T
“For” is a term of exclusion
Allegra 2 (Francis M., Judge – United States Court of Federal Claims, “Usibelli Coal Mine, Plaintiff, v. The United States, Defendant”, 11-8, 2002 U.S. Claims LEXIS 307, , Lexis)
The cynosure here is the phrase "for
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express, and it must be strictly construed.
Topical targets are only governments
O’Conner 9 (Martha, “The National Lawyers Guild Works for Israel's Destruction”, American Thinker, 10-25, http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/10/the_national_lawyers_guild_wor.html)
BDS campaigns that are conceived independently, rather
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country and does not encompass NGOs.[1]
Violation – political parties are not directly part of the government
Voting issue -
- Ground
- they steal core links to relations and international politics DAs - also make the topic bidirectional because they could support a non democratic party
2. Limits - infinite number of ngo’s
Disad
SKFTA Will pass – top of docket – but Obama must use capital to ensure TAA compromise – NEXT WEEK is the key lobbying push
Yonhap 9/24 2011, South Korean Newspaper, “U.S. Senate clears one hurdle to FTA with S. Korea,” lexis
U.S. and South Korean government
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upcoming) trip by President Lee into consideration."
Plan drains capital
Arnold, 8/8/11, VOA News, David, Chief, VOA Horn of Africa Service)
Curbed ambitions President Barack Obama set the stage for strong
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the committee's proposed cuts would save billions.
Capital key
Mclarty and Cunningham, 11
THOMAS "MACK" MCLARTY III AND NELSON
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wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703954004576090290103169526.html
Now, in a few short weeks,
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for example—to help quarterback the effort.
key to solve heg, econ, trade, and korea conflict —soft power, diplomacy, economics, and hard power.
Hubbard, 11 – Senior Director for Asia, McLarty Associates and Former Ambassador to South Korea (4/7/11, Thomas, Congressional Documents and Publications, “House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Trade Hearing - Brady Announces Third in a Series of Three Hearings on the Pending, Job-Creating Trade Agreements: South Korea Trade Agreement,” Factiva,)
The United States-South Korea Free Trade
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fundamental security and economic interests into the future.
Extinction
Hayes and Green 10 (Peter, Professor of International Relations – Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology and Director – Nautilus Institute, and Michael Hamel, Victoria University, “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia”, Nautilus Institute Special Report, 1-5, http://www.nautilus.org/fora/security/10001HayesHamalGreen.pdf)
The consequences of failing to address the proliferation
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that warrants priority consideration from the international community.
CP #1
Text – The European Union should substantially increase its technical assistance for all legally registered nonviolent political parties in Egypt.
EU democracy assistance solves best
Vasconcelo et al, 11, (Alvaro de, EU Institute for Strategic Studies, March, http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/The_Arab_Democratic_Wave_-_how_the_EU_can_seize_the_moment.pdf)
The EU has a crucial role to play in the
and
democratic reforms that should lead to full democracy
CP #2
Text: The United States federal government should
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that includes but is not necessarily limited to:
- Construction of infrastructure
- Modernization of agriculture and small holder farms
- Renovation of facilities in the tourism industry
- Construction of new hotels and resorts
- Loan guarantees to small and medium enterprises.
Solves the root of the crisis
Gordian Kankiko Contributing Writer , 2-6-2011 http://www.suite101.com/content/egypt-marshall-plan-a343843
Now that the youths have spoken, tempers
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guarantees to small and medium enterprises (SME).
Economic assistance solves development, and political transitions BETTER than democracy assistance- improves perceptions of the US and legitimacy of democratic groups
Sunday Times, 11 (3/2)
And authoritarian crackdowns are not the only reason
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and prosperity" is one Washington can achieve.
Credibility Advantage
Multiple alt causalities and solvency extremely long term
Yacoubian, 2k11
(Mona Yacoubian, Special Advisor to the Institute's Special Initiative on the Muslim World. "The Broader Middle East and North Africa: Major Challenges Ahead" www.usip.org/newsroom/news/broader-middle-east-and-north-africa-major-challenges-ahead)
Successful implementation of the latest
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ensuring a peaceful, stable Iraq.
