1NC SHELL
Politics
Debt super-committee will succeed in status quo, but political capital is key
Clift, 2011. (Eleanor, contributing editor for Newsweek. “Super Committee, Super Stakes.” Nov. 3. www.thedailybeast.com)
Despite the widespread expectation … Republicans and independents.
Increasing foreign aid is a massive drain in political capital
Kunder, 2011. (James, Senior Resident Fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the U.S. and a Principal of the Modernizing Foreign Assistance Network. “Foreign Aid Keeps America Safe.” July 8. http://dailycaller.com)
President Barack Obama’s announcement … rebuilding effort to grind to a halt.
Super committee key to prevent economic collapse and extinction
Ornstein, 2011 (Norman J. Resident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, “Deficit Panel Could Change Economic World”, 9/14, http://www.aei.org/article/104137)
Of course, the temptation to let … something remarkable. Don’t blow it.
Turns case—failure would devastate national security and foreign aid
UPI, 11 (8/16, “Pannetta: cuts would be ‘devastating”, http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2011/08/16/Panetta-Triggers-would-be-devastating/UPI-51101313521115/?spt=hs&or=tn)
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta … real needs and interests are."
COUNTERPLAN
TEXT- THE GOVERNMENT OF JAPAN SHOULD should engage in a Justice and Security Dialogue with Libya.
Because Japan has transitioned to democracy more recently than Western countries, and has overcome barriers such as authoritarian governments and group orientated culture to mirror modern Western democracy, Japan is better suited than the USFG to act as a legitimate democratic assistance partner.
Successful transition from authoritarian to … the civil society in all walks of life.
Shells
The Arab Spring is a political moment that functions as a point of convergence for Western assumptions about Middle Eastern politics and dominant Western politico-economic narratives—this metanarrative insists the Arab “Other” remains outside of modernity
Daily Kos 11. “Orientalism, Modernity and the 'Arab Spring”. April 7, 2011. Accessed from: http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/04/07/963252/-Orientalism,-Modernitythe-Arab-Spring)
If there is a single book which … made, applied and guarded" (2003: 328.)
Democracy assistance puts a happy face on geoeconomic policies that attempt to mold the Other in the image of the West
Forsythe and Rieffer 2000 (David and Barbara, PoliSci Prof. and Phd Student at UNO respectively, “US Foreign Policy and Enlarging the Democratic Community” Human Rights Quarterly 22.4)
Funding for market restructuring in favor … promoting democracy is an ancillary goal." 50
Actions and frames that buy into the fundamental separation between a “still developing” Eastern Other and an already competent Western whole perpetuate a regime of imperial colonization
Said 78 (Edward, “Orientalism”, professor of comparative literature at Columbia, p 120, date accessed: 7/7/2010)
But if these interconnected elements … serious attention on all those counts.
Imperialism causes extinction and an unending cycle of global war
William Eckhardt, Lentz Peace Research Laboratory of St. Louis, February 1990, Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 27, No. 1, jstor, p. 15-16
Wright looked at the relation between … may depend upon our choice.
Alternative: Reject the affirmative’s racist framing of the East—vote negative to endorse our criticism so that the current epistemic and ontological violence might be contested
Bilgin 04—assistant prof, IR, Bilkent U. PhD, IR, U Wales (Pinar, Is the 'Orientalist' past the Future of Middle East Studies?, Third World Quarterly, Vol. 25, No. 2, 423-433, JSTOR, AMiles)
To go back to Little's argument about … by questioning existing assumptions and
Topicality
Interpretation- Democracy Assistance is 4 different subcategories: rule of law, civil society, good governance, and elections, and is distinct from democracy promotion
Lappin 2010 (Richard , Ph.D Candidate at the Center for Peace Research, “What We Talk About When We Talk About Democracy…” http://www.cejiss.org/sites/default/files/8.pdf)
In defining democracy assistance, it …broader democracy promotion paradigm
B. Violation - Democracy assistance is distinct from diplomacy method
Adesnik and McFaul, 6
[David & Michael, Spring 2006, Washington Quarterly, “Engaging Autocratic Allies to Promote Democracy”, (29:2), p. 7.
The democracy-promotion toolbox … liberalization in autocratic regimes.
C. Standards
Limits – This opens the floodgates to things like solidarity for protestors in Syria or opening dialogue with the rulers and/or opposition groups of different countries destroying predict able limits
Ground- democracy promotion is Neg CP ground, they kill any diplomacy CP’s, hurting our ground in this round
D. Voter – Fairness, Education
TERROR ADVANTAGE
No risk of WMD use-no technical capability or motivation
John Parachini, policy analyst at RAND, Fall 2003 (Washington Quarterly, l/n)
The third explanation for the paucity … to eliminate Israel as a state is decidedly political.
