James Madison » JMU MeMi Aff

JMU MeMi Aff

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  • 1AC Pre-Liberty

    • Tournament: Pre-Liberty | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • erty


    • Advantage 1 is the War of Northern Aggression
      1.Saleh’s return has yemen on the brink of civil war
      Riedel 2011 ( Bruce Yemen on the Brink senior fellow in the Saban Center at the Brookings Institution http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/09/24/president-saleh-s-return-puts-yemen-on-brink-of-civil-war.html

      Ali Abdallah Saleh’s... Now he’s back.

      2. Poor governance is the biggest internal link towards conflict
      Barakat et al 2011 (Sultan, founding member and Director for the Post-War Reconstruction and Development Unit (PRDU) and a professor at the University of york  on the edge of failure: Conflict and Crisis in Yemen, university of york june) 

      Indeed, weak governance ... loss of human

       

      3. Civil war triggers Yemeni economic collapse, expansion of pirate fleets, and the creation of an Al-Queda safe haven
      Alley and al-Iryani 2009(April Longley and  Abdul Ghani Longley Alley holds a MA in Arab Studies and a PhD in Government from Georgetown University. Dr. Alley trav-eled to Yemen on a David L. Boren Fellowship during the summer of 2004, a Fulbright IIE Grant from September 2005 to  September 2006, and independently during the summer of 2007. Abdul-Ghani Al-Iryani is a businessman and a political  consultant based in Sana‘a. He received an MA from Portland State University and an MPH from Boston University.Southern Aspirations and Salih’s Exasperation: The Looming Threat of Secession in South Yemen The Middle East Institute Viewpoints No. 11 June 2009 www.mei.edu/Portals/0/Publications/Yemen.pdf) 

      A second area of ...achieving this outcome.   

      5. Decentralization averts civil war  
      Longley et al 2008(april Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Government at Georgetown University. She holds a Masters Degree in Arab Studies from Georgetown’s Center for Contemporary Arab Studies Fighting Brushfires with Batons: An Analysis of the Political Crisis in South Yemen middle east institute policy brief No7 February 2008)

      The third and ... [and the] average Yemenis

       

      AND We isolate two impact scenarios
      Scenario 1 is Saudi instability 

      Yemen civil war causes armed refugee spillover into Saudi Arabia- destabilizes them 

      Horton 2011 (Michael is a Senior Analyst for Arabian Affairs at The Jamestown Foundation where he specializes on Yemen and the Horn of Africa. He also writes for Jane's Intelligence Review, Intelligence Digest, Islamic Affairs Analyst, and the Christian Science Monitor. Mr. Horton studied Middle East History and Economics at the American University of Cairo and Arabic at the Center for Arabic Language and Eastern Studies in Yemen. Michael frequently travels to Yemen, Ethiopia, and Somalia. The Unseen Hand: Saudi Arabian Involvement in Yemen March 24, 2011http:www.jamestown.org/single/?no_cache=1&tx_ttnews[tt_news]=37687&tx_ttnews[backPid]=7&cHash=2d68e72ad976a563c017aee8cfd2ebf6)

      One analyst recently ...certainly worth remembering.   

      Saudi instability collapses the global economy
      HARTMAN 2011 (BEN, reporter for The Jerusalem Post, the jerusalem post World economy will fall if revolts spread to S. Arabia' http://www.jpost.com/Features/InThespotlight/Article.aspx?ID=209605&R=R1) 02/24/
      “If something like we have seen in Egypt or Libya happens in Saudi Arabia, we’re talking about a catastrophic scenario that will bring a global economic meltdown.”

      Talking to Gal Luft ...for being poor.”

      Economic decline causes war – multiple warrants and the best research flows aff
      Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010
      (Jedediah, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,” in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p.213-215) JDB

      Less intuitive is how ...ancillary to those views.

      Scenario 2 is Al-Queda

      1. They have the desire and technology to carry out a WMD attack
        IPT News 2011 Documents Show Jihadists Seek Mass-Destruction Weapons The Investigative Project on Terrorism (IPT) is a non-profit research group founded by Steven Emerson in 1995. It is recognized as the world's most comprehensive data center on radical Islamic terrorist groups. February 18, http://www.investigativeproject.org/2608/documents-show-jihadists-seek-mass-destruction

      Diplomatic cables released ... mere dirty bomb."

      2. Nuclear attack by terrorist triggers global nuclear war
      Speice, J.D. Candidate at the College of William and Mary, 2006
      (Patrick F., “Negligence and Nuclear Nonproliferation: Eliminating the Current Liability Barrier to Bilateral U.S.-Russian Nonproliferation Assistance Programs,” William and Mary Law Review 47:4, Article 10, pg1427-1485) JDB

      Accordingly, there is... or its allies

      3. Bioweapons use risks extinction
      Ochs 2 (Richard, Member – Chemical Weapons Working Group, “Biological Weapons Must be Abolished Immediately, 6-9, http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html)

      Of all the weapons ... IS NOW POSSIBLE.
       

