Aff:MSU RM
Round 2 Tournament: Shirley
vs: Michigan AL
Judge:
Plan Text: USFG should provide political party training to political parties in Egypt through India
1ac Advantages: US-India Relations (China lashout, Warming, Burmese prolif), Muslim Brotherhood elections
2ac Offense
T: DA can be indirect, “for” means in the direction of, “its” means belonging to
CP: DA key to relations framework, Egypt say no, MB key to US credibility, NATO add-on, IRF add-on
K: Perm double bind, policy framework, cede the political, our truth claims are accurate
PTX: Winners win
1ar Strategy
T: no bright line NGO’s from US and other countries, our CI checks limits, aff flexibility outweighs
CP doesn’t solve case: DA key to relations, IRF add-on
K: case outweighs, reps don’t shape reality, Said indicts still link
Saudi: relations resilient
2ar Strategy
IRF add-on: solves war, religious tensions key, perception key
Kick MB
Relations outweigh:
Saudi: link defense, relations resilient, no lashout or prolif
ADV ONE - Brotherhood
Contention 1 --- Muslim Brotherhood
They’re winning
Woods 9-20 (Amy, Award-Winning International Journalist – ABC News, and Ashley Martella, “Egyptian Leader Ahmed Said: Muslim Brotherhood Eclipses New Political Parties”, NewsMax, 2011, http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/AhmedSaid-Egypt-MuslimBrotherhood/2011/09/20/id/411627)
Egypt should postpone its first elections following the
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to change the scene again,” he said.
They’re stronger than ever because of U.S. isolation --- “picking winners” creates a perception of hostility that’s the basis of recruiting and radicalism
Duss 11 (Matthew, Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress – Center for American Progress and MA in Middle East Studies – University of Washington, “Recognizing Reality in the Middle East”, Center for American Progress Report, 7-1, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/07/middle_east_reality.html)
It appears the U.S. government
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Clinton’s comments were a step in that direction.
U.S. assistance gives secular groups the resources and skills necessary to compete and prevent MB control
Ali 11 (Ayaan Hirsi, Fellow – American Enterprise Institute and Founder – AHA Foundation, “Get Ready for the Muslim Brotherhood”, New York Times, 2-3, wanted=all)
Those two experiences gave me some insights that
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one tyranny aside could easily succumb to another.
Strong demand exists for U.S. technical assistance --- including the MB defuses anti-American resistance
Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)
For years, U.S. officials
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parties formed by the Muslim Brothers in Egypt.
Making it openly available without restriction enables an effective democratic transition
Strasser 11 (Max, Cairo-Based Editor – Foreign Policy Magazine, “Can USAID Be a Force For Good In Egypt?”, The Nation, 7-22, http://www.thenation.com/article/162239/can-usaid-be-force-good-egypt)
In Egypt, as in much of the
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post-Mubarak, pre-election Egypt.
A consistent mandate of open access to U.S. democracy aid is critical to shift on-the-ground policy to accommodate the Brotherhood
Hamid 10 (Shadi, Director of Research – Brookings Doha Center and Fellow – Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Islamist Response to Repression: Are Mainstream Islamist Groups Radicalizing?”, Brookings Doha Center Policy Briefing, August, 2010/0809_islamist_groups_hamid/0809_islamist_groups_hamid.pdf)
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE UNITED STATES AND THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
Islamist leaders often speak of an “American
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-hoc meetings lacking a substantive agenda. 3
MB control causes social repression --- causes refugee flows that destabilize Europe
Ali 11 (Ayaan Hirsi, Resident Scholar – American Enterprise Institute, “Will the Muslim Brotherhood Succeed
Where Osama Failed?”, New Perspectives Quarterly, 28(3), Summer, p. 21-22)
AT H O M E | In order
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. But the doctrine of jihad lives on.
Mass refugee influxes cause European hyper-nationalism
Greenblatt 11
(Alan, NPR, “Arab Refugees Finding Harsh Welcome In Europe,” 3-18-11, http://www.scpr.org/news/2011/03/18/25092/arab-refugees-finding-harsh-welcome-in-europe/)
Thousands are fleeing across the Mediterranean from North
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could become too many refugees for many people."
