1ac Kentucky

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• 1AC

  The United States Federal Government should substantially increase technical consulting for political organization in Egypt.

  Contention 1 - Muslim Brotherhood

  They’re winning
  Woods 9-20 (Amy, Award-Winning International Journalist – ABC News, and Ashley Martella, “Egyptian Leader Ahmed Said: Muslim Brotherhood Eclipses New Political Parties”, NewsMax, 2011, http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/AhmedSaid-Egypt-MuslimBrotherhood/2011/09/20/id/411627)

  Egypt should postpone …scene again,” he said.

  They’re stronger than ever because of U.S. isolation - “picking winners” creates a perception of hostility that’s the basis of recruiting and radicalism
  Duss 11 (Matthew, Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress – Center for American Progress and MA in Middle East Studies – University of Washington, “Recognizing Reality in the Middle East”, Center for American Progress Report, 7-1, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/07/middle_east_reality.html)

  It appears the U.S. government … were a step in that direction.

  U.S. assistance gives secular groups the resources and skills necessary to compete and prevent MB control
  Ali 11 (Ayaan Hirsi, Fellow – American Enterprise Institute and Founder – AHA Foundation, “Get Ready for the Muslim Brotherhood”, New York Times, 2-3, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/04/opinion/04iht-edali04.html?page wanted=all)

  Those two experiences gave … easily succumb to another.

  Strong demand exists for U.S. technical assistance - including the MB defuses anti-American resistance
  Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)

  For years, U.S. officials … Muslim Brothers in Egypt.

  Making it open to all nonviolent parties ends perceptions that the U.S. is engineering the election
  Carothers 11 (Thomas, Vice President for Studies – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “How Not To Promote Democracy In Egypt”, Washington Post, 2-24, http://carnegieeurope.eu/publications/?fa=42766)

  As the U.S. government assesses … would be a good way to start.

  Democracy training lets the U.S. moderate the Brotherhood
  Duss 11 (Matthew, Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress – Center for American Progress and MA in Middle East Studies – University of Washington, “Are We Serious About A Democratic Egypt?”, ThinkProgress Security, 2-4, http://thinkprogress.org/security/2011/02/04/176481/are-we-serious-about-a-democratic-egypt/)

  I agree that U.S. has an … getting used to that idea.

  MB control causes social repression - collapses the economy and causes refugee flows that destabilize Europe
  Ali 11 (Ayaan Hirsi, Resident Scholar – American Enterprise Institute, “Will the Muslim Brotherhood Succeed
  Where Osama Failed?”, New Perspectives Quarterly, 28(3), Summer, p. 21-22)

  AT   H O M E | In order … of jihad lives on.

  Egypt will melt down into state collapse
  Coleman 11 (Isabel, Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy – Council on Foreign Relations, “Egypt’s Economic Woes”, 5-20, http://www.isobelcoleman.com/2011/05/20/egypts-economic-woes/)

  Egypt in particular … level of unemployment.

  Escalates to global conflict
  Copley 11 (Gregory O., Editor – Global Information System and Defense & Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy, “Strategic Ramifications of the Egyptian Crisis”, World Tribune, 2-1, http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribune/ WTARC/2011/me_egypt0088_02_01.asp)

  In the Preface to the Defense … re-emergence of a charismatic leader.

  Mass refugee influxes cause European hyper-nationalism
  Greenblatt 11
  (Alan, NPR, “Arab Refugees Finding Harsh Welcome In Europe,” 3-18-11, http://www.scpr.org/news/2011/03/18/25092/arab-refugees-finding-harsh-welcome-in-europe/)
  
  Thousands are … refugees for many people." 

  They’ll scapegoat refugees – causing geopolitical jockeying that goes nuclear
  Karlin 9
  Anatoly Karlin is a San Francisco based independent writer, political analyst, Editing Professional, and media critic. He is also the author of the blog Sublime Oblivion focusing on the Russia, geopolitics and future global trends. His articles have appeared in The Guardian PSJ and The Discovery Institute's Real Russia Project,  Sublime Strategic Report #10 – October 23, 2009 – available at: http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2009/10/23/ssr10-europe-black-continent/. 

  However, conservatives … will fall dramatically.

  Extinction
  Elliot 7 (Jeffrey M., North Carolina Central University and Robert Reginald, California State University, San Bernandino, The Arms Control, Disarmament, and Military Security Dictionary, p. 19-20)

  Escalation of War (15)…, 20; TOTAL. WAR. 32.

  Even instability causes extinction via economic collapse, warming, and global conflicts
  Stokes 10 (Bruce, International Economics Columnist – National Journal, “Greek Tragedy Haunts Global Markets, Policies”, YaleGlobal, 3-17, http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/opinon/2010/03/137_62527.html)

  To paraphrase the … in their crisis management.

