Saudi Relations

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 2,3 | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
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• Saudi Arabia is on the brink of internal collapse – fear of democracy ensures reactions that cause internal uprising
  Toby Jones (Formerly the Gulf Analyst with the International Crisis Group, he is assistant professor of Middle East history at Rutgers University) August 24, 2011 "Saudi Arabia's Regional Reaction” http://www.thenation.com/article/162962/saudi-arabias-regional-reaction
  The Arab Spring is not over. Anger (TO)regime is making them considerably worse
  Plan destroys Saudi relations – causes US-Saudi-Iran war
  Vali Nasr (Professor of International Politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy of Tufts University, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Middle Eastern Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, former Senior Fellow with The Dubai Initiative, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University) May 23, 2011 “Will the Saudis Kill the Arab Spring?” http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-23/will-the-saudis-kill-the-arab-spring-.html
  In his speech last week on the Middle (TO) inevitably put the U.S. in the middle of the conflict.
  This goes nuclear
  Herbert London (President Emeritus of Hudson Institute and Professor Emeritus of New York University) June 2010 “The Coming Crisis in the Middle East “ http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=7101&pubType=HI_Opeds
  The gathering storm in the Middle East (TO)of a second holocaust could lead to a nuclear exchange.
  Relations solve regional escalation
  James Russell (managing editor of Strategic Insights, senior lecturer in the Department of National Security Affairs at NPS, From 1988-2001 held a variety of positions in the Office of the Assistant Secretary Defense for International Security Affairs, Near East South Asia, Department of Defense) September 2002 “Deconstructing the U.S.-Saudi Partnership?” http://www.nps.edu/Academics/centers/CCC/publications/OnlineJournal/2002/sept02/middleEast2.pdf
   As a lynchpin of U.S. security strategy and (TO) relationship no longer serves U.S. strategic interests.

  2NC

  US draw in
  Jim Lobe (Washington Bureau Chief of the international news agency Inter Press Service, J.D. Berkeley Law) April 23, 2011 “Arab Spring Stalls as U.S. Defers to Saudi "Counter-revolution" http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=55365
  But the winds that are chilling the Arab Spring (TO) the wider region, including Saudi Arabia itself. 

  Probability: Our impacts are more probable because they rest on history’s evidence that U.S.-Saudi relations control escalation. 

  Timeframe: . And, our impacts are faster because of short term Saudi lashout.
  Andrew Quinn (writer for Reuters) March 15, 2011 “Analysis: Bahrain crisis exposes U.S.-Saudi Arabia rift” http://www.bestgrowthstock.com/stock-market-news/2011/03/15/analysis-bahrain-crisis-exposes-u-s-saudi-arabia-rift/
  Few suggest that the fundamentals of the (TO) neighbors and regarded Saudi Arabia as “an important partner.”

  Oil Shocks: Saudi instability collapses the economy and is the most important oil state
  Robert Baer, former CIA field officer in the Middle East, Sleeping With the Devil, 2003, pg. 206-7
  Not all the wishing and hoping in the (TO) collectively own 60 percent of the world’s proven oil reserves, the industrial economies are going down with it, including the economy of the United States of America.

  Credibility: Saudi backlash turns regional heg
  Shibley Telhami (the Anwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland, College Park, and non-resident senior fellow at the Saban Center at the Brookings Institution) and Fiona Hill (Director, Center on the United States and Europe Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy The Stephen and Barbara Friedman Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute) November/December 2002 “Does Saudi Arabia Still Matter? Differing Perspectives on the Kingdom and Its Oil” http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/58444/shibley-telhami-fiona-hill-et-al/does-saudi-arabia-still-matter-differing-perspectives-on-the-kin?page=show
  Given America's ongoing security interest in the (TO) ground troops from launching operations from Saudi soil in the case of a war with Iraq.

  Uniqueness
  Saudi Arabia is stable and US relations wont collapse now – but they are vulnerable now
  Christopher Boucek (associate in the Middle East program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, former postdoctoral researcher at Princeton University and lecturer in politics at the Woodrow Wilson School, media analyst at the Royal Embassy of Saudi Arabia in Washington,  associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, and former security editor with Jane's Information Group) June 21, 2011 “U.S.-Saudi Relations in the Shadow of the Arab Spring” http://carnegieendowment.org/2011/06/21/u.s.-saudi-relations-in-shadow-of-arab-spring/1il
  Saudi Arabia is not immune from the protest (TO) can provide for the United States what Saudi Arabia does. 

  2NC Link Wall
  A) Spin - Saudi Arabia will spin the plan as supporting Iranian influence
  Ishaan Tharoor (writer for TIME magazine) May 17, 2011 “The Saudi-Iranian Cold War: Is This the Future of the Middle East?” http://globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/05/17/the-saudi-iranian-cold-war-is-this-the-future-of-the-middle-east/
  We're in territory here that's light years (TO)succeeds in steering the upheaval to its own ends.
  B) Family loyalty – ensures even if their perception is incorrect they will stick to their guns
  Bernard Haykel (professor of Near Eastern studies, Princeton University) and Toby Jones (professor of Middle East history, Rutgers University) June 7, 2011 “How The Arab Spring Affects Saudi Society” http://www.npr.org/2011/06/07/137036450/how-the-arab-spring-affects-saudi-society
  Well, I think there was a moment, less than a (TO) to trump, you know, being correct on a given issue.
  C) History – revolutions of the 50s and 60s frame their reaction
  Bernard Haykel (Professor of Near Eastern Studies at Princeton University) August 16, 2011 “Saudis ‘leading counter-revolution’ against Arab Spring” http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/08/saudis-leading-counter-revolution-against-arab-spring/
  Saudi Arabia is widely perceived as (TO) accept unaccountable, corrupt, and brutal governments.  
  D) Link snowballs – Iran will take advantage of Saudi insecurity – ensures escalation
  Stratfor April 19, 2011 “Saudi Arabia's Iranian Conundrum” http://www.stratfor.com/node/192108/geopolitical_diary/20110419-saudi-arabias-iranian-conundrum
  The Saudi move succeeded in quelling the unrest (TO) which Iran can use to its advantage.

  Relations Resilient

  Oil Doesn’t underpin relations
  Abdullatif A. Al-Othman (Executive Director of Saudi Aramco Affairs) November/December 2002 “The Reliable Supplier” http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/58444/shibley-telhami-fiona-hill-et-al/does-saudi-arabia-still-matter-differing-perspectives-on-the-kin?page=show
  The authors also incorrectly suggest that Saudi (TO) oils most appropriate for their refinery feedstock needs.

