First, the Status Quo:
A.There is an Election Crisis in Tunisia and 92% of the population wants to vote.
IFES, 2011 [ May 23, International
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, 9/9/2011, WSC]
Tunisia, the country that sparked the pro
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margin of error is ± 2.53.
B. The October elections are imminent - party leaders threaten more violence if it is delayed again
KIRKPATRICK, 2011 [June 8, DAVID
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, 9/14/2011, WSC]
In Tunisia, both the leading liberal faction
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begins in August, Mr. Bouazzi said.
C. The ISIE is the best actor for Tunisia’s upcoming election and democratic transition- they just need more resources to succeed
The Carter Center, 2011 [Sept.
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, 9/9/2011, AJH]
A Carter Center statement released today noted that
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step toward democratic transition and stability in Tunisia.
D. The ISIE needs 40 million dinars to fund voter registration and education for the October elections to run successfully
Ben Ghazi, 2011 [17 August,
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, 9/14/2011, WSC]
The voter registration process will continue until October
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40 million dinars. (28 million USD).
E. US Assistance will ensure that elections are successful and will create a democratic model for other Arab countries to follow.
Carpenter, 2011 (Scott, 2-24, “Help Tunisia First” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/02/24/help_tunisia_first?page=full, accessed on 9/22/11)
TUNIS, Tunisia — Arriving at the airport in Tunis, AND
in its power to help Tunisia along this path.
Thus, the Plan: The United States Federal Government should substantially increase democracy assistance for Tunisia by providing funding in the amount of 40 million dinars: 28 million US dollars to fund the October elections. Funding is by normal means. Specification available upon request.
Advantage One: Democracy
A. Tunisia is uniquely placed to transition to democracy.
NEDIF, 2011 [ Jan. 31, National Endowment for Democracy’s International Forum for Democratic Studies, “Tunisia: The Problems of Transition, the Challenge of Democratization”, http://www.geema.org/documentos/1298898516P0dIZ1kp2Ed60QS4.pdf, 9/9/2011, WSC]
Tunisia at the Moment of Transition Tunisia is arguably the best placed AND
interference by foreign actors.
B. Successful elections in October are key to creating a new democracy.
Paciello, 2011 [ May, Maria Cristina, a researcher at the International Affairs Institute (IAI), lecturer in economic and political geography at the University of Rome, “Tunisia: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition”, http://www.ceps.eu/system/files/book/2011/05/MEDPRO%20TR%20No%203%20Paciello%20on%20Tunisia.pdf, 9/9/2011, WSC]
If political parties and civil society groups
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Tunisia’s political transition.
C. Tunisia needs U.S. support to foster its democracy
Allen, 2011 (Michael, editor, Democracy Digest, January 27, “Tunisia: home-grown revolution needs foreign support” http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/01/home-grown-revolution-needs-foreign-support-say-tunisians, accessed 9/22/11)
Democracy assistance groups and Western democracies preparing to
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ruling parties, do not outmanoeuvre the moderates.”
D. Tunisia will act as a model for democracy in other Arab Spring nations.
Masmoudi, 2011 (Radwan, President of the Center for Study of Islam & Democracy, May 18, www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/05/tunisia-should-be-the-priority, accessed on 9/22/11)
President Obama is expected to use tomorrow’s speech AND
have catastrophic repercussions in the region.
E. Lack of Democracy in Arab nations creates instability.
Diamond, 2005 (Larry, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, where he directs the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, “Between Democracy and Stability” January 30, www.hoover.org/publications/hoover-digest/article/7852, accessed on 9/22/11)
To the extent that AND
reform begins soon.
F. Instability in the Middle East risks nuclear war.
Steinbach, 2003 (John, “Israeli Weapons of Mass Destruction, A Threat to Peace: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal” www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=4365, accessed on 9/22/11)
The Israeli nuclear arsenal has profound implications for
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be counting on as the Sharon era dawns.
G. Even regional nuclear wars lead to extinction.
Hoffman, 2006 (Ian, “Nuclear winter looms, experts say” Oakland Tribune, December 12, www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-2792907.html, accessed 9/22/11)
SAN FRANCISCO With superpower nuclear arsenals plummeting
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," said Rutgers University atmospheric scientist Alan Robock.
Advantage Two: Disease
A. US Support is Key to ensuring success in a smooth transition for Tunisia.
Hamid, 11 [ Jan. 26,
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, 9/9/2011, WSC]
Democratic changes need U.S. support
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Oddly, they’ve become more difficult to find.
B. Failure to make a democratic transition in Tunisia soon will lead to state collapse and instability.
Paciello, 2011 (Maria Cristina, “Tunisia: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition” May 3, www.iai.it/pdf/mediterraneo/MedPro/MedPro-technical-paper_03.pdf, accessed 9/22/11)
In the worst AND…
not yet clear.
C. A state collapse in Tunisia would spillover to the rest of the Arab spring countries leading to the spread of disease and proliferation.
African Studies Centre et al, 2003 (The African Studies Centre, Leiden; The Transnational Institute, Amsterdam; The Center of Social Studies, Coimbra University and
The Peace Research Center- CIP-FUHEM, Madrid, December 2003, “FAILED AND COLLAPSED STATES IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM” www.tni.org/sites/www.tni.org/archives/reports/failedstates.pdf, accessed on 9/22/11)
In the malign scenario of global developments the
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faced with direct attacks on their national security.
D. Spread of disease risks extinction.
Sieff, 2009 (Martin, “Swine
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, accessed on 9/22/11)
WASHINGTON, May 4 (UPI)
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eventually prove more devastating than a thermonuclear war.