  Global warming causes extinction and turns every impact
  Brown, Director and Founder of the global institute of Environment in the U.S., 2008
  [Lester E. Brown, “Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization”]

  In 2004, Stephen Pacala …to unravel under these extreme stresses.

  Increase C02 kills oxygen
  Brandenburg & Paxson (Phds) ’99 [John & Monica, Dead Mars, Dying Earth, p. 232 wndi03]
  Suddenly the gradual … even more carbon.

  Warming is real and anthropogenic – feedback loops means it happens really fast
  Lyderson 9 (Kari, journalist, Washington Post, “Scientists: Pace of Climate Change Exceeds Estimates” 2/15 – online]

  The pace of global … interconnected ecosystem feedbacks. 

  Contention 2 - Credibility

  U.S. credibility in the Mideast’s plummeting
  Kull 9-9 (Steven, Director – Program on International Policy Attitudes, “Why Muslims are Still Mad at America”, World Public Opinion, 2011, http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/brmiddleeastnafricara/691.php)
  On the ten-year anniversary of the …. will become more amicable.

  Obama won’t follow through on pledged election assistance for Egypt. That devastates regional influence.
  Dorsey 11 (James A., Senior Research Fellow – Middle East Institute, National University of Singapore, “US Risks Missing Opportunity to Play Leading Role in Middle East Transition”, Al Arabiya News, 7-5, http://english.alarabiya .net/articles/2011/07/05/156264.html)

  The window of opportunity … promote democratic change. 

  U.S. technical assistance secures credit and revives Arab relations
  Hamid 11 (Shadi, Director of Research – Brookings Doha Center and Fellow – Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Struggle for Middle East Democracy”, Ikhwan Web, 4-28, http://ikhwanmisr.net/article.php?id=28468&ref=search.php)

  The revolutions are …. revolutions may still fail.

  Making it open reverses “ala carte democracy” and boosts U.S. standing
  Guéhenno 11 (Jean-Marie, Nonresident Senior Fellow – Brookings Institution, “The Arab Spring is 2011, Not 1989”, New York Times, 4-21, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/22/opinion/22iht-edguehenno22.html)

  The Arab revolutions are … a sustainable outcome.

  The impact’s nuclear and biological war in every global hotspot
  Asali 9 (Ziad, President and Founder – American Task Force on Palestine, et al., “Changing Course: A New Direction for U.S. Relations with the Muslim World”, February, p. 9-16)

  Improving relations with … critical challenges abroad.

  It spills over - credible democracy assistance builds US/Arab cooperation on a array of issues - including global economic stability
  Wittes 8 (Tamara Cofman, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs – U.S. Department of State and Former Senior Fellow – Brookings Institution, Freedom's Unsteady March: America's Role in Building Arab Democracy, p. 2-12)

  So it is with full awareness of the uphill …the question of Arab democracy.

  Mideast is critical for the global economy - careful diplomacy’s key to sustain access
  Habibi 9 (Nader, Professor of Economics of the Middle East – Brandeis University and Dr. Eckart Woertz, Director of the Economic Research Program – Gulf Research Center (Dubai), “U.S. - Arab Economic Relations and the
  Obama Administration”, 34, February, http://www.brandeis.edu/crown/publications/meb/MEB34.pdf)

  In this Brief we have … in the Middle East conflict.

  Economic collapse causes extinction
  Austin 9 (Michael, Resident Scholar – American Enterprise Institute, and Desmond Lachman – Resident Fellow – American Enterprise Institute, “The Global Economy Unravels”, Forbes, 3-6, http://www.aei.org/article/100187)

  What do these trends mean … that coalesce into a big bang. 

  Egyptian aid boosts regional support necessary for reliable energy access
  HRF 11 (Human Rights First – Nonprofit, Nonpartisan International Human Rights Organization, “How to Seize the Moment in Egypt”, April, http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/wp-content/uploads/pdf/Egypt-Blueprint-Seize-the-Moment.pdf)

  President Obama noted … thereby serve its interests. 

  That prevents shocks that go global
  Cohen 5 (William, Cohen Group, Former U.S. Secretary of Defense, and Chair – CSIS Advisory Committee on U.S. Policy in the Arab World, et al., “From Conflict to Cooperation: Writing a New Chapter in U.S.-Arab Relations”, March, http://csis.org/files/media/csis/pubs/0503_conflictcooperation.pdf)

  Right now, a significant … volume since that tragic day.

  Extinction
  Riddoch 4 (Dr. Malcolm, Faculty of Communications and Creative Industries – Edith Cowan University, Energy  Bulletin, 6-18, http://www.energybulletin.net/node/729)

  There are lots of recent … famine and pestilence.  

