A. Interpretation:
Democracy assistance is assistance for civil society, political parties and elections
Lincoln A. Mitchell and David I. Phillips, Columbia University, Enhancing Democracy Assistance, Atlantic Council 1—08, http://acus.org/files/publication_pdfs/65/Enhancing Democracy Assistance.pdf
A toolbox of approaches and methods [...] services, building confidence in democratization.
Democracy assistance must have the primary purpose of democratization
Carothers 2K (Thomas, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, A.B., Harvard College; M.Sc., London School of Economics; J.D., Harvard Law School, “Taking Stock of US Democracy Assistance,” in American Democracy Promotion: Impulses Strategies and Impacts, Edited by Michael Cox, G. John Ikenberry and Takashi Inoguchi, Oxford University Press, pp. 181-199)
The term ‘democracy assistance’ is [...] include economic and social aid programmes.
B. Violation – they are security assistance
C. vote negative
1. Limits – Excluding affs that contribute to but are not primarily targeted at democratization is a crucial limiter, there could be any number of plans that effectuate democracy, including economic assistance packages, regime changes, trade agreements, etc. This un-limits the topic.
2. Topic Education - Democracy assistance is the central focus of topic, not simply assistance that aids in the building of democracy. Affs that don’t provide a form of democracy assistance sidestep the core question of the topic.
PTC will pass, political capital key
Lee, 1/1 [Carol, Wall Street Journal, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204720204577131543017594740.html]
President Barack Obama heads into 2012 [...] and grandchildren to grow up in."
Military aid to Yemen is deeply divisive—State Department officials worry that the weapons could be used to destabilize the region
Schmitt and Shane 10 (9/15/10, reporters, “Aid to Fight Qaeda in Yemen Divides U.S. Officials” New York Times) http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/16/world/middleeast/16yemen.html
WASHINGTON — Senior State Department and [...] governor and set off tribal unrest.
Solves double dip
Stewart, 12/28 [Heather, The Guardian, “Extending Obama’s tax cuts should be new year’s resolution for Republicans”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/economics-blog/2011/dec/28/obama-tax-cuts-new-year-resolution?newsfeed=true]
Republicans caved in at the last [...] be the Republicans' reputation that suffers.
That causes depression
Isidore, 11 [Chris, CNN Money, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, http://money.cnn.com/2011/08/10/news/economy/double_dip_recession_economy/index.htm]
The risk of double dip recession [...] virtually no policy effort to counteract it
Extinction
Kerpen 8 (October 28, 2008 7:53 AM From Panic to Depression? The dangers of blaming free trade, low taxes, and flexible labor markets for our current troubles. By Phil Kerpen, Phil Kerpen is policy director for Americans for Prosperity.)
It’s important that we avoid all [...] conflicts on an even greater scale.
Unique-Link, US working through saudi Arabia and the GCC on yemen now, any change collapses alliance
Stuster 9/28 [J. Dana Stuster, Joseph S. Nye National Security Research Intern at Center for a New American Security, What Can the U.S. Really do for Yemen?, http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/09/what-can-the-us-really-do-for-yemen/245688/]
The amnesty provision is just one [...] other words, is wasting time.
Plan kills the alliance—4 reasons
sphere of influence, spillover, want yemen disunified, alliances with autocrats
Tehran Times 7/4 (Mohammad Farazmand, 7/4/11, " The Arab Spring and the role of regional powers ", http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=243567)
Saudi Arabia has historically tried to [...] in a region dominated by monarchism.
Breakdown of relations spurs Saudi prolif
Lippman, 8/5 (Sr. Adjunct Scholar-Council on Foreign Relations, http://www.susris.com/2011/08/05/saudi-arabia’s-nuclear-policy-lippman/)
So let us suppose that Saudi [...] less secure, rather than more.
That causes global nuclear war
Edelman, 11 (Jan/Feb, Distinguished Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments & Former U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Foreign Affairs, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67162/eric-s-edelman-andrew-f-krepinevich-jr-and-evan-braden-montgomer/the-dangers-of-a-nuclear-iran)
There is, however, at [...] Great Game, with unpredictable consequences.
The United States federal government should remove Internal Revenue Code lobbying restrictions and treasury ATF guidelines on charities and foundations that offer assistance to support democratic governance of the governorates of Yemen.
