Plan Text
Plan: The United States Federal Government should provide necessary resources and training for transparency and accountability of government institutions, including active public and government internal monitoring for Egypt.
Credibility
Contention 1 – Credibility
Low Middle East credibility now.
AFP, 11
[Karin Zeitvogel, 7-13-11, Agence France Press, “Arab world's ratings of Obama, US plummet: poll” http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hbpg5ou3Qk96-aTbpJyD4K0x2b9w?docId=CNG.561caa8da42ba25c5ee1f3158a926c28.c11, accessed 9-22-11, TAP]
WASHINGTON — Two years after US President Barack Obama … Egypt a mere five percent.
Promoting accountability boosts credibility.
Guirguis, Washington Institute fellow, 9
[Dina, Washington Institute for Near East Policy fellow, Executive director of the Voices for a Democratic Egypt, a non-profit organization dedicated to promoting democracy, human rights, and the rule of law, “Promoting Democracy in Egypt” http://www.eurasiacritic.com/articles/promoting-democracy-egypt, accessed 9-22-11, TAP]
Not only is support for the legitimate … society, supporting a free media, and increasing government accountability.
The plan is key to fulfill Obama’s Cairo promises
Hamid, Brookings research director, 11
[Shadi, Brookings Doha Center research director, 4-26-11, “The Struggle for Middle East Democracy” http://www.brookings.edu/articles/2011/0426_middle_east_hamid.aspx, accessed 9-24-11, TAP]
The revolutions are far from complete… his 2009 Cairo address but failed to deliver on.
Credibility through democracy boosts US soft power – that preserves US global leadership.
Byron, Press Storm, 11
[8-26-11, “Investigative Analysis: Soft Power in the Middle East – Reforming American Foreign Policy” http://www.presstorm.com/2011/08/soft-power-in-the-middle-east-reforming-american-foreign-policy/, accessed 9-23-11, TAP]
It’s easy to read the …. same people, and because of the power of citizen diplomacy and international friendship.
Soft power builds effective coalitions that solve conflicts
Reiss, William and Mary Vice Provost of International Affairs
, 8
(Mitchell B., From 2003 to 2005, he was Director of Policy Planning at the State Department, “Restoring America's Image: What the Next President Can Do”, Survival, October, 50(5), pages 107, 108, ebsco, accessed 10-1-11, CMM)
But first, there is another question to be ….. or do more to enhance peace and security.
Credibility deters Iranian aggression – perception of regional commitments are key.
Alterman, CSIS senior fellow, 11
[Jon, former Department of State Policy planning staff, CSIS Middle East program director and senior fellow “Fierce or Feeble: Persian Gulf assessments of U.S. power” section within Capacity and Resolve: Foreign Assessments of U.S. Power, http://csis.org/files/publication/110613_Cohen_CapacityResolve_Web.pdf, p.69-70, accessed 9-30-11, TAP]
Whatever the actual cost, and even if the … through a discrete set of actions and statements.
Iranian aggression results in nuclear war.
Ben-Meir, NYU IR Professor, 2007
[Alon, New York University Center for Global Affairs international relations professor, “Realpolitik: Ending Iran's defiance” http://www.upi.com/Business_News/Security-Industry/2007/02/06/Realpolitik-Ending-Irans-defiance/UPI-69491170778058/, accessed 9-30-11, TAP]
Feeling emboldened and unrestrained, …Iran of the severe consequences of not halting its nuclear program.
Egypt
Contention 2 is Egypt
Corruption dooms status quo aid.
Hanieh, School of Oriental and African Studies Political Economics Professor, 11
(Adam, “Egypt’s ‘Orderly Economic Transition:’ Accelerated Structural Adjustment Under a Democratic Veneer,” July 2011, http://www.soas.ac.uk/cdpr/publications/dv/file69436.pdf, accessed 8-29-11) PM
In recent weeks, the economic direction of …. ultimately dominated by the country’s military and business elites.
Corruption kills Egyptian small business – that’s key to growth.
Hubbard, Columbia Finance and Economics professor, 11
(Glenn, worked as an economic advisor under Bush, Chairman of Economic Policy on the OECD’s Economic Policy Committee, “A Marshall Plan for the Middle East,” 2-28-11, http://glennhubbard.net/commentary-and-op-eds/322-a-marshall-plan-for-the-middle-east.html, accessed 9-10-11) PM
The recent and current upheavals in the Middle East … is the only path to prosperity and stability the world has ever known.
Transparency solves short and long-term growth through predictability – now is key.
Fayed, Reuters, 9-22-11
(Shaimaa, “Egypt firms struggle as political uncertainty hits economy,” http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Business/Middle-East/2011/Sep-22/149361-egypt-firms-struggle-as-political-uncertainty-hits-economy.ashx#axzz1YidsTpfy, accessed 9-22-11, CMM)
When the chief executive officer of Mobinil, ….on gas supplies at its new tile factory, which began operating in July.
Corruption makes instability inevitable.
Young, BBC World Service business reporter, 9-15-11
(Rob, “Egyptians still await economic change,” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-14907631, accessed 9-19-11, CMM)
'Further uprising' January's protesters also …. I think there will be further uprising," she says.
*Yasmine El Rashidi, a former Middle East correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, has written for The Washington Post etc.
