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Kentucky CW Cavalier and Woika Aff

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  • GSU 1AC

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • UK Egypt Religious Freedom 1AC
      Plan - The United States federal government should provide assistance for the promotion of religious freedom in Egypt.

      Advantage One - U.S./Egyptian Cooperation
      The United State’s exclusive focus on religious minority persecution in Egypt reinforces fears that religious freedom requires suppression of Islam.
      Shah 2011
      Timothy, Associate Director of the Religious Freedom Project at the Berkley Center For Religion, Peace, and World Affairs and Visiting Assistant Professor in the Government Department, Georgetown University, A Fully Free Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/timothy-samuel-shah-on-a-fully-free-egypt
      On May 19, 2011, President Obama…those convictions in the public square.

      Additionally, Obama’s strategy actively exacerbates persecution.  
      Farr 2010
      Thomas, Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service, A Freedom Deferred, America: The National Catholic Weekly, http://www.americamagazine.org/content/article.cfm?article_id=12390
      a purely antipersecution strategy…will enhance international peace.

      This risks sanctions, aid cuts & undermines relations.
      Timmerman 2011
      Ken, Congress to Press Obama on Religious Persecution, Newsmax, 1/21, http://www.newsmax.com/KenTimmerman/Congress-Obama-religiouspersecution-humanrights/2011/01/21/id/383543
      Designation by the commission could lead…for the United States to reduce aid to Egypt.”

      Changing U.S. religious freedom policy is key - Exclusion promotes extremism while political inclusion causes moderation.
      Philpott 2011
      Daniel, Islam: A Friend or Foe of Democracy in the New Egypt? 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/daniel-philpott-on-islam-a-friend-or-foe-of-democracy-in-the-new-egypt
      Nor is the Brotherhood a static organization…religious democrats that the U.S. is on their side.

      Now is the key time - Pre-election preparations means more groups would be willing to accept U.S. support.
      Thistlethwaite 2011
      Rev. Susan Brooks, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress and a professor of theology at Chicago Theological Seminary and its former president, Religious Freedom Amid the Arab Spring, 5/25, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/05/religious_freedom_arab_spring.html
      Waiting until after elections have solidified…power, whether religious or secular.

      Lack of religious freedom in Egypt collapses the Middle East.
      Bandow 2011
      Doug, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute and the Senior Fellow in International Religious Persecution at the Institute on Religion and Public Policy, What Kind of Revolution?, 7/13, http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=13348
      those who hoped the Egyptian revolution would…the rest of the Middle East.

      Religious extremism makes deterrence irrelevant - Creates a unique risk of extinction.
      Beres 2011
      Louis Rene, Israel, anarchy and global chaos, 8/17, http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Op-EdContributors/Article.aspx?id=234092
      The probability of expanding Middle East…effects would be chaotic.

      Promoting religious political inclusion is critical to continued U.S./Egyptian counterterrorism cooperation.
      Pillar 2011
      Paul, Avoiding Extremism in Egypt (and Beyond), 2/15, http://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/avoiding-extremism-egypt-beyond-4899
      In Egypt the Muslim Brotherhood has…would continue

      U.S./Egyptian cooperation is the cornerstone for counterterrorism intelligence in the region.
      Sheridan & Warrick 2011
      Mary Beth, Joby, U.S.-Egyptian anti-terror partnership in question, Washington Post, http://articles.sfgate.com/2011-02-13/news/28532470_1_muslim-brotherhood-egyptian-government-islamist
      With the ouster of President…fundamentalism and its international dimensions

      Additionally, the Arab Spring and declining relations with Pakistan have created an intelligence gap - loss of cooperation with key states leaves America open to attack.
      United Press International 2011
      Arab revolts jolt Western intelligence, http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2011/05/31/Arab-revolts-jolt-Western-intelligence/UPI-96301306867145/
      The toppling of the pro-Western rulers…disastrous for the West.

      Egypt is the key.
      Agency France Press 2011
      US anxious to retain Egypt in fight against terror, 2/6, http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/5070/Egypt/Politics-/US-anxious-to-retain-Egypt-in-fight-against-terror.aspx
      US officials acknowledge the…fight against Al-Qaeda," a US official said.

      Counterterrorism intelligence is crucial to defeating al Qaeda.
      Walsh 2010
      James Igoe, Emerging Transnational (In)security Governance, 44
      A top foreign policy priority…places it on the frontline against terrorism.”

      Al Qaeda will attack the United States with nuclear weapons - Plans are already being developed.
      Mowatt-Larssen 2011
      Rolf, Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and former Director of Intelligence and Counterintelligence at the U.S. Department of Energy, he served for 23 years as a CIA intelligence officer in various posts, to include Chief of the Europe Division in the Directorate of Operations, Chief of the Weapons of Mass Destruction Department, Counterterrorist Center, and Deputy Associate Director of Central Intelligence for Military Support, April 18th, http://www.rahimkanani.com/2011/04/18/a-career-u-s-intelligence-officer-on-al-qaeda-nuclear-terrorism-and-the-nuclear-threat/
      Nuclear terrorism is inextricably…against the US in the near future.

      Nuclear terrorism causes extinction.
      Sid-Ahmed 2004
      Mohamed, political analyst, August 26 – September 1, 2004, Al-Ahram Weekly On-Line, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2004/705/op5.htm
      a nuclear attack by terrorists…we will all be losers.

      U.S. assistance programs are critical to reverse Anti-American resistance to religious freedom promotion.  
      Farr & Hoover 2009
      Thomas F., visiting associate professor of religion and international affairs at Georgetown University’s Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. He also directs the Religion and U.S. Foreign Policy Program at the Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, where he is a senior fellow, Dennis R., vice president for research and publications at the Institute for Global Engagement (IGE). He also directs IGE’s Center on Faith & International Affairs and is the founding editor of The Review of Faith & International Affairs, The Future of U.S. International Religious Freedom Policy, https://www.globalengage.org/attachments/829_IRFpolicyreport_final_lowres.pdf  
      Moreover, there is a widespread perception…in any systematic way.

      A policy of religious freedom promotion to Egypt would create consistent principles that could sustain religious liberty.  
      Inboden 2011
      William, Assistant Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs and Distinguished Scholar at the Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the University of Texas-Austin & Non-Resident Fellow with the German Marshall Fund of the United States, US Religious Freedom Policy in the New Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/william-inboden-on-us-religious-freedom-policy-in-the-new-egypt
      One position does not a policy make…for good or for ill.

      Advantage Two - International Religious Freedom
      Lack of aid for religious freedom Egypt sends a signal of U.S. indifference.
      Zeman 2010
      William F., US report on religious freedom puts egypt on ‘watch list,’ Daily News Egypt, http://www.coptsunited.com/Details.php?I=167&A=1294
      The USCIRF called for US President…do anything about it.”

      This undercuts religious freedom and global stability - Egypt’s prominence makes it a key litmus test.
      Halim 2007
      Cameel, Coptic Assembly of America Chairman, Testimony of Cameel Halim Coalition for Defense of Human Rights Conference, http://www.copticassembly.com/showart.php?main_id=233
      The only one who can have…affecting the whole world’s security.

