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AJA DA
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 1,3,6 | Opponent: | Judge:
1NC Jobs Act will pass now, but it’s close – Obama’s polcap key to overcome residual opposition
Tierney Sneed, US News contributor, 9/12 (Will Congress pass Obama's jobs bill?, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/articles/2011/09/12/will-congress-pass-obamas-jobs-bill)
Thursday evening, President Obama spoke to … Leader Eric Cantor in response to Thursday's speech. Expanding democracy assistance drains Obama’s capital
Carol Lancaster June 2008 (George Bush's Foreign Aid: Transformation or Chaos? Chapter 2, online)
No matter how much need there … in key places willing to drive a change.8 Key to growth – failure collapses the economy
Mark Whitehouse, Bloomberg contributor, 9/9 (Obama jobs plan packs a punch: the ticker, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-09/obama-jobs-plan-packs-a-punch-the-ticker.html)
The American Jobs Act, if enacted… legislators decide, they will own the result. Global nuclear war
Friedberg & Schoenfeld 2008 [Aaron, professor of politics and international relations at Princeton University's Woodrow Wilson School, Gabriel, Visiting Scholar @ Witherspoon Institute, The Dangers of a Diminished America, WSJ, 10/21, Proquest]
Protectionist sentiments are sure … internal travails with external adventures.
| 09/18/11 |
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Public Diplomacy CP
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Michigan State HS | Judge: Stephanie Spies
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1NC Text: The United States federal government should establish the USA-World trust, institute reforms to increase interagency cooperation and streamlining for public diplomacy, establish interagency commands for reconstruction and development and appoint a Deputy National Security Advisor for Outreach. Solves credibility
LORD 2008 (Kristin, Fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program and Saban Center’s Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World at the Brookings Institution, former Associate Dean for Strategy, Research, and External Relations at The George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs, “Voices of America : U.S. Public Diplomacy for the 21st Century,” November, http://www.brookings.edu/reports/2008/~/media/Files/rc/reports/2008/11_public_diplomacy_lord/11_public_diplomacy_lord.pdf)
In hundreds of conversations with experts and practitioners … the official position of the United States government overseas. 1NR Public diplomacy can sway foreign publics to overcome backlash to specific policies
LORD 2008 (Kristin, Fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program and Saban Center’s Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World at the Brookings Institution, former Associate Dean for Strategy, Research, and External Relations at The George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs, “Voices of America : U.S. Public Diplomacy for the 21st Century,” November, http://www.brookings.edu/reports/2008/~/media/Files/rc/reports/2008/11_public_diplomacy_lord/11_public_diplomacy_lord.pdf)
This vision does not ignore the long history … facilitating the achievement of common goals.
| 09/18/11 |
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Risk K
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Michigan HS | Judge: Stephanie Spies
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1NC Current policy analysis regarding the Middle East and North Africa uses the false logic that IR is like a casino game, where we can know everything about the system and manipulate our odds. The idea that we can manipulate the risks in the Middle East lead us to take actions that only exacerbate problems, turning case.
Mark Blyth, Professor of International Political Economy in the Department of Political Science at Brown University and a Faculty Fellow at Brown's Watson Institute for International Studies, and Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at Polytechnic Institute of NYU, “The Black Swan of Cairo,” Foreign Affairs, April 2011, p. CIAO.
THE ERROR OF PREDICTION As with a crumbling … humans remain unable to process what they mean. As a consequence of this uncertainty, our attempts to relegate everything to knowable data and exclude everything outside of the easily quantifiable have become an attempt to control and manipulate reality and exert power over the unknowable.
Krzysztof Ziarek, “A New Economy of Relations,” RETURNING TO IRIGARAY, Maria Cimitile & Elaine Miller, eds, 2007, p. 53-56.
Etymologically, the word "economy" describes … as a kind of an information code or a computer program. This attempt to master reality through a politics of counting and indexing eliminates the role of the individual, destroys value to life, and leads to the zero point of holocaust.
Michael Dillon, Professor of Politics at the University of Lancaster. "Another Justice," Political Theory, v. 27 n. 2, 1999, p. 164-165.
Quite the reverse. (Me subject was never a firm … to the lack constitutive of the human way of being. The alternative is to reject the plan to embrace threats as they come. The injection of risk discourse into society has altered the way we view threats – reacting to threats as they appear to us is the best course of action.