      Advantage 2 is bin laden’s unwanted step child - Al Queda IN the Arabian Peninsula

      First, AQAP is a growing threat despite the death of al-Awlaqi

      AFP, 10/02/11.  “Qaeda in Yemen remains threat: experts.”  Hammoud Mounassar.  Staff Writer for AFP in Sanaa.  2:30 p.m. 10.02.11.  http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5i4p3L7a36jKJf41fvxtDVxU23vIQ?docId=CNG.030caf27e8be634f66c49491799ddc99.41/ {M.e. 10.02.11}

      SANAA — Al-Qaeda in Yemen ... Al-Qaeda to attack us."

      Yemen is a uniquely dangerous base of operations for terrorists
      Giardino October 3 (GIARDINO: Battle against American terrorists in Yemen isn’t over Carrie served as vice consul at the U.S. Embassy in Sanaa, Yemen, in 2009 and is director of strategic initiatives for IDS International)

      There are tens ... internal security threat.

      NEXT We solve 3 internal links

      1. Reforming the government to better address grievances is key to eradicating AQAP
        Harris 2010 (Alistair former diplomat and UN staff member Exploiting  Grievances Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula YEMEN: ON THE BRINK A CARNEGIE PAPER SERIES  MAY)
        Military and law ... and perceived grievances.  

      2. Reframing the US-Yemeni relationship is key to progress. Military and Security assistance alone can’t solve terrorism.
       Boucek 2009  (Christopher associate in the Carnegie Middle East Program where his research focuses on security  Carnegie PAPERS Yemen: Avoiding a Downward  Spiral Middle East Program  Number 102 September 2009)

      it is essential that... to improving domestic security. 

      3. Decentralized governments cannot be destabilized by terrorism.
      Frey 4
      (Bruno S. Frey, Simon Luechinger: Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich. “Decentralization as a disincentive for terror.” European Journal of Political Economy. Vol 20 (2004) 509-515)ZM

      A polity with many .. actions for terrorists.
       

      Finally - We isolate 2 impact scenarios
      Scenario 1 is Chemical Warfare

      1. AQAP is developing chemical weapons to attack the US
        SCHMITT and SHANKER 2011 (ERIC and THOM writers for the new york times 8/13/2011 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/13/world/middleeast/13terror.html?_r=1)

      WASHINGTON — American counterterrorism officials ...senior United States official.
       

      2. The US will respond with nuclear retaliation 

      Scott D. Sagan International Security 25.4 (2001) ( Associate Professor of Political Science and Co-Director of the Center for International Security aAnd Cooperation at Stanford University.) “Responding to Chemical and Biological Treast” http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/international_security/v025/25.4sagan.html#FOOT1a

      The official U.S. government policy ... if deterrence fails?

       

      Scenario 2 is retaliation 

      1. Even if the AQAP carries out an attack without weapons of mass destruction - it triggers a US invasion
        Strategic Studies Institute 2011  The Conflicts in Yemen and US National Security
        February 15th, 2011http:www.defencetalk.com/the-conflicts-in-yemen-and-us-national-security-32049/#ixzz1VPTJJWH2
        The difficulties associated ...intervention even arises.

      2. Military intervention in Yemen kills any hope of a negotiated end to Iranian proliferation and starts a middle east war
      Tisdall 2010 (Simon assistant editor of the Guardian and a foreign affairs columnistYemen intervention risks ripple effect  If the US blunders into Yemen the whole region could suffer unintended consequences, from Israel to the Horn of Africa  jan 04 http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/jan/04/yemen-intervention-ripple-effect)
      The wider implications ... a new desert storm.

      3. Middle east wars causes extinction
      Russell 9 (James Senior Lecturer in the Department of National Security Affairs at Nava Postgraduate School “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prosepects for Nuclear War and Escalation in the Middle East www.ifri.org/downloads/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf)

      These systemic weaknesses ... the entire world.  
      4. A nuclearized Iran causes proliferation across the middle east
      Eric S. Edelman et al 2011 (ERIC S. EDELMAN is a Distinguished Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments; he was U.S.  Undersecretary of Defense for Policy in 2005-9. ANDREW F. KREPINEVICH is President of the Center for Strategic  and Budgetary Assessments. EVAN BRADEN MONTGOMERY is a Research Fellow at the Center for Strategic and  Budgetary Assessments  Foreign Affairs The Dangers of NATO a Nuclear Iran  Andrew F. Krepinevich, and Evan Braden Montgomery Subtitle: The Limits of Containment January 2011 - February 2011 SECTION: Pg. 66 Vol. 90 No. 1 ) 

