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Iowa Aufderheide-Kann Aff

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  • Yemen 1AC - Texas Two Step

    • Tournament: Sample Tournament | Round: 1 | Opponent: Sample Team | Judge: Sample Judge

    • 1AC- Texas Swing 

      Inherency

      Saleh will retain power in Yemen.

      The Economist 12/3/11 (“Has He Really Gone?” http://www.economist.com/node/21541066/print)

      CELEBRATORY fireworks and gunfire lit up the skies 

      AND 

      with him gone, these hideous problems remain.

      The killing of al-Awlaki does nothing – he had no strategic importance. 

      The Guardian ’11 (9/30, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/sep/30/anwar-al-awlaki-killing?newsfeed=true)

      Anwar al-Awlaki, an American citizen 

      AND 

      away from the battle lines would seem preposterous.

      The Yemeni police force is in disarray and unable to deal with threats – corruption is high, torture is rampant, and there are no effective training programs.

      Global Security 7/28/11 (“Yemen Intelligence Agencies,” http://www.globalsecurity.org/intell/world/yemen/index.html)

      The law prohibits torture; however, according 

      AND 

      central locus of consequential police corruption in Yemen.

      Plan: The United States federal government should provide judicial training for domestic police forces in Yemen. 

      Terror

      Advantage One- Terror 

      Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula is increasing its foothold in Yemen and has the motives and capabilities to attack the United States.

      Herridge ‘11 (Catherine, National Correspondent, 9/14, Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/09/14/al-qaeda-in-yemen-taking-advantage-arab-spring-fallout/)

      Al Qaeda in Yemen is focused on attacks 

      AND 

      that same pressure on AQAP leaders in Yemen.”

      AQAP will attack the United States and is a comparatively more dangerous threats than other Al-Qaeda branches.

      Boucek ’11 (Dr. Christopher, Associate, Middle East Program Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Written Testimony Senate Committee on Foreign Relations Subcommittee on Near Eastern and South and Central Asian Affairs Washington, D.C. July 19, http://foreign.senate.gov/hearings/hearing/?id=6dfc834d-5056-a032-5221-41d3cf94e791]

      Since its creation in January 2009, the 

      AND 

      explosives concealed as cargo packages mailed from Yemen.

      AQAP will soon have nuclear capabilities.

      Fissile Materials Working Group ’11 (The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, “After bin Laden: Nuclear terrorism still a top threat,” 5/13, http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/fissile-materials-working-group/after-bin-laden-nuclear-terrorism-still-top-t)

      Osama bin Laden's death may represent a significant 

      AND 

      priority must be securing this potential source material.

      Major terror attacks coming this summer – will be worse than 9/11 and be WMD.

      Newsmax 11/10/11 http://w3.newsmax.com/a/summerattacks/?promo_code=2A89-1%A0

      Several news reports indicate that al-Qaida 

      AND 

      next major attack against the U.S.

      An AQAP terrorist strike would cause extinction.

      Alexander ’10 (Yonah, Director of the International Center for Terrorism Studies at the Potomac Institute for Policy Sciences, “Maghreb & Sahel Terrorism: Addressing the Rising Threat from al-Qaeda & other Terrorists in North & West/Central Africa,” January, http://www.potomacinstitute.org/attachments/524_Maghreb%20Terrorism%20report.pdf)

      Current and future perpetrators include the following: 

      AND 

      which they could forever alter our planet’s existence.

      Single attack causes extinction.

      Toon et al ‘07 (Owen B. Toon, chair of the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at CU-Boulder, et al., April 19, climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/acp-7-1973-2007.pdf)

      To an increasing extent, people are congregating 

      AND 

      well for the present scenarios and physical outcomes.

      High risk of nuclear terrorism – the most qualified experts agree.

      US Russia Joint Threat Assessment May ‘11

      (http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard

      AND 

      %2027%20May%202011.pdf)

       ABOUT THE U.S.-RUSSIA 

      AND 

      -profit organization “Counter-Terrorism Center.” 

      The expert community distinguishes pathways terrorists might take 

      AND 

      scale the first act of nuclear terrorism occurs.

      Detonation would collapse government structures and ensure irrationality – all optimism is wrong.

      George Michael ‘11, Associate Professor of Nuclear Counterproliferation & Deterrence Theory at the U.S. Air Force Counterproliferation Center, Spring/Summer (http://www.securityaffairs.org/issues/2011/20/michael.php)

      And even if a single nuclear device were 

      AND 

      that easy to put Humpty Dumpty together again.

      Independently, AQAP would strike with CBW’s.

      Baldor ‘11 (Lolita, Associated Press, “U.S. Plans to Train Yemeni Counter-Terrorism Unit” Monday, February 14, http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/us-plans-train-yemeni-counter-terrorism)

      Senior U.S. intelligence officials told 

      AND 

      , and urge others to do the same. 

      The success of an attack is highly probable – even a small magnitude attack will spread quickly and cause mass casualties.

      Russell ’06 (Lindsey, Contributing Writer, Associated Content, “Is Bioterrorism Inevitable?” 10/27, http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/77135/is_bioterrorism_inevitable.html?cat=4)

      Professor Robert S. Root-Bernstein in 

      AND 

      air conditioning/heating units from bioterrorist threats.

      This ensures a US nuclear response.

      Conley ‘03 (Lt Col Harry W. is chief of the Systems Analysis Branch, Directorate of Requirements, Headquarters Air Combat Command (ACC), Langley AFB, Virginia. Air & Space Power Journal – Spring, http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj03/spr03/conley.html)

      The number of American casualties suffered due to 

      AND 

      a possibility, whatever promises had been made.

      Global nuclear war.

      Ayson ’10 (Robert, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University at Wellington, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, Volume 33, Issue 7, July, via InformaWorld)

      But these two nuclear worlds—a non

      AND 

      conclusions might it then draw about their culpability?

      AQAP threatens regional stability – the impact is global nuclear war.

      Riedel ’11 (Bruce, Senior Fellow in the Saban Center at the Brookings Institution, “Where al Qaeda is Winning,” 6/27, http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/06/27/yemen-s-descent-into-chaos-spurs-al-qaeda-s-rise.html)

      Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula is a 

      AND 

      grim for everyone but al Qaeda in Yemen.

      Terrorism studies are epistemologically and methodologically valid---our authors are self-reflexive

      Boyle and Horgan 8 – Michael J. Boyle, School of International Relations, University of St. Andrews, and John Horgan, International Center for the Study of Terrorism, Department of Psychology, Pennsylvania State University, April 2008, “A Case Against Critical Terrorism Studies,” Critical Studies On Terrorism, Vol. 1, No. 1, p. 51-64

      Jackson (2007c) calls for the development 

      AND 

      produce such scathing indictments of its own work.

      Intervention

      Advantage Two: Intervention 

      Proper police training represents the key ingredient for a transition to counter-insurgency.

