1AC
Plan Text
Plan: The United States Federal Government should substantially assist trade unions in Bahrain.
Solvency
US support of Bahraini trade unions key to reforms
Bader-Blau, Middle East regional program director, 2011
(Shawna, Middle East regional program director for the Solidarity Center, a core institute of the National Endowment for Democracy, May 11, http://labourtime.blogspot.com/2011/05/reassesspriorities- and-confront.html, accessed 8/4/11, SLC)
The Arab spring . . . world is watching.
Trade Unions are a major proponent of democracy in Bahrain- foreign assistance helps mediate dialogue with the government
ITUC, 2011
(International Trade Union Confederation “Bahrain: Interview with Trade Union Heads”, July 6, http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/WO1107/S00130/bahrain-interview-with-trade-union-heads.htm, accessed 8/4/11, SLC)
Bahrain's national trade . . . international trade union movement that is taking a close interest in the situation of Bahraini workers and their trade unions.
The US-Bahrain FTA of 2006 provides the grounds for intervention in Bahrain’s labor affairs
Reuters, 2011
(“US to probe Bahrain labour rights under trade deal”, June 17, http://www.khaleejtimes.com/DisplayArticleNew.asp?xfile=/data/middleeast/2011/June/middleeast_June494.xml§ion=middleeast, accessed 8/4/11, SLC)
WASHINGTON - The Obama administration . . . recognized labour rights.
US inaction on trade unions in Bahrain allows the government to ignore attempts at dialogue
Bader-Blau and Junemann, Middle East regional program director, 2011
(Shawna, Middle East regional program director for the Solidarity Center, a core institute of the National Endowment for Democracy, Greg, Secretary-Treasurer of the AFL-CIO, “Union Leaders Arrested in Bahrain Crackdown”, Labor Notes, May 26, http://labornotes.org/2011/05/union-leaders-arrested-bahrain-crackdown, accessed 8/5/11, SLC)
As the Arab . . . happened in Bahrain.
The plan will be done through MEPI, the mechanism’s already in place
Katzman, 2011
(Kenneth, Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs-CRS, “Bahrain: Reform, Security, and U.S. Policy”, Congressional Research Service, May 17, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/95-1013.pdf, accessed 8/15/11, SLC)
The United States . . broader security issues.
Bahraini government will listen to US assistance
Terrill, Strategic Studies Institute Middle East specialist, 11
(Dr. W. Andrew, “U.S. Concerns about the Bahraini Uprising and the future of the Arab Monarchies”, Strategic Studies Institute, June 27, http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/Arab-Upheavals-and-the-Future-of-the-US-Military-Policies-and-Presence-in-the-Middle-East-and-the-Gulf/2011/6/27, accessed 9/12/11, SLC)
Bahraini interest in . . . stable domestic environment.
Credibility Advantage
Failure to support democracy in Bahrain kills Middle East credibility
Dietz, journalist, 2011
(David, journalist, grad of Georgetown University, “Should the US Reconsider its Relationship with Bahrain?” Transtierra, http://www.transterramedia.com/should-us-reconsider-its-relationship-bahrain, accessed 8/3/11, SLC)
The United States’ . . unrest and violence.
Failure to revitalize Middle East credibility replaces US heg with Iran heg
Leverett, CEO of Strategic Energy and Global Analysis, 2011
(Hillary, “Iran, the Middle East, and the Changing Balance of Power”, March 28, Yale, http://www.yale.edu/macmillan/newsletter/IranMEPower-0511.html, 8/4/11, SLC)
On March 28 , . . the United States.
Legitimacy key to US heg – necessary for foreign cooperation and maintaining leadership
Ikenberry, Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton, 2004
(John, “Liberal Realism: The Foundations of a Democratic Foreign Policy”, The National Interest, Fall, lexis, ldg)
The Bush Administration's . . . obedience into duty."
US hegemony prevents multiple scenarios for nuclear war and checks all the neg’s impacts
Kagan, Carnegie senior associate, 2007
(Robert, Carnegie senior associate (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), German Marshall Fund senior transatlantic fellow, "End of Dreams, Return of History," Policy Review, August/Sept, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/8552512.html)
The jostling for . . . States and Europe.
Iran expansion leads to global terrorism
Maginnis, national security and foreign affairs analyst, 2011
(Robert, national security and foreign affairs analyst, retired Army lieutenant colonel, “US Paving the Way for Iran Hegemony”, Human Events, July 12, http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44787, 8/4/11, SLC)
President Barack Obama’s . . . Iranian proliferation action.
These attacks will be nuclear
Maginnis, national security and foreign affairs analyst, 2011
(Robert, national security and foreign affairs analyst, retired Army lieutenant colonel, “US Paving the Way for Iran Hegemony”, Human Events, July 12, http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44787, 8/4/11, SLC)
Third, Iran is . . . nonstop arms sales.
Nuclear terrorist strike escalates to US-China-Russia war, environmental collapse, and extinction
Morgan, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, 2009
(Dennis, World on fire: two scenarios of the destruction of human civilization and possible extinction of the human race Futures, Volume 41, Issue 10, December, ldg)
In a remarkable . . . of strategic weapons.
