Bahrain not key – myriad of other sources of tension
Spindle and Coker 11 [BILL SPINDLE and MARGARET COKER, The New Cold War, Wall Street Journal, 4/16/11, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704116404576262744106483816.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories]
These days, geopolitics also plays a role... ...of their own there.
Claims of iran meddling are only a political tool – not a real threat
Aziz and Musalem 11 – Institute for Social Policy and Understanding [Sahar Aziz is a legal fellow at the institute for social Policy and understanding, an associate professor of law at Texas Wesleyan University School of Law and has served as a senior policy advisor at the office for Civil Rights and Civil Liberties at the U.S. Department of Homeland security and Abdullah Musalem holds degrees in sociology as well as Middle eastern language and cultures and grew up in Bahrain, “Citizens not subjects,” Institute for Social Policy and Understanding (an independent, nonpartisan, research organization dedicated to research about pressing issues, especially those related to Muslims around the world), July 2011]
Washington has continued to defer to... ...consequent suppression of its citizens.
No impact—Any fleet move will still be in the region—ensures continued deterrence
Glaser ’11 [John Glaser, US Navy’s Fifth Fleet Could Abandon Bahrain Rights record may send America in search of other options, 7/20/11, http://news.antiwar.com/2011/07/20/us-navys-fifth-fleet-could-abandon-bahrain/.]
Possible relocation sites... ...and close to 30,000 personnel.
No Solvency—Opposition will walkout- empirically proven
Press TV, 7/28/11, http://www.presstv.ir/detail/191226.html.
The Bahraini opposition voiced frustration... ... seats -- 35 out of 300 -- at the talks.