The GOP will push to avoid sequestration cuts to defense – Obama’s threat to veto will scuttle it

Munoz, 12-13-11 – Carlo, Writer for AOL Defense, “Tough Road Ahead for GOP's Plan To Dodge DoD Cuts,” AOL Defense, http://defense.aol.com/2011/12/13/tough-road-ahead-for-gops-plan-to-dodge-dod-cuts/.

A Republican plan to spare the Pentagon … would have come up with it"

Link card

--Defense cuts are key to shift to a sustainable grand strategy of restraints—avoids entanglement

Friedman and Preble, ’10 – Benjamin Friedman is a research fellow in defense and homeland security studies at the Cato Institute and Christopher Preble is director of foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute, “Budgetary Savings from Military Restraint,” CATO Institute Policy Analysis #667, Sept 21, http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=12151.

The United States needs a defense budget … its security. By capitalizing on our geopolitical fortune, we can safely spend far less.

--Entanglement ensures great power wars go nuclear – they stay regional without US involvement

Gholz, ‘97 (Eugene Gholz and Daryl Press were doctoral candidates in the Dept of Political Science at MIT, Harvey Sapolsky is Prof of Public Policy and Organization in the Dept of Political Science at MIT, International Security, Spring 1997)

The risk of nuclear escalation is a reason to worry … would be costly, but not nearly as costly as the solution that selective engagers propose.

Discourses of danger reproduces an American identity that posits the US as a the defender of global freedom and liberty
Campbell, 98 – Professor of International Politics at the University of Newcastle (David, 1998, Writing Security: United States Foreign Policy and the Politics of Identity, Google Books, p.180)
The crisis of representation the United States faces is unique only

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foreign policy/Foreign Policy is constitutive of political identity.

That makes extinction inevitable
Willson, 02 – Ph.D in Humanities from New College San Francisco, JD from American University (Brian, 12/1/02, “Armageddon or Quantum Leap? U.S. Imperialism and
Human Consciousness from
an Evolutionary Perspective”, http://www.brianwillson.com/quantum.html)
Awaiting the impending U.S. government's concocted "preventive" war against Iraq (indeed, against the world), 

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dangerously near the end of our evolutionary branch

C. Alternative text—reject the affirmative to desecuritize the Political. Voting negative challenges securitization in favor of a political ethic that approaches problems in non-security terms and exposes the limits of their methodology.

D. Framework—security is a communicative action that requires discursive justification—there is an ethical responsibility to justify securitization in political discussion. The role of the ballot is to interrogate methodologies—to weigh their case the Aff has to legitimize securitization first
Williams, 03 – Professor of International Relations at the University of Ottawa (Michael, December 2003, “Words, Images, Enemies: Securitization and International Politics”, International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 47, No. 4, JSTOR) PDF
A second major criticism of the Copenhagen School concerns the ethics of securitization. 

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by questioning the policies, or by disputing the threat, or both.36

A. Interpretation – 

Increase means net increase
Words and Phrases, 5 (Cummulative Supplementary Pamphlet, v. 20a, p.295)

Cal.App.2 Dist. 1991.  Term “increase,” as used in statute giving the Energy Commission modification jurisdiction over any alteration, replacement, or improvement of equipment that results in “increase” of 50 megawatts or more in electric generating capacity of existing thermal power plant, refers to “net increase” in power plant’s total generating capacity; in deciding whether there has been the requisite 50-megawatt increase as a result of new units being incorporated into a plant, Energy Commission cannot ignore decreases in capacity caused by retirement or deactivation of other units at plant.  West’s Ann.Cal.Pub.Res.Code § 25123.

B. Violation – the plan doesn’t increase the total amount of democracy assistance – they lift a restriction 

C. Reasons to prefer – 

1. Limits – they explode the topic – every country multiplied by the number of restrictions 

2. Ground – all negative arguments are centered on increases in assistance—budget tradeoff, spending, politics, perception disads, kritiks 

3. Extra-T – allows the aff to claim unpredictable advantages off of the symbolic effect of the plan – independent voter because it proves the resolution is insufficient 

D. voter for fairness and education – evaluate T in a competing interpretations - most objective framework 

Text: The Government of Turkey should _. Turkey should reform its constitution to create greater protection of due process, press freedom, and women and minority rights, and should maintain a parliamentary system of government.

