EU CP

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• Texts

  Text: The European Union should establish a European Endowment for Democracy modeled off of the United States National Endowment for Democracy to [plan] using funding already allocated for Middle East and North African political reforms.

  Generic Solvency

  EU support is critical to successful democratic uprising -- resolves all current problems with EU aid and uses current funding.

  Allen 11 (Democracy Digest, Michael Allen, Special Assistant for Government Relations and Public Affairs at the National Endowment for Democracy, “EU aid to Arab world must deliver on the ‘D’ word to avoid Russia’s democratic disillusion,” May 9, 2011, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/05/eu-aid-to-arab-world-must-deliver-on-the-d-word-to-avoid-russias-democratic-disillusion/)

  The European Union must provide …that opt for democratic reform.

  
  
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Orientalism K

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• 1NC

  Democracy assistance is a strategy to turn the non-west into a hub for American imperialism---orientalist narratives frame US engagement and result in using MENA as a strategic chess piece to recruit allies in the construction of the next enemy---inevitable blowback turns the aff

  Soumaya Ghannoushi 11 is a researcher in the history of ideas at the School of Oriental and African Studies. "Obama, hands off our spring" May 26 2011 www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/may/26/obama-hands-off-arab-spring

  The US wants to turn the … while occupying and aiding occupation.

   

  Extinction

  Pinar Batur 7, PhD @ UT-Austin – Prof. of Sociology @ Vassar, “The Heart of Violence: Global Racism, War, and Genocide,” in Handbook of The Sociology of Racial and Ethnic Relations, eds. Vera and Feagin, p. 446-7

  At the turn of the 20th century, the “Terrible Turk” was the image that summarized the enemy of Europe and the antagonism toward the hegemony of the Ottoman Empire, stretching from … racist ideology with dizzying frequency. The 21st century opened up with genocide, in Darfur.

   

  Position yourself as a critical intellectual---reprogramming systems of representation is key to preventing imperialism and serial policy failure that turns the case

  Bilgin 5 Assistant Prof of International Relations at Bilkent University, REGIONAL SECURITY IN THE MIDDLE EAST A CRITICAL PERSPECTIVE, p12-

  Although the ‘Middle East’ preserved … sought in this part of the world.

  
  
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T – Not Civil Society

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• 1NC

  Civil Society isn’t T---only parties and election support---only this narrowly defines the topic

  HCFA 10 House Committee on Foreign Affairs "DISCUSSION PAPER #3: HUMAN RIGHTS AND DEMOCRACY" 5/28 www.hcfa.house.gov/111/dis04.pdf

  “Democracy assistance” tends to …government and policy discussions.

   

  VI for limits

  Richard Lappin 10 is Ph. D candidiate at Leuven Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studiesnell Medical Center. "What We Talk About When We Talk About Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches" CEJISS 2010 V4 Issue 1 www.cejiss.org/issue/2010-volume-4-issue-1/lappin

  Problems Resulting From Definitional Uncertainty

  Establishing the definitional clarity …post-conflict democracy assistance can be drawn.

  
  
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Terrorism DA

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• 1NC

  Al-Qaeda’s on the ropes, but they’re looking for an opportunity to rebound in the Middle East---continued offense is key 

  Carter 9-5 – Sara A. Carter, national security correspondent for the Washington Examiner, September 5, 2011, “Al Qaeda looks for new homes after setbacks in Pakistan,” online: http://washingtonexaminer.com/politics/2011/09/al-qaeda-looks-new-homes-after-setbacks-pakistan

  The success of the U.S.-led … Al Qaeda isn't finished yet."

   

  U.S. support for further democratization gives Al-Qaeda cover to regain a foothold throughout the region 

  Scheuer 11 – Michael Scheuer, chief of the CIA's Osama bin Laden unit from 1996 to 1999, adjunct professor of security studies at Georgetown University, March 4, 2011, “Why the Mideast revolts will help al-Qaeda,” online: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/03/04/AR2011030402322_pf.html

  The rush in the West … them jailed by Arab tyrants.

   

  Renewed al-Qaeda strength causes nuclear terrorism

  GSN 10 – Global Security Newswire, August 6, 2010, “WMD terrorism remains grave threat, U.S. says,” online:  http://www.globalsecuritynewswire.org/gsn/nw_20100806_6521.php]

  The possibility that a … as engineering and scientific expertise."

   

  That causes extinction

  Toon et al 7 – Owen B. Toon, chair of the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at CU-Boulder, et al., April 19, 2007, “Atmospheric effects and societal consequences of regional scale nuclear conflicts and acts of individual nuclear terrorism,” online: http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/acp-7-1973-2007.pdf

  To an increasing extent, … scenarios and physical outcomes.