Saudi Advantage
Democratic reforms in Bahrain results in a stable constitutional monarchy- failure allows hardline opposition groups to take power, resulting in civil unrest and regime change
Amiri, commentator on the Arab and Islamic world, 2011
(Rannie, independent commentator on the Arab and Islamic world, “Bahrain: Days of Rage, Decades of Oppression”, February 21, http://original.antiwar.com/rannie-amiri/2011/02/20/bahrain-days-of-rage/, accessed 8/6/11, SLC)
To fully appreciate . . . few other options.
Regime change and civil unrest in Bahrain causes Saudi Arabia to invade
Fuller et al., author and political analyst, 2011
(Graham E., author and political analyst, specializing in Islamic extremism, former vice-chair of the National Intelligence Council, “The Arab Revolution”, New Perspectives Quarterly, Spring, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1540-5842.2011.01239.x/pdf, accessed 8/3/11, SLC)
Like other Shiite . . . the Shiite voice?
This intervention prompts Saudi-Iran conflict
Tisdall, editor, 2011
(Simon, assistant editor, foreign affairs columnist “Saudi Arabia polices the region as trouble stirs at home”, Guardian, March 14, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/mar/14/saudi-arabia-bahrain-iran-us, accessed 8/2/11, SLC)
Saudi Arabia's decision . . . ministry in Riyadh.
Saudi-Iran conflict goes nuclear- Saudi will get nukes from Pakistan
Guzansky, research fellow at Tel Aviv U, 2011
(Yoel, “research fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University”, The Australian, July 1, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/tehran-tests-saudis-nerve-on-nuclear-weapons/story-e6frg6ux-1226085108555, accessed 8/3/11, SLC)
UNTIL recently it . . . of the regime.
Middle East war goes nuclear and causes extinction
Russell, Naval Postgraduate School National Security professor, 2009
(James, "Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Nuclear War and Escalation in the Middle East", http://www.nps.edu/academics/sigs/ccc/people/biolinks/russell/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf, ldg)
Strategic stability in . . . the entire world.
Fifth Fleet Advantage
US inaction is perceived as complacency – risks ejection of the 5th fleet
The Economist, 11
(“Bahrain's crisis: Calling in the big guns”, May 17, http://www.economist.com/node/18400600?story_id=18400600&fsrc=rss, 8/6/11, SLC)
The small Gulf . . . to support them.
Fifth Fleet presence key to maritime security
Wilson, International Law Department at the U.S. Naval War College, 09
[James Kraska and Brian Wilson Summer 2009. Stanford Journal of International Law "The Pirates of the Gulf of Aden: The Coalition is the Strategy" lexis d/a 7-30-2011 sae]
In addition to . . . western Indian Ocean.
Maritime security is key to prevent maritime piracy, terrorism, and South China Seas war
Wu and Zou, National Institute for the South China Seas Studies president, 2009
[Shicun, National Institute for the South China Seas Studies president, and Keyuan, University of Central Lancashire international law professor, Maritime Security in the South China Sea, ed. by Shicun Wu and Keyuan Zou, google books, 3, accessed 11-19-10, mss]
Maritime security is . . . even more complicated.
Goes nuclear
Nikkei Weekly, 1995
[“Developing Asian nations should be allowed a grace period to allow their economies to grow before being subjected to trade liberalization demands, says Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad,” 7-3, l/n, accessed 11-19-10, mss]
Mahathir sees Asia . . . even nuclear, war.
Presence of the 5th fleet is critical to free flow of oil, US heg, and counter-terrorism efforts
Martin, 2011
(David, CBS political correspondent, “Brutal Bahrain plays vital role to U.S. gov’t”, February 17, http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/02/17/eveningnews/main20033127.shtml, 8/6/11, SLC)
The free flow . . . the Persian Gulf.
Labor Advantage
Bahrain’s economy key to Gulf economy and stability
Rafique, 2011
(Mahmood, editor, “Bahraini banks upbeat on better half-yearly yields in 2011: BAB CEO”, 24/7 News, June 28, http://twentyfoursevennews.com/gcc/headline/bahraini-banks-upbeat-on-better-half-yearly-yields-in-2011-bab-ceo/, accessed 7/31/11, SLC)
“Much has happened . . . market,” he said.
Failure to resolve labor issues cripples Bahrain’s economy
Kerr, Gulf correspondent – Financial Times, 11
[Simeon, March 21, 2011, “Protests take economic toll on Bahrain”, http://www.youthmedia.eu/media/116975-a-failed-revolution-bahrain-media-silenced, 8/1/11, atl]
As people begin . . . get better soon.”
This endangers global energy security and spreads to Saudi Arabia – causing global oil spikes
Paiva, member of the Future Directions International Research: Indian Ocean research program, 11
[Bruno de, June 8, 2011, “Bahrain Instability Continues after Martial Law Lifted”, http://www.futuredirections.org.au/publications/indian-ocean/29-indian-ocean-swa/91-bahrain-instability-continues-after-martial-law-lifted.html, 7/18/11, atl]
Bahrain ended 11 . . . Gulf at risk.
Gulf shocks wreck the global economy
Art, Christian A. Herter Professor of International Relations at Brandeis University, 08
[Robert J., “SELECTIVE ENGAGEMENT AFTER BUSH”, Finding Our Way: Debating American Grand Strategy, 2008, 7/30/11, atl]
Preserving assured access . . . in the Gulf.
Global economic crisis causes war–strong statistical support
Royal, director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010
(Jedediah, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, pg 213-215, ldg)
Less intuitive is . . . to those views.
