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UNLV Bato-Velto Neg

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    • Tournament: Gonzaga | Round: 1 | Opponent: Wyoming FP | Judge: Nick Griffin

    • 1NC K
      Democracy assistance is an attempt to maintain the neoliberal order
      Dixon 11 (Mark, Department of Sociology at Cornell University, “An Arab Spring”, Review of African Political Economy, June 21)

      The ‘imperial reach’ represents a AND rooted in social and economic justice.

      Santos ‘3 (Boaventura de Sousa, director of the Center for Social Studies at the University of Coimbra, EUROZINE, COLLECTIVE SUICIDE OR GLOBALIZATION FROM BELOW,

      Sacrificial genocide arises from a totalitarian AND world's poorest countries for four years.

      Only through utilizing every public space’s potential for democratic politics can we fend off neoliberalism slide into fascism
      Giroux 06 (Henry, Global TV Network Chair in English and Cultural Studies at McMaster University, “The Emerging Authoritarianism in the United States: Political Culture Under the Bush/Cheney Administration”, Symploke, 2006)PM

      The emerging American proto-fascism AND template for organizing the rest of society

      1NC Iran DA
      Ahmadinejad struggling to maintain power
      Nazemroaya, 6-14-11 (Mahdi Darius, Iran: "Regime Change" or All Out War? Global Research

      The presidency of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (AND called conservatives in the Iranian Parliament.

      Demo assistance in the region causes Iranian hardline policies—allows Ahmadinejad’s base to maintain power
      Allen, editor of Democracy Digest, 5-17-11 (Micahel Regime insecurity drives Iran’s repression and ‘soft war’ obsessions, says new report

      “Today, the main priority AND , President Obama’s National Security Adviser.

      Ousting Ahmadinejad key to successful reform—the alternative is violent nationalism
      Nasr, professor of international politics at the Fletcher School at Tufts University, 6-23-11 (Vali, Showdown in Tehran,,D)

      While much of the Middle East AND quickest end to the Islamic Republic.

      Impact is nuclear lashout and extremist agenda
      Institute for Middle Eastern Democracy 6-23-11 (“The Biggest Threat to Democracy in the Middle East: Iran or Saudi Arabia?”,

      Iran is the ideal starting place AND biggest threat to Middle Eastern democracy.  

      1NC Russia DA
      Unique Link—Russian oil economy stable now because of Middle Eastern instability—the plan reverses the trend
      Kramer New York Times ’11 (Andrew, “Russia Cashes In on Anxiety Over Supply of Middle East Oil,” March 7,, Mike)
      Whatever the eventual outcome of the AND Siberia and the Russian Arctic shelf.  

      Damage to Russian oil destroys the entire economy
      Dashevsky Managing Director of Dashevsky and Partners ’11 (Steven, “The Russian Economy and Its Oil,” May 24,, Mike)
      RT: High oil prices have AND , not just oil and gas.”

      Russian economic collapse causes extinction
      Huffington Post ‘9 (“Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction,” May 10,, Mike)
       In Russia, historically, AND Crisis is its least dangerous consequence.

      1NC EU CP

      The European Union should offer the Freedom and Justice Party of Egypt a substantial amount of assistance for political party development
      CP solves the aff – fosters economic growth, civil society, stability and relations
      Koch 11(Christian, no specific date (Summer 2k11) director of international studies at the Gulf Research Center in Dubai. “The Arab spring is a real opportunity for Europe” articleview/ArticleID/21837/language/en-US/Default.aspx)
      What a difference a few months AND one of perennial conflict and instability.

      1NC Politics
      Vote on Taiwan arms sales in October- Congress will amend the defense bill to mandate the sale now- key question is whether Obama can stop it
      Wall Street Journal 9/1/2011 (Congress and Taiwan,
      After the Carter Administration AND the entire military funded.

      Assistance to Egypt is bipartisan
      Mitchell 11 (Lincoln, 5/25, “Obama’s New Middle East Policy”)
      The similarity between Bush and Obama AND kind of security guarantees for Israel.

      Political capital key- building Obama credibility makes him take on the fight
      Reuters 8/23/2011 (REFILE-UPDATE 1-Taiwan F-16 sale may be taken up by US Congress,
      A U.S. Senator AND State Department's No. 2 job.

      Arms sale key to prevent US-China war and regional instability and prolif
      Fisher 6/3/2011 (Richard D., senior fellow at the International Assessment and Strategy Center, Taiwan decision point; New aircraft sales are critical for security of democratic ally, Washington Times, lexis)
      While Presidents George W. Bush AND deter war and preserve its freedom.

      Conflict with China causes extinction
      Glaser 2011 (Professor of Political Science and International Affairs and Director of the Institute for Security and Conflict Studies at the Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University, Will China's Rise Lead to War? Subtitle: Why Realism Does Not Mean Pessimism, Foreign Affairs, March/April, lexis)
      ACCOMMODATION ON TAIWAN?  The prospects AND U.S.-Chinese relations.

      1NC MB
      Widespread Perception the US is Already Involved – The Backlash Comes From Prioritizing US NGOs
      By Thanassis Cambanis September 1 2011 Inside Egypt's Military Mind The Atlantic
      "America wants constructive chaos, AND where are the days of Mubarak?"

      Liberal reformers will beat the Muslim Brotherhood now
      Reuters 8/15/2011 (Egypt liberals launch coalition to counter Islamists,
      Liberal political groups and a traditional AND new constitution in its early sessions.