      The reports of the... nuclear weapons  capability.  
      5. This spirals into nuclear war- 6 reasons
      Eric S. Edelman et al 2011 (ERIC S. EDELMAN is a Distinguished Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments; he was U.S.  Undersecretary of Defense for Policy in 2005-9. ANDREW F. KREPINEVICH is President of the Center for Strategic  and Budgetary Assessments. EVAN BRADEN MONTGOMERY is a Research Fellow at the Center for Strategic and  Budgetary Assessments  Foreign Affairs The Dangers of NATO a Nuclear Iran  Andrew F. Krepinevich, and Evan Braden Montgomery Subtitle: The Limits of Containment January 2011 - February 2011 SECTION: Pg. 66 Vol. 90 No. 1 ) 

      More important, emerging ... regional  nuclear war.  

      PLAN TEXT:

      Will and I stand resolved that the United States Federal Government, through USAID, should substantially increase its democratic decentralization assistance for Yemen by fostering a favorable environment for decentralization, primarily through support for decentralizing legal reforms, democratic local governance, and local government capacity
       



10/19/11
  • 2AC: Capitalism

    • Tournament: Liberty | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • 2ACPerm – do both – risk of cooption isn’t a reason to abandon the plan, instead it’s a reason to be cautious but use the state against itself

      Zizek, Professor at the University of Ljublana, 2004 (Slavoj, interviewed by Eric Dean Rasmussen, “Liberation Hurts: An Interview with Slavoj Zizek,” The Electronic Book Review, July 1, 2004, www.electronicbookreview.com/v3/servlet/ebr?comman=view_essay&essay_id=rasmussen)

       

      Zizek: I’m trying to avoid two extremes.

      And

      trigger a much more radical process.

       

      No root cause of war – monocasaul explanations doom policymaking

      Martin, Professor of Social Sciences at the University of Wollongon, 1990

      (Brian, “Uprooting War,” 1990 edition, http://www.bmartin.cc/pubs/90uw/uw13.html, accessed 9/2/11)

       

      In this chapter and in the six preceding chapters

      developing strategies for grassroots movements to uproot them.

      Neoliberal globalization solves war – no market incentive

      Bandow, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute 2005

       (Doug, Spreading Capitalism is Good for Peace, http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=5193 [gjm] 11/15/2005)

      In a world that seems constantly

       

      short of war to achieve foreign policy ends.

       

       

      Capitalism is sustainable – it’s used to struggles

      Foster 9 (JD, Norman B. Ture Senior Fellow in the Economics of fiscal policy – Heritage Foundation, "Is Capitalism Dead? Maybe," 3-11, http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=101694302)

       

      Capitalism is down. It may even

       

      again sometime down the road.

       

       

      Perm – do the plan and the alternative in all other instances - total rejection of capitalism fragments resistance

      J.K. Gibson-Graham, feminist economist, 1996, End of Capitalism

       

      One of our goals as Marxists has been

       

      a fantasy, visible as a denial of diversity and change.

      Their anti-politics dooms the alt and causes authoritarian takeover

      Boggs 2k (CAROL BOGGS, PF POLITICAL SCIENCE – SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, 00, THE END OF POLITICS, 250-1)

      But it is a very deceptive and misleading minimalism. 

       

      Oakeshott’s Burkean muddling-through theories.

      Free market capitalism is vital to preventing extinction and ensuring equality and value to life – also solves disease and poverty

       

      Rockwell ‘02

      (Llewellyn H., President of the Mises Institute, The Free Market, “Why They Attack Capitalism”, Volume 20, Number 10, October, http://www.mises.org/freemarket_detail.asp?control=418&sortorder-articledate)

      If you think about it, this hysteria

       

       American enterprise is perfectly abysmal.

      Cap K Splinters Solidarity

       

      Turn- Capitalism isn’t the only dominant force- this thinking reintrenches and sidelines other forms of oppression

      Gibson-Graham 06. Julie Graham, Professor of Geography, Associate Department Head for Geography @ U-Mass Amherst and Katherine Gibson, Visiting Fellow of Human Geography @ Australia National University. A Postcapitalist Politics. University of Minnesota Press. /sal p.2.

       

      The assertions that capitalism

       

      dispositions of paranoia, melancholia, and moralism intermingle and self-reinforce.

       

      Only the permutation solves: The Alt’s insatiable thirst to sever all ties from any source of political power prevents counter-hegemonic politics from ever occurring

      Gibson-Graham 06. Julie Graham, Professor of Geography, Associate Department Head for Geography @ U-Mass Amherst and Katherine Gibson, Visiting Fellow of Human Geography @ Australia National University. A Postcapitalist Politics. University of Minnesota Press. /sal p.5.