Alt causes outweigh the aff
Karon, 2k11 (Tony Karon is a senior editor at TIME, where he has covered international conflicts in the Middle East, Asia, and the Balkans since 1997. "Obama's Tall Order: A Democratic Mideast That Shares U.S. Priorities" globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/02/28/obamas-tall-order-a-democratic-mideast-that-shares-u-s-priorities/)
The University of Maryland's authoritative annual survey of
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% listed "doing more to promote democracy"
And single country policies don’t solve
Katulis, 11 (Brian, Senior Fellow @ Center For American Progress, 5/18, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/05/three_pillars.html)
For the United States, a strategic choice
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the strategic calculus of Iran’s leaders and people.
Comparative evidence – the Security Council veto will overwhelm any positive effect of the plan
Ibish, 9/15/11 - senior fellow at the American Task Force on Palestine (Hussein, “Q&A on Palestinian statehood at the UN,” The Guardian, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/sep/15/palestinian-territories-israel)
That's a very important question. Not only
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as cutting off of funds to the PA.
This is also about the timing – the signal of the aff is uniquely offset by a US veto
Brinkley, 9/16/11 (Joel, Kansas City Star, “Obama should pause on veto to Palestinian state,’ http://www.kansascity.com/2011/09/16/3147438/obama-should-pause-on-veto-to.html
As Palestinians head to the United Nations,
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wrote in The New York Times on Monday.
Middle East proliferation won’t occur – U.S. security umbrella and internal difficulties
Christopher Layne, Professor of International Studies at
AND
- A Debate. Pg. 79-80
The same architects of illusion who fulminated for
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contained and deterred successfully by the United States.
Egypt, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia won’t acquire nuclear weapons
Barry R. Posen, professor of political
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-27-06, The New York Times
<A Middle Eastern arms race is a
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that such weapons will facilitate Iranian aggression? >
US can check check regional prolif
Yaphe and Lutes ’05 (Judith S.,- is a senior fellow in the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University, specializes in political analysis and strategic planning on Iran, Colonel Charles D,- USAF, is a senior military fellow in the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University, where he focuses on proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, counterterrorism, military strategy, and strategic concept development, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/mcnair/mcnair69/McNairPDF.pdf)
Could the United States live with a nuclear
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Israel—makes forecasting this issue very difficult.
Countries won’t see Iranian weapons as a threat or incentive to proliferate
Yaphe and Lutes ’05 (Judith S.,- is a senior fellow in the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University, specializes in political analysis and strategic planning on Iran, Colonel Charles D,- USAF, is a senior military fellow in the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University, where he focuses on proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, counterterrorism, military strategy, and strategic concept development, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/mcnair/mcnair69/McNairPDF.pdf)
Beyond the Gulf region, few experts
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threat Iran’s weapons would pose might be difficult.
Middle East war won’t escalate
KELLEY 2002 (Jack, national security writer for the Post-Gazette and The Blade of Toledo Pittsburgh Post Gazette, April 7)
During the Cold War, there was reason
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the loss of their oil would harm us.
War In The Middle East Won’t Go Nuclear Or Draw In Outside Powers
FERGUSON 2006 (Niall, Professor of History at Harvard University, Senior Research Fellow of Jesus College, Oxford, and Senior Fellow of the Hoover Institution, Stanford, LA Times, July 24)
Could today's quarrel between Israelis and Hezbollah over
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is clearly the assumption being made in Washington.
No escalation
Steven A. Cook (fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations) Ray Takeyh (fellows at the Council on Foreign Relations) and Suzanne Maloney (senior fellow at Saban Center) June 28 2007 “Why the Iraq war won't engulf the Mideast”, International Herald Tribune
Finally, there is no precedent for Arab
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local conflicts from enveloping the entire Middle East.