      Additionally, religious freedom assistance to Egypt can reverse this trend and revitalize global U.S. religious freedom diplomacy.
      Farr 2008
      Thomas, "Diplomacy in an Age of Faith: Religious Freedom and National Security," Foreign Affairs, March/April,  http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/publications/diplomacy-in-an-age-of-faith-religious-freedom-and-national-security
      extremism and terrorism can…establishment blinded by secularism.

      Religious movements are inevitable, suppression undermines a key lynchpin for peace.
      Farr 2008
      Thomas, Diplomacy in an Age of Faith: How Failing to Understand the Role of Religion Hinders America's Purposes in the World, December 17th, http://www.heritage.org/research/lecture/diplomacy-in-an-age-of-faith-how-failing-to-understand-the-role-of-religion-hinders-americas-purposes-in-the-world
      One, religion is resurging around the world…it with a religious civil war. 

      Religion makes these conflicts uniquely dangerous - Five reasons.
      Toft, Philpott & Shah 2011
      Monica Duffy, Daniel, Timothy Samuel, God’s Century: Resurgent Religion and Global Politics, Pg 150
      The basic facts concerning religious civil wars…have equally “glocalized” dimensions.

      Lack of religious freedom risks global war & instability including Russia China & the Korean peninsula.
      Haynes 2009
      Charles C., senior scholar at the First Amendment Center, Around the globe, religious freedom under assault, 5/16, http://tucsoncitizen.com/morgue/2009/05/16/116697-around-the-globe-religious-freedom-under-assault/
      At a time when religious persecution…at the center of U.S. foreign policy.

      And revitalized American religious freedom diplomacy solves.
      Farr 2008
      Thomas F., World of Faith and Freedom, pg 41
      In sum, a policy of actually advancing…value-free form of democracy

      Korean instability causes global war & extinction.
      Lee 1999
      Wha Rang, Korea Web Weekly, September 13 http://www.kimsoft.com/1997/lee0913.htm

      Russian collapse causes global nuclear war and environmental destruction.
      David 1999
      Steven, Professor of Political Science at The Johns Hopkins University, Foreign Affairs, Jan/Feb
      Should Russia succumb…threat America now faces

      CCP collapse results in WMD use that kills billions.
      Renxing 2005
      San, THE EPOCH TIMES, The CCP’s Last-ditch Gamble: Biological and Nuclear War- Hundreds of millions of deaths proposed, http://english.epochtimes.com/news/5-8-5/30931.html
      it would not be surprising…and gamble with their lives.

      Religious freedom is key to value to life.
      Shah 2011
      Timothy, Associate Director of the Religious Freedom Project at the Berkley Center For Religion, Peace, and World Affairs and Visiting Assistant Professor in the Government Department, Georgetown University, A Fully Free Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/timothy-samuel-shah-on-a-fully-free-egypt
      The demand for religious freedom…that is not worth living       
               



11/11/11
  • EU 2AC

    • Tournament: GSU | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • Islamic groups won’t work with the European Union - It’s comparatively less credible.   
      Wittes 2009
      Tamara Cofman, Saban Center at Brookings,
      AND
      Repairing the Breach, Analysis Paper No. 18
      In dealings with some states, the European
      AND
      follow through on promises to support democratization.30 

      The EU model privileges politics to the exclusion of religion.
      Donnelly 2011
      Rev Nick, deacon of the Diocese of
      AND
      http://protectthepope.com/?p=3251
      The freedom of religion and conscience is thus
      AND
      doors of our churches, mosques and synagogues. 

      Europe wont promote religious freedom even if they could - No political will.
      Uzzell 2004
      Lawrence, president of International Religious Freedom Watch
      AND
      national-interest-2588?page=2
      Unlike other human rights, however, religious
      AND
      European Union over their right to exclude women. 

      Turn - Small Arms
      (a.) New EU assistance to Egypt trades off with aid to Sub-Saharan Africa.
      Youngs 2008
      Richard, director of the democratization program at
      AND
      19.2 (2008) 160-169
      Who Receives Democracy Assistance? Sub-Saharan
      AND
      to the detriment of sub-Saharan Africa. 

      (b.) EU aid is key to fight Sub Saharan small arms trafficking that kills millions every year.
      Mwaura 2010
      Paul, EU to Spend €3.3 Million in Curbing Trafficking of Small Arms in Africa, Newstime Africa, March 1st,  http://www.newstimeafrica.com/archives/11091
      The European Union is funding a pilot project
      AND
      escalates proliferation of illicit guns in some region.

      EU process takes longer.
      Zulueta-Fülscher-Visiting Fellow at the EU Institute for Security Studies-2/11
      http://www.iss.europa.eu/publications/detail/article/europe-in-tunisia-a-standby-actor-or-the-main-character/
      The EU is a hybrid – existing somewhere
      AND
      , and can sometimes be long and cumbersome.

      Egypt won’t attack Israel
      Miller 2011 (Aaron David, public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Washington Post: “Why Israel fears a free Egypt” Feb 4 2011 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/04/AR2011020402774.html)
      Among Israel's most dire fears: Would a
      AND
      the uncertain transition after President Hosni Mubarak's departure. 

      No impact to peace treaty dissolution- Economy, Foreign investments, and weak military- even if Egypt hates Israel
      Byman 2011 (Daniel, Porfessor in the Security Studies at Georgetown University and Research Director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings Institute. Washington Quarterly: “Israel’s pessimistic view of the Arab Spring” Summer 2011 http://www.twq.com/11summer/docs/11summer_Byman.pdf)
      To be clear, no Egyptian government is
      AND
      tumult overturns all the certainties of past decades



09/21/11
  • SKFTA 2AC

    • Tournament: GSU | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:


    • NU-Egypt Aid
      McInerney, Executive Director of the Project on Middle East Democracy, 7-11
      Stephen, Federal Budget and Appropriations for FY
      AND
      Report-web.pdf, p 16.
      Soon after Mubarak’s ouster, the administration announced
      AND
      been obligated to various Egyptian and international organizations.

      -NU-Libya dwarfs the plan and is ongoing
      ABC News 8/22/11   http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/08/us-military-intervention-in-libya-cost-at-least-896-million-/
      The cost of U.S. military
      AND
      military lingo for Meals, Ready to Eat). 

      -NU-Foreign aid debate swamps
      A. Big budget fight coming
      -the plan would be part of the existing debate
      The Hill 9/7/11  http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/180079-senate-appropriators-draw-2012-battle-lines-over-programs-to-cut
      Senate appropriators on Wednesday approved a broad spending
      AND
      new fiscal year begins on Oct. 1. 

      The plan is a blip on the radar
      Carothers-Carnegie Endowment for International Peace-99 Aiding Democracy Abroad p. 61
      As it is only a small fraction of
      AND
      —but they nonetheless merit attention and analysis-

      No congressional debate-reprogrammed aid
      Huffington Post 5/18/11
      http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/18/obama-middle-east-speech-billions-aid_n_863927.html
      None of the money requires new spending from
      AND
      these initiatives," said another senior administration official.