  Kentucky 2NC Extras:

  Democracy: Saudi Co-option means Plan gets sabotaged by Saudis to incite more radicalism, this leads to more oppression and crackdowns
  Almasry Alyoum (Egyptian Newspaper) March 2011 “Egyptian democracy activists to urge Clinton to restrain Saudi Arabia”
  Egyptian democracy activists said on Tuesday that they
  AND
  it handles the new situation in the region."

  Terrorism: U.S. pushing for reforms in Bahrain could strain its relationship with Saudi Arabia - this is key to hegemony and counterterrorism.
  Lachlan Carmichael, 2-19-2011, Agency France Press (AFP), “For US, more at stake in Bahrain than base alone,” http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h7K2HLujQnkpObAp0F3Tkk_eblMw?docId=CNG.2fa97f53bfcdc1875eb8f281d95222b2.f61
  As political unrest shakes its tiny Gulf ally
  AND
  focal point of bloody anti-regime protests.

  Uniqueness

  Saudi Arabia is stable and US relations wont collapse now – but they are vulnerable now
  Christopher Boucek (associate in the Middle East program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, former postdoctoral researcher at Princeton University and lecturer in politics at the Woodrow Wilson School, media analyst at the Royal Embassy of Saudi Arabia in Washington,  associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, and former security editor with Jane's Information Group) June 21, 2011 “U.S.-Saudi Relations in the Shadow of the Arab Spring” http://carnegieendowment.org/2011/06/21/u.s.-saudi-relations-in-shadow-of-arab-spring/1il
  Saudi Arabia is not immune from the protest
  AND
  for the United States what Saudi Arabia does. 

  Uncertainty over US commitment to democracy in Bahrain – more support ensures collapse of Saudi relations and Iran expansionism
  Gregory White (writer for the Business Insider) March, 2011 “What's Really Happening In Bahrain And Why It Matters” http://www.businessinsider.com/whats-happening-in-bahrain-2011-3
  But for Saudi Arabia, this would be
  AND
  a potential opening for Iran in the region.

  Kentucky Rd 3 Extras:

  Yemen uniquely ruins relations with Saudi Arabia – fear systemic change and spillover
  DemDigest June 6, 2011 “Saudi Arabia: countervailing power or ‘midwives of change’ in Yemen?” http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/06/saudi-arabia-countervailing-power-or-midwives-of-change-in-yemen/
  With Yemen finely poised between transition and regression
  AND
  delicate and tortured than elsewhere in the region.

  On their econ scenarios: Saudi Arabian cooperation with the U.S., not just stability, is key to prevent oil shocks that collapse the economy
  Shibley Telhami (the Anwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland, College Park, and non-resident senior fellow at the Saban Center at the Brookings Institution) and Fiona Hill (Director, Center on the United States and Europe Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy The Stephen and Barbara Friedman Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute) November/December 2002 “Does Saudi Arabia Still Matter? Differing Perspectives on the Kingdom and Its Oil” http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/58444/shibley-telhami-fiona-hill-et-al/does-saudi-arabia-still-matter-differing-perspectives-on-the-kin?page=show
  It is true that long-term trends
  AND
  Saudi cooperation to keep the oil market smooth.

  And, risks global depression, global warns, and Israel conflict
  Gregory Copley  (Editor – GIS, Defense and Foreign Affairs Daily, 5-22, Lexis) 2002 Defense & Foreign Affairs Daily May 22, 2002 Wednesday  SECTION: Vol. XX, No. 90  LENGTH: 1414 words  HEADLINE: The Kingdom at a Crossroads: Saudi Arabia's Seemingly Intractable Dilemma
  Nonetheless, Saudi Arabia's  problems have become the
  AND
  critical to the global economy and  global strategic stability

  Saudi Arabia perceives instability in Yemen as a threat to national security – intervention ensure massive Saudi influence over the transition
  Ginny Hill and Christopher Boucek (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace – Middle East Center) May 2011 “Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf States” http://carnegie-mec.org/events/?fa=3256
  Saudi patronage: Saudi Arabia views instability in
  AND
  donors and Islamic charity organizations, Hill added. 

  Saudi Arabian fears of US support for democracy is being placated now – but short term shocks can cause backlash
  Joshua Teitelbaum (senior research associate at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, principal research associate at the IDC’s GLORIA Center, and a lecturer at Bar-Ilan University. He is also a visiting fellow and contributor to the Task Force on Islamism and the International Order at Stanford’s Hoover Institution) May 23, 2011 “Saudi Arabia, Iran, and America in the Wake of the Arab Spring” http://www.biu.ac.il/SOC/besa/docs/perspectives140.pdf
  With the advent of the Arab uprisings,
  AND
  region,” he was speaking about Saudi Arabia.

  
  
  

Dip- Cap 1nc

• Tournament: GSU | Round: 2 | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
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• Bag of goods 1nc
  Diplomatic capital is stable and focused now - U.S. democracy assistance would be seen as a foreign policy reversal ruining regenerating diplomatic capital
  J.A. Myerson, 4-27-2011, Executive Editor of the Busy Signal, is the Artistic Director of Full of Noises and a teaching artist with Urban Arts Partnership, Foreign Policy in Focus, “Time to Sever the Saudi Ties That Bind,” http://www.fpif.org/blog/time_to_sever_the_saudi_ties_that_bind
  Saudi Arabia’s client despot to the South,
  AND
  in the land of Mecca and Medina too.
  Diplomatic resources are finite.
  Michael Fullilove, 6-1-2007, directs the global issues program at the Lowy Institute for International Policy in Sydney, “The Costanza doctrine,” http://www.the-diplomat.com/article.aspx?aeid=2875
  Similarly, in its geopolitical incarnation, adherents
  AND
  allies worrying about the limits of US power.
  
  The U.S. has so far been successful at using diplomatic capital to stall a Palestinian bid for statehood – any loss in capital will lead to a quick reversal with mass violence and a massive blow to U.S. credibility*
  Barbara Plett, 6-28-2011, BBC News, “Heated diplomacy behind Palestinian statehood bid,” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/mobile/world-middle-east-13939076
  For the next two months, a lot
  AND
  merging with the protests of the Arab Spring.
  Israel-Palestine war goes nuclear – this is the most important impact.
  Kamal Nawash, January 2009, immigration lawyer and legal director of the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee, “Israel/Palestine Conflict May Lead to Nuclear War,” http://muslimmedianetwork.com/mmn/?p=3501
  The conflict between Israel and the Palestinians is
  AND
  answer is YES but time is running out.

  
  
  

EU CP

• Tournament: GSU | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
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• US soft power beating out EU now – increasing Europes global cultural reach is key
  Anita Kirpalani (writer for Newsweek) January 2010 “Winning the Soft Power war” http://www.newsweek.com/2010/06/04/winning-the-soft-power-war.html
  This developing-world surge means Europe lags
  AND
  really wants to be part of the mainstream.