Solves best
Kirisci, 10 [Kemal, fellow with the Transatlantic Academy. He is a professor at the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Boğaziçi University, Istanbul and holds a Jean Monnet Chair in European Integration. (Kemal, “Diffusing Liberal Market and Democratic Values: Assessing Turkey's 'Soft Power' in Transforming its Neighborhood,” APSA 2010 Annual Meeting Paper http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1644657)]

One striking aspect of Turkey’s transformed 

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that once looked at civil society with suspicion.

Text: Qatar  should  provide  to . 

CP contains Iran and manages Syrian transition.
Mainen, 11
[Mathew, policy analyst at the Institute for Gulf Affairs, where he has been an associate since 2005, Saudi's Dangerous Role in Syria, Mainen Middle East Analysis, http://mainen.blogspot.com/2011/07/saudis-dangerous-role-in-syria.html]
The United States cannot sit on the sidelines 

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renewed U.S. influence in the region. 

CP boosts Qatar’s regional cred while allowing the US to guide the transition process.
Mainen, 11
[Mathew, policy analyst at the Institute for Gulf Affairs, where he has been an associate since 2005, Saudi's Dangerous Role in Syria, Mainen Middle East Analysis, http://mainen.blogspot.com/2011/07/saudis-dangerous-role-in-syria.html]
The U.S. should provide democracy assistance 

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Arab world, but merely meeting its request as was the case in Libya. 

Strong Qatar stabilizes Afghanistan.
Hughes, 11-3
[Michael, Foreign Policy Strategist, New World Strategies Coalition, Qatari Exceptionalism: Small Kingdom Makes Big Impact on World Stage, Huffington Post, 11-3-2011, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-hughes/qatar-west-relations_b_1073374.html]
I came to appreciate the depth of Qatar's global influence

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ethnic, tribal and sectarian mosaic. 

Stable Afghanistan prevents nuclear war.
Morgan, 7
[Stephen, former National Executive Officer of the British Labour Party, his responsibilities included international relations, ethnic minority work, women’s issues, finance, local government and organization, he specialised particularly in international crisis situations spending long periods working in Belfast, in efforts to overcome sectarian strife and terrorism, former Director of WIC, a research and publishing company based in London, he went to live in Budapest during the Gorbachov period from where he helped build opposition groups in the underground in Hungary, Yugoslavia, Bulgaria and East Germany, Stephen left active politics in the early 1990 and came to live in Brussels, where he established and managed his own publishing company, has lived and worked in more than 27 different countries, including underground political work during the troubles in in Northern Ireland and war in Yugoslavia, Better Another Taliban Afghanistan, than a Taliban NUCLEAR Pakistan!?, http://www.electricarticles.com/display.aspx?id=639]
Although disliked and despised in many quarters, the Taliban 

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Better another Taliban Afghanistan, than a Taliban NUCLEAR Pakistan!"

Competition is ensured in the Middle East, Russia will fill in
Karasik, 12/9 - Ph.D. in Russian, Middle Eastern and Caucasus History and Director of Research and Development at the Institute for Near East and Gulf Military Analysis (Theodore, 12/9/11, "Explaining Russia’s Policy Towards Syria – Analysis", www.eurasiareview.com/09122011-explaining-russias-policy-towards-syria-analysis/?cid=nlc-dailybrief-daily_news_brief-link7-20111214)
Some observers of the Moscow-Damascus relationship 

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as a special, unique, calling.

Middle Easterners are not in control of their own destiny- Russia will intervene to stop the spread of democracy.  Only western intervention can counter Russia influence and prevent the mid-east from slipping into war and dictatorship
Nyquist 11
(J.R.  Analyst and commentator on Russia’s geopolitical security and economic posturing, 9/11 and the Arab Spring, http://www.jrnyquist.com/9_11_and_the_Arab_Spring.html [10/8/11])
After the tenth anniversary of 9/11 we find a 

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peace and prosperity, or another round of despotism.
 

