Contention One: Leadership
The International system is changing – the US should promote democracy and cooperation to ensure stability
Hart, 2011 (Gary, Scholar in Residence, University of Colorado, chair of the American Security Project, co-chair of the US Commission on National Security for the 21st Century, and former member of the Senate Armed Services Committee; “After bin Laden: Security Strategy and the Global Common”, Survival, Vol. 53, No. 4, August-September, p. 19-25)
The Cold War ended 20 years ago. For it is the notion of a global commons, both actual and virtual, that should characterise America’s twenty-first century grand strategy.
The Qaddafi regime is done but the credibility of the US Grand Strategy hinges on our ability to aid in a stable political transition
Feaver, 8/22/2011 (Peter, director of the Triangle Institute for Security Studies and the Duke Program in American Grand Strategy, “Five Reasons it is Premature to Declare Mission Accomplished for Obama's Libya Strategy”, Foreign Policy, http://shadow.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/08/22/five_reasons_it_is_premature_to_declare_mission_accomplished_for_obamas_libya_strat)
3. Because this operation has dragged on, the collapse of the Qaddafi regime is happening as the international coalition is itself running out of steamBut I think the administration would be well-advised to mute any celebrations until we see how the next phase plays out.
The Transition in Libya is critical – Assistance aimed at supporting democracy is critical to shore up global credibility
Ghitis, 2011 (Firda, world affairs columnist, author and consultant and weekly author at World Politics Review, “World Citizen: Libya Emerges as Major Test of Western, U.S. Influence”, World Politics Review, 25/August, http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:ckDLwiX-isgJ:www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9882/world-citizen-libya-emerges-as-major-test-of-western-u-s-influence+World+Citizen:+Libya+Emerges+as+Major+Test+of+Western)
The future of Libya was never terribly important to the U.S. That has now changed … And in doing so they can help the Arab people build a new system that is consistent with freedom and democracy, not to mention friendly to the West.
Libya is the test case for US Leadership – supporting democratic transitions is key
Hamid, 2011 (Shadi, Director of research at the Brookings Doha Center and Fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “Libya may be in America’s vital interest after all”, CNN World, August 26th, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/26/libya-may-be-in-americas-vital-interest-after-all/)
America’s intervention in Libya is not quite the success some are making out to be, as I point out here. … The Libya intervention may not have much to do with our “vital” interests. Not yet, at least.
Failure to stabilize the transition collapses Leadership – the alternative is unilateralism and makes hegemony unsustainable
Lynch, 2011 (Marc, associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, director of the Institute for Middle East Studies and of the Project on Middle East Political Science, non-resident senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security; “The U.N.'s High Stakes Gamble in Libya”, Foreign Policy, March 18th, http://lynch.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/03/18/towards_military_intervention_in_libya)
Yesterday's UN Security Council vote authorizing a No-Fly Zone and more against Libya has brought the United States and its allies into another Middle Eastern war….. Reports that it has accepted the resolution and a ceasefire could provide the space for the kind of political settlement many of us have been advocating. Let's hope.
US Leadership is necessary to global stability – fosters trade alliances and promotes democracy
Thayer, 2006 (Bradley A., Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Minnesota, Duluth, The National Interest, November -December, “In Defense of Primacy”, lexis)
A remarkable fact about international politics todayin a world where American primacy is clearly and unambiguously on displayis that countries want to align themselves with the United States. …. Let's face it: for the time being, American primacy remains humanity's only practical hope of solving the world's ills.
And, Withdraw causes apolarity that escalates go global power conflict
Kissinger, 2011 (Henry, General Badass, “Power Shifts”, Survival, Vol. 52, No. 6, p. 205-212)
At the same time, the United States remains the strongest single power in the world. Chaos, if it occurs, will sooner or later settle down into a new order. It is the task of statesmanship to try to bring about what must happen ultimately and save humanity untold suffering.
Contention Two: Terrorism
Al-Qaeda is on the brink but Libya is a key area where they can recruit – US involvement is key
Stevenson, 2011 (Jonathan, Professor of Strategic Studies at the US Naval War College and a Contributing Editor to Survival, “Echoes of Gunfire: bin Laden, the US and the Greater Middle East,” Survival, Vol. 53, No. 3, June-July, p. 11-18)
The death of Osama bin Laden at the hands of US Navy SEALs on 1 May 2011 was so long in coming – almost ten years after the 11 September attacks – that it was felt more as a relief than as a triumph… And regional cooperation, always problematic, would become even more so. 2 Thus, alQaeda still had its own opportunities.
Regional Instability causes terrorist fill in in Libya
Boucek, 5/11/2011 (Christopher, associate in the Carnegie Middle East Program where his research focuses on security challenges in the Arabian Peninsula and Northern Africa, “Islamist Terrorists in Libya”, Carnegie Middle East Center, http://www.carnegie-mec.org/publications/?fa=43951)
Despite the international community’s choice to intervene militarily and impose a no-fly zone in Libya, the rebels and forces loyal to Muammar Qaddafi appear stuck in a stalemate. … Such practices include comprehensive post-release monitoring and reintegration support, which are a far cry from Libya’s politically motivated, perilous release of Islamists who now threaten Libyan and US security.