      Winners Win
      Ornstein, 2001 (Norman, American Enterprise Institute, How is Bush Governing?, May 15, http://www.aei.org/events/filter.,eventID.281/transcript.asp)
      The best plan is to pick two significant
      AND
      get it back with a very healthy premium.

      South Korea and China wouldn’t consider war- they both strongly encourage peace.
      Kang, Dartmouth Government Professor, 08
      (David C., Professor in the Government
      AND )

      Beijing appears to desire, first and foremost
      AND
      and avoiding a costly collapse of the regime. 



09/21/11
  • CPC CP 2AC

    • Tournament: GSU | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:



    • Only Religious leaders solve
      Boyle 2011 (Jenna Larson, intern Institute for Global Engagement and MA in History from Boston College, focusing on Islamic Studies and Mediterranean Societies. The Review of Faith and International Affiars: “Religious Leaders and Reform in Post-Mubarak Egypt” May 4 2011 http://rfiaonline.org/extras/articles/750-religious-leaders-and-reform-in-post-mubarak-egypt#_edn10)
      Addressing religious tensions. Interfaith marriages, proselytization
      AND
      accomplish something that Mubarak's despotic rule never did. 



11/11/11
  • Weak Ontology

    • Tournament: GSU | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:



    • Education - Key to real world education & policy change.
      Joyner 1999  
      Christopher, Professor of International Law at University of Georgetown, 1999, “Teaching International Law: Views from an international relations political scientist”
      The debate exercises carry several specific educational objectives
      AND
      analysis, political critique, and legal defense.

      -Critical alternative’s to democracy undermine structural impediments to totalitarianism & turns the k.
      Nineham 2011
      Chris, Don’t Knock Democracy: Review of
      AND
      reviews/12748-dont-knock-democracy
      Worse still, one-sided contempt for
      AND
      or even back to monolithic forms of rule.  

      Human action makes predictions possible – we can deduce value and the probability through observation that avoids essentialist views of the subject.
      Caplan 2001
      Bryan, assistant professor of economics at George
      AND
      pdf/qjae4_2_6.pdf
      But how can these claims about probability be
      AND
      the probability that I have an evil twin?”



11/11/11
  • Vandy 1AC

    • Tournament: Vandy | Round: 1 | Opponent: Wake CG | Judge: Geneva Simons

    • Plan: The United States federal government should provide assistance for the promotion of religious freedom in Egypt.

       

      Advantage One – Egypt

      ---The United States religious freedom policy in Egypt is failing --- Focus on religious minority persecution reinforces perceptions that religious freedom requires suppression of Islam.

      Shah 2011 Timothy, Associate Director of the Religious Freedom Project at the Berkley Center For Religion, Peace, and World Affairs and Visiting Assistant Professor in the Government Department, Georgetown University, A Fully Free Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/timothy-samuel-shah-on-a-fully-free-egypt

      There will be no moving toward a …those convictions in the public square.

       

      ---Exclusive focus on condemnation actively exacerbates religious persecution. 

      Farr 2010 Thomas, Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service, A Freedom Deferred, America: The National Catholic Weekly, http://www.americamagazine.org/content/article.cfm?article_id=12390

      What lessons can be gleaned from I.R.F…. And it will enhance international peace.

       

      ---Democracy assistance is increasing now but lacks religious engagement.

      Farr 2011 Thomas, former American diplomat, is Visiting Associate Professor of Religion and World Affairs in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and a Senior Fellow at the Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, & World Affairs at Georgetown University. He also chairs the Witherspoon Institute’s task force on International Religious Freedom, The 9/11 Collection: Tom Farr on Engaging Islam, September 12th, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/publications/the-911-collection-tom-farr-on-engaging-islam

      Incorporate religious communities in … in Muslim nations: religious communities.

       

      ---That’s key to a stable democratic transition in Egypt --- Religious freedom must be incorporated into democracy assistance to be effective.

      Farr 2011 Thomas F., former American diplomat, is Visiting Associate Professor of Religion and World Affairs in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and a Senior Fellow at the Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, & World Affairs at Georgetown University. He also chairs the Witherspoon Institute’s task force on International Religious Freedom, Preventing Another Attack: International Religious Freedom, September 23rd, http://www.thepublicdiscourse.com/2011/09/4008

      There are good reasons to believe …not substitute for policy action.

       

      ---Specifically, reverses anti-Islamic perceptions of American democracy assistance.

      Farr & Hoover 2009  Thomas F., visiting associate professor of religion and international affairs at Georgetown University’s Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. He also directs the Religion and U.S. Foreign Policy Program at the Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs, where he is a senior fellow, Dennis R., vice president for research and publications at the Institute for Global Engagement (IGE). He also directs IGE’s Center on Faith & International Affairs and is the founding editor of The Review of Faith & International Affairs, The Future of U.S. International Religious Freedom Policy,

      Moreover, there is a into its operational planning or programs.

       

      ---U.S. stance on religious freedom assistance is the defining issue.

      Inboden 2011 William, Assistant Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs and Distinguished Scholar at the Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the University of Texas-Austin & Non-Resident Fellow with the German Marshall Fund of the United States, US Religious Freedom Policy in the New Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/william-inboden-on-us-religious-freedom-policy-in-the-new-egypt

      One position does not a policy …subsequent course, for good or for ill.

       

      ---That’s critical maintain Egyptian counterterrorism cooperation.

      Pillar 2011 Paul, Avoiding Extremism in Egypt (and Beyond), 2/15, http://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/avoiding-extremism-egypt-beyond-4899

      The United States has made …the Muslim Brotherhood played a major role.

       

      Scenario One—Israel

      ---Counterterrorism cooperation repairs deteriorating relations with Israel.

      Weiss 2011 Michael, Communications Director of The Henry Jackson Society, Why an Al Qaeda presence in Sinai might be good for Israeli-Egyptian relations, September 14th, http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/michaelweiss/100104770/why-an-al-qaeda-presence-in-sinai-might-be-good-for-israeli-egyptian-relations/

      Counter-intuitive thought …in security begins diplomacy.

       

      ---Egypt/Israeli relations prevent regional war.

      Satloff 2011 Robert, executive director of The Washington Institute, Hanging by a Thread, September 20th, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/opedsPDFs/4e68e438f05fd.pdf

      IT’S THE GRANDDADDY OF ALL American diplomatic achievements in the Middle East. It represents one of the greatest Western victories of the Cold War. It has prevented the drift toward a region-wide Arab-Israeli military confrontation for more than 30 years. It is the foundation both …mullahs, these are mere annoyances

       

      ---Collapse of relations undermines Israel’s security strategy and creates multiple scenarios for escalation.

      Freilich 2011 Chuck, Senior Fellow, International Security Program @ Belfer Center, "Keep the Peace Between Israel and Egypt," September 14th

      For more than three decades …Egypt back into confrontation with Israel.

       

      ---Goes nuclear.

      Chadwick 2011 Bruce P., PhD, CFA, is principal at Chadwick Global Research and Consulting, an independent consulting firm specializing in macro strategy, including quantitative, emerging market, and SRI research. Worldview: Summer Perspectives on the Arab Spring New York Society of Security Analysts, 7/6, http:// post.nyssa.org/nyssa-news/2011/07/summer-perspectives-on-the-arab-spring.html

      The United States and Israel …a hair-trigger will be considerable.