The affirmatives process of criticism is at the core of the Marxist strategy to divide and disillusion American youth- the space of the debate is a key site to resist this knowledge production in order to avert Soviet domination
Rogue 11
(This author is a political analyst and opinion-editorialist, with articles published at AmericanThinker. He holds a Master’s degree in Russian, East European, and Eurasian Studies and is a PhD. student in Political Science, with specializations in International Relations and Comparative Politics. He speaks fluent Russian and worked in Moscow as a copy editor for the economic news agency Prime-Tass (prime-tass.com) and was International Programs Manager for Russia’s first liberal arts college http://www.politicalcrush.com/current-events/hope-and-change-occupy-crowds-and-marxist-critical-theory/ [10/8/11])
Disappointment and disillusion among 

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. The leftists will play stupid, like they always do. It is crucial that we do not join them.

The collapse of the Soviet Union was a ploy by the KGB to dupe the west – they are now ready to exploit our weakness
Griffing 2k9
(John _{9/25 Northrop Gumman’s Coproate Lead Executive with responsibility for the US Navy and US Marine Corps programs, “The Perestroika Deception,” American Thinker
http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/09/the_perestroika_deception.html [10/8/11])
The Cold War is over and Communism} 

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allies exposed to Russian aggression. 

Don’t believe the aff- they have been duped by Russian agents penetrating American universities to spread critical theory in order to further the Communist agenda
Story 2K2
(Christopher, Intelligence publisher and editor of Soviet Analyst for over 40 years COLLECTIVE ENEMY OF ITS MEMBER STATES A STUDY IN RUSSIAN AND GERMAN STRATEGY To complete Lenin's World Revolution http://www.usa-anti-communist.net/Perestroika-4books/EU_Collective.pdf [10/8/11])
At the end of this century, we are at the point of outgrowing 

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 facing humanity', than nation states themselves.

Deception is a key part of the Communist Plot, we can’t believe the Affirmative
Buchar 10, [Robert, associate professor and author of the Cinematography Program at Columbia College in Chicago, “The “Collapse” of Communism”, April 29, 2010, http://frontpagemag.com/2010/04/29/the-%E2%80%9Ccollapse%E2%80%9D-of-communism/]

 The great political upheaval of the late 20th century

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of people in the West can’t even define communism. Unfortunately, they just have no idea. 

The impact is a Russian first strike – they have been building up their arsenal and will jump at any signal of weakness
Skousen 2k9
(Joel 9/25 Political scientist, editor-in-chief of the World Affairs Brief, “Canceled European missile Defense Signals New Disarmament Race to War,” World Affairs Brief
http://centurean2.wordpress.com/2010/02/17/canceled-european-missile-defense-signals-new-disarmament-race-to-war/ [10/8/11])
The notion that the United States still had to be

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by the Obama administration so worrisome. 

Rejecting the Communist Plot and correcting information is the key to defeating Socialism here in America
Buchar 10, [Robert, associate professor and author of the Cinematography Program at Columbia College in Chicago, “The “Collapse” of Communism”, April 29, 2010, http://frontpagemag.com/2010/04/29/the-%E2%80%9Ccollapse%E2%80%9D-of-communism/]

You know, as serious as it is, from my perspective, 

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Capitalism is a long and rocky road to socialism.”

A.) American led democracy assistance exports the gender bias of Western political theory to other countries as the exclusion of the feminine is naturalized as part of the democratization process
Handrahan, ‘1
(Lori M., professor American University, Gendering Ethnicity: Implications for Democracy Assistance, pg. 73-74)
Moreover, feminists have argued that there is a persistent political

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The polit¬ical "opposition" leaders supported by USAID funds were 100% men (Zairash 1998).

B.) Masculinity as the foundation of the nation-state makes all warfare inevitable as the roles in warfare and post-conflict management are self-perpetuating in order for the fraternal community to sustain itself
Handrahan, ‘1
(Lori M., International Centre of Gender Studies, Oxford, Conflict, Gender, Ethnicity and Post-Conflict Reconstruction, Security Dialogue 35.4)
Benedict Anderson, the well-known academic expert on identity, asserts that it is ‘fraternity 

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without war (Benton, 1998: 43). War makes the man.

C.) The gender bias inherent to the affirmatives democratization process warrants rejection of the 1ac.  Our act of criticism is key to denaturalizing the political as exclusively male terrain- vital to providing space that will allow ongoing contestation of the patriarchal system to gain legitimacy
Hawkesworth, ‘1
(Mary E. Professor Poly Sci @ Rutgers, Democratiziation: Reflections on Gendered Dislocations in the Public Sphere, in Gender, Globalization, and Democraticzation edited Rita Mae Kelly, Jane H. Bayes, Mary Hawkesworth, and Brigitte Young, pg. 233-235)
The gendered dislocations accompanying democratization 

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emancipatory impulse of feminist social movements.

