T
A. Interpretation – Democracy assistance is aid for which the primary purpose, is to foster democracy.
Richard Stephen Lappin 2010 POST-CONFLICT DEMOCRACY ASSISTANCE: A STATE OF THE ART The Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies http://soc.kuleuven.be/web/files/9/51/Vol85.pdf
Beginning with imprecise democracy assistance data, the
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therefore include economic and social aid programmes.’174
JSD is post conflict rebuilding
Rausch 2011 Justice and Security Dialogue: A New Tool for Peacebuilders | On the Issues by Colette Rausch June 22, 2011 http://www.usip.org/publications/justice-and-security-dialogue-new-tool-peacebuilders
Simply put, Justice and Security Dialogue (
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the police as an institution can best reform.
Violation – the aff is an instance of post conflict restructuring not of democracy assistance
1. Limits – nearly anything can be argued to “assist” democracy there’s no limit on aff mechanisms that can boost democracy, the Lappin evidence provides support for this distinction.
Limiting democracy to political variables is a key brightline for democracy assistance
Burnell, prof of politics, University of Warwick, 2k (Democracy Assistance: International Co-operation for Democratization, Frank Cass publishers p.12)
All things considered, it follows that democracy
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provides conflicting answers to questions such as these.
Topicality is a Voting Issue for reasons of fairness and ground -
1NC
The aff constructs a scarecrow threat of political Islamic groups as part of a strategy for American control– the “Islamic threat” leads to the support of antidemocratic oppressive regimes and kills their agency
Mohammed Abu-Nimer 2011 (International Peace and Conflict Resolution Program @ American Univ, "The Arab world geographer," Vol 14 No 2, pg. 153-159)
For decades, authoritarian Arab regimes and dictators
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Christian protestors who protected each other while praying.
The impact outweighs and turns the case – Orientalist understandings of the world guarantee extinction
Bilgin, ‘5 (Assistant Prof of International Relations at Bilkent University, Regional Security in the Middle East, p. 164-5)
Thinking about the future from a critical
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in perpetuating regional insecurity in the Middle East.
Vote negative to return the gift of security—refusing to constitute a series of threats by voting negative defetishizes security and makes imagining a new world possible
Neocleous, prof. of critique of political economy @ Brunei University, 2008 p. 185-186
(Mark, Critique of Security)
The only way out of such a dilemma
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be brave enough to return the gift.143
DA
SKFTA will pass now – proper deals are tentatively in place
Yonhap News Agency, 9/15/11, “Geithner 'more confident' about ratification of FTAs” http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2011/09/15/13/0301000000AEN20110915000100315F.HTML
U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner
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Korea, Colombia and Panama," he said.
The plan is profoundly unpopular – people freak out at nation building aid.
National Journal 9/7/11 http://www.nationaljournal.com/state-department-will-name-taylor-to-lead-aid-efforts-in-libya-and-egypt-20110907
In part, the modest U.S
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amounts of aid money for Tunisia as well.
Obama leverage is needed to pass the FTAs in order to make sure they don’t fall through the cracks.
Inside US Trade 8/18/11 http://insidetrade.com/Inside-US-Trade/Inside-U.S.-Trade-08/19/2011/with-fta-path-forward-still-unclear-quick-action-needed-in-the-fall/menu-id-710.html
If Congress and the White House are to
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"fall through the cracks" in September.
D. Impact - Failure to ratify SKFTA crushes the alliance and US leadership in Asia.
Knowlede at Wharton 1/12 (University of Pennsylvania newspaper, http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2671)
What's more, the fate of the pact
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President has put his reputation on the line."
Alliance is critical to Prevent Korean war.
Pritchard et al, 09 – President of the Korea Economic Institute (Charles L, 6/16. With John H. Tilelli Jr., Chairman and CEO, Cypress International, and Scott A. Snyder, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Korea Studies, CFR. “A New Chapter for U.S.-South Korea Alliance.” Council on Foreign Relations. http://www.cfr.org/publication/19635/new_chapter_for_ussouth_korea_alliance.html)
While all eyes have been trained on North
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persuade China to put pressure on North Korea.
