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Democracy Assistance is NOT Covert 1NC

Interpretation. Democracy assistance is a subset of democracy promotion and is NOT covert. Toomstra, 2010 [EU-10 Getting Acquainted: Setting the Stage for Democracy Assistance. http://www.europarl.europa.eu/pdf/oppd/Page_8/getting_acquainted_web.pdf ]
Democracy assistance programmes .... different in nature to assistance.

Violation: The affirmative’s plan is a covert operation, and not democracy assistance.

The is a voting issue because of:
Negative ground
Predictability
Topic specific education
Fairness.

Covert Operations Counter-plan Text

Text: The President of the United States should issue a presidential finding describing the advantages identified by the affirmative team and authorizing the Central Intelligence Agency to implement covertly.  Normal means. Negative Speeches will clarify. Just ask.

Counterplan Solves all of the Affirmative Harms and has Net Benefits. Any permutation would risk the disads.
Covert Action C-Plan Solvency Evidence
Syrian dissident groups need the U.S. to act covertly. Open support of them will destroy their internal credibility. Gosztola, August 8, 2011 [http://dissenter.firedoglake.com/2011/08/08/us-lacks-credibility-to-help-syrian-protesters/ US Lacks Credibility to Help Syrian Protesters Kevin Gosztola is a trusted author who publishes his writing regularly to OpEdNews and Open Salon and he is a 2009 Young People For Fellow. He is a documentary filmmaker currently completing a Film/Video degree at Columbia College in Chicago. Currently, he is working on a documentary project on Renaissance 2010 and Chicago Public Schools.]
A cable sent out on February 7, 2010....on the city of Hama.”

Covert Action is necessary in the Middle East and maximizes solvency. Bobich 2008  [33 Wm. Mitchell L. Rev. 1111 NOTE AND COMMENT: NOTE: WHO AUTHORIZED THIS?!: AN ASSESSMENT OF THE PROCESS FOR APPROVING U.S. COVERT ACTION Joshua A. Bobich+J.D. Candidate, May 2008, William Mitchell College of Law; B.A. Carleton College
The current state of U.S. foreign affairs.....have the maximum effect on the intended target.

Net Benfits:Covert action avoids 1) a risk of backlash against the parties being aided and 2) to avoid retaliation or escalation from hostile governments.  Berkowitz and Goodman, 1998  [The logic of covert action. by Bruce D. Berkowitz , Allan E. Goodman; The National Interest. Issue: 51. Publication Date: Spring 1998. Page Number: 38+. COPYRIGHT 1998 The National Affairs, Inc. Bruce D. Berkowitz is an author and consultant based in Alexandria, Virginia. Allan E. Goodman is executive dean of the Edmund Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. Both served in the Central Intelligence Agency.]
There are only two legitimate ....carry out an operation covertly. 

Open promotion of Democracy triggers backlash. Seale, September 2011 [http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/?id=47880; Patrick Seale is a leading British writer on the Middle East. His latest book is The Struggle for Arab Independence: Riad el-Solh and the Makers of the Modern Middle East (Cambridge University Press).
]In dealing with the Arab Spring....destiny, notes Patrick Seale. 

Arabs oppose ANY U.S. action toward democratization because of its hypocrisy in supporting former dictators and its continued support of Israel. Seale, September 2011 [http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/?id=47880; Patrick Seale is a leading British writer on the Middle East. His latest book is The Struggle for Arab Independence: Riad el-Solh and the Makers of the Modern Middle East (Cambridge University Press).

That, above all, is what the Arab world .... the most obvious countries.

Openly attempting to influence Mideast events for U.S. interests will trigger backlash. Seale, September 2011 [http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/?id=47880; Patrick Seale is a leading British writer on the Middle East. His latest book is The Struggle for Arab Independence: Riad el-Solh and the Makers of the Modern Middle East (Cambridge University Press).
There is thus a wider geopolitical dimension .... determine their own destiny.