  EU soft power and leadership are key to prevent regional backsliding and Balkan instability
  Carl Bildt (former prime minister of Sweden and UN envoy to the Balkans, is a board member of the Centre for European Reform) June 2005 “Europe must keep its 'soft power'” http://www.cer.org.uk/articles/bildt_ft_1june05.html
  Yet, in recent years, Europe has
  AND
  a slide into instability are to be avoided.
  Nuclear war
  Daily Herald, 5-9, 1999, Dogs of War, p. lexis
  We hear the grim rationale for sending in
  AND
  in nuclear war and incalculable self-destruction.

  
  
  

SKFTA

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 2, 3 | Opponent: | Judge: Dylan Quigley
  
  
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• 1NC 

  TAA will pass the House setting the stage for FTA ratification by Halloween
  Belgum 9/30 (Deborah Belgum, “The Last Push Is On for Three Free-Trade Agreements,” Apparel News, google)
  If all goes well, the pending free
  AND
  then send them to Obama for a signature.”
  Plan causes huge fights- Costs capital
  Carothers 2009 (Thomas Carothers, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. In this capacity, he oversees the Democracy and Rule of Law Program and Carnegie Europe, practiced international and financial law at Arnold & Porter and served as an attorney-adviser in the Office of the Legal Adviser of the U.S. Department of State, A.B., Harvard College; M.Sc., London School of Economics; J.D., Harvard Law School, 2009, google)
  In any event, the Obama administration has
  AND
  to take on entrenched interests in many quarters.
  Capital key to TAA
  Palmer 9/2 (Doug Palmer, September 2, 2011, “Analysis: Obama's trade legacy in a crucible this fall,” Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/02/us-usa-obama-trade-idUSTRE7814CZ20110902)
  In addition to the challenge from organized labor
  AND
  those trade agreements without TAA," said Trumka.
  SKFTA is key to solve heg, econ, trade, and Korea war
  Hubbard 2011 (Thomas Hubbard, Senior Director for Asia, McLarty Associates and Former Ambassador to South Korea, April 7, 2011, Congressional Documents and Publications, “House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Trade Hearing - Brady Announces Third in a Series of Three Hearings on the Pending, Job-Creating Trade Agreements: South Korea Trade Agreement,” google)
  The United States-South Korea Free Trade
  AND
  fundamental security and economic interests into the future.  
  Escalates to global nuclear war
  Stratfor 2010 (Stratfor, May 26, 2010, “North Korea, South Korea: The Military Balance on the Peninsula,” google)
  But no one, of course, is
  AND
  might be if the situation escalates much further.

  1NR

  A. Timeframe and probability- KORUS key to deter North Korea aggression- now is key
  Riley 2010 (Bryan Riley, Heritage Foundation blog, “South Korea Trade Pact: More Important Than Ever - The Heritage Foundation” November 13, 2010, google)
  The economic case for the South Korea–
  AND
  back one of our country’s key strategic allies.
  B. Magnitude- Miscalc means no war would be small
  Freedman 8/10 (Uri Freedman, August 10, 2011, “What Fueled the Latest Firefight Between North and South Korea?,” Atlantic Wire, http://www.theatlanticwire.com/global/2011/08/what-fueled-latest-firefight-between-north-and-south-korea/41082/)
  Today has brought disturbing news from the always
  AND
  its own military to counter South Korean drills."
  Turns case- first Kills credibility
  Palmer 9/6 (Doug Palmer, September 6, 2011, "UPDATE 2-PREVIEW-U.S. trade deals face tricky approval path,” google)
  Failure to pass the trade deals would hurt U.S. manufacturers, farmers and service companies eager to expand exports to three countries, she said. It would also undermine the Obama administration's own efforts to craft a regional free trade agreement with eight other countries in the Asia Pacific region, she said. "If these things don't go through this fall, we have zero credibility. Zero. Not just in the Trans-Pacific Partnership talks but in other international negotiations," Schwab said.

  Second- Rollback
  Czaplinska 2007 (Agata Czaplińska, Development Cooperation Department Ministry of Foreign Affairs 2-2007 google)
  However, the challenge that the donor community faces goes beyond figures, numbers and better administrative procedures. Conventional wisdom suggests that successful and sustainable development cooperation policies and expenditures require a constituency for aid in donor countries. Expanding aid programmes and budgets not only should be made known to the citizens but they also need to be understood and approved of. Otherwise, effectiveness of development policy may be endangered due to policy incoherence – e.g. if aid policy is contradicted by trade policy – and unreliable levels of funding. Ideally, support for development cooperation should come from a public sense of “ownership” of aid policies – i.e. a genuine identification with its ends and means.
  Will pass- House deal on TAA passage is imminent
  Inside US Trade 9/30 (“White House May Submit FTAs as Early as Next Week, but No Deal Yet,” Lexis)
  Opponents and supporters of the pending free trade
  AND
  Inside U.S. Trade, Sept. 

  Will pass with strong bipartisan support
  Kaupke 9/27 (Charles Kaupke, “Want Congressional Harmony? Try Free Trade Agreements,” The Foundry, google)
  Congress keeps threatening to shut down over the
  AND
  and expand its participation in the world market.

  Will pass- Final details are being hammered out- Insiders
  Inside US Trade 9/30 (“White House May Submit FTAs as Early as Next Week, but No Deal Yet,” Lexis)
  Pro-FTA lobbyists said that the White
  AND
  of President Lee's visit to the United States.
  Will pass quickly
  Barkley 9/30 (Tom Barkley, “Senate Republicans call for Obama to immediately submit trade pacts,” Daily Herd, google)
  Nearly a dozen Senate Republicans on Thursday called
  AND
  win final approval, according to Reid's plan.
  Will pass soon
  Needham 9/29 (Vicki Needham, “Senate Republicans step up pressure on White House to submit free-trade deals,” The Hill, google)
  Senate Republicans are turning up the heat on
  AND
  the White House to move the trade deals.
  Will pass- Obama’s pushing
  Liberto 9/29 (Jennifer Liberto, “Trade deals held up by Washington gridlock,” CNN Money, google)
  Republicans in both chambers have been calling for
  AND
  important step," toward the pending trade agreements.
  Will pass in October
  Tae-gyu 9/26 (Kim Tae-gyu, “KORUS FTA Set to Pass,” Korea Times, google)
  ``In consideration of the current atmosphere in
  AND
  Congress before the end of next month.’’