      Moderates are gaining control of the Brotherhood now
      Saikal 8/11/2011 (Amin, professor of political science and director of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (the Middle East and Central Asia) at the Australian National University, The Age, Egypt must tough it out on the often rocky road to revolution, lexis)
      The growing power of Islamist parties AND be exorbitant for all sides involved.

      Democracy assistance from the US immediately turns reformers into pariahs- it causes resurgence of Islamism and causes the election to turn on identity politics
      Wall Street Journal 8/9/2011 (
      CAIRO—In the final days AND to the feelings of the people."

      Extremists will use that strategy to take power in their parties and the election
      Masoud July 2011 (Tarek, assistant professor of public policy at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government and a Carnegie Scholar, The Road to (and from) Liberation Square, Journal of Democracy Volume 22, Number 3, July 2011,
      In any case, hand-AND insistence on constitutional innovation to thank.

      Turn outweighs solvency- anti-American backlash massively boosts extremist support and causes a military crackdown on moderates
      ANI 8/1/2011 (Asian News International, Military stokes xenophobia in Egypt, lexis)
      Facing mounting challenges and spreading unrestAND Supreme Council of the Armed Forces.

      US assistance dooms moderates and delegitimizes democracy
      Carpenter 2011 (Ted Galen, vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute, What Should U.S. Do about Egypt? Very Little, 2/11,
      The danger of meddling U.AND profile role during these turbulent days.

      Assistance splits the reformers, assists in crackdowns and decreases popular support for reform
      LA Times 8/11/2011 (THE WORLD; U.S.-Egyptian ties hit rough patch; American funding aimed at building new political parties has drawn fierce criticism., lexis)
      Six months after pro-democracy AND . did not influence the revolution."

      Democracy assistance causes radicalization and hurts reform
      McClatchy 6/29/2011 (Egypt rejection of U.S. aid a sign of future rifts?, Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune News Service, lexis)
      While rebuffing Western offers of aidAND can do anything without American criticism."

      1NC Heg

      Heg is unsustainable in the short-term – proponents of empire underestimate the timeframe and impact of rising new powers
      Christopher Layne, associate professor of International Affairs at the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University, 2007, American Empire: A Debate, p. 64-65
      Can the United States Be CaughtAND but how soon it will end.

      Counterbalancing is on the rise – even Kagan Agrees
      Robert Kagan, senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and senior transatlantic fellow at the German Marshall Fund, August/September 2007, The Hoover Policy Review,
      The world has not been transformedAND penetrated and polluted their Islamic world.

      Israel won’t start any fights with countries-bad decision making-Eyal Eisenburg was wrong -risks don’t trigger the impact.
      Haral 7/9(Amos, one of Israel's leading media experts on military and defense issues. He has been the military correspondent and defense analyst for Haaretz for the last 12 years. In this role, he has written extensively about Israel's ongoing fight against terrorist organizations, its battles during the Palestinian Intifadah (uprising) and the last war in Lebanon. Prior to his current position, Harel, 41, spent four years as night editor for the Haaretz Hebrew print edition, and from 1999-2005 was the anchorman on a weekly Army Radio program about defense issues. He also frequently appears in the Israeli and foreign media as a military pundit. Along with Avi Issacharoff, Harel co-wrote "The Seventh War: How we won and why we lost the war with the Palestinians", a 2004 book about the second Intifadah. The book- a best-seller in Israel - has been translated into French and Arabic, and won the prestigious Chechic award in 2005, for outstanding security research. Harel and Issacharoff's second book, "34 Days: Israel, Hezbollah and the War in Lebanon", about the war of 2006 was published in Hebrew in January 2008, and also became a best-seller. It was published in English, by Palgrave-Macmillan Books, in April 2008. "34 Days" also won the Chechic award in 2009. Harel is a graduate of Tel Aviv University, with a bachelor's degree in Law , “Israel not facing an all out middle east war”, ad: 9-7-11, qm)

      Most army officers steer clear of AND on at home than with Israel.            

      No Risk of Impact – Aersols Also Means Vaccines Can Be Spread Just as Fast – Their Author
      Dixdorf '10 [Katheryn, Professor in the Department of Microbiology and Genetics at Darmstadt University of Technology, Germany, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, January/February. "Advances in targeted delivery and the future of bioweapons"]
      Aerosols are known to be effective AND that can elicit protective immune responses.

      Hold Their Evidence to Extreme Skepticism – Need to Have Evidence That Countries Have These Capabilities
      Dixdorf '10 [Katheryn, Professor in the Department of Microbiology and Genetics at Darmstadt University of Technology, Germany, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, January/February. "Advances in targeted delivery and the future of bioweapons"]
      Furthermore, when advances in aerosol AND equipped laboratories, and substantial funds.

      Threats of nuclear terrorism are overblown
      Lind Policy Director of the New America Foundation’s Economic Growth Program 3/25 (Michael, “So Long, Chicken Little,” Foreign Policy March/April pg. 25-27, Mike)
      Why is it that fallacies in AND be the sum of all fears.

      Terror threat overblown—greater likelihood of being hit by a comet
      Mueller, political scientist in the field of international relations, 05 (John Mueller, “Is There Still a Terrorist Threat?” Nexis)
      But while keeping such potential dangers AND against an enemy that scarcely exists.

      Risk of terrorist attack exaggerated
      Carle, member of the CIA’s Clandestine Service for 23 years, 8 [Glenn L., “Overstating
      our fears about Osama bin Laden and others of his ilk,” The Salt Lake Tribune,

      Sen. John McCain has repeatedly AND and miserable opponents that they are.


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