      Grono ’11 (Nick, Deputy President of Crisis Group, http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/publication-type/speeches/2011/testimony-to-dutch-parliament-afghanistan-police-mission.aspx, 1/24)

      1. Good policing is critical to counter 

      AND 

      is the time there will be real security”.

      Plan would prove the success of this model of assistance – spills over to the rest of the region and world.

      Bergenas ’11 (Johan, Research Associate at the Stimson Center, “Bridging the Security-Development Divide,” The Will and the Wallet, World Politics Review, 3/7, http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:lc2dctcBOqgJ:thewillandthewallet.org/2011/03/07/bridging-the-security-development-divide/+security+sector+reform+egypt+donor+assistance&cd=8&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us&source=www.google.com)

      Take for instance efforts to improve legal, 

      AND 

      in the Middle East but throughout the world.

      Our approach in Yemen is the litmus-test of future counter-terrorism strategy – the time is right for a strategy shift

      Cilluffo and Watts ‘11 [Frank J. Cilluffo is the director of the Homeland Security Policy Institute at The George Washington University and Clinton Watts is a principal consultant at PA Consulting Group and a Senior Fellow at the Homeland Security Policy Institute. He is a former U.S. Army Officer and former Special Agent with the FBI., Homeland Security Policy Institute, “Yemen & Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula: Exploiting a Window of Counterterrorism Opportunity”, June 24, 2011, http://www.gwumc.edu/hspi/policy/issuebrief203_yemenAQAP.cfm]

      Debates over the legality of pursuing AQAP in 

      AND 

      now to prevent an inevitable attack from AQAP. 

      US intervention in regional conflicts is inevitable – it’s just a question of whether or not it includes this brand of counterinsurgency.

      Curry ‘08 (Tom, MSNBC national affairs writer, 7/12/08, www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25618746)

      Retired Army officer Andrew Krepinevich, the head 

      AND 

      .S. security or economic well being.

      We control impact uniqueness – localized conflicts will be the wars of the future, not high-intensity exchanges.

      Marston ’04 (Daniel, Ph.D., Research Fellow, focusing on how armies learn and reform, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National U; former Senior Lecturer, War Studies, Royal Military Academy-Sandhurst; lecturer on COIN to military units in Australia, UK, Canada, and US, “Force Structure for High- and Low-Intensity Warfare: The Anglo-American Experience and Lessons for the Future,” http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2020_2004_05_25_intro.html) 

      While the exact scope of future war is 

      AND 

      , and the second Intifada in Israel.16

      These are the most probable nuclear conflicts.

      Richards '07 (Phd & J Addams & Partners, Inc, http://www.projectwhitehorse.com/pdfs/1a.%204GW_Primer.pdf)

      Beginning with Mao Tse-Tung, and 

      AND 

      the scenes of horror and brutality that ensue.

      Future conflicts will be between states and non-state actors – great power wars and major conflicts are over.

      Anne-Marie Slaughter is the Bert G Kerstetter ‘66 University Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University, August, ’11 (http://www.princeton.edu/~slaughtr/Commentary/RUSI.pdf)

      9/11 was the defining event of 

      AND 

      match for twenty-first-century problems. 

      Solvency

      US judicial training of Yemeni police is the greatest step it can take to thwart terrorism – represents a reversal of status quo counter-terrorism policy.

      Knoetgen ’11 (Peter, Captain in the US Naval Reserve, “Chaos and Terrorism: How to Fight al-Qaeda in Yemen Amid Political Turmoil,” Central European Journal of International & Security Studies, 5/16, http://www.cejiss.org/columns/chaos-and-terrorism-how-fight-al-qaeda-yemen-amid-political-turmoil)

      Like most terror organisations, AQAP exists in 

      AND 

      experts providing cultural, regional and international expertise.

      The plan solves by reforming Saleh’s regime – he’s not stepping down and AQAP is growing in strength.

      Green 9/29/11 (Daniel, Soref fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, “Yemen’s Saleh Strikes Back,” http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC05.php?CID=3403)

      On September 23, President Ali Abdullah Saleh 

      AND 

      the fighting and develop confidence-building measures.

      This is not a question of Saleh vs. democracy; grassroots movements have been displaced by other elites – reforming Saleh is the best option.

      Karman 9/27/11 (Tawakkol, Head of Women Journalists Without Chains, Democracy Digest, “Elites’ conflict sidelines Yemen’s grassroots coalition,” http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/09/elites-conflict-sidelines-yemens-grassroots-coalition/)

      The political conflict and associated violence is being 

      AND 

      ,’ the cable quoted Hamid as saying.”

      US law enforcement training is essential to information exchange- this is the only way to prevent terrorism

      Millar and Rosland ‘7 [Alistair Millar is the director of the Center on Global Counterterrorism Cooperation and Eric Rosand is a senior fellow at the Center on Global Counterterrorism Cooperation in New York and a non-resident fellow at New York University’s Center on International Cooperation, “Building Global Alliances in the Fight against Terrorism”, November 2007, http://www.globalct.org/images/content/pdf/reports/better_world.pdf]

      In the international effort to combat terrorism, 

      AND 

      could have devastating ripples into the United States.  

      This is particularly true in Yemen – current US efforts will only succeed with information exchange

      Barfi ’10 [Barak Barfi is an independent analyst who has worked with ABC News affiliates in the Middle East, “How attacking AQAP influenced its strategy”, 2010, http://www.nato.int/docu/review/2010/Yemen/Yemen_AQAP/EN/]

      AQAP’s ability to survive the American-Yemeni 

      AND 

      competent military allies and reliable local intelligence assets. 


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01/07/12
  • 2AC vs. Wayne State LM

    • Tournament: UTD | Round: 4 | Opponent: Wayne State LM | Judge: Travis Cram

    • 2aA2 T - Direct Assistance

      Counter-Interpretation – Democracy assistance is rule of law and three other things.

      Azpuru ’11 (Dinorah, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Wichita State University, “The Promotion of Democracy: Actors and Methods,” Achieving Democracy: Democratization in Theory and Practice)

      Figure 14.2 shows, by sector

      AND 

      least amount of aid was channeled to elections.

      We meet the counter-interpretation – police training strengthens democratic rule of law.

      Grono ’11 (Nick, Deputy President of Crisis Group, http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/publication-type/speeches/2011/testimony-to-dutch-parliament-afghanistan-police-mission.aspx, 1/24)

      A well-trained police force is also 

      AND 

      and better governance are all out of reach.

      A2 Death K

      Life is a pre-requisite to any of their impact claims – can’t assign value without having that object in the first place

      Extinction is a side constraint - ethics demands you evaluate our impact first.

      Seeley, ’86 (Central Comm. for Conscientious Objectors, Handbook of Non-Violence, p. 269-70)

      In moral reasoning prediction of consequences is nearly 

      AND 

      nuclear war utterly impermissible under any sane moral code

      Nuclear war transcends all other moral questions – it shatters any moral calculus.