  Focus is key to the agenda-distractions ensures KORUS is lost in the shuffle.
  Richard J. Powell (assistant professor of political science at the University of Maine) 2004 The Politics of Terror: The US Response to 9/11 ed. William Croty p. 256
  There are few agreed-upon truths in
  AND
  and resist external intrusions on the presidential agenda.
  Executive agency decisions are always connected to the President.
  Jeffrey E. Cohen and Ken Collier (professors of political science at Fordham and Kansas) 1999 Presidential Policymaking: An End of Century Assessment, p. 42
  In his study of the agenda-setting
  AND
  Thus, the president has many "voices".
  Obama key to overcome final hurdles
  Kasperowicz 9/16 (Pete Kasperowicz, “A closer look at next week ...,” The Hill, google)
  Trade policy, another point of contention,
  AND
  discussion about exactly how to bridge the divide.

  Obama key to TAA—Has to persuade House Republicans
  Palmer 9/7 (Doug Palmer, September 7, 2011, “Republicans ask Obama to send Congress trade pacts,” Reuters, google)
  The White House and Republicans have locked horns
  AND
  we're making headway," the administration official said.

  Obama can use PC to garner support at the margins
  Dickinson 9 (Matthew, professor of political science at Middlebury College. He taught previously at Harvard University, where he also received his Ph.D., working under the supervision of presidential scholar Richard Neustadt, We All Want a Revolution: Neustadt, New Institutionalism, and the Future of Presidency Research, Presidential Studies Quarterly 39 no4 736-70 D 2009)
  Small wonder, then, that initial efforts
  AND
  vote (Beckmann 2008, n.d.).
  Ideology doesn’t outweigh – presidential success dictates votes
  Lebo, 2010 (Matthew J. Lebo, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Stony Brook University, and Andrew O'Geen, PhD Candidate, Department of Political Science, Stony Brook University, Journal of Politics, “The President’s Role in the Partisan Congressional Arena” forthcoming, google)
  Keeping this centrality in mind, we use
  AND
  party politics into the literature on the presidency.

  2.  Studies prove issues spillover—the president is key.
  Eshbaugh-Soha, M. (2008). Policy Priorities and Presidential Success in Congress. Conference Papers  American Political Science Association, 1-26. Retrieved from Political Science Complete database.
  Presidential-congressional relations are a central topic
  AND
  a primary determinant of presidential success in Congress.

  Round 3 @ Kentucky Extras:

  1NC

  Plan costs capital—Congress supports the Yemen government
  Newman 2010 (Alex Newman, February 25, 2010, “U.S. Steps Up Military Aid to Yemen,” New American, http://thenewamerican.com/world-mainmenu-26/asia-mainmenu-33/3020-us-steps-up-military-aid-to-yemen)
  But despite the overwhelming evidence condemning the regime
  AND
  hurt taxpayers, the military and the economy.

  1NR

  Plan faces huge opposition in Congress
  Thomas Carothers (the vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. In this capacity, he oversees the Democracy and Rule of Law Program and Carnegie Europe, practiced international and financial law at Arnold & Porter and served as an attorney-adviser in
  the Office of the Legal Adviser of the U.S. Department of State, A.B., Harvard College; M.Sc., London School of Economics; J.D., Harvard Law School) 2009  http://www.scribd.com/doc/21802142/Revitalizing-U-S-Democracy-Assistance-The-Challenge-of-USAID
  In any event, the Obama administration has
  AND
  to take on entrenched interests in many quarters.
  Group the thumpers cards-Hold their evidence to a high threshold- Issues don’t cost PC until the finish line- If they can’t cite a bill and a scheduled vote then discount them
  Drum 2010  (Kevin Drum, Political Blogger, Mother Jones, http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/immigration-coming-back-burner)
  Not to pick on Ezra or anything,
  AND
  Maybe not. But they will be soon.
  Solyndra is No big deal- No evidence Obama did anything wrong and the White House can counter-spin against republicans
  Wang 9/18  (Marian Wang September 18, Tuscon Sentinel, http://www.tucsonsentinel.com/nationworld/report/091811_solyndra_qa/whats-happening-with-that-solar-firm-scandal/)
  Did the Obama administration do anything wrong?
  AND
  there had been any wrongdoing or special favors.
  Not a big deal now- If it becomes one it will do so well after free trade has passed
  Lamel 9/16 (Joshua Lamel, Cofounder and principal, J2 Public Strategies, former Congressional staffer, Politico, google)
  Solyndra is a headache for the White House
  AND
  of Solyndra's failure is the more relevant discussion.

  States.
  Will pass—Latest agreement proves
  Oi-hyun 9/2 (Kim Oi-hyun, “KORUS FTA ratification to be introduced in tandem with U.S. Congress,” The Hankyoreh, google)
  During a full meeting of the National Assembly’s
  AND
  not likely to be introduced until after September.

  Obama can’t get momentum on foreign policy wins
  Dickinson 11, professor of political science – Middlebury, 2/10/’11
  (Matthew, “Egypt, Iraq and the Limits of Presidential Power,” http://blogs.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2011/02/10/egypt-iraq-and-the-limits-of-presidential-power/)
  My point is not to defend Bush for
  AND
  are or that they might wish to be.
  
  2.  Even if they win winner win-our link is still true in the short-term.
  Schaller, 2009 (Tom Schaller, Five Thirty Eight.com, “Is Obama spending his political capital” August 18, google)
  Obama is investing now with an eye toward
  AND
  rise back to pre-Summer '09 levels.
  Obama thinks that pol cap is finite – he’ll back off controversial issues even if he’s winning
  Kuttner 9, co-editor of The American Prospect and a senior fellow at Demos, author of "Obama's Challenge: America's Economic Crisis and the Power of a Transformative Presidency, 4/28/’9
  (Robert, “Obama Has Amassed Enormous Political Capital, But He Doesn't Know What to Do with It,” http://www.alternet.org/economy/138641/obama_has_amassed_enormous_political_capital,_but_he_doesn%27t_know_what_to_do_with_it/?page=entire)
  We got a small taste of what a
  AND
  but he defaults to the politics of accommodation.

  
  
  

Pressure CP

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 2 | Opponent: Harvard RZ | Judge: Dylan Quigley
  
  
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• Text: The United States federal government should communicate to the government of Bahrain that it will issue a report finding “credible allegations of gross violations of human rights” in the Bahrain military unless Bahrain promptly releases jailed opposition leaders and makes measurable progress towards constitutional monarchy.

  Solvency 

  Triggers an automatic cutoff in military aid unless Bahrain complies.
  Compliance Campaign, 3-15-2011, “International, domestic law requires the U.S. to cut aid to Bahrain,” http://compliancecampaign.wordpress.com/2011/03/15/international-domestic-law-requires-the-u-s-to-cut-aid-to-gulf-states/
  Following Bahrain’s declaration of martial law and Saudi
  AND
  or other operations consistent with the UN Charter.
  