       

      ---Israel will respond by turning the world into a parking lot.

      Morgan 2009 Dennis Ray, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, Yongin Campus, World on fire: two scenarios of the destruction of human civilization and possible extinction of the human race, Futures 41, 683–693

      Israeli leaders and Zionist supporters have, …the environment and fragile ecosphere as well.

       

      Scenario Two—Al Qaeda

      ---Counterterrorism cooperation with Egypt is the key to defeat al Qaeda.

      Agency France Press 2011 US anxious to retain Egypt in fight against terror, 2/6, http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/5070/Egypt/Politics-/US-anxious-to-retain-Egypt-in-fight-against-terror.aspx

      Even without the Mubarak regime, …Al-Qaeda," a US official said.

       

      ---Egypt is the cornerstone for intelligence in the region.

      Sheridan & Warrick 2011 Mary Beth, Joby, U.S.-Egyptian anti-terror partnership in question, Washington Post, http://articles.sfgate.com/2011-02-13/news/28532470_1_muslim-brotherhood-egyptian-government-islamist

      With the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak, …Jane's intelligence information service.

       

      ---Loss of cooperation will be disastrous --- The Arab Spring has created a unique intelligence gap.

      United Press International 2011 Arab revolts jolt Western intelligence, http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2011/05/31/Arab-revolts-jolt-Western-intelligence/UPI-96301306867145/

      The toppling of the pro-Western rulers …be potentially disastrous for the West.

       

      ---Al Qaeda will attack the United States with nuclear weapons.

      Mowatt-Larssen 2011 Rolf, Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and former Director of Intelligence and Counterintelligence at the U.S. Department of Energy, he served for 23 years as a CIA intelligence officer in various posts, to include Chief of the Europe Division in the Directorate of Operations, Chief of the Weapons of Mass Destruction Department, Counterterrorist Center, and Deputy Associate Director of Central Intelligence for Military Support, April 18th, http://www.rahimkanani.com/2011/04/18/a-career-u-s-intelligence-officer-on-al-qaeda-nuclear-terrorism-and-the-nuclear-threat/

      Rahim Kanani: In assessing and analyzing …on sufficient fissile material

       

      ---Extinction.

      Toon et al 2007 Owen B., chair of the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at CU-Boulder, et al., April 19, “Atmospheric effects and societal consequences of regional scale nuclear conflicts and acts of individual nuclear terrorism,” http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/acp-7-1973-2007.pdf

      To an increasing extent, …scenarios and physical outcomes.

       

       

      Advantage Two – International Religious Freedom

      ---Adopting a policy of religious freedom promotion in Egypt revitalizes American religious freedom diplomacy.

      Farr 2008 Thomas, "Diplomacy in an Age of Faith: Religious Freedom and National Security," Foreign Affairs, March/April,  http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/publications/diplomacy-in-an-age-of-faith-religious-freedom-and-national-security

      U.S. aid has helped, but …establishment blinded by secularism.

       

      ---Assisting Egyptian religious freedom restores credibility --- Overcomes other issues.

      Weigel 2011 George, distinguished senior fellow of the Ethics and Public Policy Center where he holds the William E. Simon chair in Catholic Studies, Egypt’s Coptic Christians Deserve a Word from President Obama, National Review Online, http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/258498/egypts-coptic-christians-deserve-word-president-obama-george-weigel

      While the current upheaval in …defend religious freedom in full.

       

      ---Egypt’s prominence makes it a key litmus test for American religious freedom efforts.

      Halim 2007 Cameel, Coptic Assembly of America Chairman, Testimony of Cameel Halim Coalition for Defense of Human Rights Conference, http://www.copticassembly.com/showart.php?main_id=233

      We have a job to expose …that destroys the world now.

       

      ---Revitalized religious freedom diplomacy preserves global security --- Religion defines every major scenario for conflict & transnational issue --- All your impacts are belong to us.

      Farr 2009 Thomas F., Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. B.A., Mercer University; Ph.D., University of North Carolina, THE WIDOW'S TORMENT: INTERNATIONAL RELIGIOUS FREEDOM AND AMERICAN NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY, 57 Drake L. Rev. 851

      However, an exclusively humanitarian …HIV/AIDS to economic globalization. 9

       

      Scenario One—Global Conflict

      ---Lack of religious freedom is the root of the world’s most violent conflicts.

      Haynes 2009

      Charles C., senior scholar at the First Amendment Center, Around the globe, religious freedom under assault, 5/16, http://tucsoncitizen.com/morgue/2009/05/16/116697-around-the-globe-religious-freedom-under-assault/

      At a time when religious commissioners who did their homework. 

       

      ---Religion makes these uniquely dangerous --- Five reasons.

      Toft, Philpott & Shah 2011 Monica Duffy, Daniel, Timothy Samuel, God’s Century: Resurgent Religion and Global Politics, Pg 150

      The basic facts concerning religious …have equally “glocalized” dimensions.

       

      ---Billions are at risk.

      Grieboski 2011  Joseph K., founder of the Institute on Religion and Public Policy. Huffington Post: “It is Time to Prioritize Religious Freedom in U.S. Policy” June 8 2011 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph-k-grieboski/it-is-time-to-prioritize-_b_872758.html

      The issue of religious liberty is …pray or not to pray.

       

      ---Specifically, lack of religious freedom inevitably triggers nuclear war between Indian & Pakistan. 

      Bonney 2004 Richard, Director of the Institute for the study of Indo-Pakistan relations, University of Leicester, Religious Radicalism and Nuclear Confrontation in South Asia, www.policyarchitects.org/pdf/nuclear%20south%20asia.pdf

      It is with very great pleasure ,,,nuclear danger in its own right.

       

      ---Even a limited exchange will blot out the sun.

      Robock & Toon 2010 Alan, Professor II Department of Environmental Sciences School of Environmental and Biological Sciences @ Rutgers University, Owen Brian, professor of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and a fellow at the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics (LASP) @ the University of Colorado, South Asian Threat? Local Nuclear War = Global Suffering, Scientific America, January, http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=local-nuclear-war 

      Nuclear bombs dropped on cities …confidence that the models are correct.

       

      Scenario Two—AIDS

      ---Religious freedom is the most significant tool in preventing the spread of HIV/AIDS.

      Pusateri 2010 David P., managing partner at the Pittsburgh Office of McGuireWoods, LLP. He is also a member of the ABA AIDS Coordinating Committee, Faith-Based Organizations and the HIV/AIDS Pandemic, Human Rights, Spring, Vol. 37, No. 2, http://www.americanbar.org/publications/human_rights_magazine_home/irr_hr_spring10_pusateri.html

      Among a host of controversial …affect the severity of the disease.

       

      ---Extinction.

      Muchiri 2000  Michael Kibaara, Staff Member at Ministry of Education in Nairobi, “Will Annan finally put out Africa’s fires?” Jakarta Post, March 6, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2000/03/06/will-annan-finally-put-out-africa039s-fires.html

      Statistics show that AIDS is and maybe the human race

       

      Scenario Three—Value to life

      ---Intervention is inevitable --- Only a policy of religious freedom promotion can ensure stability by politicizing those relationships via democratic contestation & debate.

