PLAN
The United States Federal Government should provide substantial civil society support for the purpose of political party development of the Yemen youth movement.
Advantage 1: US and Yemen relations
Allowing Saleh to come here jeopardizes future relations with Yemen—tanking counter-terrorism cooperation against AQAP—plan solves by sending the signal that the U.S. government isn’t pro-Saleh
Peter, 1-23-12
(Tom, “Yemen's President Saleh departs for US, apparently ending his rule,” CSM, http://www.csmonitor.com/World/terrorism-security/2012/0123/Yemen-s-President-Saleh-departs-for-US-apparently-ending-his-rule)
Yemen's President Ali based in Pakistan.
Increased U.S. engagement with the opposition is key to sustain counter-terrorism cooperation and reduce domestic support for AQAP
Foust, 12-30-11
(Joshua, “Unaccountable Killing Machines: The True Cost of U.S. Drones,” http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/12/unaccountable-killing-machines-the-true-cost-of-us-drones/250661/)
In Yemen, the CT policy there requires.
Strong U.S. support for the youth movement is key to creating pro-American perceptions inside Yemen—this devastates domestic support for AQAP
Gundun, 1-15-12
(James, “US is Bleeding out Its Credibility in Yemen,” http://www.palestinechronicle.com/view_article_details.php?id=17388)
2. Immunity is necessary of American policy.
AQAP is resilient, gaining resources and increasing operational capacity
Gardner, 1-18-12
(Frank, “Yemen crisis: Is al-Qaeda gaining ground?,” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16612072)
Al-Qaeda in Yemen on the move."
Yemen is the new center of al-Qaeda operations and controls global networks
Carafano, 8-8-11
(James Jay, “Yemen Looks Like al Qaeda's New Heartland,” http://www.heritage.org/research/commentary/2011/08/yemen-looks-like-al-qaedas-new-heartland)
One of the to work from.
Leaked classified documents state that Al-Qaeda has advanced nuclear and CBW capabilities and is preparing for an attack
Blake and Hope, 2-2-11
(Heidi and Christopher, “WikiLeaks: al-Qaeda 'is planning a dirty bomb',” http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/wikileaks/8296956/WikiLeaks-al-Qaeda-is-planning-a-dirty-bomb.html)
A leading atomic "extraordinary loss of life".
WMD attack causes global nuclear conflict
Ayson, Victoria University Centre for Strategic Studies, 10
(Robert, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, Volumne 33, Issue 7, July 2010, p. EBSCO)
A terrorist nuclear a devastating response.
Terrorism causes extinction—several reasons
Wright, 4-28-07
(Robert, “Planet of the Apes,” http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/28/opinion/28wright.html)
O.K., that last mishandling of it.
Advantage 2: Yemen Child Soldiers
Yemeni infighting and political instability is skyrocketing recruitment of child soldiers- they’ve become embedded in regional conflict
UPI, 1-6-10
(“Yemen’s child soldiers go to war,” http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2010/01/06/Yemens-child-soldiers-go-to-war/UPI-89571262808410/)
As Yemen's beleaguered age," he said.
Child soldiers are the most vulnerable group in the world and represent the ultimate in repressive control- demanding specific policy proposals is key to combat this exploitation at every turn
Hanson, 7-22-04
(Kirk, “The Plight of Children:
Are We Meeting Our Responsibility to Children?,” http://www.scu.edu/ethics/practicing/focusareas/global_ethics/iac-children.html)
In addressing this responsibility to children.
Recruitment of child soldiers creates a cycle of violence and expendability- it’s uniquely the most exploitative form of violence
War Child UK, 11
(“Child Soldiers,” http://www.warchild.org.uk/issues/child-soldiers?_kk=child%20soldiers&_kt=34d0a30a-ab2f-4c8a-9b0b-6e877056c4e3&gclid=COLG3O_TmKsCFYt25QodLXoJzg)
Children are used of feeding themselves.
Taking resolute action against child soldiers is key to combat overall power structures that make systemic violence inevitable- the plan is key to delegitimize oppressive regimes
Hall, 09
(Mitch, “Children, Structural Violence, and the UNCRC: Reflections for Children’s Advocates,” http://psysr.wordpress.com/2009/04/10/children-structural-violence-and-the-uncrc-reflections-for-childrens-advocates/)
Compared with structural be a priority.