  Oil shocks cause Asian war
  Halloran 8 (Richard, Former Foreign Correspondent in Asia and Military Correspondent – New York Times, “Oil Scarcity Paints a Bleak Picture for Asia”, South China Morning Post, 2-13, Lexis)

  A fresh assessment of … hostilities across the region.

  Goes global and nuclear
  Landay 00 (Jonathan S., National Security and Intelligence Correspondent, Knight Ridder/Tribune News Service, 3-10, Lexis)

  Few if any experts think … according to the Commerce Department.

   

  Tangible signals of U.S. support are critical - Egypt’s the test case
  Elshinnawi 10 (Mohamed, Foreign Affairs Writer – VOA, “Egypt Key to Proving Obama's Commitment to Middle East Democracy”, Voice of America News, 6-30, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/special-reports/american-life/Egypt-Key-to-Proving-Obamas-Commitment-to-Middle-East-Democracy.html)

  There has been widespread …are still a work in progress.

  Only unequivocal and clear assistance solves
  HRF 11 (Human Rights First – Nonprofit, Nonpartisan International Human Rights Organization, “How to Seize the Moment in Egypt”, April, http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/wp-content/uploads/pdf/Egypt-Blueprint-Seize-the-Moment.pdf)

  Over more than three …. government should contribute.

  
  
  

1ac

• Tournament: GSU | Round: 2 | Opponent: West Georgia | Judge: Lacy
  
  
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• Contention One – Problems in the Status Quo

  We begin by characterizing of our plan. 

  First  There is a bunch of demand for US technical assistance now.

  Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)
  Carpenter, now with the …. for political support.

  However, the US presently refuses such assistance to the Muslim Brotherhood

  Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)
  Garrett said that U.S. aid … labeled 'democratization programs')

  Prohibitions of this sort are just sorta rude – they also hurt cooperation efforts 

  Kull ‘11
  Steven Kull is director of the Program on International Policy Attitudes and author of the recently released book, Feeling Betrayed: The Roots of Muslim Anger at America. “Why Muslims are still mad at America” – A CNN Global Public Square Editorial – September 5th, 2011 – http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/05/why-muslims-are-still-mad-at-america/
  A particularly frustrating …. not divide so neatly.

  The epistemological basis for this claim is diverse

  Kull ‘11
  Steven Kull is director of the Program on International Policy Attitudes and author of the recently released book, Feeling Betrayed: The Roots of Muslim Anger at America. “Why Muslims are still mad at America” – A CNN Global Public Square Editorial – September 5th, 2011 – http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/05/why-muslims-are-still-mad-at-america/
  Trying to understand Muslims’ …. overwhelming majorities.

  As it relates to perception, there’s a balancing act. Ending aid wouldn’t boost US coop. Offering to all – not some – is the best option. 

  Guéhenno 11 (Jean-Marie, Nonresident Senior Fellow – Brookings Institution, “The Arab Spring is 2011, Not 1989”, New York Times, 4-21, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/22/opinion/22iht-edguehenno22.html)
  Bringing the Muslim Brotherhood …challenge of this new phase. 

  If parties would like to talk with the US about technical assistance, we shouldn’t block them. The status quo and blanket rejections of assistance don’t accomplish this.

  Hamid 10 (Shadi, Director of Research – Brookings Doha Center and Fellow – Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Islamist Response to Repression: Are Mainstream Islamist Groups Radicalizing?”, Brookings Doha Center Policy Briefing, August, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/ 2010/0809_islamist_groups_hamid/0809_islamist_groups_hamid.pdf)
  With both Egypt and Jordan …. a substantive agenda. 3

  Egypt is an especially important signal – this also proves decreasing support hampers US coop efforts 

  Elshinnawi 10 (Mohamed, Foreign Affairs Writer – VOA, “Egypt Key to Proving Obama's Commitment to Middle East Democracy”, Voice of America News, 6-30, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/special-reports/american-life/Egypt-Key-to-Proving-Obamas-Commitment-to-Middle-East-Democracy.html)
  There has been widespread ….to designate its own successor." 

  Cooperation Advantage – Climate Change Impact Module

  Credible US coop with the Muslim World is vital to address climate change

  AHMED ‘6
  AKBAR S. AHMED, IBN KHALDUN CHAIR OF ISLAMIC STUDIES, SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL SERVICE, AMERICAN UNIVERSITY, WASHINGTON, DC – ISLAM AND THE WEST: SEARCHING FOR COMMON GROUND HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED NINTH CONGRESS JULY 18, 2006 – http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:Rin7IuH-o0gJ:ftp.resource.org/gpo.gov/hearings/109s/36963.txt+%22crises+like+global+warming,+poverty,+the+population+explosion%22&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&client=firefox-a
  Let us remind ourselves why …. superpower and leader of the world.

