- 1AC – MSU Akumiah Kaas
Plan
PLAN: The United States Federal Government should provide substantial technical assistance for political organization in Egypt.
Muslim Brotherhood Advantage
The MB is gaining power in Egypt
Urban 11 (Mark, Diplomatic and Defence Editor – Newsnight (BBC), “Egypt's Islamists Mobilising Mass Support”, BBC News World, 8-3, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-14396488)
Since Friday a new factor has also entered
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military rulers portrayed them as for so long.
They’re stronger than ever because of U.S. isolation - “picking winners” creates a perception of hostility that’s the basis of recruiting and radicalism
Duss 11 (Matthew, Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress – Center for American Progress and MA in Middle East Studies – University of Washington, “Recognizing Reality in the Middle East”, Center for American Progress Report, 7-1, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/07/middle_east_reality.html)
It appears the U.S. government
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Clinton’s comments were a step in that direction.
U.S. assistance gives secular groups the resources and skills necessary to compete and prevent MB control
Ali 11 (Ayaan Hirsi, Fellow – American Enterprise Institute and Founder – AHA Foundation, “Get Ready for the Muslim Brotherhood”, New York Times, 2-3, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/04/opinion/04iht-edali04.html?page wanted=all)
Those two experiences gave me some insights that
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one tyranny aside could easily succumb to another.
Strong demand exists for U.S. technical assistance - including the MB defuses anti-American resistance
Slavin 11 (Barbara, Senior Fellow – Atlantic Council, Senior Diplomatic Correspondent – USA Today, and Assistant Managing Editor for World and National Security – Washington Times, “U.S. "Democracy" Advisors Suddenly in Demand”, Inter-Press Service, 4-14, http://ipsnews.net/wap/news.asp?idnews=55266)
For years, U.S. officials
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parties formed by the Muslim Brothers in Egypt.
Even if the Brotherhood takes control, assistance now gives the U.S. leverage to moderate its behavior
Duss 11 (Matthew, Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress – Center for American Progress and MA in Middle East Studies – University of Washington, “Are We Serious About A Democratic Egypt?”, ThinkProgress Security, 2-4, http://thinkprogress.org/security/2011/02/04/176481/are-we-serious-about-a-democratic-egypt/)
I agree that U.S. has
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We should start getting used to that idea.
A consistent mandate of open access to U.S. democracy aid is critical to shift on-the-ground policy to accommodate the Brotherhood
Hamid 10 (Shadi, Director of Research – Brookings Doha Center and Fellow – Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Islamist Response to Repression: Are Mainstream Islamist Groups Radicalizing?”, Brookings Doha Center Policy Briefing, August, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/ 2010/0809_islamist_groups_hamid/0809_islamist_groups_hamid.pdf)
RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE UNITED STATES AND THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
Islamist leaders often speak of an “American
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-hoc meetings lacking a substantive agenda. 3
Independently an un-moderated MB control causes global nuclear war
Rose 11 (Taylor, International Relations and Strategic Intelligence – Liberty University, “The Islamic Revolution Part II”, Youth for Western Civilization, 2-1, http://www.westernyouth.org/articles/the-islamic-revolution-part-ii/)
The riots in Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria
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allowing the further global advancement of her enemies.
The second impact is terrorism.
Engaging the MB undercuts the ideological basis for al Qaeda’s recruiting
Mudd 11 (Philip, Senior Global Advisor – Oxford Analytic, “Why the U.S. Should Engage the Muslim Brotherhood”, The Atlantic, 2-21, http://www.theatlantic.com/international/print/2011/02/why-the-us-should-engage-the-muslim-brotherhood/71434/)
The current unrest throughout the Middle East and
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arms-length adversary or a newfound opportunity.
Nuclear terrorism’s likely - only Arab intel stops it
Alexander 11 (Yonah, Professor Emeritus – State University of New York and Director – International Center for Terrorism Studies at the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, and Milton Hoenig, Professor of Physics – University of Massachusetts, “Al-Qaida’s ‘Doomsday’ Revenge?”, Jerusalem Post, 8-22, http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Art icle.aspx?id=233519)
The frightening prospect is the new al-
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tolerance, democratic values and civil society engagement.
Global nuclear war
Speice 6 (Patrick, JD Candidate – College of William and Mary, “Negligence and Nuclear Nonproliferation: Eliminating the Current Liability Barrier to Bilateral U.S.-Russian Nonproliferation Assistance Programs”, William and Mary Law Review, 47 Wm and Mary L. Rev. 1427, February, Lexis)
Terrorist groups could acquire a nuclear weapon by
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and escalate to the use of nuclear weapons.
