Aff

Plan Text: The United States federal government should substantially increase its assistance to the Egyptian freedom and justice party.

Advantage 1: Muslim Brotherhood Relations

The US has tried to increase low-level contacts with the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt – however it was only a rhetorical gesture

Mozgovaya, 6-30-’11

These talks alone fail – US must fulfill expectations that have been created for engagement

Dorsey, 7-5-’11

The Muslim Brotherhood is banned from participation in political party assistance programs even though they have shown interest – assistance is key

Hamid, 10

This bias towards secular parties makes it look like we’re trying to engineer elections against the Brotherhood – this ruins our credibility with Islamic parties

Carothers,’11

The Brotherhood will inevitably win the elections and dominate the new political landscape – they are unified and have unparalleled mobilization capabilities

 Trager,’11

Ascendency of the Muslim Brotherhood will cause them to turn against Israel – engagement is key to moderate their stance

Bajoria,’11

The Muslim Brotherhood will act aggressively towards Israel – political involvement alone won’t cause moderation

Jerusalem Post, 8-29-’11

Tensions are high – Egypt-Israel conflict engulfs the entire region

Brady,’11

It draws in major powers and causes global nuclear war

Russell, ‘9

Developing ties before the elections is key to maximizing US leverage – this prevents the instigation of conflict with Israel

Hamid,’11

Democracy assistance is key – perception of US assistance for Brotherhood in political participation is a precondition to effective dialogue over US security interests in the region


Hamid, ’10

Advantage 2: Terrorism

US favoritism of liberal secularism is the root cause of Muslim resentment towards the West – Providing democracy assistance to the Muslim Brotherhood signals a shift in the relationship

Kull, 9-5-’11

Al Qaeda is still a threat – Complacency about Osama’s death increases the risk al Qaeda will rebound

Boot,’11

Al Qaeda does not have a leadership crisis -Shura Council and Zawahiri ensure accelerated recruitment and new attack strategies

Scheuer, 8-24-’11

Zawahiri’s new goal is acquisition of a nuclear bomb – risk of al Qaeda nuclear attack is high

Kanani, 6-29-’11

Nuclear terrorism causes global nuclear escalation – national retaliation goes global

Morgan, ‘9

Beginning with the Muslim Brotherhood creates a starting point for further cooperation with other Islamist groups in the region

Stacher, Professor PolSci Kent State, ‘7

That’s the best way to challenge radical Islamic terrorism – helps win hearts and minds

Hamid, Director Project on Middle East Democracy, ‘7