      Baumeister 2011 Andrea, University of Stirling, The Role of Religion in the Public Sphere: The Use Of Public Reason By Religious and Secular Citizens, Constellations, Volume 18, Issue 2, pages 222–243, June 2011

      After all the strict separation of his new ethics of citizenship.

       

      ---That’s the only way to avoid transforming religion into a nationalist tool of the state & preserve a life worth living.

      Shah 2011 Timothy, Associate Director of the Religious Freedom Project at the Berkley Center For Religion, Peace, and World Affairs and Visiting Assistant Professor in the Government Department, Georgetown University, A Fully Free Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/timothy-samuel-shah-on-a-fully-free-egypt

      The demand for religious freedom rate, not pleasing to God.

       




11/11/11
0
  • Round Reports

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Aff: Kentucky CW
      Round #4   Tournament: Shirley
      vs: Mary Washington MM
      Judge: Jadon Marianetti

       

       

      Plan Text

      Same as wiki

       

      1ac Advantages

      Co-operation

                  -regional stability

                  -Israel strikes

                  -military authority kills US leadership

                  -Egypt prolif

       

      Religious Freedom

                  -Tajikistan stability

                  -Indo-Pak war

                  -Religious violence plus death          

       

      2ac Offense

      Politics:

      -IR cred solves china war

                  -Plan Bipartisan

      EU Cp:

                  -International fiat bad

                  -EU leads to back lash

                  -EU burden sharing collapses stability

      Asia DA:

                  -Only IRF solves--> Crushes stability --> extinction

                  -Fiat solves the link (bottom of the docket)

                  -China Ad-on

      1ar Strategy

       

       

      2ar Strategy
       



11/11/11
  • West Georgia 1ac

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Plan --- The United States federal government should provide assistance for the promotion of religious freedom in Egypt.

      Advantage One – Egypt

      ---The United State’s religious freedom policy in Egypt is failing --- Focus on religious minority persecution reinforces perceptions that religious freedom requires suppression of Islam.

      Shah 2011

      Timothy, Associate Director of the Religious Freedom

      AND

      on-a-fully-free-egypt

      There will be no moving toward a truly

      AND

      recognition of those convictions in the public square.

       

      ---Exclusive focus on condemnation actively exacerbates religious persecution.

      Farr 2010

      Thomas, Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service, A Freedom Deferred, America: The National Catholic Weekly, http://www.americamagazine.org/content/article.cfm?article_id=12390

      What lessons can be gleaned from I.

      AND

      date. And it will enhance international peace.

       

      ---Democracy assistance is increasing now but lacks religious engagement.

      Farr 2011

      Thomas, former American diplomat, is Visiting

      AND

      tom-farr-on-engaging-islam

      Incorporate religious communities in U.S.-

      AND

      society in Muslim nations: religious communities.

       

      ---That’s key to a stable democratic transition in Egypt --- Religious freedom promotion must be incorporated into democracy assistance to be effective.

      Farr 2011

      Thomas F., former American diplomat, is Visiting Associate Professor of Religion and World Affairs in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service and a Senior Fellow at the Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, & World Affairs at Georgetown University. He also chairs the Witherspoon Institute’s task force on International Religious Freedom, Preventing Another Attack: International Religious Freedom, September 23rd, http://www.thepublicdiscourse.com/2011/09/4008

      There are good reasons to believe that the

      AND

      but words do not substitute for policy action.

       

      ---Specifically, reverses anti-Islamic perceptions of American democracy assistance.

      Farr & Hoover 2009

      Thomas F., visiting associate professor of religion

      AND

      829_IRFpolicyreport_final_lowres.pdf 

      Moreover, there is a widespread perception in

      AND

      religious freedom into its operational planning or programs.

       

      ---U.S. stance on religious freedom assistance is the defining issue.

      Inboden 2011

      William, Assistant Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs and Distinguished Scholar at the Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the University of Texas-Austin & Non-Resident Fellow with the German Marshall Fund of the United States, US Religious Freedom Policy in the New Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/william-inboden-on-us-religious-freedom-policy-in-the-new-egypt

      One position does not a policy make,

      AND

      subsequent course, for good or for ill.

       

      ---That’s critical maintain Egyptian counterterrorism cooperation.

      Pillar 2011

      Paul, Avoiding Extremism in Egypt (and

      AND

      avoiding-extremism-egypt-beyond-4899

      The United States has made similar mistakes in

      AND

      which the Muslim Brotherhood played a major role.

       

      Scenario One—Israel

      ---Counterterrorism cooperation repairs deteriorating relations with Israel.

      Weiss 2011

      Michael, Communications Director of The Henry Jackson Society, Why an Al Qaeda presence in Sinai might be good for Israeli-Egyptian relations, September 14th, http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/michaelweiss/100104770/why-an-al-qaeda-presence-in-sinai-might-be-good-for-israeli-egyptian-relations/

      Counter-intuitive thought it may seem,

      AND

      , for Israel, in security begins diplomacy.

       

      ---Egypt/Israeli relations prevent regional war.

      Satloff 2011

      Robert, executive director of The Washington Institute

      AND

      washingtoninstitute.org/opedsPDFs/4e68e438f05fd.pdf

      IT’S THE GRANDDADDY OF ALL American diplomatic achievements

      AND

      the Iranian mullahs, these are mere annoyances

       

      ---Collapse of relations undermines Israel’s security strategy and creates multiple scenarios for escalation.

      Freilich 2011

      Chuck, Senior Fellow, International Security Program @ Belfer Center, "Keep the Peace Between Israel and Egypt," September 14th,  http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/publication/21302/keep_the_peace_between_israel_and_egypt.html?breadcrumb=%2Fexperts%2F870%2Fchuck_freilich

      For more than three decades the Egyptian-

      AND

      and draw Egypt back into confrontation with Israel.

       

      ---Goes nuclear.

      Chadwick 2011

      Bruce P., PhD, CFA, is

      AND

      on-the-arab-spring.html

      The United States and Israel can only be

      AND

      on a hair-trigger will be considerable.

       

      ---Israel will respond by turning the world into a parking lot.

      Morgan 2009

      Dennis Ray, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, Yongin Campus, World on fire: two scenarios of the destruction of human civilization and possible extinction of the human race, Futures 41, 683–693

      Israeli leaders and Zionist supporters have, likewise

      AND

      upon the environment and fragile ecosphere as well.

       

      Scenario Two—Al Qaeda

      ---Counterterrorism cooperation with Egypt is the key to defeat al Qaeda.

      Agency France Press 2011

      US anxious to retain Egypt in fight against

      AND

      in-fight-against-terror.aspx

      Even without the Mubarak regime, Egypt's core

      AND

      Al-Qaeda," a US official said.

       

      ---Egypt is the cornerstone for intelligence in the region.

      Sheridan & Warrick 2011

      Mary Beth, Joby, U.S.-Egyptian anti-terror partnership in question, Washington Post, http://articles.sfgate.com/2011-02-13/news/28532470_1_muslim-brotherhood-egyptian-government-islamist

      With the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak,

      AND

      dimensions," according to Jane's intelligence information service.