The Executive Branch of the United States should create a donor advised and new donations terror free list of charities supporting democratic governance of the governorates of Yemen.
Removing IRC lobbying restrictions ensures direct funding by charities and foundations of foreign NGOs that solve the aff
Crimm, Professor - Law - St. John's, 05
(Democratization, Global Grant-Making, and the Internal Revenue Code Lobbying Restrictions, 79 Tul. L. Rev. 587)
This Article focuses on the latter [...] risks of refraining from cautious experimentation.
solves donations and credibility
- Turner ‘9 (ACLU Report. Blocking Faith, Freezing Charity: Chilling Muslim Charitable Giving in the “War on Terrorism Financing” PUBLISHED: June 2009 Jennifer Turner, Human Rights Researcher of the ACLU’s Human Rights Program, researched and wrote this report. Jamil Dakwar, Director of the Human Rights Program; Steven Shapiro, ACLU Legal Director; and Hina Shamsi, former Staff Attorney of the National Security Program, reviewed and edited drafts of this report. Dan Mach, Director of Litigation of the Program on Religious Freedom and Belief; Cecillia Wang, Managing Attorney, Immigrants’ Rights Project; Melissa Goodman, Staff Attorney of the National Security Program; Danielle Tully and Alex Abdo, Legal Fellows of the National Security Program; Chris Hansen, Senior Staff Attorney of the First Amendment Working Group; and Ahilan Arulanantham, Director of Immigrants’ Rights and National Security of the ACLU of Southern California, reviewed portions of this report and provided input. Michael W. Macleod-Ball, Chief Legislative and Policy Counsel; Chris Anders, Senior Legislative Counsel; Michelle Richardson, Legislative Counsel; and Mike German, Policy Counsel, all of the ACLU Washington Legislative Office, also reviewed portions of this report and provided input. The ACLU conducted 120 in-person and telephone interviews with experts, Muslims community leaders, and American muslims for this report.
Reports suggest that there are high [...] blockage of the Muslim charities.”551
The affirmative operates within a framework of nation-state security that leads to serial policy failure.
Burke 2007 (Anthony Burke, Int'l Studies @ U of New South Wales, “Ontologies of War,” in Theory & Event, Vol. 10, Iss. 2)
This tells us much about [...] however ineffective, dysfunctional or chaotic.
Insecurity is inevitable – their ontological commitment to global order renders all life calculable and is the root cause of violent conflict
Burke 2007 (Anthony Burke, Int'l Studies @ U of New South Wales, “Ontologies of War,” in Theory & Event, Vol. 10, Iss. 2)
And what would be mankind's [...] obstacles, useful or obstinate matter.
The Alternative—vote Negative to refuse the affirmative as an instance of the violent logic of security
Burke, School of Political Science and International Studies, University of Queensland 2002 [Anthony, Aporias of Security, Alternatives 27]
It is perhaps easy to become [...] what its shimmering possibilities might be.
Text: President Obama should order the United States Special Operations Command to substantially increase its support for democratic governance of the the governorates of Yemen.
Civilian oversight key to civil-military relations
Gregory D. Foster, George C. Marshall Professor, Industrial College of the Armed Forces, National Defense University, “Confronting the Crisis in Civil-Military Relations,” WASHINGTON QUARTERLY, v. 20 n. 4, Spring 1997, p. 15+.
The crisis we face today transcends [...] , is a military in crisis.
Low CMR causes military reduction, making the US vulnerable to attack, turning case
Kima Megorden “EPISTEMOLOGY OF NUCLEAR DETERRENCE: MANIFESTATIONS IN CIVIL-MILITARY RELATIONS” United States Air Force Academy, 01. Accessed online 8/28/09 at: http://www.usafa.af.mil/isme/JSCOPE01/Megorden01.html
Among these differences is the changing [...] -than-usual peacetime army.
Poor civil-military relations undermine US foreign policy in three ways: (1) loss of policy coherence; (2) narrowing of options; (3) reduced international credibiltiy
Ole R. Holsti, George V. Allen Professor of International Affairs, Department of Political Science, Duke University, “A Widening Gap Between the U.S. Military and Civilian Society?” INTERNATIONAL SECURITY, v. 23 no. 3, Winter 1998/1999, p. 5+.