Libya has no WMDs
Morrison, 2004. (David, “Libya gives up its non-existent WMD.” Labour and Trade Union Review. January. http://www.david-morrison.org.uk)
The world is getting safer by leaps … the use of the word “potential”.
LIBYAN WMDS SECURE FOR MONTHS
AP 8/25 Herald Sun. “Libya’s WMD Stockpiles Secure.”
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/breaking-news/libyas-wmd-stockpiles-secure/story-e6frf7jx-1226121688866
THE Pentagon says that Libya's … believed he was still in the country.
No terrorism impact
John Mueller, professor of political science at the University of Rochester, and Karl Mueller, assistant professor of Comparative Military Studies at the School of Advanced Airpower Studies at Maxwell Air Force Base, May/June 1999, Foreign Affairs, “Sanctions of Mass Destruction,” p. Lexis
HOWEVER DRAMATIC terrorist attacks are, … destructive capabilities of terrorists to cosmic proportions.
US retaliation impossible – unable to determine the attacker
Mark Dowle, Professor at the Graduate School of Journalism at the University of California-Berkeley, Sept 2005 (“Nuclear Fallout: Berkeley Team Thinks Beyond the Unthinkable,” California Monthly, http://www.alumni.berkeley.edu/Alumni/Cal_Monthly/September_2005/COVER_STORY-_Berkeleys_Big_Bang_Project_.asp)
Because terrorists tend to be … that the material had been stolen.
TERROR RHETORIC INCREASES TERRORISM- 4 WARRANTS
Kapitan, 03 (Tomis Kapitan, Professor of Philosophy, Northern Illinois University, TERRORISM AND INTERNATIONAL JUSTICE, 2003, lexis)
More dramatically, the ‘terrorist’ … through violence against civilians.
SOLVENCY
Too many barriers to effective democratic transition – plan can’t solve, at least until loyalists are overthrown.
Ben Mier, 11 (Alon: professor of international relations at NYU. “Above the Fray: Elections in Libya should be deferred.” 09/09. www.jpost.com)
While the Libyan rebels have rightfully celebrated the … progressive change will begin at once.
Transition to Democracy will be slow
Cohen 2011 (citing Dr. Zuhdi Jasser, a recognized expert on political Islam and American Islamist organizations, 8/25 “What's Next For Libya?”, http://www.neontommy.com/news/2011/08/whats-next-libya)
Libyan people, like the … morality necessary for a democracy.
Stability will take decades to achieve
Cordesman 2011. (Anthony, Chair in Strategy at Center for Strategic and International Studies and acts as a national security analyst for ABC News “Next Steps in Libya (Egypt, Tunisia, and Other States with New Regimes).” 8/22, http://csis.org)
We should learn from our mistakes … that are 3-4 times what they were in 1950 and will double again by 2050.
Major war is obsolete – multiple factors prevent escalation and global conflict
Michael Mandelbaum, American Foreign Policy Professor in the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins, February 25, 1999, Council on Foreign Relations Great Debate Series, “Is Major War Obsolete?” http://www.ciaonet.org/conf/cfr10/
My argument says, tacitly, that … democracy, for democracies, I believe, tend to be peaceful.
Economic interdependence and democratic values stop global war
Joseph Nye, Kennedy School of Government Dean and Professor of International Relations at Harvard, 2004, Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics, p. 20
However, in a global economy … competitive advantages against rivals.” 33
Eurozone in crisis because of debt – plan doesn’t solve
Economic Times, 2011. (“US, Eurozone crisis making financial markets nervous: Pranab.” September 13. economictimes.indiatimes.com)
Financial markets are getting "nervous" … seen so far is stalling," he said.
The transition to multipolarity is inevitable
Financial Times, 09 (Quentin Peel, The World in 2009, “Risks rise in shift to a Multipolar World”, January 27th, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c76ec956-ec79-11dd-a534-0000779fd2AC.html)
If the consequences of a prolonged … of transition...are fraught with risks.”
No impact: there are no potential challengers to US leadership in the squo-china and india weak now
Peter Liberman, associate professor in the Department of Political Science at Queens College of the City University of New York, Winter 2000/2001, Security Studies, “Ties That Blind,” Vol. 10, No. 2, p. 103-4
With the disappearance of the Soviet Union … will engage vital U.S. interests.”