War won’t escalate—their experts are wrong and empirics are on our side
LUTTWAK 2007 (Edward, senior adviser at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, Prospect, May http://www.prospect-magazine.co.uk/article_details.php?id=9302)
Why are middle east experts so unfailingly wrong
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killed in a season of conflict in Darfur.
Plans sends a backward signal – turns case and collapses Pakistan
The Washington Times 11(Jeffrey Kuhner, journalist and writer for the Washington Times, “Obama empowers radical Islam; the fruits of appeasement are always more violence,” February 4, 2011, lexis)
President Obama likely may have lost Egypt.
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barbarians who are coming to power in Cairo.
Pakistan collapse causes global nuclear conflict – draws in China, India and Russia
Pitt 9 - a New York Times and
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&cat=commentary&article=2183)
But a suicide bomber in Pakistan rammed a
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addressing the situation. So should we all.
Democracy Advantage
Anti-Americanism is inevitable
Blaydes and Linzer, 2k11
(Lisa Blaydes Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University. Drew A. Linzer is Assistant Professor of Political Science at Emory University. "Losing Muslim Hearts and Minds:Religiosity, Elite Competition, andAnti-Americanism in the Islamic World" www.stanford.edu/blaydes/AA_ISA.pdf)
Despite their conflicting perspectives on
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opportunistic political leaders in parts of the Muslim world.
Egyptian democracy doesn’t make or break the Arab Spring
Ottaway et al 11
(Marina, Senior Associate, Middle East
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)
Although many regional and international observers have argued
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only hurt Egypt’s long-term economic prospects.
Democracy isn’t key to desertec, their author
Kilian 11, Spiegel Online, "Arab Spring boosts dream of desert power,"
The DII plan has been met with enthusiasm
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structures in a country, the researcher argues.
Terrorists don’t have nuclear capabilities
John Mueller is Professor of Political Science at
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nuclear_weapons?page=0,2
"Fabricating a Bomb Is 'Child's Play.
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program, was still in the original boxes.
Nuclear weapons would run counter to the goals of most terrorist organizations.
Kapur, associate professor in the Department of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School, 2008 (S. Paul. The Long Shadow: Nuclear Weapons and Security in 21st Century Asia. pg. 32)
Before a terrorist group can attempt to use
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extremely counter¬productive for the terrorists in this scenario.
Terrorist desire to use nukes is inversely related to their ability to do so.
Jenkins ’08 (Brian,- senior advisor to the president of RAND, advisor to the National Commission on Terrorism, the Department of State, the DoD, the DoE, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission “Will Terrorists Go Nuclear” pg. 106)
Still, I felt that there was a
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were also more likely to be more cautious.
Russia’s foreign policy is restrained and pragmatic
Rumer & Wallander 3 (Eugene B. sr fellow @ Institute for Nat’l Strategic Studies @ Nat’l defense U, Washington Quarterly, winter 3)
Russian diplomacy has undergone an equally impressive change
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States and many of its traditional European allies.
Russia has no in undermining U.S. interests – threats to its own security are too great.
Rumer & Wallander 3 (Eugene B. sr fellow @ Institute for Nat’l Strategic Studies @ Nat’l defense U, Washington Quarterly, winter 3)
Given Russia's geopolitical predicament, it is difficult
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or geopolitically balancing the United States' international position.
Russian military doesn’t even have basic numbers, budget, or resources- no chance of conflict
Rumer & Wallander 3 (Eugene B. sr fellow @ Institute for Nat’l Strategic Studies @ Nat’l defense U, Washington Quarterly, winter 3)
Russia entered the new millennium with its capacity
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cases of malnutrition and even starvation among conscripts.
No Expansionism Internal weakness
Friedman and Wimbush ’96 (Richard,- Chair of the Advisory Committee of American Bar Association Standing Committee on Law and National Security Enders,- senior fellow at Hudson Institute CENTRAL ASIA AND THE WEST
Russian disintegration and instability combined with geopolitical realignment
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to the region and concentrate their efforts elsewhere.