  The counterplan is the only way to accelerate the reform process and restore U.S credibility.
  Joost R. Hiltermann, 9-17-2011, Deputy Program Director for Middle East and North Africa at the International Crisis Group, Foreign Affairs, “Pushing for Reform in Bahrain,” http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68246/joost-r-hiltermann/pushing-for-reform-in-bahrain
  How Washington should now proceed is an open
  AND
  standards in its approach to the Arab Spring.

  
  
  

T - Democracy Assistance

• Tournament: GSU, Kentucky | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
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• “Democracy assistance” means a non-profit transfer exclusively for democratic purposes to groups ALREADY working towards democracy.
  Lappin, 2010 (Richard Lappin, Ph.D. candidate at the Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven in Belgium, participated in over a dozen democracy assistance missions with the UN, EU, OSCE and Carter Center and has recently completed assignments in Sierra Leone, Lebanon and Romania, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade under the JoinEU-SEE programme, Central European Journal of International and Security Studies (CEJISS), Prague, Czech Republic, “ What We Talk About When We Talk About Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation” google)
  Democracy assistance can be most accurately defined as
  AND
  precise instrument within a broader democracy promotion paradigm.

  
  
  

Conditions CP (Yemen)

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 3 | Opponent: Emory BL | Judge: John Warden
  
  
• 
  

• The United States Department of Defense should expand its civil military support element to support political contestation to Yemeni recipients who agree to cooperate with the United States in relevant anti-terrorism initiatives, including the sharing of counter-terror information.

  Conditioning aid on cooperation with security forces solves – aff doesn’t solve
  Peter Knoetgne (Central European Journal of International & Security Studies) May 2011“Chaos and Terrorism: How to Fight al-Qaeda in Yemen Amid Political Turmoil”
  http://www.cejiss.org/columns/chaos-and-terrorism-how-fight-al-qaeda-yemen-amid-political-turmoil
  Yemen has rampant economic problems. By almost
  AND
  role of a strategic weapon against Yemeni terrorism.
  been tested in the way they might be if the situation escalates much further.

  extinction
  Yonah Alexander, professor and director of the Inter-University for Terrorism Studies in Israel and the United States, The Washington Times 8/28/2003
  Last week's brutal suicide bombings in Baghdad and
  AND
  For without victory, there is no survival."

  
  
  

Tajikistan CP

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 3 | Opponent: Emory BL | Judge: John Warden
  
  
• 
  

• Text: The United States federal government should use Tajikistan as the model for its Civil Military Support Element for local governance assistance.  The United States Federal Government should expand the program as necessary for this purpose.  We’ll clarify

  CP solves  

  CMSE operations in Tajikstan can solve and be modeled
  Lightsey 10 [Ross F. Lightsey Sr., major assigned to the JFK Special Warfare Center and School’s 1st Special Warfare Training Group, Combat tours include on to Qatar as commander of a CMSE that had elements across Pakistan, Tajikistan and Yemen, Special Warfare, May-June 2010, “PERSISTENT ENGAGEMENT: Civil Military Support Elements [CMSE] Operating in CENTCOM,” http://afpakwar.com/blog/archives/6888]
  CMSE operations in Tajikistan are a good example
  AND
  are keeping the overall goal to the forefront.

  
  
  

Framework vs. West Georgia GR

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 6 | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
• 
  

• Framework 1NC

  Democracy assistance is a non-profit transfer.
  Lappin, 2010 (Richard Lappin, Ph.D. candidate at the Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven in Belgium, participated in over a dozen democracy assistance missions with the UN, EU, OSCE and Carter Center and has recently completed assignments in Sierra Leone, Lebanon and Romania, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade under the JoinEU-SEE programme, Central European Journal of International and Security Studies (CEJISS), Prague, Czech Republic, “ What We Talk About When We Talk About Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation” google)
  Democracy assistance can be most accurately defined as
  AND
  precise instrument within a broader democracy promotion paradigm.

  United States Federal Government is the central government in Washington D.C.
  West’s Legal Thesaurus/Dictionary. 1985 (p. 744. MHHAR7000)
  United States; usually means the federal government centered in Washington, DC

  Refusing to defend the implementation of the plan/resolution erases all predictable negative counterplan, disadvantage and case ground. While we may have arguments indicting the idea of the plan or personal advocacy, we’ll never have evidence saying their specific advocacy of the plan is bad. This eliminates all of our resolutionally-based offensive arguments.
  Michael Ignatieff, pub. date: 2004, Carr Prof. of human rights @ Harvard,  Lesser Evils.  p. 20-1
  As for moral perfectionism, this would be
  AND
  one right might lead us to betray another.

   Topical Education – By manipulating the topic to access a political project they destroy discussion of the important question asked by the resolution. This tactic promotes debate that is either stagnant or shallow.
  Martin Lewis, pub. date: 1992,  Assist. Prof. @ George Washington, Green Delusions, p. 258
  A majority of those born between 1960 and
  AND
  immorality, and constitutional refinements become inconvenient niceties.

  Turn—limits are vital to creativity and innovation
  INTRATOR, 10 [David President of The Creative Organization, October 21, “Thinking Inside the Box,” http://www.trainingmag.com/article/thinking-inside-box
  One of the most pernicious myths about creativity
  AND
  rules you’re creating as you build your box.

  Without precision the topic is unlimited- no meaning to the word “democracy.”
  Lappin, 2010 (Richard Lappin, Ph.D. candidate at the Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven in Belgium, participated in over a dozen democracy assistance missions with the UN, EU, OSCE and Carter Center and has recently completed assignments in Sierra Leone, Lebanon and Romania, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade under the JoinEU-SEE programme, Central European Journal of International and Security Studies (CEJISS), Prague, Czech Republic, “ What We Talk About When We Talk About Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation” google)
  Conclusion This article has examined the emergence of
  AND
  of formulating effective democratic means will remain improbable.

  voting issue.
  Ruth Lessl Shively, pub. date: 2000, Assoc Prof Polisci at Texas A&M, Political Theory and Partisan Politics, p. 182-3
  The point may seem trite, as surely
  AND
  are simply implicit in the act of argumentation.

  
  
  

EU CP vs. West Georgia GR

• Tournament: Kentucky | Round: 6 | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
• 
  

• Text: Europe should announce themselves as an autonomous ideological, political and economic force, with its own priorities, with their main priority to act as a counterweight to Americanized exceptionalism.
  Post 9/11 the only check on U.S. Empire is a unified Europe- only an autonomous unified political Europe can solve.
  Slavoj Zizek, pub. date: 2002, Senior Researcher @ the Institute for Social Studies at Ljublijana, Welcome to the Desert of the Real, p. 143-145
  According to the Ancient Greek myth, Europa
  AND
  unified Europe as a counterweight to Americanized globalism.
  Only Europe is situated to resist American Empire- all other resistance has been assimilated
  Slavoj Zizek, pub. date: 2002, Senior Researcher @ the Institute for Social Studies at Ljublijana, Welcome to the Desert of the Real, p. 146
  These complaints are sustained by the more fundamental
  AND
  the same coin, Jihad is already McJihad. 