Further political instability causes rampant child labor- trades off with education and exposes children to dangerous pesticides
UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 10-6-11
(“YEMEN: Political upheaval likely to increase child labour,” http://www.irinnews.org/report.aspx?reportid=93901)
More parents are , reduced or cancelled.
Rejecting child exploitation is an a priori issue- it’s a magnifier for all other types of violence and creates generations of militancy that make all other atrocities worse
Miebaka, 08
(Marshall, “Child Abuse: Dehumanization of the Human Mind,” http://www.child-abuse-effects.com/child-abuse-dehumanization-of-the-human-mind.html)
It is imperative labour and abuse.
The 1AC is an act of awareness-raising that, in itself, is a part of the larger goal of living by, not simply having, laws against child soldiering.
Somavia, 02
(Juan, “Children in the Crossfire: Prevention and Rehabilitation of Child Soldiers,” http://www.dol.gov/ilab/programs/iclp/childsoldiers/event_overview.htm#d04f)
Our studies and policies and practice.
Advantage 3—LNG
We’re on the brink of a huge LNG supply shortage
LNG Reports, 12-1-11
(“Global LNG Market Short and Long Term Outlook: Trends, Drivers and Forecasts of Supply, Demand, Capacity, Trade and Contracts to 2020,” http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/7894c7/global_lng_market)
LNGReports new report tonnes in 2014.
Instability and violence threaten Yemeni LNG production
Reuters, 3-22-11
(“UPDATE 4-Yemen unrest may hit LNG export, no impact yet-Total,” http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/03/22/lng-yemen-unrest-idUSN2215973720110322)
Widespread civil unrest line last year.
Yemen sits on a key LNG access point in the Indian Ocean
Total, 11
(French multinational oil company, “Yemen LNG, driving the country’s development,” http://www.total.com/en/our-energies/natural-gas-/processing/projects-and-achievements/yemen-lng-940894.html)
A strategically important and gas sales.
Yemen is uniquely positioned to satisfy global LNG demand—it has tons of excess capacity and access to every major market
Kurmanaev, 10-17-10
(Anatoly, “Decrypting Yemen’s LNG Future,” http://nationalyemen.com/2010/10/17/decrypting-yemen%E2%80%99s-lng-future/)
A year ago meet this demand.
LNG shortages cause massive investment in methane-hydrate gases
National Energy Technology Laboratory, 06
(“All About Hydrates,” http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/oil-gas/FutureSupply/MethaneHydrates/about-hydrates/hydrateResearch.htm)
By 1999, the growing within this program.
That’s the most probable scenario for extinction
Sassoon, 5-20-10
(David, “Did Deepwater methane hydrates cause the BP Gulf explosion?,” http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/may/20/deepwater-methane-hydrates-bp-gulf)
The vast deepwater getting to know.
Solvency
U.S. assistance to the Yemeni democratic youth movement is vital to enhancing their power and influence—ensuring real domestic democratic reforms happen
Rettig, Writer for U.S. News & World Report, 6-14-11
(Jessica, “Limited Options for United States in Yemen,” U.S. News & World Report, http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2011/06/14/limited-options-for-united-states-in-yemen)
One way the the status quo."
The youth movement is verifiable and is the best hope for a stable transition- further support from outside actors is key to successful organization
Omholt, 7-20-11
(Mariann Markseth, “Yemeni Youth Key to Real Change,” http://www.currentintelligence.net/news/2011/7/21/yemeni-youth-key-to-real-change.html)
Emerging protest groups this next step.
Increasing political party development is key to youth mobilization
Al-Akhali, Yemeni Youth Activist, 6-30-11
(Rafat, “Youth in Post-Revolution Yemen: A View from the Ground,” http://muftah.org/?p=1148)
Given these realities, and grassroots mobilization.
Revitalized youth movement is key to preventing complete state fragmentation and multiple scenarios for regional conflict
Middle East Futures Network, 11-11-11
(“The Arab Spring and the looming threat of disintegration in Yemen,” http://mefn.org/2011/11/the-arab-spring-and-the-looming-threat-of-disintegration-in-yemen/)
Since the commencement is too late.