      Nye, Harvard Center for Science and International Affairs Director, ‘86 Nuclear Ethics, pp. 33-4

      While the cosmopolitan approach has the virtue of 

      AND 

      stage in human history.

      We control impact uniqueness for concern for rights -- Concern for right should stop with catastrophic consequences -- the alternative is complete violation of rights.

      Tim Stelzig, masters in philosophy from UIC, 1998, “Deontology, Governmental Action, and Distributive Exemption: How the Trolley Problem Shapes the Relationship Between Rights and Policy”

      Yet, as Blackstone also realizes, the 

      AND 

      Such cases merely reveal that rights have thresholds.

      Multiverse theory wrong—death matters 

      A. Lanza’s theory is scientifically disproven—collective recognition of reality and misunderstanding of spacetime prove. His book was meant to pose a metaphor, not a scientific theory. 

      David Lindey 3/9/2007 (Astrophysicist and Science Writer, Email message to Dan Vergano posted at USA Today with author's permission. "Exclusive: Response to Robert Lanza's Essay" http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/2007-03-09-lanza-response_N.htm)

      Although Robert Lanza claims to offer "A 

      AND 

      fact that it's weird doesn't mean it's fictitious.

      B. People aren’t particles—death matters and is the end. 

      PZ Myers 10/10/2009 (Biologist and Associate Professor at the University of Minnesota-Morris. "The Dead are Dead" http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2009/12/the_dead_are_dead.php)

      But then Lanza goes on to babble about 

      AND 

      -order relationships when talking about our fate.

      Even if you are right, we should still act to prevent extinction -- long-term humanity may be "happier" than us now.

      Leslie ‘99 (John, Adjunct Professor at the University of Victoria, Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada, was the British Academy — Royal Society of Canada Exchange Lecturer for 1998, has held visiting professorships in the Research School of Philosophy at Australian National University, in the Department of Religious Studies at the University of Calgary, and at the Institute of Astrophysics at the University of Liège, http://www.lifeboat.com/ex/risking.human.extinction)

      Here let me just comment that, when 

      AND 

      there could be hundreds of trillions of them

      The possibility of good is good enough. It is unethical to annihilate this possibility even if existence entails suffering because the will persists without humans, and only humans can extinguish the will within themselves.

      Migotti ‘95 (Mark, Hamilton College, Schopenhauer’s pessimism and the unconditioned good, Journal of the history of philosophy 33:4 October, project muse)

      In section 65 of WW I, Schopenhauer 

      AND 

      the pleasure associated with nutrition and sex.'5

      Always value to life—obligation to prevent death.

      Bernstein ‘2 (Richard J., Vera List Prof. Phil. – New School for Social Research, “Radical Evil: A Philosophical Interrogation”, p. 188-192)

      This is precisely what Jonas does in The 

      AND 

      objects of your will." (IR 11)

      Turn – Our politics of preventing extinction instantiates an ethics of care for the world – even if we accept there are no values, we should still love the world and attempt to prevent extinction.

      Wapner '3 (Director -- Global Environmental Policy Program @ American, Winter, Dissent)

      All attempts to listen to nature are social 

      AND 

      intellectual insights and compromise their fundamental moral commitment.

      Nuclear war makes life meaningless – results in the worst forms of survivalism.

      McGrath, Judge Advocate General’s Corps, in ’85 Military Law Review, Winter

      The cities of London, Coventry, Dresden

      AND 

      personal survival regardless of the cost to others.

      Their basic premise is wrong: suffering and satisfaction are not mutually exclusive. The process can be as pleasurable as the goal

      Migotti ‘95 (Mark, Hamilton College, Schopenhauer’s pessimism and the unconditioned good, Journal of the history of philosophy 33:4 October, project muse)

      The arguments to and from the metaphysical thesis 

      AND 

      be exhilarated for all twenty-six miles.

      A2 Wayne State DnG

      Immanent critique fails—need constant testing and interrogation to continually revise our truths

      Nikolas Kompridis 2005 (professor at the Centre for Citizenship and Public Policy at the University of Western Sydney, “Disclosing Possibility: The Past and Future of Critical Theory”, International

      Journal of Philosophical Studies. p. 335) 

      Indeed, we can say more than that

      AND 

      of the critic vis à vis her audience.

      Role-playing allows us to critique the state from within.

      Stark, ’96 (Tennessee Associate Law Professor, Winter 32 Stan J Int’L L 91)

      Role-playing exercises, in which students 

      AND 

      freeing them to explore these questions creatively. 69

      Refusal to focus on state apparatuses causes a market fill-in, which is worse.

      Chomsky ‘98 (Noam, Professor of Linguistics at MIT. The Common Good:  Noam Chomsky Interviewed by David Barsamian, p. 84-85)

      So Argentina is “minimizing the state”—

      AND 

      recognizing that you ultimately want to eliminate it.  

      Institutional approaches are the only way to avoid the collapse of all movements and effectively challenge flawed state policies.

      Grossberg ‘92 (Lawrence, Morris Davis Professor of Communication Studies at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, “We Gotta Get Out of this Place: Popular Conservatism and Postmodern Culture”, page 388-389)

      The demand for moral and ideological purity 

      AND 

      , even if they are impure and compromised.

      Aff outweighs the K:

      A. Terrorism studies are epistemologically and methodologically valid---our authors are self-reflexive

      Boyle and Horgan 8 – Michael J. Boyle, School of International Relations, University of St. Andrews, and John Horgan, International Center for the Study of Terrorism, Department of Psychology, Pennsylvania State University, April 2008, “A Case Against Critical Terrorism Studies,” Critical Studies On Terrorism, Vol. 1, No. 1, p. 51-64

      Jackson (2007c) calls for the development 

      AND 

      produce such scathing indictments of its own work.

      B. Al Qaeda is evil and we should suspend critique for them – a critical project doesn’t apply to them.

      Derrida ‘03 (Jacques Derrida, Directeurd’Etudes at the Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales in Paris, and Professor of Philosophy, French and Comparative Literature at the University of California, Irvine, 2003, Philosophy in a Time of Terror, p. 113-114)

      Borradori: Earlier you emphasized the essential role 

      AND 

      ,” at least not one for this world.

      C. Terrorism turns your Alt – That’s our impact evidence that the US would lashout.  Here’s more – no chance of alt solvency in the world of a terrorist attack.

      Ignatieff, '4 (Harvard University, Edmonton Journal, May 9)

      It has taken nearly three years, but 

      AND 

      we would lose our identity as free peoples.

      Policymakers will inevitably police – Abandoning our predictions ensures they will be based on pre-conceived notions instead of sound analysis

      Fitzsimmons 7  (Michael, “The Problem of Uncertainty in Strategic Planning”, Survival, Winter 06/07)

      But handling even this weaker form of uncertainty 

      AND 

      poorly understood by the decision-makers themselves. 