  Warming causes huge death tolls 

  Lea ‘7
  (Michael – political correspondent for The Sun – he is internally quoting the IPCC – April 7th http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/article24343.ece)

  BILLIONS face death from …. findings, saying: “It is a global responsibility.”
  Plan Option 2.0

  PLAN: The United States Federal Government should lift restrictions precluding direct technical services for political organization in Egypt.

  Framework – Hard-Core version

  Next, is Contention Two:

  First – The curriculum is at its best when it starts with fiated and concrete state-based political action
  Gitlin ‘5
  Todd Gitlin formerly served as professor of sociology and director of the mass communications program at the University of California, Berkeley, and then a professor of culture, journalism and sociology at New York University. He is now a professor of journalism and sociology and chair of the Ph.D. program in Communications at Columbia University. He was a long-time political activist( from the Left). From the Book: The Intellectuals and the Flag – 2005 – available via CIAO Books – date accessed 7/17/10 – http://www.ciaonet.org.proxy2.cl.msu.edu/book/git01/git01_04.pdf
  Weak thinking on …. where most people live. 

  Other forms of “politics” are theoretically possible – but this card frames pedagogical disad to those “anti-political” starting points. We’ll also epistemologically indict critical theorists.

  Chandler ‘7
  (David Chandler is Professor of International Relations at the Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Westminster –
  “The Attraction of Post-Territorial Politics: Ethics and Activism in the International Sphere” – Inaugural Lecture – May – available at: http://www.davidchandler.org/pdf/short_articles/Inaugural%20lecture.pdf)
  However, politics is no …. engage with the world.  
   

  Such apathy dooms their project, threatens the planet, and cedes politics to the Right.

  Boggs ’97
  (CARL BOGGS – Professor and Ph.D. Political Science, National University, Los Angeles  Theory and Society 26: 741-780)
  The false sense of empowerment …. vanished from civil society.75  

  They might say “politics is screwed-up now”. But, if the World’s too “conservative” now it’s because our form of political engagement is TOO THIN. It’s linear.

  Chandler ‘9
  David Chandler is Professor of International Relations at the Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Westminster – 'The Global Ideology: Rethinking the Politics of the "Global Turn" in IR', International Relations, Vol. 23, No. 4 (2009), pp. 530-547.
  http://www.davidchandler.org/pdf/journal_articles/Journal%20of%20Int%20Rels%20-%20Global%20Ideology%20published.pdf
  While the Cold War ….collective political engagement. 

  We’ll indict “pre-fiat” and micro-politics. Those args mask that macro-politics shapes the local more than vice-versa.

  Ebert ‘5
  Teresa L. Ebert is a professor of cultural theory at the University at Albany, State University of New YorkScience & Society, Vol. 69, No. 1, January 2005, 33–55, available at: http://people.missouristate.edu/WilliamBurling/Adobe%20files/Rematerializing%20Feminism.pdf
  The emergence of …. multiple consuming relations.

  By over-emphasizing the “local”, pre-fiat-style args breed apathy

  Eliasoph ‘97
  Nina Eliasoph is Associate Professor of Sociology at the University of Southern California –Theory and Society, Vol. 26, No. 5 (Oct., 1997), pp. 605-647 – Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/658024
  If it's not ….sometimes it does both at once.  

  That cedes the political in a dangerous way

  Eliasoph ‘97
  Nina Eliasoph is Associate Professor of Sociology at the University of Southern California –Theory and Society, Vol. 26, No. 5 (Oct., 1997), pp. 605-647 – Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/658024
  If the key to the mystery ….. close and far are inseparable

  Prefer our Framework

  First – Anti-Politics is normative offense against their framework. Every disad they’ll make to our framework is a link to anti-politics.

  Second – Policy role-play doesn’t indoctrinate or get stale – makes best Real World education.

  Joyner ‘99
  (Christopher C., Professor of International Law at Georgetown, “Teaching International Law”, 5 Ilsa. J. Int’l & Comp. L. 377, Lexis)
  USE OF THE debate can be …. POLITICAL CRITIQUE, AND LEGAL DEFENSE.

  Third – Limits – there’s are infinite items to abstractly critique. There’s an infinite amount of reps in a round. This is bad for fairness, education, and testing their truth claims – as we can’t meaningfully engage the infinite.

  Our Characterization of the Plan text – The Aff is pure Negative-State action

  First –Technical Assistance is mostly solicited advice – and parties in Egypt want it. The US already gives technical assistance.

  Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)
  Carpenter, now with the ….compete openly for political support.

  However, the US presently actively prohibits such aid to the Muslim Brotherhood, meaning plan is Negative State action. 

  Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)
  Garrett said that U.S. …. labeled 'democratization programs')

  
  
  

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