US Action is key – we can work to pacify Militants and maintain strong anti-terrorism operations
Boucek, 2011 (Christopher, associate in the Carnegie Middle East Program where his research focuses on security challenges in the Arabian Peninsula and Northern Africa, “ Dangerous Fallout from Libya’s Implosion”, Carnegie Middle East Center, March 9th, http://www.carnegie-mec.org/publications/?fa=42940)
U.S. Response The prospect of experienced and perhaps unrepentant Islamist fighters at large is extremely concerning… . Washington needs to pay closer attention to make sure that this problem is addressed and doesn’t get worse as Libya slides deeper into war.
Put away your defense-Al-queda looking to get revenge for Bin-Laden’s death—using libya to recruit people and actively seeking to reject western presence
ABC News Radio, 6/8/11 (“ Al Qaeda Deputy Surfaces, Vows Revenge for Bin Laden's Death”,http://abcnewsradioonline.com/world-news/al-qaeda-deputy-surfaces-vows-revenge-for-bin-ladens-death.html)
(NEW YORK) — Appearing to assume the role as the new leader of al Qaeda, the former number two Ayman al-Zawahiri vowed to avenge the death of Osama bin Laden “blood for blood,” …. he discussed the revolt in Libya and called on Libyans to oust dictator Moammar Gadhafi before “Western aid…turns into invasions.”
Al qaeda has the means and motivation to use a WMD against the United States
Rahim Kanani-founder and editor-in-chief of World Affairs Commentary-June 29th, 2011( “ New al-Qaeda Chief Zawahiri Has Strong Nuclear Intent”, Forbes, http://blogs.forbes.com/rahimkanani/2011/06/29/new-al-qaeda-chief-zawahiri-has-strong-nuclear-intent/)
We should be especially worried about the threat of nuclear terrorism under Zawahiri’s leadership. … we will surely miss the signs of the next attack if we continue to overestimate our own successes, and dismiss what terrorists remain capable of accomplishing when they put their minds to it.”
Nuclear terrorism is an existential threat—it escalates to nuclear war with Russia and China
Ayson 7-7-2010 [Robert Ayson, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington, 2010, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, Volume 33, Issue 7, July, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via InformaWorld]
But these two nuclear worlds—a non-state actor nuclear attack and a catastrophic interstate nuclear exchange—are not necessarily separable… that might require a degree of advanced consultation from Washington that the latter found itself unable or unwilling to provide.
Thus the Plan: The United States federal government should provide rule of law assistance to the National Transitional Council in Libya
Contention Three: Solvency
Rule of law is critical to a stable political transition
Tolbert, 8/25/2011 (David, President of the International Center for Transitional Justice, “Make justice a foundation of the new Libya”, CNN World, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/25/how-to-make-justice-a-foundation-of-the-new-libya/)
Looking to experiences spanning tectonic changes from Berlin of 1989 to Cairo of the present,….. Libya has the right to create an example that will be followed in the Arab region.”
Rule of Law assistance is critical to transition in Libya – US training is critical because of international influence and expertise
Dobbins and Wehrey, 2011 (James, Former US Assistant Secretary of State and Director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the RAND Corporation; Frederic, Senior Policy analyst at RAND; “How to build a free Libya”, CNN World, August 24th, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/24/how-to-build-a-free-libya/)
With the fall of the Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi in sight, the United States and its allies face the familiar challenges of post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction. … absence of both government institutions and an established civil society suggest that the road may nevertheless be long and rocky.
And, The US is uniquely situated to provide judicial reform to Libya – this is critical to creating the groundwork for a post Qaddafi society
Vandewalle, 2011 (Dirk, Professor in the department of government and at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College, “How Not to Intervene in Libya”, Foreign Policy, March 10th, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/03/10/how_not_to_intervene_in_libya?page=0,1)
Take it slow. Because of Qaddafi's evisceration of all political and social institutions, ….. no matter how selfless or in the greater interest of Libyans the United States may attempt to portray it.
Gadhafi’s fall in Libya threatens to devolve into instability and violence – promoting democracy is critical to stabilize the transition and quell radicalism
Kiriakou, 2011 (John, Former CIA counterterrorism officer, “Let’s Not Make the Same Iraq Mistakes in Libya”, Huffington Post World, 8/22, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-kiriakou/libya-gaddafi-iraq-_b_933463.html)
Muammar Gaddafi's 42-year dictatorship is hanging by a thread, most of his family is either under arrest or in exile… We should respect that. And we should promise the Libyan people that there will be no more Ahmed Chalabis.
Contention Four: Aid Now
Aid now
Stringer and Keaten, 9/1/2011 (David, Associated Press; Jamey, Associated Press; “World conference debates Libya’s path post-Gadhafi”, Yahoo News, http://news.yahoo.com/world-conference-debates-libyas-path-post-gadhafi-155850263.html
Clinton hopes to announce in Paris that $1.5 billion in Gadhafi regime assets frozen in the United States have been distributed on behalf of the rebels, U.S. officials said. That money is about half the liquid assets of the more than $30 billion in frozen Libyan assets in the United States. Clinton also held bilateral meetings with Libyan rebel leaders ahead of the broader talks.
Obama has pledged assistance
African Spotlight, 7/19/2011 (Spotlighting Africans in the Diaspora, “U.S. Gives $30 Billion Of Libyan Money To Rebels”, http://africanspotlight.com/2011/07/u-s-gives-30-billion-of-libyan-money-to-rebels/)
The United States has given Gaddafi’s opposition group access to $30 billion in Libyan assets held in the U.S…. We have had 42 years of looking over our shoulder in fear and now we want to face forwards in hope for a great Libya.”