Yet even if we dismiss these [...] result of perceived differences in Washington.
Nuclear war
Khalilzad (Rand Analyst, Envoy to Afghanistan) 1995
[Zalmay, “Losing the Moment”, Washington Quarterly, Spring, ln
Under the third option, the [...] a multipolar balance of power system.
1. We’re within reach of defeating AQ – funding and recruiting problems since Osama’s death prove
Zeenews 9/7
[Zeenews, “US within reach of defeating al Qaeda’”, Wednesday, September 07, 2011, http://zeenews.india.com/news/south-asia/us-within-reach-of-defeating-al-qaeda_730225.html]
Washington: The US is within [...] a vital facilitation conduit for al Qaeda
2. Alt Causes
A. Military presence
Barfi 10
(Barak, "Yemen on the Brink? The Resurgence of Al Qaeda in Yemen", New America Foundation, http://www.newamerica.net/publications/policy/yemen_on_the_brink, January, 2010)ASH
The United States must apply a [...] to weaken and disrupt al Qaeda.
4. Link turn- democracy in Yemen paves the way for a terrorist stronghold
Lindo, Shoder, and Jones, 11 [Samuel, researcher with the CSIS Transnational Threats Project, Michael, researcher with TNT, infantry officer in the United States Marine Corps, and Tyler, researcher with TNT, “Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula”, Part of the CSIS Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Program Transnational Threat Project, Case Study Number 3 in the AQAM Future Project Case Studies Series, July, http://csis.org/files/publication/110722_Lindo_AQAP_AQAMCaseStudy3.pdf]
A more permissive environment developing in [...] on yemen’s political landscape at large.
5, Attacks won’t escalate. AQAP is only conducting small-scale attacks that result in security countermeasures, not war
Riedel 11 – Senior Fellow in the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution and a professor at Georgetown University (Bruce, 08/01, “AQAP’s ‘Great Expectations’ for the Future,” http://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/aqap%E2%80%99s-%E2%80%98great-expectations%E2%80%99-for-the-future)
Strategy of a Thousand Cuts
[...] 8] The police found a copy of an article from Inspire in his possession.[9]
8. No war—mutually assured destruction
Economic Times 11 (May 17th, 2011 “No chance of Indo-Pak nuclear war despite 'sabre rattling': Pak nuclear scientist A Q Khan”) http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2011-05-17/news/29552014_1_nuclear-blackmail-nuclear-secrets-india-and-pakistan
NEW YORK: Pakistan's disgraced nuclear [...] subjected to embargoes," he said.
9. Hotlines prevent conflict
Nathan Hodge, “India, Pakistan pick up the Red Phone," wired, 12-29-08. http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2008/12/india-pakistan/, accessed 5-3-08.
Over the weekend, the generals [...] in India, also urged restraint.
1. This attack already happened and there is no impact or uniqueness for your advantage.
Daya and Hatern 10/15/11
(Ayesha and Mohammed, “Yemen LNG Plant Production Halted After Gas Pipeline Attack”, Business Week, http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-15/yemen-lng-plant-production-halted-after-gas-pipeline-attack.html)
Yemen LNG, the Arab country’s [...]
was repaired in July.
2. Yemen isn’t a major producer
RATNER & NERURKAR 3/10 (Michael; Analyst in Energy Policy – Congressional Research Service AND Neelesh; Specialist in Energy Policy – Congressional Research Service, “Middle East and North Africa Unrest: Implications for Oil and Natural Gas Markets,” http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/R41683.pdf)
Yemen Oil Exports: Yemen is a minor exporter of oil. Natural Gas Exports: Yemen is a minor exporter of natural gas.
3. Production has already resumed
REUTERS 10/20 (“Yemen LNG to Resume Production at End of Month,” http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFWEA868620111020)
Production at Yemen LNG, which [...] million tonnes a year of LNG.
4. Yemeni LNG shutdown has virtually zero impact on the market
REUTERS 10/20 (“Increased Yemen Attacks Menace Gas Exports,” http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/20/yemen-oil-pipeline-idUSL5E7LK30F20111020)
The attacks on oil and gas [...] of the pipeline outage on exports.