       

      ---Loss of cooperation will be disastrous --- The Arab Spring has created a unique intelligence gap.

      United Press International 2011

      Arab revolts jolt Western intelligence, http://

      AND

      -Western-intelligence/UPI-96301306867145/

      The toppling of the pro-Western rulers

      AND

      states could be potentially disastrous for the West.

       

      ---Al Qaeda will attack the United States with nuclear weapons.

      Mowatt-Larssen 2011

      Rolf, Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and former Director of Intelligence and Counterintelligence at the U.S. Department of Energy, he served for 23 years as a CIA intelligence officer in various posts, to include Chief of the Europe Division in the Directorate of Operations, Chief of the Weapons of Mass Destruction Department, Counterterrorist Center, and Deputy Associate Director of Central Intelligence for Military Support, April 18th, http://www.rahimkanani.com/2011/04/18/a-career-u-s-intelligence-officer-on-al-qaeda-nuclear-terrorism-and-the-nuclear-threat/

      Rahim Kanani: In assessing and analyzing the

      AND

      could get their hands on sufficient fissile material

       

      ---Extinction.

      Toon et al 2007

      Owen B., chair of the Department of

      AND

      acp-7-1973-2007.pdf

      To an increasing extent, people are congregating

      AND

      well for the present scenarios and physical outcomes.

       

       

      Advantage Two – International Religious Freedom

      —Two internal links—

      (1.) “Freedom of worship” rhetoric has tanked American credibility on religious freedom diplomacy.

      Liaugminas 2010

      Sheila, Emmy award-winning Chicago-based journalist, Serious threat to religious freedom? Sheila Reports,  http://www.mercatornet.com/sheila_liaugminas/view/7528

      The first signs of national withdrawal from concern

      AND

      testifies to the compatibility of modernity and religion.

       

      ---Religious freedom promotion in Egypt restores credibility --- This card is reverse causal.

      Weigel 2011

      George, distinguished senior fellow of the Ethics

      AND

      word-president-obama-george-weigel

      While the current upheaval in Egypt cannot be

      AND

      global struggle to defend religious freedom in full.

       

      (2.) Integrating religious freedom into Egyptian political efforts provides US diplomats with the religious vocabulary necessary to revitalize the American model.

      Farr 2008

      Thomas, "Diplomacy in an Age of Faith: Religious Freedom and National Security," Foreign Affairs, March/April,  http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/publications/diplomacy-in-an-age-of-faith-religious-freedom-and-national-security

      U.S. aid has helped,

      AND

      to a foreign policy establishment blinded by secularism.

       

      ---Egypt is key --- Regional prominence makes it an important litmus test.

      Halim 2007

      Cameel, Coptic Assembly of America Chairman,

      AND

      showart.php?main_id=233

      We have a job to expose the Coptic

      AND

      and the flame that destroys the world now.

       

      ---Revitalized religious freedom diplomacy preserves global security --- Religion defines every major scenario for conflict & transnational issue --- All your impacts are belong to us.

      Farr 2009

      Thomas F., Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. B.A., Mercer University; Ph.D., University of North Carolina, THE WIDOW'S TORMENT: INTERNATIONAL RELIGIOUS FREEDOM AND AMERICAN NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY, 57 Drake L. Rev. 851

      However, an exclusively humanitarian view of religious

      AND

      from HIV/AIDS to economic globalization. 9

       

      ---Lack of religious freedom is the root of the world’s most violent conflicts.

      Haynes 2009

      Charles C., senior scholar at the First

      AND

      -religious-freedom-under-assault/

      At a time when religious persecution is at

      AND

      leadership of 10 commissioners who did their homework. 

       

      ---Religion makes these uniquely dangerous --- Five reasons.

      Toft, Philpott & Shah 2011

      Monica Duffy, Daniel, Timothy Samuel, God’s Century: Resurgent Religion and Global Politics, Pg 150

      The basic facts concerning religious civil wars reveal

      AND

      conflicts that have equally “glocalized” dimensions.

       

      ---Billions are at risk.

      Grieboski 2011

      Joseph K., founder of the Institute on

      AND

      to-prioritize-_b_872758.html

      The issue of religious liberty is not a

      AND

      they choose to pray or not to pray.

       

      Scenario One – Tajikistan

      ---Specifically, lack of religious freedom collapses Tajikistan.

      Quinn & Paxton 2011

      Andrew, Robin, Clinton disfavours efforts to crackdown on religious freedom, Financial Express, http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/more.php?date=2011-10-24&news_id=153850

      U.S. Secretary of State Hillary

      AND

      threaten the stability and security of the country." 

       

      ---Tajikistan instability draws in regional powers & escalates to nuclear war.

      Richter 1994

      Anthony H., Special Advisor to the President

      AND

      stream/developmentsinta00unit/developmentsinta00unit_djvu.txt

      Tajikistan affects an entire region that is vital

      AND

      each of which possess weapons of mass destruction

       

      Scenario Two – AIDS/HIV

      ---Religious freedom is the most significant tool in preventing the spread of HIV/AIDS.

      Pusateri 2010

      David P., managing partner at the Pittsburgh Office of McGuireWoods, LLP. He is also a member of the ABA AIDS Coordinating Committee, Faith-Based Organizations and the HIV/AIDS Pandemic, Human Rights, Spring, Vol. 37, No. 2, http://www.americanbar.org/publications/human_rights_magazine_home/irr_hr_spring10_pusateri.html

      Among a host of controversial issues that envelop

      AND

      that directly affect the severity of the disease.

       

      ---Extinction.

      Muchiri 2000

      Michael Kibaara, Staff Member at Ministry of

      AND

      put-out-africa039s-fires.html

      Statistics show that AIDS is the leading killer

      AND

      of theblack race and maybe the human race

       

      USAID spending new money for Women participation in Egyptian elections

      Wittes 11/2 (Tamara C., Deputy Assistant Secretary, Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs. Senate Foreign Relations Committee: “Women and the Arab Spring” Nov 2 2011 http://www.state.gov/p/nea/rls/rm/176603.htm)

      and Deputy Special Coordinator for Middle East Transitions

      In Egypt, the United States is working

      AND

      to receive about 60 percent of these loans.

       

      Even if there’s some backlash- our signaling arguments outweigh

      Gedmin et al., 11 (Jeffrey Gedmin, Chief Executive Officer, The Legatum Institute SPEAKERS: Uri Dadush, Senior Associate, International Economics Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Michele Dunne, Director, Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, The Atlantic Council Marina Ottaway, Senior Associate, Middle East Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, EGYPT IN TRANSITION: THE CURRENT ECONOMIC SITUATION AND THE ROLE OF INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE FRIDAY, JUNE 22, 2011,

      And there are some disturbing trends here,

      AND

      is – and also – that’s number one.

       

      Must universally include all parties to maintain US credibility- even if they refuse aid

      Carothers 2011 (Thomas, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Washington Post: “How not to promote democracy in Egypt” Feb 24 2011 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/24/AR2011022406530.html)

      A perennial tension in supporting democracy abroad is

      AND

      fruitful dialogues between Arab political Islamists and Americans.