Existing climate aid is sufficient to prevent and adapt to global warming but will face budget threats
Lefton 9-13 (Rebecca Lefton is a Policy Analyst with the Energy Team at American Progress, “The Debt Deal and Budget Process Threaten Critical Climate Aid Funding”, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/09/climate_aid.html, CMR)

For the last several years, the Obama administration

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still up to 30 percent less than the administration’s core climate change request.

Plan trades off with development assistance and other USAID programs – each project competes for funding
Lisa Schirch, executive director of the 3D Security Initiative and professor of Peace and Conflict Studies at Eastern Mennonite University, 4-27-2007, “7 Obstacles to Budgeting for 3D Security”, http://www.3dsecurity.org/node/138

1. Institutional Divisions Create Obstacles for Development and Diplomacy Funding. Development 

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to ensuring adequate investments in development and diplomacy.

Extinction
Antholis 10
[William J, Managing Director @ Brookings, Strobe Talbott, President @ Brookings, “Leaving a Good Legacy”, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2010/0607_global_warming_talbott_antholis.aspx]

Beyond the political stakes, there are existential ones. 

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the most negative legacy imaginable. That is why there is no time to lose. 

Text: The European Union should increase research tools for political participation to disability organizations in Yemen.

EU best suited to work with and fund disability programs in foreign countries
Light for the World 10
(European NGO specializing in disability assistance, Let Action Speak, http://www.light-for-the-world.org/downloads/Activity_Report_0910.pdf [10/13/11])
At the end of 2009 the European Union (EU) decided to r

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knowhow to make their voices heard.

EU solves democratic reform—key to their soft power
Justyna Pawlak. “PREVIEW-EU to set out links between aid and democracy”, May 24, 2011, http://af.reuters.com/article/egyptNews/idAFLDE74N1Z620110524?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0&sp=true, CMR
BRUSSELS, May 24 (Reuters) - The European Union will set out 

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influence of the United States or China.

European global leadership necessary to arrest climate change, control global pandemics, and solve terrorism
Joseph Nye, Harvard JFK School, The St. Petersburg Times, March 4, 2008, p. 17
U.S. military might is not 

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the future will be the evolution of European policies and power.   

Extinction
Antholis 10
[William J, Managing Director @ Brookings, Strobe Talbott, President @ Brookings, “Leaving a Good Legacy”, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2010/0607_global_warming_talbott_antholis.aspx]

Beyond the political stakes, there are existential ones. Today's citizens and leaders 

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imaginable. That is why there is no time to lose. 

PTC

Will pass—it’s top of the docket and Obama’s push is key—new controversies kill an agreement
Politico 1/16 (“Payroll tax cut deal may come faster than expected”, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/71509_Page2.html#ixzz1jgwy0Krv, CMR)

The one-year 

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there for doing that.”

Plan drains capital—causes battles that turns the case
Kelemen 8-16 [Michele, “Hillary Clinton: U.S. Diplomacy Is Stretched Thin”, 2k11, http://www.npr.org/2011/08/16/139678323/hillary-clinton-u-s-diplomacy-is-stretched-thin, CMR]

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 

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what we do." 

PC is key
Inquirer 9/8 "POINT: Don't expect miracles on job growth" Sept 8, articles.philly.com/2011-09-08/news/30130709_1_jobs-plan-american-economy-rare-tax

The solution is 

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privatize Social Security. 

Full extension key to prevent a double dip recession
Stewart, 12/28 - Observer's economics editor (Heather,12/28/2011, “Extending Obama's tax cuts should be new year's resolution for Republicans,” http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/economics-blog/2011/dec/28/obama-tax-cuts-new-year-resolution?newsfeed=true)

Republicans caved in 

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the worst possible time.

Nuclear war
Khalilzad ’11 Zalmay was the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush and the director of policy planning at the Defense Department from 1990 to 1992, “ The Economy and National Security”, 2-8-11, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/print/259024, CMR

Today, economic and fiscal trends pose 

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dangerous era of multi-polarity.