      Self-fulfilling prophecies good and threats are real.

      Reifer, ‘2, Georgetown IR Professor, Sept 19-23 www.focusweb.org/publications/2002/geopolitics-globalisationand-alternative-regionalisms.pdf

      Many social constructivists fear that treating countries as 

      AND 

      where social constructivists get their historical examples from.

      There is no root cause of terrorism – that theory is a fallacy

      Weiner ’88 [Justus R. Weiner, Director of the Division of American Law and former Assistant Professor of International Relations and Law at Boston University School of Law, “Terrorism: Israel’s Legal Responses”, 14 Syracuse J. Int’l L. & Com. 184, 1988]

      Political scientists, sociologists, psychologists and others 

      AND 

      , Palestinian frustration, desperation, and misery. 

      The most comprehensive statistical studies prove this to be true

      Stein ‘7 [Zachary R. Stern, “The Face of Terrorism: Toward a Terrorist Profile” a study self-described here:  This study focuses on a more important and substantial question than the definition of terrorism. It seeks to understand the root causes of terrorism or, at the very least, to dispel popular misconceptions about those causes. If optimists like President Bush are to be believed, reducing global poverty and increasing education levels will result in a decrease in global terrorism. This approach is based on the assumption that  economic disadvantage and the inaccessibility or the denial of proper schooling creates fertile breeding grounds for terrorism. Equally unsatisfactory as an explanation, is the opposite hypothesis, exemplified by the work of Alan Krueger, that education and financial well-being actually help explain how and why terrorism is engendered. The assumptions of both sides are not borne out by the facts. They belie the complexity of the individuals and the collective histories that produce terrorists. Terrorists are deeply committed individuals, willing to risk imprisonment and death for their cause. This characteristic would indicate that ideology, and not demographic background, is the leading cause of terrorism. Since ideology and one’s commitment to it are by not easily quantifiable (nor has anyone attempted to quantify them, to date), this study will seek to disprove the demographic background argument by reviewing the relevant literature, and to further establish the point by analyzing individual terrorists’ backgrounds from a wide cross-section. It will also seek to provide some tentative answers to the question that captivates counter-terrorism experts, psychologists, and just about everyone who worries about terrorism: why does someone become a terrorist? This paper is organized as follows: first, a literature review of relevant subject material; second, a description of the methods used in this study; third, a description of the various data sources used in this study; fourth, regressional analysis of the data sources; fifth, non-regressional analysis and anecdotal cases from this study; sixth, and finally, conclusions of this study, Spring 2007]

      With no root cause of terrorism readily identifiable

      AND 

      leaders rounded up, and their cells broken

      Turn – Focus DA -- Their focus on subtle government coercion makes them complicit in state oppression.

      Frankel '97 (New Left Review, #226)

      Moreover, in their eagerness to analyze all 

      AND 

      with the new forms of 'government through community'.

      Perm – do the plan and the alternative in all other instances

      Solves -- State is flexible and can re-orient to solve your offense. 

      Krause & Williams ’97 York Poli Scie Prof & Maine Assistant Poli Scie Prof, Critical Security Studies, Pg. xvi

      Many of the chapters in this volume thus 

      AND 

      most structurally capable actor in contemporary world politics.




01/07/12
  • 2AC - Saudi Oil Add-On

    • Tournament: Texas | Round: 5 | Opponent: UMKC BS | Judge: Fitzmier

    • Yemeni based AQAP will strike Saudi oil facilities

      Murphy ’10 (AQAP’s Growing Security Threat to Saudi Arabia Jun 03, 2010 Caryle Murphy Caryle Murphy is an independent journalist based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. A former reporter for the Washington Post, she was awarded the 1990 Pulitzer Prize for International Reporting. She is the author of Passion For Islam. 

      AQAP is now a major security threat to 

      AND 

      they are threatening…This is their danger.”

      Attack on Saudi oil causes a global oil shock

      Sokolski ‘5 (Sokolski, Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, 2005 (Henry, Testimony before the House International Relations Committee, 2/16, http://www.internationalrelations.house.gov/archives/109/sok021605.pdf) 

      Iran also has a history of supporting terrorist 

      AND 

      to European states, Russia, and China. 

      Saudi oil shock causes extinction

      Henderson ‘7 (Climate Change, Peak Oil And Nuclear War By Bill Henderson 24 February, 2007 Countercurrents.org

      A steep spike in the price of oil

      AND 

      serious talk of pre-emptive nuclear attack.




02/12/12
  • A2 EU CP

    • Tournament: Texas | Round: 5 | Opponent: UMKC BS | Judge: Fitzmier

    • 3. EU doesn’t solve – unable to conform policy to Yemeni culture.

      Burke ‘10 (Edward, Researcher at FRIDE “Assessing Democracy Assistance: Yemen” Fride, http://www.fride.org/download/IP_WMD_Yemen_ENG_jul10.pdf)

      A major donor weakness identified by interviewees was 

      AND 

      to address the roots of its internal conflicts.

      4. EU doesn’t solve training – agency coordination key.

      Knoetgen ’11 (Peter Knoetgen, CEJISS, Central European Journal of International & Security Studies, “Chaos and Terrorism: How to Fight al-Qaeda in Yemen Amid Political Turmoil”, http://www.cejiss.org/columns/chaos-and-terrorism-how-fight-al-qaeda-yemen-amid-political-turmoil, May 16, 2011)

      In some cases these organisations have already provided 

      AND 

      experts providing cultural, regional and international expertise.




02/12/12
  • A2 Terror K

    • Tournament: Texas | Round: 5 | Opponent: UMKC BS | Judge: Fitzmier

    • phew Aff outweighs the K:

      A. Terrorism studies are epistemologically and methodologically valid---our authors are self-reflexive

      Boyle and Horgan 8 – Michael J. Boyle, School of International Relations, University of St. Andrews, and John Horgan, International Center for the Study of Terrorism, Department of Psychology, Pennsylvania State University, April 2008, “A Case Against Critical Terrorism Studies,” Critical Studies On Terrorism, Vol. 1, No. 1, p. 51-64

      Jackson (2007c) calls for the development 

      AND 

      produce such scathing indictments of its own work.

      B. Al Qaeda is evil and we should suspend critique for them – a critical project doesn’t apply to them.

      Derrida ‘03 (Jacques Derrida, Directeurd’Etudes at the Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales in Paris, and Professor of Philosophy, French and Comparative Literature at the University of California, Irvine, 2003, Philosophy in a Time of Terror, p. 113-114)

      Borradori: Earlier you emphasized the essential role 

      AND 

      ,” at least not one for this world.

      C. Terrorism turns your Alt – That’s our impact evidence that the US would lashout.  Here’s more – no chance of alt solvency in the world of a terrorist attack.