Growth is key to a successful democratic transition and regional stability
Crane et al, Simon, and Martini, RAND Corporation, ‘11
(Keith, Steven, and Jeffrey, “Future Challenges for the Arab World: The Implications of Demographic and Economic Trends,” 2011, http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/technical_reports/2011/RAND_TR912.pdf, accessed 9-12-11) PM
No other economic issue is deemed as important to the stability of the Arab world ….effect on the direction and extent of pressure for political change.
Middle East war magnitude would be great – no checks on escalation.
RUSSELL, Department of National Security Affairs senior lecturer at NPS, 9
[James A., , focused on Middle East security affairs, terrorism, and national security strategy. “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Nuclear War and Escalation in the Middle East” Spring http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=1&sqi=2&ved=0CBMQFjAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nps.edu%2FAcademics%2Fcenters%2FCCC%2Ffaculty%2Fbiolinks%2Frussell%2FPP26_Russell_2009.pdf&rct=j&q=Strategic%20Stability%20Reconsidered%3A%20Prospects%20for%20Nuclear%20War%20and%20Escalation%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%22&ei=y_dbTcmfD4K0lQeY7cTkCQ&usg=AFQjCNGBgAt5-o6WwVPg7b503iUYltj2nw&sig2=9rGfIq5oVZNvgR8pn8vhvA, page 41, accessed 2-16-11, CMM]
Strategic stability in the region is thus undermined by various factors…. for the peoples of the region, with substantial risk for the entire world.
Transparency is key to the democratic transition – prevents cooption
Hanna, fellow and program officer at The Century Foundation, 7-14-11
(Michael Wahid, he focuses on issues of international security, human rights, post-conflict justice and U.S. foreign policy in the broader Middle East, *No Date included on webpage – the date of 7-14-11 was taken from when this article was posted on the Huffington Post, “Why The Past Is Crucial To Egypt's Future,” http://www.aucegypt.edu/gapp/cairoreview/Pages/articleDetails.aspx?aid=78, accessed 9-25-11, CMM)
As Egypt’s post-revolutionary politics oscillate between protest and politics, …. impatience of frustrated Egyptians demands transparency as to the intentions of the transitional authorities.
Failure to solidify the Egyptian democratic transition will exacerbate Israeli threat perceptions, triggering escalatory spiral
Byman, Brookings Saban Center for Middle East Policy Research Director, 11
[Daniel, Georgetown University Security Studies Program Professor & member of The Washington Quarterly editorial board, Summer, The Washington Quarterly, 34:3 pp. 123-136, “Israel’s Pessimistic View of
the Arab Spring”, http://www.twq.com/11summer/docs/11summer_Byman.pdf, p. 133-4, accessed 9-29-11, AFB]
Israel’s fears are much more likely to become reality if reform efforts stall or fail…. in a dangerous escalation that could spiral into disaster.
Egypt-Israeli war goes nuclear
Meir-Levi, Middle East expert and history professor at San Jose State University, ‘11
(David, “Nine Fronts in the Next War,” 9-7-11, http://frontpagemag.com/2011/09/07/nine-fronts-in-the-next-war/2/, accessed 9-28-11) PM
To gain maximum benefit from the situation in Egypt and to turn the world’s … danger now than it has ever been, even more so than during its 1948 war of survival.
Solvency
Contention 3 is Solvency
Current US assistance fails – expanding transparency efforts are key to solve institutional change.
Sullivan, Ph.D., the Executive Director of the Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE), 11
(John D, 2-23-11, Project on Middle East Democracy, “Rethinking Development Assistance in the Middle East,” pages3-4, http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/policy-brief-series_sullivan.pdf, accessed 9-25-11, CMM)
In a section highlighting the need for high-impact development ….. in dealings between government and business, especially in public procurement.
The US should promote public and government monitoring.
CIPE, Center for International Private Enterprise, No Date (post June 2009)
(Post June 2009 – This article was written after a survey conducted in June 2009 in Egypt, “Tackling The leviaThan: RefoRming egypTian BuReaucRacy foR impRoved economic growth,” http://www.cipe-arabia.org/files/pdf/Bureaucracy-EN.pdf, pages38-39, accessed 9-24-11, CMM)
If bureaucracy grants power to civil … its negative impact on the investment climate and on society as a whole.
Egypt will accept the aid – can’t refuse the desires of their people.
Terrill, joined the Strategic Studies Institute in October 2001, and is SSI's Middle East specialist, 8-2-11
(Dr. Andrew, served as a Middle East nonproliferation analyst for the International Assessments Division of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, “The Arab Spring and the Future of U.S. Interests and Cooperative Security in the Arab World,” http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/The-Arab-Spring-and-the-Future-of-US-Interests/2011/8/2, accessed 8-22-11, CMM)
The Arab Spring has sometimes brought to mind ….., frighten capital investors, or undermine the tourist trade that is vital to both countries.
The US has key anti corruption infrastructure
Diamond, Senior fellow at the Hoover Institute, ‘8
(Larry, “End Foreign Aid As We Know It,” Democracy Journal, No 8, Spring 2008, http://www.democracyjournal.org/8/6584.php, accessed 9-1-11) PM
But these new principles still govern only a small proportion of overall U.S. …. negotiating the details of country assistance projects, and thus slow to send money.
