/opinion/muasher-arab-spring-lives/
Indeed, the uprisings are entering a difficult
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that they have to engage in constituent politics.
And Absent Opportunity to Win Activists Will Boycott the Election – That Tanks Election Legitimacy
By Marc LynchAssociate Professor of Political Science and International Affairs" at The George Washington University, 9/6, 2011Will Egypt's Activists Boycott the Election?
Egyptian activist groups have called for another "
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and, hopefully, to be proven wrong.
And Organizations Want the Aid
Barbara Slavin, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent 2011 USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266
For years, U.S. officials
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reprogrammed U.S. aid for Egypt.
Muslim Brotherhood Takeover Tanks US Power Projection and Guarantees Israeli Lash Out – Only A Democratic Victory in the Elections Can Solve
By George FriedmanChief Executive Officer and founder of STRATFOR 2011 January 30 The Egypt Crisis in a Global Context: A Special Report STRATFOR
For the United States, an Islamist Egypt
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power, the geopolitical arrangements would remain unchanged.
Peace With Egypt is the Litmus Test for Israeli’s Regional Security Posture – Collapse of Camp David Would Institutionalize Unstable Radicalism in the Israeli Military and Government
SalehAl-Naami a Gaza-based journalist, an expert on Israeli affairs and correspondent for the London-based pan-Arab newspaper, Al-Sharq Al-Awsat. 9/21 Israeli alarm over elections in Egypt http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1064/eg01.htm
Amos Yadlin, former chief of Israeli military
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lose all its achievements over the past decades.
And The Brotherhood Will Nuclearize to Counter Israel – That Will Spark a Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East
Henry SokolskiExecutive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center2011February 8, Gimme Fuel Gimme Fire The New Republic
When the Iranian Revolution overthrew the Shah in
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for securing U.S. nuclear cooperation.
Middle East Prolif Causes War and Nuclear Terrorism
Stanley Kurtz, senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, “Our Fallout-Shelter Future”, August 26th 2006, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/218561/our-fallout-shelter-future/stanley-kurtz,
Right now, the Indians and Pakistanis … them from escalating into nuclear confrontations.
MORE TERROR We’re familiar with the horror scenario
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, and how shall we shape our alliances?
Nuclear Cooperation Makes Escalation Quick
Jonathan Pearl is a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a Jennings Randolph Peace Scholar at the United States Institute of Peace.2011 February 4 Safeguarding Nuclear Security in the Shadow of Middle East Revolutions Huffingtonpost.com
As revolutionary fervor sweeps across the Middle East
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Arab leaders scurrying for political and military countermeasures.
Independently MB Takeover Causes Israeli Nuclear Strikes Suez Closure and Destabilizes the Entire Region
Taylor Rose International Relations and Strategic Intelligence – Liberty University, 2011 “The Islamic Revolution Part II”, Youth for Western Civilization, 2-1, http://www.westernyouth.org/articles/the-islamic-revolution-part-ii/
The riots in Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria
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allowing the further global advancement of her enemies.
And It would Spill Over to Israel Palestine –Makes Regional Radicalism Inevitable
BY FRIDA GHITIS 2011 August 25 Someone wants a war in the Middle East http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/08/25/2375101/someone-wants-a-war-in-the-middle.html#ixzz1YInX7DnI
Something extremely important and exceedingly dangerous is unfolding
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especially as the country gears up for elections.
Risk is at an All Time High
YoavZitunSeptember 5 2011 “IDF general: Likelihood of regional war growing” http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4118220,00.html
Recent revolutions in the Arab world and the
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remarks were approved for publication by censorship officials.
That Escalates to Global Nuclear War
Herbert I. London, President of the Hudson Institute, a New York University based political think tank, and professor of Humanities at New York University, Hudson New York, 6/28/10, http://www.hudson-ny.org/1387/coming-crisis-in-the-middle-east
The coming storm in the Middle East is
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the Iranian leadership looks to with imperial exhilaration.
Israel’s Perceived Isolation Makes This The Most Likely Scenario For Conflict
Rick MoranPajamasMediaChicago editor, Blog Editor at The American Thinker, and a frequent contributor to FrontPage.com9/13 2011 Islamists Seeking to Isolate Israelhttp://frontpagemag.com/2011/09/13/islamists-seeking-to-isolate-israel/#bio
From souring relations with its once strong ally
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world – on edge for the foreseeable future.
Suez closure causes US intervention and escalatory nuclear war
Nazemroaya 11(Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya, Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG), February, 13, 2011, “THE DIVISION OF EGYPT: THREATS OF US, ISRAELI, AND NATO MILITARY INTERVENTION?” http://www.setyoufreenews.com/2011/02/division-of-egypt-threats-of-us-israeli.html)
Recall the 1956 Invasion of Egypt? There
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global empire through militarism overseas and domestic militarization.
Even brief closure of the Suez Canal collapses the world economy
Brockmeyer 11(Peter Brockmeyer, studied in the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University and the Economics Department at the London School of Economics, February 1, 2011, PolicyMic, “The Suez Canal: What Happens If Egypt Shuts It Down?,” http://www.policymic.com/beta/business-economy/suez-canal-what-happens-if-egypt-shuts-it-down)
In the midst of the unrest, the
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the longer route will impair supplies, too.