      Ignatieff, '4 (Harvard University, Edmonton Journal, May 9)

      It has taken nearly three years, but 

      AND 

      we would lose our identity as free peoples.

      Changing representational practices won’t alter policy—looking to structures and politics is more vital

      Tuathail ‘96 (Gearoid, Department of Georgraphy at Virginia Polytechnic Institute, Political Geography, 15(6-7), p. 664, science direct)

      While theoretical debates at academic conferences  are important 

      AND 

      to the patterned mess that is  human history.

      Self-fulfilling prophecies good and threats are real.

      Reifer, ‘2, Georgetown IR Professor, Sept 19-23 www.focusweb.org/publications/2002/geopolitics-globalisationand-alternative-regionalisms.pdf

      Many social constructivists fear that treating countries as 

      AND 

      where social constructivists get their historical examples from.

      Policymakers will inevitably construct threats – Abandoning predictions ensures they will be based on pre-conceived notions instead of sound analysis

      Fitzsimmons 7  (Michael, “The Problem of Uncertainty in Strategic Planning”, Survival, Winter 06/07)

      But handling even this weaker form of uncertainty 

      AND 

      poorly understood by the decision-makers themselves. 

      Institutional approaches are the only way to avoid the collapse of all movements and effectively challenge flawed state policies.

      Grossberg ‘92 (Lawrence, Morris Davis Professor of Communication Studies at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, “We Gotta Get Out of this Place: Popular Conservatism and Postmodern Culture”, page 388-389)

      The demand for moral and ideological purity 

      AND 

      , even if they are impure and compromised.




02/12/12
  • A2 Security

    • Tournament: Texas | Round: 5 | Opponent: UMKC BS | Judge: Fitzmier

    •  wRole-playing allows us to critique the state from within.

      Stark, ’96 (Tennessee Associate Law Professor, Winter 32 Stan J Int’L L 91)

      Role-playing exercises, in which students 

      AND 

      freeing them to explore these questions creatively. 69

      Even if the neg wins if you win that we can’t prove that the world is objectively structured in the way that our advantages depict, it doesn't make them untrue – we can still make reliable and predictable observations about the world, and act on them

      Miller in 02 (Katherine Miller, Prof. of Communication at Texas A&M,  Communication theories:  Perspectives, processes, and contexts, 2002, p 35-36)

      If positivism, in its classical and logical 

      AND 

      positivist theory are considered in the next section.

      There is no root cause of terrorism – that theory is a fallacy

      Weiner ’88 [Justus R. Weiner, Director of the Division of American Law and former Assistant Professor of International Relations and Law at Boston University School of Law, “Terrorism: Israel’s Legal Responses”, 14 Syracuse J. Int’l L. & Com. 184, 1988]

      Political scientists, sociologists, psychologists and others 

      AND 

      , Palestinian frustration, desperation, and misery. 

      Failure to engage the state causes neoconservative consensus leading to things like the Iraq war—Turns the alternative

      Zachary Lockman is Chair of the Department of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies at New York University 2005 “Critique from the Right The Neo-conservative Assault on Middle East Studies” CR: The New Centennial Review 5.1 (2005) 63-110, Thanks Whitman!

      It may be too soon to tell, 

      AND 

      many had mistakenly thought dead as a doornail.




02/12/12
  • A2 Payroll Tax

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:




02/12/12
  • Syria Aff- Districts

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • phInherency

      The US announced new aid to the Syrian opposition yesterday.

      VOA News 2/24/12  “In Tunis, Calls for Syrian Aid Corridor” http://www.voanews.com/english/news/Clinton-Assad-to-Pay-Heavy-Cost-for-Human-Rights-Violations-140315473.html

      The conference is expected to call on the

      AND

      month, and another in France in April.

      Lack of clear assistance to the opposition now guarantees protracted civil war – but Weak Informal pressure on Assad fails.

      Christian Science Monitor 2/10/12 ”Reasons for Obama to aid Syria – other than moral ones” http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/the-monitors-view/2012/0210/Reasons-for-Obama-to-aid-Syria-other-than-moral-ones

       

      President Obama has yet to show a moral

      AND

      region, from protecting Israel to containing Iran.

      Civil War

      Assad will inevitably fall – assistance for the SNC is needed to avoid a violent transition.

      Byman 2/2/12 (Daniel, “Finish Him,” Foreign Policy, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/02/02/finish_him_assad_syria?page=0,0)

       

      As world leaders huddle at the United Nations

      AND

      alternative to tyranny is not freedom but chaos.

      Escalating Syrian civil war spreads sectarian violence to Iraq, Lebanon, and the entire region.

      Watson 2/7/12 (Ivan, CNN's correspondent based in Istanbul, http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/07/threat-of-proxy-war-times-two-in-syria/)

       

      The bloody internal struggle over the future of

      AND

      the opposition Syrian National Council's international relations committee.

       

       

       

      This regional sectarianism escalates and causes US military intervention.

      Jain ’11 (Ash, Visiting fellow, August, “Nuclear Weapons and Iran’s Global Ambitions: Troubling Scenarios.” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/pubPDFs/PolicyFocus114.pdf)

       

      As it looks for plausibly deniable ways to

      AND

      complicated in the face of a nuclear Iran.

      That draws in great powers—causes regional instability and extinction

      Lehmann ’11 (Christof, Psychologist, Political advisor and Consultant, 12/15, (http://pressenza.com/npermalink/the-manufacturing-of-the-war-in-syria)

       

      A military attack on Syria would invariable lead

      AND

      world needs to stand with Syria and Peace.

       

       

      Independently, Syrian civil war causes Israel to attack Iran.

      LaFranchi 2/7/12 (Howard, Staff Writer, “Why UN gridlock on Syria could encourage Israel to attack Iran,” The Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2012/0207/Why-UN-gridlock-on-Syria-could-encourage-Israel-to-attack-Iran)

       

      As Israel continues a lively debate on whether

      AND

      mount even as Lavrov concluded his visit.’

      This causes World War III.

      Reuveny ’10 (Rafael, PhD, Professor

      AND

      )

       

      A unilateral Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities

      AND

      forces on nuclear alert, replaying Nixon’s nightmarish scenario

      Regional war escalates and goes nuclear

      London ‘10 (Herbert, Professor Emeritus of Humanities @ NYU, resident of the Hudson institute, a world-renowned think tank, former dean of the Gallatin School of Individualized Study, member of the Council on Foreign Relations and of the International Institute of Strategic Studies, affiliated professor @ U of Haifa in Israel, and Outstanding Person, 6/23, “Dark War Clouds Loom on Mid-East Horizon”, http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=37630)

       

      The gathering storm in the Middle East is

      AND

      the Iranian leadership looks to with imperial exhilaration.

       

      Credibility

      Leading from behind is eroding US cred in the Middle East– ensures regional war.