       

      Feelings of hatred and revenge toward the powerful

       

       if we are to pursue a new economic politics.

       

      A2: Cap K – Alt. Biopower Disad (1/2)

       

      No Alt Solvency and Turn: Your standpoint destroys solidarity among the left and creates a sense of paranoia that scapegoats capitalism as the ultimate evil- this epistemological practice justifies a new vigilant order in police a violent order among the masses

      Gibson-Graham 06. Julie Graham, Professor of Geography, Associate Department Head for Geography @ U-Mass Amherst and Katherine Gibson, Visiting Fellow of Human Geography @ Australia National University. A Postcapitalist Politics. University of Minnesota Press. /sal p. 3.

       

      Our familiar anticapitalist milieu was one

       

      causal explanations coming out of the deep dark below. (2004, 229)

      A2: Cap K – Alt. Biopower Disad (2/2)

       

      The order imposed by the rise of a post-capitalist regime justifies a new round of biopower that will lead to genocide

      Rabinow 84. Paul, Professor of Anthropology @ UC-Berkeley. The Foucault Reader.p. 260. [Gender paraphrased by RJ Green].

       

      It is as managers of life and survival

       

      life, the species, the race, and the large-scale phenomena of population.

       

      A2: Cap K – Need Ethical Rejection to Cap

       

      Claims that we should have an ethical rejection to capitalism leads to self-mortification and justification to sacrifice others in order to benefit the greater struggle against capitalism- You still link to our disads to the alt

      Duncan 84. Hugh Dalziel. Introduction: Permanence and Change (by Kenneth Burke. XL-XLI (Gender Paraphrased)

       

      The closest analogue in daily life

       

      , a turmoil that is actually within.

       

      Capitalocentric Discourse - Patriarchy DA (1/2)

       

      Capitalocentric discourse masks the oppression caused by patriarchy

      Gibson-Graham 06. Julie Graham, Professor of Geography, Associate Department Head for Geography @ U-Mass Amherst and Katherine Gibson, Visiting Fellow of Human Geography @ Australia National University. A Postcapitalist Politics. University of Minnesota Press. /sal p. 56

       

      Capitalocentrism is a dominant economic discourse that distributes

       

      rendered virtually unthinkable by the hegemony of capitalocentrism. 14

      Capitalocentric Discourse - Patriarchy DA (2/2)

       

      Eliminating possibilities for understanding the gendered implications of the world ensures that patriarchy makes nuclear war, economic collapse, and ecological degradation all inevitable

      V. Spike Peterson 99, Professor of Political Science at the University of Arizona, “Global Gender Issues: Revisited” Westview Press

       

      Finally, gender sensitive studies improve

       

      other oppressive hierarchies at work in the world.

       

      Capitalism is key to saving the environment

      Taylor, researcher at the Cato Institute 2003 (Jerry, 4/22/03 “Happy Earth Day? Thank Capitalism” http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=3073)

       

      Earth Day (April 22) is traditionally a day for the Left

       

      The Left, accordingly, has no special claim on Earth Day.

       




11/06/11
  • 2AC: Selective Engagement

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • China relations resilient and not zero sum

      Xinhuannet.com sept 9 (U.S.-China relationship is strong: U.S. Ambassador English.news.cnhttp://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:tiZgphZK2EMJ:news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/china/2011-09/09/c_131130845.htm+us+china+relations+strong&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&client=firefox-a)

       

      U.S. Ambassador Gary Locke said Friday

      "We can and must achieve security and prosperity together," he said.

      Pardo 2011 (Ramon Pacheco  writer for majalla.com The Dragon Eyes the Arab Spring China takes a wait and see policy on the Middle East Thursday 14 April 2011 http://www.al-majalla.com/en/ideas/article359548.ece)

       

      However, economic relations between China 

      western governments have in the Middle East and neighboring regions.

       

      Case triggers the impact

      Iran strike collapses China’s Economy and Regime Stability.
      Bill Bishop, 8/16/2010 [Forbes, “If Israel Attacks Iran, What About China?”, http://blogs.forbes.com/china/2010/08/16/if-israel-attacks-iran-what-about-china/]
      An attack on Iran would be devastating 

       manufacturing and international trade depend.”

      Extinction.
      The Epoch Times, Renxing San, 8/4/2004, 8/4, http://english.epochtimes.com/news/5-8-4/30931.html

      Since the Party’s life is “above all else,” 

       people hostage and gamble with their lives.

      Keating 2011( Joshua, writer for foreignpolicy.com Tuesday, October 18, People's Daily responds to Clinton on 'Pacific century' http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/10/18/peoples_daily_responds_to_clinton_on_pacific_century)

      China's state-run People's Daily has

       "Wait, what are we now?"    




11/06/11
11/06/11

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