  
  
  

Retreat Critique

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
• 
  

• First is the link— The affirmative’s attempt to sidestep the costs and benefits of policy implementation demonstrates their orientation toward their project lacks seriousness
  Isaac 2002—Jeffrey C. Isaac is James H. Rudy Professor of Political Science and director of the Center for the Study of Democracy and Public Life at Indiana University, Bloomington. Dissent / Spring 2002
  Politics is about ends and means—about
  AND
  in the society in which these activists live.
  A framework that places academic debate regarding the Arab Spring in the context of policy rationales guiding individual cases is critical to correct information asymmetries
  Walt 11 – Stephen M. Walt, Professor of International Affairs at Harvard’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, July 21, 2011, “International Affairs and the Public Sphere,” online: http://publicsphere.ssrc.org/walt-international-affairs-and-the-public-sphere/
  Academics can make at least three distinct contributions
  AND
  than the scholars who produce it might wish.
  Next is the impact—Their retreat to local concerns enables unsolved global problems to assure extinction—Their method solves nothing, but cedes the political to authoritarian reactions
  Boggs 1997—Dr. Carl Boggs Professor Ph.D. Political Science, University of California, Berkeley National University Social Sciences 1997 “The great retreat: Decline of the public sphere in late twentieth-century America ” Theory and Society 26: 741-780, 1997.
  The decline of the public sphere in late
  AND
  interests that had vanished from civil society.75  
  And, the aff is doomed to failure—Their activist reaction to deliberation lacks epistemic modesty – it engages in a form of knowledge production which replicates injustice
  Talisse 2006—Robert B. Talisse Department of Philosophy, Vanderbilt University 2006 Deliberativist responses to activist challenges A continuation of Young’s dialectic Philosophy & Social Criticism 31 (4) [In this article, the activist is ‘he’ and the deliberativist is ‘she’]
  That Young’s activist is not reasonable in this
  AND
  the activist denies this, he is unreasonable.
  The alternative is to embrace the risks associated with defending the implementation of their values as policy—Only embracing risk fills political space to resist the worst abuses of a military state
  Rule 2010—The Military State of America and the Democratic Left WINTER 2010 DISSENT James B. Rule is affiliated with the Center for the Study of Law and Society at the University of California, Berkeley, 2010 and a longtime member of Dissent’s Editorial Board. His latest book is Privacy in Peril (Ebsco)
  In a dangerous world, any course of
  AND
  domestic well-being are far more alarming.

  This serious political commitment provides the only hope to avoid the worst impacts and the internal links to their offense
  Isaac 2002—Jeffrey C. Isaac is James H. Rudy Professor of Political Science and director of the Center for the Study of Democracy and Public Life at Indiana University, Bloomington. Dissent / Spring 2002
  Second, it would mean frankly acknowledging something
  AND
  never be mistaken for a serious political commitment. 

  
  
  

Disabilities CP vs. Texas

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
• 
  

• TEXT: The United States Agency for International Development should eliminate criteria for disability assistance based on medical guidelines and instead adopt the Union of the Physically Impaired Against Segregation guidelines for democratic assistance.

  It solves – it radically changes the approach in which we intervene in matters of the disabled – empirically tested.
  Tom Shakespeare & Nicholas Watson, 2002, Department of Sociology, University of Newcastle, Nicholas Watson is in the Department of Nursing Studies, University of Edinburgh,  Research in Social Science and Disability, Vol. 2, “The social model of disability: an outdated ideology?,” http://www.leeds.ac.uk/disability-studies/archiveuk/Shakespeare/social%20model%20of%20disability.pdf
  The social model of disability has been called
  AND
  the social oppression, not the form of impairment

  Net benefit

  USAID’s 2012 budget will be tight now but the essentials will be covered.
  USAID 2011 (United States Agency for International Development, 2011, “Congressional Budget Justification,” http://www.usaid.gov/performance/cbj/158267.pdf)
  Most importantly, the Request establishes priorities and
  AND
  The Request fully eliminates six bilateral country programs.
   

  Every new expenditure causes a direct funding tradeoff.
  USAID 2010 (United States Agency for International Development, November 30, 2010, “Rebuilding Budget Management,” http://forward.usaid.gov/reform-agenda/rebuilding-budget-mgmt)
  Aligning budget resources with policy and strategic priorities
  AND
  indicators, including data from rigorous impact evaluations.

  Most likely cuts are to Africa - causes regional instability and war.
  Zeitvogel 2011 (Karin Zeitvogel, March 3, 2011, AFP, “US aid cuts could drive troops to Africa: activists,” Google News)
  Republicans' proposed cuts to US foreign aid could
  AND
  stability, we can't let this go unchecked."

  Draw in causes escalatory nuclear war.
  Deutsch 2002 (Jeffrey- Founder of Rabid Tiger Project Political Risk Consulting and Research Firm focusing on Russia and Eastern Europe,  “SETTING THE STAGE FOR WORLD WAR III,” Rabid Tiger Newsletter, Nov 18, http://www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html)
  The Rabid Tiger Project believes that a nuclear
  AND
  , and some people love to go fishing.

  
  
  

Politics - China Bashing

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
• 
  

• 1NC

  China bashing is gaining momentum- All of Boehner’s capital is key to block it
  Beattie 10/4 (Alan Beattie, “US currency bill drama belies grind ahead,” Financial Times, google)
  So, are they serious? Monday’s overwhelming
  AND
  the Republican presidential nomination, has supported it.

  Plan costs capital- Causes huge spending fights in Congress
  Richter 2011 (Paul Richter, Los Angeles Times, April 12, 2011, “Debt worries stymieing U.S. financial aid to help Arab nations in transition,” LA Times, http://articles.latimes.com/2011/apr/12/world/la-fg-mideast-aid-20110413)
  The Obama administration's efforts to use foreign aid
  AND
  to justify nation-building in foreign countries."
  These fights empirically destroy Boehner’s capital
  McManus 2011 (Doyle McManus, April 3, 2011, “No party for John Boehner,” LA Times, google)
  Last week, Boehner and Reid agreed to
  AND
  one-third of the cuts they promised.
  US-China trade conflict guts relations and is the most likely scenario for military escalation
  Landy 2007 (Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, April 3, 2007, google)
  The greatest threat for the 21st century is
  AND
  in military budgets and anti-satellite tests.
  Relations key to solve prolif, disease, terrorism and the economy
  Hickey 2011 (Dennis V. Hickey, James F. Morris Endowed Professor of Political Science and Director of the Graduate Program in Global Studies at the distinguished Missouri State University, Harvard of the Midwest, “Sino-US cooperation essential,” China Daily, google)
  After all, cooperation between the two governments
  AND
  from his angle as well as your own". 