       Hannah 1/9/12 (John, Senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Los Angeles Times)

       

      And yet it would be a serious error

      AND

      accuracy should be a top priority for Obama.

      We’re on the brink of losing our leadership role in Syria – direct leadership is key.

      Pletka 11/18/11 (Danielle, Vice president of foreign and defense policy studies at AEI, http://aei.org/article/foreign-and-defense-policy/regional/middle-east-and-north-africa/debate-prep-us-needs-to-lead-from-the-front-on-syria/)

       

      And what of the capital of the free

      AND

      were down, America was all but absent.

      Assistance is key to signaling future influence and checking Iranian leadership

      Doran 12/13/11 (Michael, Roger Hertog Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Saban Center for Middle East Policy, “United States Policy in Syria: Masterful Inaction?” December 13, 2011, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/1213_syria_doran.aspx)

       

      Salman Sheikh and I look at the rise

      AND

      the game, it is unlikely to win.

       

       

       

       

       

       

       

      Leading from behind  emboldens adversaries and wrecks US heg globally – engaging the opposition is key.

      Gordon ‘11 (Communications consultant to several Washington, D.C.-area think tanks and a retired Navy commander who served in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, 8/20, http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/08/20/libya-syria-show-obama-in-way-over-his-head/)

       

      Developments this week with Libya and Syria show

      AND

      regimes to build up their own military arsenals.

       

       

       

       

      This leadership with the opposition outweighs other factors decreasing credibility

      Smith 1/30/12 (Lee, Fellow -- Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, http://www.defenddemocracy.org/media-hit/the-magazine-lead-from-the-front/)

       

      Last week, Syrian security forces withdrew from

      AND

      its lap and help them finish the job.

       

       

      Loss of Middles East cred destroys US hegemony globally.

      Etzioni ‘11 (Amatai, Professor of Political Science at George Washington University, April, http://icps.gwu.edu/files/ 2011/03/credibility.pdf)

       

      As of the beginning of 2011, these

      AND

      responsibilities and live up to its commitments overseas.

       

       

      Causes multiple nuclear wars.

      Kagan '07 (Robert, Senior associate --

      AND

      )

       

      Were the United States to diminish its influence

      AND

      forceful approach to unruly nations on its periphery.

      Failure of US strategy in Syria causes Russian and Iranian counter movements.

      Michael Young 2/23/12 opinion editor of THE DAILY STAR Washington’s Syria policy is imaginary http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Opinion/Columnist/2012/Feb-23/164290-washingtons-syria-policy-is-imaginary.ashx#axzz1n8KmOyd1

      There are no easy answers in Syria,

      AND

      , who will ultimately shape outcomes in Damascus?

       

      This fuels their expansion globally.

      Puddington ‘11 (Arch, Research Director – Freedom House, Israel Journal of foreign Affairs V : 3, http://israelcfr.com/documents/5-3/5-3-3-ArchPuddington.pdf)

       

      To be effective, this effort must be

      AND

      set back the cause of freedom everywhere else.

      PLAN

      The United States federal government should provide technical support for the democratic opposition to Bashar Al-Assad.

       

      Solvency

       

      The plan is necessary – organizational support is critical to ensuring Assad’s departure , opposing authoritarianism and preventing US draw-in.

      Daniel L. Byman, 2/10/12 Director of Research, Saban Center for Middle East Policy “Can We Help Syria without Making Things Worse?” http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2012/0210_syria_byman.aspx?rssid=saban&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+BrookingsRSS/centers/saban+(Brookings:+Centers+-+Saban+Center+for+Middle+East+Policy)&utm_content=Google+Reader

       

      Too often, U.S. policy

      AND

      , again, triumphs in the Middle East.

       

      Democracy assistance creates a counter-weight to foreign influence – it unifies the Syrian people around democracy.

      Al-Assad ‘11 (Ribal Al-Assad is Director of the Organization for Democracy and Freedom in Syria, 8/1, “The struggle for Syria,” CNN’s Global Public Square Blog, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/10/the-struggle-for-syria/)

       

      As the violence in Syria mounts, the

      AND

      be a force for stability throughout the region.

      The plan is key to solve hardline takeover in Syria – the window of opportunity is closing.

      Nikolas K. Gvosdev 2/3/12 former editor of the National Interest, and a frequent foreign policy commentator in both the print and broadcast media. He is currently on the faculty of the U.S. Naval War College. The views expressed are his own and do not reflect those of the Navy or the U.S. government. Preparing for the 'Day After' in SyriaBy Nikolas Gvosdev | 03 Feb 2012 Column http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/11371/the-realist-prism-preparing-for-the-day-after-in-syria

       

      Now that the United States, France and

      AND

      far, that doesn’t appear to be happening. 

       

      The US has unique expertise and its direct support for oppositional unity—critical for preventing sectarian violence.

      Silverman 12/7/11 (Michael, Lt. Col, author of Awakening Victory: How Iraqi Tribes and American Troops Reclaimed Al Anbar and Defeated Al Qaeda in Iraq “Laissez-faire approach in Libya may not work at all in Syria” 12/7/11, Christian Science Monitor) http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/laissez-faire-approach-libya-may-not-work-all-syria?page=full)

       

      Syria is a different story. It is

      AND

      It must not lose the opportunity in Syria.

      Assistance unifies the opposition—causes defections from the regime.

      Chenoweth 12/10/11 (Erica, Assistant Professor of Government at Wesleyan University, http://rationalinsurgent.wordpress.com/2011/12/10/13-ways-to-support-the-syrian-opposition-right-now/)

       

      Strengthen the opposition’s strategic communication capabilities: Get

      AND

      masses and target the regime with nonviolent sanctions.

       

       

      Choosing to not act is equivocation in the face of massive violence in Syria – this causes fascism and violence

      Hadi Elzayn, 2/13/12 CPR's Middle East correspondent, What Makes A Regime Legitimate? Desert in Bloom Columbia political review http://www.cpreview.org/2012/02/what-makes-a-regime-legitimate/

      Last column, I wrote about the events

      AND

      instead follow their course with dignity and respect.

      The neg’s root cause args wrong and are insulting – Syrians are being slaughtered now, imperialism is not the cause of this violence – we must stand with the opposition.

      Michael Treiger FEBRUARY 13, 2012 Syria: The Uprising That Made Intellectuals Talk To Walls http://dustbowlballads.wordpress.com/2012/02/13/syria-the-uprising-that-made-intellectuals-talk-to-walls/

      In the last paragraph Massad correctly claims that

      AND

      people fighting for a just and civil life.

       

      Supporting the rights of the Syrian people does not necessarily mean allegiance with colonialism or realism- the plan is necessary support for opposition groups.