Korean conflict Goes nuclear and triggers every impact.
Hayes and Green, 10 - *Victoria University AND **Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute (Peter and Michael, “-“The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia”, 1/5,
http://www.nautilus.org/fora/security/10001HayesHamalGreen.pdf)
The consequences of failing to address the proliferation
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that warrants priority consideration from the international community.
CP
Text: The European Union should conduct a Justice and Security Dialogue between Libyan government officials, Libyan rebel fighters, police forces employed under the previous Libyan regime, Libyan civil society leaders, and Libyan citizens.
Institutionalized and more local involvement – less stringent financial requirements
Huber, Dept. IR, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, 2008 (Daniela, "Democracy Assistance in the Middle East and North Africa: A Comparison of US and EU Policies," Mediterranean Politics, Vol. 13, No.1, 43-62, March 2008)
Quite remarkable is that the EU' s EMP
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to an increasing work with local grantees. 14
NT
US won’t lash-out – domestic response only
Bremmer ‘4 (President -- Eurasia Group, http://www.newstatesman.com/200409130005)
What would happen if there were a new
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support it enjoyed for the invasion of Afghanistan.
Al Qaeda wrecked now, WMD terrorism is impossible, and all of your evidence is empirically disproven scare-mongering.
Mueller, 8-2-11 (Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies, Mershon Center
Professor of Political Science, Foreign Affairs)
The chief lesson of 9/11 should
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the future. No elephants there, either.
Second Adv
( ) NATO is weak and its collapse is inevitable
Cloud 6/11/11 – Staff Writer
(David S., “Gates calls NATO weak” http://www.sentinelsource.com/news/national_world/gates-calls-nato-weak/article_a1d8b246-df69-52b5-9367-0cb000c3c071.html)
BRUSSELS — Outgoing Defense Secretary Robert M.
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boost defense spending and strengthen their armed forces.
( ) Libya proves NATO is a paper tiger and is no longer useful
Bonavita 6/13/11- the editor and publisher of McLean Publishing Co.
(Denny, June 13, 2011, “Lesson from Libya: NATO becoming useless paper tiger, siphoning precious U.S. dollars” http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/courierexpresscourierexpressouropinion/922420-349/lesson-from-libya-nato-becoming-useless-paper.html)
So what have we learned from the American
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out of South Korea, Japan and Germany.
( ) Structural defects make NATO failure inevitable
Stewart and Williams ‘7 (Rory, chief exec of the Turquoise Mountain Foundation in Kabul and Dr. Michael, head of the transatlantic program at the Royal United Services Institute, “UK Operations in Afghanistan,” House of Commons Defense Committee, Thirteenth Report of Sessions 2006-7, 7-18, http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200607/cmselect/cmdfence/408/408.pdf)
Mr Stewart: One of the problems with
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be done by NGOs, very much so.
( ) Nato useless.
Kaplan ‘5
(Robert D. Kaplan “How We Would Fight China” The Atlantic Monthly, June http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2005/06/how-we-would-fight-china/3959/)
The first thing to understand is that the
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major-league U.S. military.
( ) No China War –
A. No incentive.
Bremmer, 10 – president of Eurasia Group and author (Ian Bremmer, “China vs. America: Fight of the Century,” Prospect, March 22, 2010, http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/2010/03/china-vs-america-fight-of-the-century/)
China will not mount a military challenge to
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by offering Taiwan’s business elite privileged investment opportunities.
B. No war in ANY dispute.
Fravel ‘8 (Taylor, poli sci prof and member of the Security Studies Program at MIT, “Power Shifts and Escalation,” International Security, Winter, lexis)
The prospects for China's use of force in
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its claim and the outcome of any negotiations.
( ) No impact to China war –
A. War would be limited.
Jeffrey Record, Professor at the US Air War College, Senior Fellow at CISP, Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis at Brookings, Winter, ’1 (Thinking About China and War. Aerospace Power Journal. Infotrac)
Assuming the absence of mindless escalation to a
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ground would have been untenable without air dominance.)