  BLOCK

  This one will- Tensions overwhelm rationality
  Hitchcock 10/6 (Tom Hitchcock, “Senate Bill could Trigger China Trade War,” Gather, google)
  No one wins a trade war, but
  AND
  would be devastating. We lose round one.

  Russian instability inevitable—
  AIDS
  Harley Felbaum. (PhD at the Centre of Global Change and Health). "The National Security Implications of HIV/AIDS." June 13, 2006. http://medicine.plosjournals.org/perlserv/?request=get-document&doi=10.1371/journal.pmed.0030171&ct=1#N106
  The final argument linking HIV/AIDS and
  AND
  on perceived strategic importance rather than public health need
  HIV epidemic threatens to destabilize the government in Moscow in coming years.
  Harley Felbaum. (PhD at the Centre of Global Change and Health). "The National Security Implications of HIV/AIDS." June 13, 2006. http://medicine.plosjournals.org/perlserv/?request=get-document&doi=10.1371/journal.pmed.0030171&ct=1#N106
  From the perspective of the Russian, Indian
  AND
  addressing the security impact of HIV/AIDS.
  Chechnya
  PINR. "Chechnya: Russia's Second Afghanistan." Sep. 2004. http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=221&language_id=1
  The one constant among Chechens is a fundamental
  AND
  a weakening of Moscow's power in the Caucasus.

  Americans hate the plan, backlash versus Obama- Public doesn’t support democracy- they prioritize security
  John Whitesides Feb 9 2011 Reuters “U.S. public cautious on Middle East democracy: poll” http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/09/us-usa-mideast-idUSTRE7184IK20110209
  A majority of Americans believe the United States
  AND
  or security," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

  No first strike- US doesn’t have the political will to allow for conflicts caused by miscalculation
  China Daily 2008, 1/10/08
  ' Military conflicts unlikely'  Analysts believe the incident
  AND
  Gulf in the near term," he said.
  No escalation even if miscalc occurs
  Cordesman 2007 – “War with Iran?” Harper’s http://harpers.org/archive/2007/02/sb-war-with-iran-3-1171549349
  There is no evidence that the United States
  AND
  did not lead to any type of escalation.
  Economy is escalatory nuclear war- Turns case- Backsliding, regional prolif and diminished regional military presence
  Burrows and Harris 2009 (Mathew J. Burrows, counselor in the National Intelligence Council, PhD in European History from Cambridge University, and Jennifer Harris, a member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit, April 2009 “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis” http://www.twq.com/09april/docs/09apr_Burrows.pdf)
  Of course, the report encompasses more than
  AND
  a more dog-eat-dog world. 

  Disease is extinction
  Steinbruner 1998 (John D- Senior Fellow at Brookings Institution, “Biological weapons: A plague upon all houses,” Foreign Policy)
  It is a considerable comfort and undoubtedly a
  AND
  security problem for the species as a whole.

  Prolif is extinction
  Utgoff 2002 (Victor A., Deputy Director of the Strategy, Forces, and Resources Division of the Institute for Defense Analyses. In 1998–99, he established the Advanced Systems and Concepts Office, former senior member of the National Security Council Staff, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Survival, “Proliferation, Missile Defence and American Ambitions”)
  We can almost hear the kinds of words
  AND
  , even in the face of nuclear threats.

  Link Turns Case
  Link takes out solvency-
  First- Credibility
  Adesnik and McFaul 2006 (David Adesnik, member of the research staff at the Institute for Defense Analyses. Michael McFaul is the Helen and Peter Bing, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution; director of the Center for Democracy, Development, and Rule of Law at Stanford University; and a nonresident senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington Quarterly, Spring)
  Second, words mattered, especially when they
  AND
  superiors’ credibility, including that of the president.
  Second- Rollback
  Czaplinska 2007 (Agata Czaplińska, Development Cooperation Department Ministry of Foreign Affairs 2-2007 google)
  However, the challenge that the donor community
  AND
  a genuine identification with its ends and means.
  Third- Funding and Implementation
  Spence 2004 (Dr. Matthew, Ph.D. in International Relations – Oxford University and JD – Yale University, “Policy Coherence and Incoherence: The Domestic Politics of American Democracy Promotion”, 10-5, google)
  The Consequences of U.S. Policy
  AND
  helps inform how to target policy recommendations for improvements

  
  
  

Turkey CP vs. Wayne State DM

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
• 
  

• Text: The Republic of Turkey should substantially increase political party support to the Egyptian Freedom and Justice Party.

  Turkey solves best
  Negron-Gonzales 2011 (Dr. Melinda Negrón-Gonzales, lecturer of Politics and Society at the University of New Hampshire at Manchester, May 2011, “Building Civil Society after the Arab Spring: Lessons from Turkey,” Encompassing Crescent, http://encompassingcrescent.com/2011/05/building-civil-society-after-the-arab-spring-lessons-from-turkey)
  Arab countries are already embedded in Europe-
  AND
  breathe new life into its stalled reform process.

  
  
  

Israel Relations

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  

• 1NC

  The U.S. is coordinating Arab Spring responses with Israel to preserve relations in the status quo – the plan would be seen as a reversal of this policy**

  Alison Weir, 9-16-2011, is executive director of If Americans Knew, Sabah Report, “US Ambassador: Support for Israel drives all US policies,”

  The test of our policy explains President Obama's

  AND

  working closely together to chart a common strategy."

  U.S. intervention in Egypt contrary to Israel’s wishes means relations would be strained past the breaking point.

  Terra Incognita, pub. date: 2011, “Terra Incognita – Arab Spring Forcing US to Choose Between Longtime Allies,”

  US policy in the Middle East has long

  AND

  of Beijing’s readiness to pay its own way.

  A decline in U.S.-Israeli relations encourages regional aggression.

  Daniel Ayalon, pub. date: 8-30-2005,  Israeli Ambassador to the United States, "The Day after disengagement: what's next for Israel and the Middle East?," Federal News Service. Lexis Nexis

  Then I come to this Israel-U

  AND

  peaceful moves to the -- in the future.

  The impact is nuclear war.

  John Steinbach, pub. date: 3-3-2002, “Israeli Nuclear Weapons: A Threat to Piece,” http://www.converge.org.nz/pma/mat0036.htm

  Meanwhile, the existence of an arsenal of

  AND

  Middle East conflict could trigger a world conflagration."

  BLOCK

  1. Magnitude – The aff is confined to only regional conflicts If Israel feels at all threatened they will lash out with nuclear weapons causing a great power draw in – escalating any conflict that is started in the region.

