Observation 1 Inherency
Egyptian IMET funds will be cut now
Cordesman 11 (Anthony, Chair in Strategy at CSIS. 6/1, “Panel 1 “Reform, Revolution, or Repression? Finding Positive Paths Forward for a Region in Transition” Transcript,” http://www.acus.org/event/uncertain-forecast-preventing-arab-spring-becoming-season-discontent/panel1/transcript) gw
I think within the… we say, totally memorable.
More IMET funding needed in Egypt
Mattis and Inhofe 11 (General James, Commander, US Central Command and Senator Inhofe, Hearing to Receive Testimony on US Special Operations Command and US central command review of the defense authorization request for fiscal year 2012 and the future years defense program,” Committee on Armed Services, March 1, 2011, http://armed-services.senate.gov/Transcripts/2011/03%20March/11-05%20-%203-1-11.pdf) KJS
Yes, I would say …those sentiments, Admiral Olson?
Funding uncertainty kills IMET effectiveness
Bruneau, Peggar, and Wright 8 (Researchers at the Center for Civil-Military Relations, “IMET Assessment Project,” pg 52-54, 2008) KJS
One suggestion for improvement…annual or biennial basis.
Therefore we offer the following Plan:
The United States federal government should increase IMET funding for Egypt from $1.5 million to $3 million dollars.
Advantage 1 Democracy
Egypt’s democracy is failing
Keeler 11 (Chris, journalist specializing in Middle Eastern politics, July 27, “Imposing Security Services By Any Other Name,” http://notesfromamedinah.com/2011/07/27/imposing-security-services-by-any-other-name/) JJN
Almost six months after …step for the country.
Increasing IMET solves – US key
Roberts 11 (James, research fellow for Economic Freedom and Growth in the Center for International Trade and Economics at the Heritage Foundation, “Not All Foreign Aid is Equal,” http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/03/not-all-foreign-aid-is-equal) KJS
The value of U.S….of international peacekeeping operations.
Successful transition to democracy will spillover
Kagan and Dunne 11 (Robert, senior fellow at Brookings, Michele, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/06/AR2011030603366.html, “Why Egypt has to be the U.S. priority in the Middle East”) MV
With the horrific …or die in Egypt.
Scenario One: Stability
Democracy key to peace in the Middle East
Kirkup 11 (James Kirkup, Democracy is route to peace in Middle East, says David Cameron, The Telegraph, Feb 21, 2011, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/8339054/Democracy-is-route-to-peace-in-Middle-East-says-David-Cameron.html)
Freedom and democracy are … and healthy political parties.
The Middle East is on the brink of a nuclear war
Blake 11 (Heidi Blake, WikiLeaks: tension in the Middle East and Asia has 'direct potential' to lead to nuclear war, The Telegraph, Feb 2, 2011, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/wikileaks/8298427/WikiLeaks-tension-in-the-Middle-East-and-Asia-has-direct-potential-to-lead-to-nuclear-war.html)
Tension in the Middle …absorbed through the skin.
Middle East war goes Global
London 10 (Herbert I. London, President of the Hudson Institute, a New York University based political think tank, and professor of Humanities at New York University, Hudson New York, 6/28/10, http://www.hudson-ny.org/1387/coming-crisis-in-the-middle-east)
The coming storm in … falls, the tent collapses.
Scenario Two: Economy
Continued instability will collapse Egyptian economy
Egyptian News, 11 (Egypt.com, “Continued Strikes Threaten Egypt,” July 12, 2011, http://news.egypt.com/english/permalink/20376.html) KJS
Continued strikes in Cairo's … Egypt’s other economic sectors.
Egypt’s economy is key to global economic recovery
Schuman 11 (Michael, TIME Magazine, 2/2, “Does the turmoil in Egypt threaten the global recovery?” http://curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com/2011/02/02/does-the-turmoil-in-egypt-threaten-the-global-recovery/#ixzz1TT6k4O6d)gw
At first glance, the …such an unwelcome surprise
Economic recovery key to prevent nuclear World War III
O'Donnell 9 (Sean, writer and Marine Corps Reserve squad leader, Feb 26, http://www.examiner.com/x- 3108-Baltimore-Republican- Examinery2009m2d26-Will-this- recession-lead-to-World-War- III)
Could the current economic … sometimes history repeats itself.
Advantage 2 Relations
IMET funding key to U.S.-Egypt relations
Shenker 11 (David, Fellow at the Washington Institute, “Egypt’s Enduring Challenges – Policy Recommendations” http://www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=52459&pageid=13&pagename=Analysis) CLS
Facing unprecedented deficits and …million appropriated last year.
U.S. – Egypt relations solve war with Israel
CFR 2 (Council on Foreign Relations, May, “Strengthening the U.S.-Egyptian Relationship” http://www.cfr.org/egypt/strengthening-us-egyptian-relationship-cfr-paper/p8666)gw
The U.S.-Egyptian relationship … of the Middle East.
Egypt-Israeli conflict escalates to nuclear war
Eldar 3 (Dan Eldar, adjunct research fellow at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies, Tel Aviv University, former senior analyst at the Israeli prime minister's office, “Egypt and Israel: A Reversible Peace,” The Middle East Quarterly, Fall 2003, pp. 57-65)
In addition, there is … for the entire region.
Extinction
Bearden 2000 (Lt. Col Thomas E. Bearden, PhD, MS, BSCo-inventor - the 2002 Motionless Electromagnetic Generator - a replicated overunity EM generator Listed in Marquis' Who'sWho in America, 2004)
Just prior to the … version of it, resulting.
Observation 2 Solvency
IMET directly responsible for Egyptian stability during the Arab Spring – more funding is key
Roberts 11 (James, research fellow for Economic Freedom and Growth in the Center for International Trade and Economics at the Heritage Foundation, “Not All Foreign Aid is Equal,” http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/03/not-all-foreign-aid-is-equal) KJS
The value of U.S. … of international peacekeeping operations.
Plan critical Egyptian IMET is effective
State Department and DoD 8 (“Foreign Military Training Joint Report to Congress”, www.state.gov/documents/organization/152761.pdf) MV
The United States … military ties and cooperation.
Case solves cutting aid to Egypt will prevent a successful transition
Malka (Haim, Senior Fellow, Middle East Program, CSIS. 2/4, “Military Aid to Egypt: A Critical Link”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/haim-malka/military-aid-to-egypt-a-c_b_818818.html)gw
Calls in Washington to … different than the last.
Plan key IMET effectively raises knowledge of US practices and increases cooperation and relations
Bruneau, Peggar, and Wright 8 (Researchers at the Center for Civil-Military Relations, “IMET Assessment Project,” pg 32-33, 2008) KJS
Participants were asked to … facilitates greater reciprocal understanding.
Case Solves IMET goes global - creates a spill-over effect by encouraging host countries to establish similar training programs
Bruneau, Peggar, and Wright 8 (Researchers at the Center for Civil-Military Relations, “IMET Assessment Project,” pg 43-44, 2008) KJS
A common observation … operational and strategic goals.