      AMAL JAMAL 12/19/11 professor at Tel Aviv University and general director of the I’lam media and advocacy center in Nazareth. “Democracy is favorable for right of self-determination”

      12/19/2011 http://www

      AND

      EdContributors/Article.aspx?id=250146

       

       

      The Arab Spring has been a source of

      AND

      on which rests the principle of national rights.

       

       




02/26/12
  • Syria Aff- Frosh/Soph

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Inherency

      US aiding Syria now

      Associated Press 2/25/12 (http://www.hutchnews.com/Todaystop/A1--syria2012-02-24T17-54-52)

       

      In his most forceful words to date on

      AND

      precursor to calling it "the legitimate representative."

      Assad collapse inevitable—now’s key for US support

      James Phillips, Heritage, 2/15/12 (http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/02/next-steps-for-us-in-syria-crisis)

      Syrian President Bashar Assad’s regime, which has

      AND

      a pluralist democracy in post-Assad Syria.

      PLAN

      The United States federal government should provide technical support for the democratic opposition in Syria to Bashar Al-Assad.

      Civil War

      Assad will fall – assistance avoids a violent transition.

      Byman 2/2/12 (Daniel, “Finish Him,” Foreign Policy, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/0ds2/02/finish_him_assad_syria?page=0,0)

       

      As world leaders huddle at the United Nations

      AND

      alternative to tyranny is not freedom but chaos.

      Window for a peaceful transition is closing -- status quo will trigger a region-wide sectarian war.

      Steven Erlanger, New York Times, 2/25/12 (http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/world/middleeast/syrian-conflict-poses-risk-of-regional-strife.html?pagewanted=1&_r=3&ref=todayspaper)

      The Syrian government is in no mood to

      AND

      he fall fast enough that grievances won’t fester?”

      Escalating Syrian civil war spreads sectarian violence to Iraq, Lebanon, and the entire region.

      Watson 2/7/12 (Ivan, CNN's correspondent based in Istanbul, http://security.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/07/threat-of-proxy-war-times-two-in-syria/)

       

      The bloody internal struggle over the future of

      AND

      the opposition Syrian National Council's international relations committee.

      This regional sectarianism escalates and causes US military intervention.

      Jain ’11 (Ash, Visiting fellow, August, “Nuclear Weapons and Iran’s Global Ambitions: Troubling Scenarios.” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/pubPDFs/PolicyFocus114.pdf)

       

      As it looks for plausibly deniable ways to

      AND

      complicated in the face of a nuclear Iran.

      That draws in great powers—causes regional instability and extinction

      Lehmann ’11 (Christof, Psychologist, Political advisor and Consultant, 12/15, (http://pressenza.com/npermalink/the-manufacturing-of-the-war-in-syria)

       

      A military attack on Syria would invariable lead

      AND

      world needs to stand with Syria and Peace.

      Iraq war escalates and causes global draw in.

       

      Ferguson ’06 (Niall, Professor of History at Harvard University and a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Foreign Affairs, September/October, Vol. 85, Issue 5)

       

      What makes the escalating civil war in Iraq

      AND

      , but more likely on Palestine and Mesopotamia.

      Regional war escalates and goes nuclear

      London ‘10 (Herbert, Professor Emeritus of Humanities @ NYU, resident of the Hudson institute, a world-renowned think tank, former dean of the Gallatin School of Individualized Study, member of the Council on Foreign Relations and of the International Institute of Strategic Studies, affiliated professor @ U of Haifa in Israel, and Outstanding Person, 6/23, “Dark War Clouds Loom on Mid-East Horizon”, http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=37630)

       

      The gathering storm in the Middle East is

      AND

      the Iranian leadership looks to with imperial exhilaration.

      Safeguards are gone – nuclear war is likely.

       

      Russell ‘09 (James A. Spring

      AND

      )

       

      Strategic stability in the region is thus undermined

      AND

      , with substantial risk for the entire world.

       

      Cred

      We’re on the brink of losing our leadership role in Syria – direct leadership is key.

      Pletka 11/18/11 (Danielle, Vice president of foreign and defense policy studies at AEI, http://aei.org/article/foreign-and-defense-policy/regional/middle-east-and-north-africa/debate-prep-us-needs-to-lead-from-the-front-on-syria/)

       

      And what of the capital of the free

      AND

      were down, America was all but absent.

      Leading from behind in Syria emboldens adversaries and wrecks US heg globally – engaging the opposition is key.

       

      Gordon ‘11 (Communications consultant to several Washington, D.C.-area think tanks and a retired Navy commander who served in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, 8/20, http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/08/20/libya-syria-show-obama-in-way-over-his-head/)

       

      Developments this week with Libya and Syria show

      AND

      regimes to build up their own military arsenals.

      Syria is the most important test of US credibility -- crucial to our entire Mid East strategy.

       

      Gerecht and Dubowitz '11 (Reuel Marc Gerecht, a former CIA officer, is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and the author of “The Wave: Man, God, and the Ballot Box in the Middle East.” Mark Dubowitz is the executive director of FDD, where he heads projects on sanctions and the use of technology to encourage democratic change, 9/2, http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obama-american-liberator/2011/09/01/gIQA3e5HvJ_story.html)

       

      Libya was not a robust showing of liberal

      AND

      Obama may finally look strategically at Syria.

      Syria will determine the regional balance of power – US support for a peaceful transition overcomes alternate causes.

       

      Ghaidaa Hetou, Doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at Rutgers University, 2/8/12 (http://new-middle-east.blogspot.com/2012/02/envisioning-post-asad-syria-future-of.html)

      A Strategic Hub in Perpetual Transition Geopolitically speaking

      AND

      -Asad Syria on some of the stakeholders.

      Leading from behind is eroding US cred in the Middle East– ensures regional war.

       Hannah 1/9/12 (John, Senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Los Angeles Times)

       

      And yet it would be a serious error

      AND

      accuracy should be a top priority for Obama.

      Loss of Middles East cred destroys US hegemony globally.

      Etzioni ‘11 (Amatai, Professor of Political Science at George Washington University, April, http://icps.gwu.edu/files/ 2011/03/credibility.pdf)

       

      As of the beginning of 2011, these

      AND

      responsibilities and live up to its commitments overseas.

      Hegemonic decline causes multiple nuclear wars.

       

      Kagan '07 (Robert, Senior associate --

      AND

      )

       

      Were the United States to diminish its influence

      AND

      forceful approach to unruly nations on its periphery.

      Leading from behind emboldens Russian, Iranian, and Chinese counter-democratization.

       

      Grygiel 10/3/11 (Jakub J, CEPA Senior Fellow and Associate Professor at SAIS, http://www.cepa.org/ced/view.aspx?record_id=319)

       

      Alas, reality is different. Democratization does

      AND

      the potentially dangerous geopolitical consequences of their actions..

      This fuels their expansion globally.