Middle East Credibility
U.S. credibility in the Middle East is plummeting
Zogby 11 (Dr. James J., Founder and President – Arab American Institute, “America in Trouble in the Middle East: Obama Understands, But GOP Gloats”, Huffington Post, 7-16, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/james-zogby/ameri ca-in-trouble-in-the_b_900649.html?ir=World)
Well, the results are in, and
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that is being paid by the entire country.
Obama won’t follow through on pledged election assistance for Egypt. That devastates regional influence.
Dorsey 11 (James A., Senior Research Fellow – Middle East Institute, National University of Singapore, “US Risks Missing Opportunity to Play Leading Role in Middle East Transition”, Al Arabiya News, 7-5, http://english.alarabiya .net/articles/2011/07/05/156264.html)
The window of opportunity to throw off the
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encourage economic reform, and promote democratic change.
U.S. technical assistance secures credit and revives Arab relations
Hamid 11 (Shadi, Director of Research – Brookings Doha Center and Fellow – Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Struggle for Middle East Democracy”, Ikhwan Web, 4-28, http://ikhwanmisr.net/article.php?id=28468&ref=search.php)
The revolutions are far from complete. Tunisia
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. Otherwise, their revolutions may still fail.
Only unequivocal and clear assistance sends the right message
HRF 11 (Human Rights First – Nonprofit, Nonpartisan International Human Rights Organization, “How to Seize the Moment in Egypt”, April, http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/wp-content/uploads/pdf/Egypt-Blueprint-Seize-the-Moment.pdf)
Over more than three decades since the Camp
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the U.S. government should contribute.
Tangible signals of U.S. support are critical - Egypt’s the test case
Elshinnawi 10 (Mohamed, Foreign Affairs Writer – VOA, “Egypt Key to Proving Obama's Commitment to Middle East Democracy”, Voice of America News, 6-30, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/special-reports/american-life/Egypt-Key-to-Proving-Obamas-Commitment-to-Middle-East-Democracy.html)
There has been widespread public agreement in the
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the region are still a work in progress.
The impact’s nuclear and biological war in every global hotspot
Asali 9 (Ziad, President and Founder – American Task Force on Palestine, et al., “Changing Course: A New Direction for U.S. Relations with the Muslim World”, February, p. 9-16)
Improving relations with Muslim majority countries and communities
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needs at home or other critical challenges abroad.
It spills over - credible democracy assistance builds US/Arab cooperation on a array of issues - including global economic stability
Wittes 8 (Tamara Cofman, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs – U.S. Department of State and Former Senior Fellow – Brookings Institution, Freedom's Unsteady March: America's Role in Building Arab Democracy, p. 2-12)
So it is with full awareness of the
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neutral stance toward the question of Arab democracy.
Mideast is critical for the global economy - careful diplomacy’s key to sustain access
Habibi 9 (Nader, Professor of Economics of the Middle East – Brandeis University and Dr. Eckart Woertz, Director of the Economic Research Program – Gulf Research Center (Dubai), “U.S. - Arab Economic Relations and the
Obama Administration”, 34, February, http://www.brandeis.edu/crown/publications/meb/MEB34.pdf)
In this Brief we have identified four issues
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its perceived role in the Middle East conflict.
Economic collapse causes extinction
Austin 9 (Michael, Resident Scholar – American Enterprise Institute, and Desmond Lachman – Resident Fellow – American Enterprise Institute, “The Global Economy Unravels”, Forbes, 3-6, http://www.aei.org/article/100187)
What do these trends mean in the short
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small explosions that coalesce into a big bang.
Egyptian aid boosts regional support necessary for reliable energy access
HRF 11 (Human Rights First – Nonprofit, Nonpartisan International Human Rights Organization, “How to Seize the Moment in Egypt”, April, http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/wp-content/uploads/pdf/Egypt-Blueprint-Seize-the-Moment.pdf)
President Obama noted in Cairo that governments that
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the United States and thereby serve its interests.
That prevents shocks that go global
Cohen 5 (William, Cohen Group, Former U.S. Secretary of Defense, and Chair – CSIS Advisory Committee on U.S. Policy in the Arab World, et al., “From Conflict to Cooperation: Writing a New Chapter in U.S.-Arab Relations”, March, http://csis.org/files/media/csis/pubs/0503_conflictcooperation.pdf)
Right now, a significant opportunity exists not
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been growing in volume since that tragic day.
Extinction
Riddoch 4 (Dr. Malcolm, Faculty of Communications and Creative Industries – Edith Cowan University, Energy Bulletin, 6-18, http://www.energybulletin.net/node/729)
There are lots of recent 2004 reports speculating
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nuclear war and its companions famine and pestilence.