       

       

       

      ---Specifically, lack of religious freedom inevitably triggers nuclear war between Indian & Pakistan.

      Bonney 2004

      Richard, Director of the Institute for the study of Indo-Pakistan relations, University of Leicester, Religious Radicalism and

      Nuclear Confrontation in South Asia, www.policyarchitects.org/pdf/nuclear%20south%20asia.pdf

      It is with very great pleasure that the

      AND

      becomes a nuclear danger in its own right.

       

      ---Even a limited exchange will blot out the sun.

      Robock & Toon 2010

      Alan, Professor II Department of Environmental Sciences

      AND

      cfm?id=local-nuclear-war 

      Nuclear bombs dropped on cities and industrial areas

      AND

      phenomena provide confidence that the models are correct.

       




11/12/11
  • Wake 1AC

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Advantage One --- Egypt

      ---The United States is increasing democracy assistance to all parties in Egypt including the Muslim Brotherhood --- No unique links.

      Allen November 4th 2011

      Michael, Special Assistant for Government Relations and Public Affairs at the National Endowment for Democracy, US will be ‘satisfied’ if Islamists win Egypt’s election, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/11/us-will-be-satisfied-if-islamists-win-egypts-election/

      The United States would be “satisfied”

      AND

      a nonpartisan basis, not to individual parties.”

       

      ---These efforts will fail and destabilize the region absent the integration of religious freedom promotion into Egyptian democracy assistance programs.

      Farr 2011

      Thomas F., former American diplomat, is

      AND

      thepublicdiscourse.com/2011/09/4008

      There are good reasons to believe that the

      AND

      engaging Islam,” and internationalizing gay rights.

       

      ---However, the administration continues to sideline the promotion of religious freedom --- Focusing exclusively instead on religious minorities which creates the perception that American assistance mandates a secular muzzle on Islam.

      Shah 2011

      Timothy, Associate Director of the Religious Freedom Project at the Berkley Center For Religion, Peace, and World Affairs and Visiting Assistant Professor in the Government Department, Georgetown University, A Fully Free Egypt, 6/3, http://berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/essays/timothy-samuel-shah-on-a-fully-free-egypt

      There will be no moving toward a truly

      AND

      recognition of those convictions in the public square.

       

      ---Integrating religious freedom into democracy assistance programs reverses those perceptions.

      Farr & Hoover 2009

      Thomas F., visiting associate professor of religion

      AND

      829_IRFpolicyreport_final_lowres.pdf 

      Moreover, there is a widespread perception in

      AND

      religious freedom into its operational planning or programs.

       

      ---Generates Egyptian support for American democracy assistance --- Overcomes alternate causalities.

      Mogahed 2011

      Dalia, Senior Analyst and Executive Director, Abu Dhabi Gallup Center and Gallup Center for Muslim Studies, U.S. Must Understand the Constructive Role of Faith in Egypt's Democratic Aspirations, February 1st, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dalia-mogahed/us-must-understand-the-co_b_816915.html

      The majority of Egyptians want democracy and see

      AND

      clerics. They seek the rule of law.

       

      ---Changing U.S. stance on religious freedom assistance is the defining issue for reducing religious violence.

      Inboden 2011

      William, Assistant Professor at the LBJ School

      AND

       

      In Egypt one of these foremost issues is

      AND

      subsequent course, for good or for ill.

       

      Scenario One --- Israeli War

      ---Exclusive focus on rhetorical condemnation of sectarian violence actively exacerbates religious persecution.

      Farr 2010

      Thomas, Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service, A Freedom Deferred, America: The National Catholic Weekly, http://www.americamagazine.org/content/article.cfm?article_id=12390

      What lessons can be gleaned from I.

      AND

      date. And it will enhance international peace.

       

      ---Religious violence in Egypt destabilizes the region.

      Bandow 2011

      Doug, senior fellow at the Cato Institute

      AND

      co.jp/text/eo20110905db.html

      Ugly reality has dashed the high hopes of

      AND

      ultimately go the rest of the Middle East

       

      ---Specifically, Egyptian religious violence escalates tensions and emboldens Turkey & Hamas to provoke a military confrontation with Israel.

      Bishop 2011

      Julie, Deputy Leader of the Opposition in Australia, Shadow Minister for Foreign Affairs and Trade and a board member of the West Coast Eagles, Egyptian violence has global implications, October 12th, http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/blogs/the-bishops-gambit/egyptian-violence-has-global-implications-20111012-1ljr2.html

      The outbreak of sectarian violence in Egypt this

      AND

      highly volatile and unpredictable for the foreseeable future.

       

      ---Israeli perception of encirclement & regional resource disputes make the probability for escalation high.

      Cagaptay 2011

      Soner, Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute

      AND

      /cagaptay-israel-turkey-conflict/

      The Arab Spring and recent dramatic deterioration of

      AND

      -Israeli Winter are churning up the Mediterranean.

       

      ---Goes nuclear.

      Chadwick 2011

      Bruce P., PhD, CFA, is principal at Chadwick Global Research and Consulting, an independent consulting firm specializing in macro strategy, including quantitative, emerging market, and SRI research. Worldview: Summer Perspectives on the Arab Spring New York Society of Security Analysts, 7/6, http:// post.nyssa.org/nyssa-news/2011/07/summer-perspectives-on-the-arab-spring.html

      The United States and Israel can only be

      AND

      on a hair-trigger will be considerable.

       

      ---Israel will respond by turning the world into a parking lot.

      Morgan 2009

      Dennis Ray, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies

      AND

      human race, Futures 41, 683–693

      Israeli leaders and Zionist supporters have, likewise

      AND

      upon the environment and fragile ecosphere as well.

       

      Scenario Two --- Military Purges

      ---Religious violence tanks the Egyptian military’s domestic & international authority and ends the U.S./Egyptian partnership.

      Trager 2011

      Eric, The Washington Institute's Ira Weiner fellow, is a doctoral candidate in political science at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is writing his dissertation on Egyptian opposition parties, Action by Egypt's Military Rulers against Copts Endangers Transition, October 17th, http://www.sapulse.com/new_comments.php?id=3571_0_1_0_M13

      The use of violence by Egypt's military rulers

      AND

      government-sponsored pogroms against Egypt's Coptic Christians.

       

      ---This is the only scenario for a collapse of the U.S.-Egyptian military relationship.

      Dunne 2011

      Scholar-Middle East Institute and former staff

      AND

      /02/12/after-mubarak/

      First, the ability of the United States

      AND

      this program and retrenchment if it does not.

       

      ---Protests over religious violence escalate to civil/military confrontation & Iranian style military purges.

      Abaza 2011

      Khairi, senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and a former senior official in Egypt's secular liberal Wafd Party, Egypt's Army is failing to build consensus for democracy, CNN, October 22nd, http://www.cnn.com/2011/10/22/opinion/abaza-egypt-government/

      Egypt's position is precarious enough as it is

      AND

      now be leading itself in the same direction.

       

      ---Tens of thousands of military personnel will be executed.