       

      Puddington ‘11 (Arch, Research Director – Freedom House, Israel Journal of foreign Affairs V : 3, http://israelcfr.com/documents/5-3/5-3-3-ArchPuddington.pdf)

       

      To be effective, this effort must be

      AND

      set back the cause of freedom everywhere else.

      Chinese counter-democratization in Asia causes regional conflicts and collapses Asian multilateralism.

       

      Joshua Kurlantzick, Fellow for Southeast Asia – CFR, 9/24/11 (http://www.cfr.org/china/long-arm-china/p26075)

      For decades, foreign observers and many Chinese

      AND

      and India to promote democracy in their neighborhoods.

      Collapse of Asian multilateralism causes global nuclear war.

       

      S. Rajaratnam, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Singapore, 1992

      (“ASEAN: The Way Ahead,” http://www.aseansec.org/13991.htm)

      Should regionalism collapse, then ASEAN too will

      AND

      be the last war mankind will ever fight.

      Causes great power nuclear war.

       

      C. Dale Walton, Lecturer in International Relations and Strategic Studies at the University of Reading, 2007 (Geopolitics and the Great Powers in the 21st Century, p. 49)

      Obviously, it is of vital importance to

      AND

      is not marked by close great power alliances.

      Russian expansionism causes global nuclear war.

       

      Blank ‘09 (Stephen J., strategic Studies Institute's expert on the Soviet bloc and the post-Soviet world since 1989; former Associate Professor of Soviet Studies at the Center for Aerospace Doctrine, Research, and Education, Maxwell Air Force Base; B.A. in History from the University of Pennsylvania, and a M.A. and Ph.D. in History from the University of Chicago, March. “RUSSIA AND ARMS CONTROL: ARE THERE OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION?”)

       

      Proliferators or nuclear states like China and Russia

      AND

      on their neighbors or their own people.172

      Russian counter-democratization in Central Asia causes instability.

       

      Asmus ‘08 [Ronald, Executive Director of the Transatlantic Center at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, in Brussels, From 1997 to 2000, he served as U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs, “ Europe's Eastern Promise; Rethinking NATO and EU Enlargement,”  Foreign Affairs. New York: Jan/Feb 2008. Vol. 87, Iss. 1; pg. 95]

      In light of these new circumstances in Russia

      AND

      autocratic, nationalist Russia is on the rise.

      Nuclear war.

       

      Blank ‘00 (Stephen J. - Expert on the Soviet Bloc for the Strategic Studies Institute, “American Grand Strategy and the Transcaspian Region”, World Affairs. 9-22)

      Proliferators or nuclear states like China and Russia

      AND

      on their neighbors or their own people.172

      Solvency

      Democracy assistance creates a counter-weight to foreign influence – it unifies the Syrian people around democracy.

      Al-Assad ‘11 (Ribal Al-Assad is Director of the Organization for Democracy and Freedom in Syria, 8/1, “The struggle for Syria,” CNN’s Global Public Square Blog, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/10/the-struggle-for-syria/)

       

      As the violence in Syria mounts, the

      AND

      be a force for stability throughout the region.

      The US has unique expertise and its direct support for oppositional unity—critical for preventing sectarian violence.

      Silverman 12/7/11 (Michael, Lt. Col, author of Awakening Victory: How Iraqi Tribes and American Troops Reclaimed Al Anbar and Defeated Al Qaeda in Iraq “Laissez-faire approach in Libya may not work at all in Syria” 12/7/11, Christian Science Monitor) http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/laissez-faire-approach-libya-may-not-work-all-syria?page=full)

       

      Syria is a different story. It is

      AND

      It must not lose the opportunity in Syria.

      Assistance unifies the opposition—causes defections from the regime.

      Chenoweth 12/10/11 (Erica, Assistant Professor of Government at Wesleyan University, http://rationalinsurgent.wordpress.com/2011/12/10/13-ways-to-support-the-syrian-opposition-right-now/)

       

      Strengthen the opposition’s strategic communication capabilities: Get

      AND

      masses and target the regime with nonviolent sanctions.

      This causes a peaceful transition.

       

      Hannah ‘11 (John, Foundation for defending democracies senior fellow, “Obama and Syria: Courting Disaster”, 5-11, http://www.defenddemocracy.org/about-fdd/team-overview/john-hannah/ >>http://www.defenddemocracy.org/about-fdd/team-overview/john-hannah/,)

       

      Instead, the administration needs quickly to move

      AND

      stand in the first post-Assad elections.

      Only US assistance causes defections.

       

      Brodsky 11/14/11 (Matthew, Director of policy for the Jewish Policy Center, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/nov/04/us-must-ratchet-up-pressure-syria)

       

      Inside Syria, the US and its allies

      AND

      regime and test the limits of its wrath.

       

      Democracy assistance to the Syrian opposition key – it is the most pro-Western alternative in the Mid East now and support now ensures future influence.

       

      Weiss ‘11 (Michael, Director of communications at the Henry Jackson Society, a London-based think tank that promotes democratic geopolitics, “Meet the Syrian Opposition,” http://www.slate.com/id/2296323/pagenum/all/#p2)

       

      There are plenty of geopolitical justifications on offer

      AND

      searching for friends who might someday become allies.

       

       

       

       




03/03/12

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Air Force Amherst Appalachian State Arizona State Army Augustana Bard Baylor Binghamton Bishops Castle Boston College CSU Northridge CSU Sacramento CUNY Cal Berkeley Cal Lutheran Cal Poly SLO Capital Case Western Central Florida Central Oklahoma Chico Clarion Columbia Concordia Cornell Dartmouth Denver Drexel-Swarthmore ENMU East Los Angeles College Eastern Washington Emory Emporia Fayetteville State Florida Florida Int'l Florida State Fordham Fort Hays Fresno State Fullerton Gainesville State George Mason George Washington Georgetown Georgia Georgia State Gonzaga Harvard Houston Idaho State Illinois Illinois State Indiana Iowa James Madison John Carroll Johns Hopkins Johnson County CC KCKCC Kansas Kansas State Kentucky Lafayette Liberty Los Rios Louisiana-Lafayette Louisville Loyola Macalester Marist Mary Washington Mercer Methodist Miami FL Miami OH Michigan Michigan State Minnesota Mission Missouri State NYU Navy New School North Texas Northern Iowa Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Wesleyan Oklahoma Oregon Pepperdine Piedmont Pittsburgh Portland State Princeton Puget Sound Redlands Richmond Rochester Rutgers Samford San Diego State San Francisco State Santa Clara South Florida St Pete Southern Methodist Southwestern Stanford Texas State Texas-Austin Texas-Dallas Texas-San Antonio Texas-Tyler Towson Trinity UCLA UDC-CC UMKC UNLV USC Utah Vanderbilt Vermont Virginia Tech Wake Forest Wayne State Weber West Georgia West Virginia Western Connecticut Whitman Wichita State Wisconsin Oshkosh Wyoming


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