B. US would ruckus them – no nuclear use.
Robert S. Ross, Staff Writer for the National Interest, Fall, 05 (Assessing the China Threat. The National Interest. Lexis)
At the strategic level, after decades of
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for our European allies during the Cold War.
( ) Prolif inevitable
A. Conventional Weapons.
Gerson and Boyars ‘7 (Michael Gerson is a specialist in military strategy, nuclear deterrence, arms control, and WMD proliferation, is a member of CNA’s Center for Strategic Studies. and Jacob Boyars is an intern in CNA’s Center for Strategic Studies “The Future of U.S. Deterrence: Constructing Effective Strategies to Deter States and Non-State Actors” CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES 18 September 2007 http://www.cna.org/documents/D0017171. AT.pdf)
In today’s threat environment, however, it
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possible deterrent against U.S. power.
B. Regional concerns.
Blechman ‘9 (Barry. co-founder of the Henry L. Stimson Center and a Stimson Distinguished Fellow. Don’t Reduce the US Nuclear Arsenal Unilaterally: We Need Levers to Move the World Toward Disarmament 1/21/9. http://www.stimson.org/pub.cfm?id=734.)
Nor would a unilateral reduction help the US
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to deter American involvement in a regional crisis.
( ) Prolif Not Cause War –
A. History supports.
Tepperman ‘9 (Jonathan Tepperman a journalist based in New York City. “Why Obama should learn to love the bomb” Newsweek Nov 9, 2009 http://jonathantepperman.com/Welcome_files/nukes_Final.pdf)
A growing and compelling body of research suggests
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the two sides have never fought another war.
B. So does the best statistical evidence.
Asal and Beardsley ‘7 (Victor Asal Department of Political Science, State University of New York, Albany and Kyle Beardsley Department of Political Science, Emory University “Proliferation and International Crisis Behavior” Journal of Peace Research 2007; 44; 139)
As Model 1 in Table IV illustrates,
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of nuclear powers involved in the conflict increases.
No war – States have an incentive to avoid it.
Zakaria 08 (Fareed Zakaria, editor of Newsweek International, 2008, The Post-American World, p. 244)
In certain areas – the South China Sea
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work-arounds might be just as effective.
( ) Heg inevitable.
Goldberg 11 ( January 28 2011 “America's China Syndrome” AEIPPR American Enterprise Institute For Public Policy Research http://www.aei.org/article/103022)
It's true that from the early 1990s until
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new normal looks a lot like the old normal
Solvency
The transition will be peaceful – NTC leadership
The Economist, 8/27/11 ("Good Intentions, Fragile legitimacy," http://www.economist.com/node/21526958)
The NTC was quickly able to call upon
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himself for his years of serving the regime.
Aff doesn’t solve security – necessary for democracy
Goldstone, prof of public policy, George Mason University, 8/24/11(Jack, "Does Libya Mark a New Era in US Foreign Policy? Or will we screw up an easy victory again?" http://newpopulationbomb.wordpress.com/2011/08/24/does-libya-mark-a-new-era-in-us-foreign-policy-or-will-we-screw-up-an-easy-victory-again/)
In both countries, the US ignored the
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installations need professional security forces to keep order.
Aff doesn’t solve – development assistance isn’t T
Goldstone, prof of public policy, George Mason University, 8/24/11(Jack, "Does Libya Mark a New Era in US Foreign Policy? Or will we screw up an easy victory again?" http://newpopulationbomb.wordpress.com/2011/08/24/does-libya-mark-a-new-era-in-us-foreign-policy-or-will-we-screw-up-an-easy-victory-again/)
And yes, the US also ignored the
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animosity will also rise toward any successor regime.
Aid workers are perceived as western imperialists increasing support for terrorism and turning solvency
Telegraph 8/21/11 (General Lord Dannatt, "Libya: We must learn the lessons of Iraq," http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/libya/8714150/Libya-We-must-learn-the-lessons-of-Iraq.html)
Although costly in both blood and treasure the
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on the ground being filled by Libyan feet.