1. Uniqueness and Link. The Debt Deal put a strict spending cap on foreign assistance for the next four fiscal years. This means an internal tradeoff will have to occur.  Dunning, August 24, 2011 [Casey Dunning supports the dialogue and analysis on U.S. foreign assistance innovations and reform in the Rethinking U.S. Foreign Assistance Program. Prior to joining CGD, Casey worked on gender and rule of law programs in Liberia with Emory University’s Institute for Developing Nations.; http://blogs.cgdev.org/mca-monitor/2011/08/what-the-debt-deal-means-for-foreign-aid-reform.php]
         It’s almost a certainty that ....reduced House Appropriations levels.

2. Impact: The most likely program to be cut will be Somali famine relief, threatening 12 million lives. The trade-off is specific to foreign aid to Egypt versus humanitarian relief to Africa; triggers mass death and regional instability. Kevin Clarke, September 2, 2011 [Starved for attention: Why budget cuts shouldn't include nixing foreign aid; contributer to U.S. Catholic, http://www.uscatholic.org/culture/social-justice/2011/08/starved-attention-why-budget-cuts-shouldnt-include-nixing-foreign-aid]
The first hard numbers ..... poorest countries and communities.”

3. Impact: Democracy assistance directly results in reductions in biodiversity protection programs. Tobias 3/28/07 US Director of Foreign Assistance and Administrator of USAID [Randall L. http://www.usaid.gov/press/speeches/2007/ty070328.html]
Focusing resources in this way has its tradeoffs....child health, and biodiversity.

4. Biodiversity loss risks human extinction
Takacs, 1996 - teaches environmental humanities (history, ethics, justice, politics) in the Institute for Earth Systems Science and Policy at California State  (David, “The Idea of Biodiversity: Philosophies of Paradise,” 1996, pg. 200)
"Habitat destruction and conversion .... One planet, one experiment.

Subpoint A: the brink

1. Similar to imperial Japan in the 1850's onward, China is growing internally unstable - western resentment and growing nationalism are to blame
         US-CHINA Economic and Security Review Commission 2006
         China is facing growing internal ....United States for its problems.

2. Discontent, but no revolt in China yet
Charles Hutzler 2011
Associated Press - Feb. 21, 2011
For those who rule out the possibility ....place in the future.

SUBPOINT B: LINK

1. We brand this debate as a witness of the Jasmine Revolution - U.S. commitment to Democracy Greenlights Chinese dissidents to attempt revolt - Tunisia proves
         Ayushman Jamwal 2011
         Waging Nonviolence: Chinese Dissidents "strolling toward democracy"
         Gandhi and Martin Luther .....become agents of change.”

2. Further Intervention will cause the Arab Spring to spillover into China
Jerome E. Roos on August 18, 2011, Thousands of Chinese will revolt against state authority -
Der Spiegel - translated
Beijing fears an uprising of the masses ....including the human rights activist Wang Libong

Sub-point C: Impacts

1.  triggers international backlash and a collapse of US-Sino Relations
         Carothers 2006 – Thomas, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He is the founder and director of the Democracy and Rule of Law Program (The Backlash Against Democracy Promotion, FOREIGN AFFAIRS, MARCH/APRIL 2006, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2006/02/28/backlash-against-democracy-promotion/acr, MCL)
         The recent "color revolutions....legitimacy of the democracy-promotion cause. 

2. US China are the lynchpin to solve warming, scarcity, proliferation, genocide, and disease
Gewirtz 11 (Paul is a professor at Yale Law School and director of The China Law Center. He served in the Clinton Administration and worked on the two summit meetings between President Bill Clinton and China’s then-president, Jiang Zemin. “What America and China Must Not Forget” January 18 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/19/opinion/19iht-edgewirtz19.html)
However, the fact that the United States and China have many common ....incentives and responsibilities to cooperate. 

