Plan text
Text: The United States federal government should substantially increase the democracy assistance portions of Overseas Prosecutorial Development, Assistance and Training services to Yemen.
Advantage I – US intelligence gathering
First, Squo intelligence sharing with Yemen is high, but future consistency is key – Yemen has proven to be an unreliable partner
Zimmerman 9/21
(Katherine, writer at Right Side News, “Ten Years After 9/11: Al Qaeda's Reemergence in Yemen,” 2011, http://www.rightsidenews.com/2011092114543/world/terrorism/ten-years-after-911-al-qaedas-reemergence-in-yemen.html)
AQAP is now al Qaeda’s … , the threat remains in Yemen.
And, long-term commitment to building information sharing networks in Yemen is critical
Hoffman 6/3
(http://www.hsdl.org/?view&did=4221 DENYING SAFE HAVENS: HOMELAND SECURITY’S EFFORTS TO COUNTER THREATS FROM PAKISTAN, YEMEN, AND SOMALIA Professor Bruce Hoffman Edmund A Walsh School of Foreign Service Georgetown University Testimony Presented Before U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Homeland Security Subcommittee on Oversight, Investigations and Management 3 June 2011)
At the foundation of the … and launch international terrorist strikes.
And, the potential for government turn-over makes it even more important to reach out to ensure channels of communication remain open
Byman 6/3
(http://www.hsdl.org/?view&did=4221, Denying Terrorist Safe Havens: Homeland Security Efforts to Counter Threats from Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia Testimony before the Subcommittee on Oversight, Investigations and Management of the House Committee on Homeland Security June 3, 2011 Dr. Daniel Byman Professor, Security Studies Program School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University Senior Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution)
More quietly, the United States … terrorism threat continues to evolve.
And, OPDAT uniquely signals a strong commitment to the host country – Romania proves
Embassy of the US to Romania No Date
(“U.S. Law Enforcement Agencies,” http://romania.usembassy.gov/embassy/law_enforcement.html)
The Resident Legal Advisor ["RLA"] … for prosecutors, including Romanian prosecutors.
And, success in intelligence cooperation stops full military interventions
Berger 10 (Collin, “America’s Land of Opportunity: Supporting Yemen’s Fight Against Terrorism”, http://afpprinceton.com/2010/12/america%E2%80%99s-land-of-opportunity-supporting-yemen%E2%80%99s-fight-against-terrorism/, December 1)
While increasing the number of … in the War on Terror.
Scenario I – targeted bombing campaigns
First, US targeted bombings in the squo are rapidly increasing – they’re key to kill high-raking AQAP leaders, but in the wake of the Al-Awlaki killing, they’ve drawn criticism and have quickly begun to erode overall US human rights credibility due to civilian casualties
Bellinger 10/2
(John B., Adjunct Senior Fellow for International and National Security Law at the Council on Foreign Relations, “Will Drone Strikes Become Obama’s Guantanamo?,” 2011, http://www.cfr.org/counterterrorism/drone-strikes-become-obamas-guantanamo/p26100)
The killing of the U.S.-born al-… to condemn the Awlaki killing.
And, human rights credibility is essential to solving human rights violations internationally
San Diego Union-Tribune, May 11, 2001
As a sovereign country, the United … credibility of its own record.
And, strengthened human rights outweighs everything—it leads to war, outweighs all 20th century wars combined, and leads to genocide and environmental destruction
John Shattuck, former Assistant Secretary of State, 9-12-1994, Federal News Service
On the disintegration side, we … ecological nightmares of Eastern Europe.
Independently, effective drone strikes are the BEST option we have to stop Al Qaeda – drone prolif is inevitable
Boot 10/9
(http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/10/09/drone-arms-race/, “We Cannot Afford to Stop Drone Strikes”, Max)
The … the part of dictatorial states.
And, AQAP is acquiring nukes now
Fissile Materials Working Group 11
(The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, “After bin Laden: Nuclear terrorism still a top threat,” 5/13, http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/fissile-materials-working-group/after-bin-laden-nuclear-terrorism-still-top-t)
Osama bin Laden's death may … securing this potential source material.
And, the impact is extinction
Sid-Ahmed ‘4
(Mohamed, Managing Editor for Al-Ahali, “Extinction!” August 26-September 1, Issue no. 705, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2004/705/op5.htm)
A nuclear attack by terrorists … , we will all be losers.
And, increasing intelligence cooperation with Yemen reduces civilian casualties and creates long term stability
Berger 10
(Collin, “America’s Land of Opportunity: Supporting Yemen’s Fight Against Terrorism”, http://afpprinceton.com/2010/12/america%E2%80%99s-land-of-opportunity-supporting-yemen%E2%80%99s-fight-against-terrorism/, December 1)
Focusing American resources on intelligence … role in long-term stability.
And, we don’t have to win a significant decline in casualties – perception alone is enough – other countries actively watch how the US uses drones
Horton 10
(Scott, A New York attorney known for his work in emerging markets and international law, especially human rights law and the law of armed conflict, Horton lectures at Columbia Law School, “The Trouble with Drones” May 3 2010, http://www.harpers.org/archive/2010/05/hbc-90006980, 06/25/10. HR)
No weapons system remains indefinitely … as a vehicle for targeted killings.
Scenario II – domestic agro-terror
First, the Al-Awlaki killing has ensured more attacks INSIDE the US
Arrabyee 10/20
(Nasser, writer at the Yemen Observer, “Yemen based al-Qaeda, tribesmen threaten to attack Americans and kill French hostages,” 2011, http://www.yobserver.com/front-page/10021549.html)
Al Qaeda and tribesmen vowed … overrun by Al Qaeda militants.