  
  
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UNI rd 5 vs Minnesota CE

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• Off-case

  EU CP

  T- Not Civil Society 

  Orientalism K

  Terrorism DA

  Soft Power

  Soft power has no effect on power and the aff doesn’t solve it

  Adelman 11---Master’s and PhD from Georgetown’s School of Foreign Service. Frmr director of the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, former Ambassador to the UN, and former member of Pentagon's Defense Policy Board (6/18/11, Ken, Not-So-Smart Power, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/18/not_so_smart_power)

   

  If there's indeed a war on soft ... resentment, downing out any lingering gratitude.

   

   

  Nuclear primacy solves heg

  Craig 9 – Professor of International Relations at the University of Southampton (Campbell, Review of International Studies, “American power preponderance and the nuclear revolution,” 35, 27–44, Cambridge Database)

   

  As Keir Lieber and Daryl Press ... specifically reinforces each of them.

   

  NATO

  NATO’s resilient

  Thies 9—has held full-time teaching positions in political science at U Conn, UC Berkeley, and the Catholic University of America. PhD, pol sci, Yale. (Wallace, Why NATO Endures, 1-14)

   

  A curious relationship has developed ...The next section asks how did this happen and what might be done about it.

  Russia

  Even a rapid US-Russia war would end in peace negotiations before nukes were launched – Russian generals concede.

  Ivashov 7---Colonel General Leonid, President of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems. July 2007 “Will America Fight Russia”. Defense and Security, No 78. LN 

   

  Ivashov: Numerous scenarios and options are... war and put negotiations into motion.

   

  Iran

  U.S. support for further democratization collapses regional hegemony---signals abandonment of allies and refusal to defend status-quo powers---causes Iranian rise 

  Bar 11 – Shmuel Bar, director of studies at the Institute for Policy and Strategy in Herzliya, Israel, April 2011, “America’s Fading Middle East Influence,” Hoover Policy Review, online: http://www.hoover.org/publications/policy-review/article/73161

  The Middle East has gone...of radical ideologies, and Iranian strategic hegemony.

   

  Solvency

  Stable regime change is inevitable in the long run but forcing it in the short term causes a proxy war

  Husain 8/23—senior fellow at the CFR. Ed was cofounder and codirector of Quilliam Foundation, the world’s first counter-radicalization think tank. (Ed, Why Assad Need Not Fear Qaddafi’s Fate, http://www.cfr.org/syria/why-assad-need-not-fear-qaddafis-fate/p25702)

   

  The regime has been barbaric...Assad remains the least worst option.

   

  Assad will inev transition to democracy---the plan causes backlash against the US and weakens Assad which causes war

  Crooke 11—former Mid East adviser to a High Representative for the EU.(Alastair, The Arab awakening and Syrian exceptionalism, 7 April 2011, http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/04/07/the_arab_awakening_and_syrian_exceptionalism)

   

  Cleavage in political culture ... tensions, rather than aggravating them.

   

  U.S. non-involvement is better---assistance delegitimizes reformers and U.S. resignation lets democratization happen organically

  Kudryashov 11 - Roman Kudryashov, Researcher: Applied Politics & Economics, the New School, May 17, 2011, “Democracy Promotion in between Domestic and International Needs,” online: http://whataretheseideas.wordpress.com/2011/05/17/democracy-promotion-in-between-domestic-and-international-needs/

  As Neera Chandhoke points ...of domestic policy interests.

   

  The plan is the kiss of death for everyone it tries to support

  Carpenter 11 – Ted Galen Carpenter, vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute, is the author of eight books on international affairs, including Smart Power: Toward a Prudent Foreign Policy for America. "What Should U.S. Do about Egypt? Very Little" Feb 11 www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=12780

  U.S. policymakers understandably ... a low-profile role during these turbulent days.

   

  Syrian regime collapse inevitable – Saudi Arabia was Assad’s lynchpin and no longer supports him

  Con Coughlin 11, editor of the Telegraph, 11 August 2011, Con, Without Saudi support, President Bashar al-Assad's brutal dictatorship in Syria looks doomed, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/syria/8695556/Without-Saudi-support-President-Bashar-al-Assads-brutal-dictatorship-in-Syria-looks-doomed.html)

  At a time when troops .... Assad’s treatment of their co-religionists.

   

  Assad’s fall contains Iran, undermines Hezbollah, and solves peace with Israel

  Emanuele Ottolenghi 11, political scientist, a Senior Fellow with the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies in Washington, previously ran the Brussels' based Transatlantic Institute and taught at the Oxford Centre for Hebrew and Jewish Studies, as well as the Middle East Centre of St. Antony’s College, Oxford, “Analysis: Much to fear, much to hope with Arab Spring,” 1 Sep 2011 http://www.thejc.com/news/world-news/53920/analysis-much-fear-much-hope-arab-spring

  For Israel then, the ...the end of Iran's presence in the Levant.

  
  
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