3. China relations key to the economy, disease control, and national security - turn case
Christensen 11 (Thomas J. Christensen is Professor of Politics and International Affairs and Director of the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program at Princeton University. “The Need to Pursue Mutual Interests in U.S.-PRC Relations” April http://www.usip.org/files/resources/SR269Christensen.pdf)
There are many additional areas of potential U.S.-Chinese cooperation....contribute to solutions to these global problems

1. Removing Assad from power would cause regional instability and a civil war much like Lebanon of the 1980’s. POMEPS  May 2011 [POMEPS is based at the Institute for Middle East Studies at the George Washington University and is supported by a grant from the Carnegie Corporation. It is directed by Marc Lynch, and guided by an Executive Committee, which includes 10 leading tenured political scientists from major research universities; http://www.pomeps.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/POMEPS_BriefBooklet4_Syria-TEXT_WEB-1.pdf]
         Perhaps.Yet this grand vision ... with potentially devastating consequences.

1. Impact: Post-Assad civil war would plunge the region into an orgy of bloodshed. POMEPS  May 2011 [POMEPS is based at the Institute for Middle East Studies at the George Washington University and is supported by a grant from the Carnegie Corporation. It is directed by Marc Lynch, and guided by an Executive Committee, which includes 10 leading tenured political scientists from major research universities; http://www.pomeps.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/POMEPS_BriefBooklet4_Syria-TEXT_WEB-1.pdf]
         This edifice may now be crumbling.... consumed in an orgy of violence.

Collapse of the Assad regime will lead to a three way civil war. POMEPS  May 2011 [POMEPS is based at the Institute for Middle East Studies at the George Washington University and is supported by a grant from the Carnegie Corporation. It is directed by Marc Lynch, and guided by an Executive Committee, which includes 10 leading tenured political scientists from major research universities; http://www.pomeps.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/POMEPS_BriefBooklet4_Syria-TEXT_WEB-1.pdf]
The regime has compensated... catastrophic civil unrest (or both).

Civil war will spill over into Lebanon and even Turkey. POMEPS  May 2011 [POMEPS is based at the Institute for Middle East Studies at the George Washington University and is supported by a grant from the Carnegie Corporation. It is directed by Marc Lynch, and guided by an Executive Committee, which includes 10 leading tenured political scientists from major research universities; http://www.pomeps.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/POMEPS_BriefBooklet4_Syria-TEXT_WEB-1.pdf]
Should Bashar al Assad fail to rein .... in the region, including Turkey.

Link and Impact: Cornered Assad will launch a war with Israel, triggering regional warfare. dEBKA, aUGUST 30, 2011 [Assad may opt for war to escape Russian, Arab, European ultimatums  DEBKAfile Special Report August 30, 2011, 9:32

Aleppo is now the only Syrian city .... spread like wildfire across the region.

Collapse of Assad will trigger proxy wars. Michael Doran, August 22, 2011[Michael Doran, a former senior director for the Middle East at the U.S. National Security Council, is the Roger Hertog senior fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution. http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:s4vvblczxLAJ:www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/08/22/the_nexus_and_the_olive_tree%3Fpage%3Dfull+Iraq+Syria+%22relations+with+the+United+States%22&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
The contest on the ground in Syria .... intimidate those Syrians who get in their way. 

In reality, every major regional actor wants Assad to remain in power, even Israel. The risks to regional stability are too great. Revfa Bhalla, August 8, 2011 [Director of Mid-East Analysis for Stratfor.com; http://www.syrianemergencytaskforce.org/2011/08/08/making-sense-of-the-syrian-crisis-situation-reports/]
Internally, Alawite unity and control.... likely destabilizing consequences of regime change.

Israel does not want Assad to be overthrown. Revfa Bhalla, August 8, 2011 [Director of Mid-East Analysis for Stratfor.com; http://www.syrianemergencytaskforce.org/2011/08/08/making-sense-of-the-syrian-crisis-situation-reports/]
It is not a coincidence that Israel ..... you do know rather than the devil you don’t.

Iran will launch terrorist attacks against Israel to save Assad. Dunnigan, August 24, 2011
Iran Goads Israel To Save Syria by James Dunnigan
August 24, 2011 [http://www.strategypage.com/dls/articles/Iran-Goads-Israel-To-Save-Syria-8-24-2011.asp]
Iran is trying to start a war between Hamas and Israel... hard on the demonstrators (without attracting a lot of bad publicity). 

includes Chinese adventurism impacts