And, they’re uniquely targeting US food supplies – spreads over into wider disruption and the industry is uniquely vulnerable
Nimmo June 5
(Kurt, staff writer at InfoWars.com, “British Intelligence: al-Qaeda May Contaminate Food After E.Coli Scare,” Infowars.com, 2011, http://www.infowars.com/british-intelligence-al-qaeda-may-contaminate-food-after-e-coli-scare/)
Britain’s MI5 is exploiting an E.… on the highly speculative threat.
And, even an isolated terror attack on food supplies raises prices, crashes the stock market and collapses the global econ – the timeframe is overnight
Wefald 99
(Jon, former president of Kansas State University in a speech supported by over 40 scientists, FDCH Political Transcripts October 27)
So the key thing is … system that we have today.
And, that rapidly increases food insecurity
Masami Kojima of the Oil, Gas, and Mining Policy Division, World Bank; Donald Mitchell of the Development Prospects Group, Development Economics, World Bank; and William A. Ward 2007, Professor and Director, Center for International Trade, Clemson University. 2007 Energy Sector Management Assistance Program Considering Trade Policies for Liquid Biofuels
Rising prices of maize—and … than 16 million (Runge and Senauer 2007).
And, foods insecurity outweighs all other impacts – it makes every impact inevitable
Trudell, J.D. Candidate 2006, 05 (Robert H., Fall, Food Security Emergencies And The Power Of Eminent Domain: A Domestic Legal Tool To Treat A Global Problem, 33 Syracuse J. Int'l L. & Com. 277, Lexis)
Today, more than 842 million people - … in the days to come.
And, intelligence sharing has empirically prevented domestic terror attacks – increasing efforts is key to keeping pace
Longley 10
(Robert, guide at About.com, “Preventing Attacks by Homegrown Muslim Jihadists,” May 25, http://usgovinfo.about.com/od/defenseandsecurity/a/preventattacks.htm)
Effective intelligence gathering and a lack … terrorism will occur," he said.
Advantage II – Domestic money laundering
First, Yemen is enacting very effective money laundering campaigns on its own now
Darham 9/10
(2011, Faisal, Al-Shorfa, http://al-shorfa.com/cocoon/meii/xhtml/en_GB/features/meii/features/main/2011/09/10/feature-01 “Yemen reports fewer cases of money laundering and terrorism financing”
Yemeni officials confirmed that the … in accordance with international recommendations.
But, cooperation with the US on money laundering issues is very low now
Alp 11
(INONU AKGUN, Financial Crimes Specialist MASAK-Turkish FIU MINISTRY of FINANCE-TURKEY, “Yemen: Workshop on money laundering and terrorist financing kicks off,” January 22, http://aml-cft.blogspot.com/2011/01/yemen-workshop-on-money-laundering-and.html)
The Governor of the Central … cooperation with law enforcement authorities.
And, OPDAT allows domestic prosecutors to study foreign systems to combat domestic organized crime effectively
Creegan 11
(Erin, Trial Attorney at the U.S. Department of Justice, National Security Division, Counterterrorism Section; and an Adjunct Professor of International Criminal Law at the University of Maryland-College Park, “COOPERATION IN FOREIGN TERRORISM PROSECUTIONS,” Georgetown Journal of International Law Vol 42, http://gjil.org/wp-content/uploads/archives/42.2/CooperationInForeignTerrorism.PDF)
For the most part, both … , drug trafficking, or human trafficking.
The scenario is the Mexican Cartel
First, if unchecked the cartel will collapse Mexico – the Mexican government cannot do it on their own
Al Erayani 10/3
(Ausan, Ausan Al-Eryani is a regular columnist at the Virginia Tech Collegiate Times. 2011 "Mexico's drug war effects US as well" was first published by the Collegiate Times on Sep. 26, 2011 “The Drug War in Mexico is a North American Problem”, http://www.mexidata.info/id3153.html)
If that doesn't convince you … and State departments, among others.
And, cartel fueled Mexico collapse causes failed states throughout Latin America
Manwaring 7
Max G., the General Douglas MacArthur Chair and is Professor of Military Strategy at the U.S. Army War College. He is a retired U.S. Army colonel and an Adjunct Professor of International Politics at Dickinson College, “A CONTEMPORARY CHALLENGE TO STATE SOVEREIGNTY: GANGS AND OTHER ILLICIT TRANSNATIONAL CRIMINAL ORGANIZATIONS IN CENTRAL AMERICA, EL SALVADOR, MEXICO, JAMAICA, AND BRAZIL,” Strategic Studies Institute, December, http://www.voltairenet.org/IMG/pdf/Transnational_Criminal_Organizations.pdf
This convoluted array of Mexican … which the gang phenomenon operates.
And, failed states caused great power war – they’re the largest risk of escalation
Grygiel 9
Jakub, George H.W. Bush Assoc Prof, IR, Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced Int’l Studies, Johns Hopkins U (“Vacuum Wars: The Coming Competition Over Failed States,” American Interest, Jul/Aug 2009, http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=622)
This prevailing view of failed … are good examples of this.
And, attacking money laundering is key to collapse cartel power
O'Neil 9
Douglas Dillon Fellow for Latin America Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, Shannon, July/August, “The Real War in Mexico,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 88, Iss. 4; pg. 63, 16 pgs, 2009
Even more important than guns, … go after drug-related money.