      Wood 2011

      David, Winner of the Gerald Ford Prize

      AND

      www.cnas.org/node/5654 

      In all of these worse-case scenarios

      AND

      That should serve as a cautionary tale.'

       

      ---Causes Egypt nuclear weapons development and exports sparking an arms race.

      Windrem 2011

      Robert, Senior investigative produce for NBC News, Concerns grow over Egypt's WMD research, http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41452744/ns/world_news-mideast_n_africa/t/concerns-grow-over-egypts-wmd-research/#.TrsDCvQr230

      With Egypt in revolt and the country’s future

      AND

      losses by developing and exporting more weapons technology

       

      ---Results in worldwide middle power nuclear weapons acquisition.

      Peña 2007

      Charles V., Senior Fellow at the Independent Institute’s Center on Peace and Liberty, Nuclear Nonproliferation in the 

      Post-9/11 World, Independent

      AND

      2007-06-12-nuclear.pdf

      Alarmist statements from key Japanese politicians might indicate 

      AND

      nuclear  option back on the agenda for consideration.

       

      ---Global nuclear war.

      Taylor 2008

      Theodore B.-, Fellow of the American Physical Society - Deputy Director of the Defense Nuclear Agency, Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons,

      Nuclear proliferation - be it among nations or

      AND

      could easily escalate into a global nuclear war.

       

      Advantage Two --- International Religious Freedom

      —Two internal links—

      (1.) “Freedom of worship” rhetoric has tanked American credibility on religious freedom diplomacy.

      Liaugminas 2010

      Sheila, Emmy award-winning Chicago-

      AND

      com/sheila_liaugminas/view/7528

      The first signs of national withdrawal from concern

      AND

      testifies to the compatibility of modernity and religion.

       

      ---Religious freedom promotion in Egypt restores credibility --- This card is reverse causal.

      Weigel 2011

      George, distinguished senior fellow of the Ethics and Public Policy Center where he holds the William E. Simon chair in Catholic Studies, Egypt’s Coptic Christians Deserve a Word from President Obama, National Review Online, http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/258498/egypts-coptic-christians-deserve-word-president-obama-george-weigel

      While the current upheaval in Egypt cannot be

      AND

      global struggle to defend religious freedom in full.

       

      (2.) Integrating religious freedom into Egyptian political efforts provides US diplomats with the religious vocabulary necessary to revitalize the American model.

      Farr 2008

      Thomas, "Diplomacy in an Age of

      AND

      religious-freedom-and-national-security

      U.S. aid has helped,

      AND

      to a foreign policy establishment blinded by secularism.

       

      ---Only the American model has sufficient resources & capital to promote religious freedom globally.

      Patterson et. al. 2011

      Eric, Associate Director of the Berkley Center for Religion, Peace, and World Affairs and has a visiting appointment in the Department of Government at Georgetown University, Transcending Traditional U.S. Foreign Policy: Track Two Diplomacy and the Challenge of Global Religious Diversity, http://repository.berkleycenter.georgetown.edu/TrackTwoDiplomacy.pdf

      Among all the Western nations, the United

      AND

      of security threats and/or terrorist attacks.

       

      ---Egypt is key --- Regional prominence makes it an important litmus test.

      Halim 2007

      Cameel, Coptic Assembly of America Chairman,

      AND

      showart.php?main_id=233

      We have a job to expose the Coptic

      AND

      and the flame that destroys the world now.

       

      ---Revitalized religious freedom diplomacy preserves global security --- Religion defines every major scenario for conflict & transnational issue --- All your impacts are belong to us.

      Farr 2009

      Thomas F., Professor of Religion and International Affairs, Georgetown's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. B.A., Mercer University; Ph.D., University of North Carolina, THE WIDOW'S TORMENT: INTERNATIONAL RELIGIOUS FREEDOM AND AMERICAN NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY, 57 Drake L. Rev. 851

      However, an exclusively humanitarian view of religious

      AND

      from HIV/AIDS to economic globalization. 9

       

      ---Lack of religious freedom is the root of the world’s most violent conflicts.

      Haynes 2009

      Charles C., senior scholar at the First

      AND

      -religious-freedom-under-assault/

      At a time when religious persecution is at

      AND

      leadership of 10 commissioners who did their homework. 

       

      ---Religion makes these uniquely dangerous --- Five reasons.

      Toft, Philpott & Shah 2011

      Monica Duffy, Daniel, Timothy Samuel, God’s Century: Resurgent Religion and Global Politics, Pg 150

      The basic facts concerning religious civil wars reveal

      AND

      conflicts that have equally “glocalized” dimensions.

       

      ---Our impact is systemic --- Hundreds of millions risk death because of their faith every day.

      Grieboski 2011

      Joseph K., founder of the Institute on

      AND

      to-prioritize-_b_872758.html

      The issue of religious liberty is not a

      AND

      they choose to pray or not to pray.

       

      ---Specifically, lack of religious freedom collapses Tajikistan.

      Quinn & Paxton 2011

      Andrew, Robin, Clinton disfavours efforts to crackdown on religious freedom, Financial Express, http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/more.php?date=2011-10-24&news_id=153850

      U.S. Secretary of State Hillary

      AND

      threaten the stability and security of the country." 

       

      ---Tajikistan instability draws in regional powers & escalates to nuclear war.

      Richter 1994

      Anthony H., Special Advisor to the President

      AND

      stream/developmentsinta00unit/developmentsinta00unit_djvu.txt

      Tajikistan affects an entire region that is vital

      AND

      each of which possess weapons of mass destruction

       

      ---Religious freedom is the most significant tool in preventing the spread of HIV/AIDS.

      Pusateri 2010

      David P., managing partner at the Pittsburgh Office of McGuireWoods, LLP. He is also a member of the ABA AIDS Coordinating Committee, Faith-Based Organizations and the HIV/AIDS Pandemic, Human Rights, Spring, Vol. 37, No. 2, http://www.americanbar.org/publications/human_rights_magazine_home/irr_hr_spring10_pusateri.html

      Among a host of controversial issues that envelop

      AND

      that directly affect the severity of the disease.

       

      ---Extinction.

      Muchiri 2000

      Michael Kibaara, Staff Member at Ministry of

      AND

      put-out-africa039s-fires.html

      Statistics show that AIDS is the leading killer

      AND

      of theblack race and maybe the human race

       

      ---Lack of religious freedom inevitably triggers nuclear war between Indian & Pakistan.

      Bonney 2004

      Richard, Director of the Institute for the study of Indo-Pakistan relations, University of Leicester, Religious Radicalism and

      Nuclear Confrontation in South Asia, www.policyarchitects.org/pdf/nuclear%20south%20asia.pdf

      It is with very great pleasure that the

      AND

      becomes a nuclear danger in its own right.

       

      ---Even a limited exchange will blot out the sun & kill everything.

      Robock & Toon 2010

      Alan, Professor II Department of Environmental Sciences

      AND

      cfm?id=local-nuclear-war 

      Nuclear bombs dropped on cities and industrial areas

      AND

      phenomena provide confidence that the models are correct.

       

       

       




01/07/12
  • Coast Plan Text

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • PLAN - The United States federal government should provide assistance for the promotion of religious freedom in Egypt.




01/08/12

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