They’ll scapegoat refugees – causing geopolitical jockeying that goes nuclear
Karlin 9
Anatoly Karlin is a San Francisco based independent writer, political analyst, Editing Professional, and media critic. He is also the author of the blog Sublime Oblivion focusing on the Russia, geopolitics and future global trends. His articles have appeared in The Guardian PSJ and The Discovery Institute's Real Russia Project, Sublime Strategic Report #10 – October 23, 2009 – available at: http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/10/23/ssr10-europe-black-continent/.
However, conservatives who fear the coming of
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deterrence power of nuclear weapons will fall dramatically.
Extinction
Elliot 7 (Jeffrey M., North Carolina Central University and Robert Reginald, California State University, San Bernandino, The Arms Control, Disarmament, and Military Security Dictionary, p. 19-20)
Escalation of War (15)
Increasing, enlarging, or intensifying the nature
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, 20; TOTAL. WAR. 32.
ADV TWO – IRF
Contention 2 --- Religious Freedom
International Religious Freedom—or IRF—hasn’t been integrated into U.S. policy --- presidential leadership’s key
Grieboski 11 (Joseph K., Founder and Chair – The Institute on Religion and Public Policy, “U.S. Foreign Policy and International Religious Expression”, CQ Congressional Testimony, 6-3, Lexis)
IRFA was passed in 1998 because of a
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and impactful an issue to be handled halfheartedly.
A firm Presidential mandate to engage the MB broadens diplomatic authority to implement IRF
Farr 6 (Thomas, Former Director – U.S. State Department's Office of International Religious Freedom, “The Diplomacy of Religious Freedom”, First Things, May, http://www.firstthings.com/article/2008/02/003-the-diplomacy-of-religious-freedom--35)
Without more attention to such issues, Iraq
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embrace a new religious realism in foreign affairs.
Overriding State Department reticence on democracy programs spills over and boosts overall U.S. leadership on IRF
Farr 11 (Thomas F., Director – Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, “U.S. Foreign Policy and International Religious Expression”, CQ Congressional Testimony, 6-3, Lexis)
Fortunately the amendments in HR 1856 address these
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chiefs of mission before they assume their duties.
IRF’s key to Russian democracy
Farr 9 (Thomas F., Director – Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, and Dennis R. Hoover, “The Future of U.S. International Religious Freedom Policy: Recommendations for the Obama Administration”, https://www.globalengage.org/attachments/829_IRFpolicyreport_final_lowres.pdf)
A contrary example shows how the absence of
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Russia’s regression to authoritarianism and aggressive foreign policies.
Failure of democracy in Russia will cause global nuclear war
Muravchik 1 (Joshua Muravchik, “Democracy and Nuclear Peace,” 7/14/01, http://www.npec-web.org/Syllabus/Muravchik.pdf, Date Accessed 7/29/2006)
That this momentum has slackened somewhat since its
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prospects for democracy may be still more remote.
U.S. IRF cred is key to Iraqi stability
Farr 8 (Thomas F., Professor of Religion and International Affairs – Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and Director – Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, “Diplomacy in an Age of Faith”, Catholic Education Resource Center, http://www.catholiceducation.org/articles/civilization/cc0314.htm)
The problem is most urgent in the greater AND
educated and where he now has many followers.
Impact’s global war
Corsi 7 (Jerome, "War with Iran is imminent," Phd in Poly Sci @ Harvard, author, + staff reporter @ World Net Daily, 1-8, http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=53669)
If a broader war breaks out in Iraq
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much as World Wars I and II began.
U.S. model on IRF solves Chinese instability and lash-out --- goes nuclear
Farr 8 (Thomas F., Professor of Religion and International Affairs – Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and Director – Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, World of Faith and Freedom: Why International Religious Liberty Is Vital to American National Security, p. 16)
Religion has also had an important but little
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to have a legitimate influence on democratic policy.
Independently triggers Taiwan independence --- causes great power conflict
Klintworth 94 (Gary, Former Senior Researcher – Northeast Asia Project, Australian Journal of International Affairs, November, p. 219)
China also has many problems, not least
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the greatest risk to regional and global security.
Global nuclear war
Hunkovic 9 (Lee J, American Military University, “The Chinese-Taiwanese Conflict: Possible Futures of a Confrontation between China, Taiwan and the United States of America”, )
A war between China, Taiwan and the
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countries will not be considered in this study.
Plan
The United States Federal Government should provide substantial technical services, without religious-based restriction, for political organization in Egypt.