  Joel C. Rosenberg, pub. date: 12-11-2006, Founder of the Joshua Fund and Author of Several books, "Firestorm: Olmert shocks world by admitting Israel has Nuclear Weapons,”

  What a shock, Israel has nuclear weapons

  AND

  evil of Islami-fascism at this time.

  3. Timeframe –Our disad is perceptually based and it’s the process of democratic assistance to the MBH which leads to a perception of U.S. abandonment and ruins relations immediately. Israel will preemptively strike meaning our impacts come first

  Roberta D. Tate, pub. date: 9-15-2002, MA Srategic Intellegence American Military University in Manassas Virginian; Project Analyst, “The Cold War Era (1946-1991),” Bobbi's Political Space,

  I honestly believe that the posturing to end

  AND

  Russia. What a tangled web we weave.

  Israel: We access these impacts much better because Israel will strike before Hamas could even acquire these weapons and out of fear of the MBH Israel will instigate the Samson Option

  Dafinoiu 2011 (David Dafinoiu, president and co-founder at NorAm Intelligence, May 26, 2011, “The ‘Arab Spring’, the ‘Samson Option’ and ‘Arab Fall’,” NorAm, http://noramintel.com/the-%E2%80%9Carab-spring%E2%80%9D-the-coming-%E2%80%9Cnuclear-winter%E2%80%9D-the-israeli-%E2%80%9Csamson-option%E2%80%9D-and-the-coming-global-economy-disaster/)

  Israel is becoming surrounded by mad regimes and

  AND

  ?  Mass starvations…think in the billions.

  Relations: The weakening of Israel’s positions in the Middle East weakens the U.S.’s diplomatic position in the Middle East – relations would mean nothing

  Richard N. Haass, Nov./Dec. 2006, has been president of the Council on Foreign Relations, prior to which he was Director of Policy Planning for the United States Department of State and a close advisor to Secretary of State Colin Powell, Foreign Affairs, “The New Middle East,” Ebsco Host

  Israel will be the other powerful state in

  AND

  , and other large producers will benefit disproportionately.

  And, U.S.-Israel relations are key to solve terror

  Eli Hertz, pub. date: 2005, “U.S. Israel Special Relationship,” Jerusalem,

  America benefits from Israel’s experience, innovations,

  AND

  waging wars with rogue states that support terrorism.

   

  
  
• 
  
  

Round Reports

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  
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• 
  
  

Morocco DA

• Tournament: UMKC | Round: 4 | Opponent: UTD TV | Judge:
  
  

• Syrian instability key to continued FDI to Morocco

  Christopher Hogg, Amir Memon and Taylor Valore, U Penn 1-3-12 (Arabic Studies, Joseph H. Lauder Inst of Management & International Studies; Formerly - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, a mid-market investment bank focused on financial services, worked with an Iraq-focused media company in Turkey) The Unexpected Early Winners of the Arab Spring http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2915

  Some observers suggest that revolutionary sentiment in Tunisia

  AND

  , such as Egypt's, come back refreshed.

  Rapid stabilization threatens consolidation

  Christopher Hogg, Amir Memon and Taylor Valore, U Penn 1-3-12 (Arabic Studies, Joseph H. Lauder Inst of Management & International Studies; Formerly - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, a mid-market investment bank focused on financial services, worked with an Iraq-focused media company in Turkey) The Unexpected Early Winners of the Arab Spring http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2915

  Even though the Arab Spring has created fresh

  AND

  against investing in the Middle East and North Africa

   

  Key to their economy – continuing to attract new investors key

  Sebastian Walsh (writer for Financial Nes) November 2011 “Investing in the Arab Spring: Morocco” http://www.efinancialnews.com/story/2011-11-16/investing-in-arab-spring-morocco

  “Morocco needs foreign direct investment because its

  AND

  them have good revenue generation,” she said.

  That’s key to moderate extremism regionally and prevent internal instability

  By Imrane Binoual for Magharebia in Casablanca –Dec 23/11

  PJD-led Morocco as template for Islamic

  AND

  or in Tunisia with Ennahda," Moussaoui says.

  Moroccan instability causes global Phosphorus supply shocks – global ag crisis

  Dana Cordell (Research Principal, Institute for Sustainable Futures at University of Technology, Sydney)  Stuart White (Professor at University of Technology, Sydney) and Tim Prior (Research Principal at University of Technology, Sydney) September 2011 “Securing phosphorus: food for thought, and food for the future” http://theconversation.edu.au/securing-phosphorus-food-for-thought-and-food-for-the-future-756

  Western Sahara is rich in high-quality

  AND

  2008 the price of phosphate rock rose 800%.

  Great power war

  Fredrik Moberg (phD Stolkhom U). "The Imminent Phosphorus Crisis Threatens Future Food Security Around The World" Sustainable Development Update. 2:7 2007. Online. a

  Global food security depends heavily upon the availability

  AND

  , are not at all impossible to envision.

  
  
• 
  
  

Soft Power Advantage CP

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  

• Text --- The United States Federal Government:

  - should substantially increase its funding for child survival foreign assistance programs;

  -accede to and implement the Convention on the Prohibition of the Use, Stockpiling, Production, and Transfer of Anti-Personnel Mines and on their Destruction;

  -accede to and implement the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court;

  -pay its assessed United Nations arrears and dues, which includes but is not limited to its peacekeeping arrears.

  Solves --- ICC is the acid test for Obama’s cred.

  Sewall and Kaysen ‘2K (Sarah, Prof Political Economy at MIT and Carl, Program Director - HR policy at Harvard, “The United States and the International Criminal Court: The Choices Ahead”, http://www.amacad.org/projects/iccarticle.aspx)

  The U.S. attitude toward the

  AND

  are critical for future American security and prosperity.

  
  
• 
  
  

Displacement Critique

• Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
  
  

• The affs use of the political as the background for their ethical action is the ultimate unethical act

  Adam Thurschwell (Asst. Prof. of Law, Cleveland State University) 2003 24 Cardozo L. Rev. 1193

  Thus, as Derrida puts it, "

  AND

  the basis of something that resembles pure faith.

  Alternative –Reject the affirmative’s displacement of their ethical commitment on outside institutions but embrace the individual ethical responsibility embodied within the 1AC

   

  Their focus on the atrocities that the government creates because of things like Bahrain policies ignores and trades off with recognizing our own personal complicity with violence. Only by refusing to make statements like “the United States Federal Government should” allows us to transform our own personal will to violence that is the root of their impacts

  Susanne Kappeler (Associate Professor at Al-Akhawayn University) 1995 The Will to Violence: The Politics of Personal Behaviour, pg. 75-76

  War does not suddenly break out in a

  AND

  structures and the values of war and violence.

  
  
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