Olaf Corry, PhD, affiliated lecturer, Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Cambridge, Securitzation and 'Riskization': Two Grammars of Security, 2010, http://stockholm.sgir.eu/uploads/Risk%20society%20and%20securitization%20theory%20SGIR%20paper.pdf
Securitization theory sought to offer a framework for tackling … security originally nursed in domestic regulation and insurance practices (Petersen 2007).
| 09/18/11 |
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Condition Aid CP
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 3, 6 | Opponent: | Judge:
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1NC It solves the whole case and the advantages-absent conditioned military aid Egyptian generals will reject the plan
David A. Super, a law professor at Georgetown University, is active in Voices for a Democratic Egypt, 23 August 2011 (Time for the U.S. to use its influence in Egypt)
Americans like to think of revolutions as simple one-act plays … democracy in the heart of the Arab world. And, nothing can be done in Egypt without the military’s explicit approval-they have both the logistical and financial means to do the plan if pushed
Ellis Goldberg, Foreign Affairs contributor, 11 February 2011 (Mubarakism Without Mubarak, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67416/ellis-goldberg/mubarakism-without-mubarak?page=2)
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak gave into the demands … somewhat austere military authoritarianism of decades past.
| 09/18/11 |
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A2: Egypt Adv
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Michigan HS | Judge: Stephanie Spies
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1NC The military is in fierce control now-new emergency laws
Guardian 9/16 (Egyptians rally in Tahrir Square against return of emergency laws, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/sep/16/egyptians-rally-tahrir-square-laws)
The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), which … back to the bad old days." MB will lose now-internal divisions fracture the party
Dr. Mohammed Zahid is an academic in Middle East politics, with a special focus on North Africa and Islamic movements. He has published widely in peer reviewed journals and provided consultation to a a number of governmental bodies and private institutions, 9/17 (The Muslim Brotherhood in the Post-Mubarak Era, www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2011/09/17/the-muslim-brotherhood-in-the-post-mubarak-era/)
The Muslim Brotherhood (MB) is facing numerous … political party to rival the movement. Embracing the Brotherhood just causes its takeover – otherwise the military will check them
Phillips 11 (James Phillips, Senior Research Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs, analyst for the Heritage Foundation, “Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood Lurks as a Long-Term Threat to Freedom,” 2/8/11, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/02/egypts-muslim-brotherhood-lurks-as-a-long-term-threat-to-freedom)
To limit the Muslim Brotherhood’s ability to … a vital role as a bulwark against Islamism. 1NR Democracy assistance hurts Egyptian relations
Allen 11 6/14 (Michael Allen, “Egyptian officials attack democracy assistance, as NGOs challenge ‘troubling’ transition,” 6/14/11) http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/06/egyptian-officials-attack-democracy-assistance-as-ngos-challenge-troubling-transition/print/
The Egyptian authorities are reportedly incensed [1] that democracy…we can take care of ourselves,” another said. Cooperation between the bros and military now – balance now
Dr. Mohammed Zahid is an academic in Middle East politics, with a special focus on North Africa and Islamic movements. He has published widely in peer reviewed journals and provided consultation to a a number of governmental bodies and private institutions, 9/17 (The Muslim Brotherhood in the Post-Mubarak Era, www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2011/09/17/the-muslim-brotherhood-in-the-post-mubarak-era/)
The movement and the Egyptian military have had a history … not sidelined the movement in a new Egypt. Democracy assistance causes Muslim Brotherhood takeover – backlash to US
Carpenter 11 (Ted Galen Carpenter, vice president for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute, “What Should U.S. Do about Egypt? Very Little,” 2/11/11, http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=12780)
U.S. policymakers understandably want to see secular, democratic … low-profile role during these turbulent days.
| 09/18/11 |
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A2: Credibility Adv
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Michigan HS | Judge: Stephanie Spies
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1NC Their Asali impact is massively power-tagged – it says an extremist MIGHT commit a nuclear or bioterrist attack, not global nuclear/biological war – it says it will kill a couple thousand – not existential Low-risk of super terrorism (limited capabilities, inevitable mistakes, and conservative tactics)
Michael Levi, fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, January/February, 2008, Stopping Nuclear Terrorism, Foreign Affairs, p. lexis
WHEN STRATEGIES for preventing nuclear terrorism rely … those measures might theoretically be evaded. No oil shocks – structural changes to importing economies
Leonardo Maugeri Group Senior Vice President at ENI The Age of Oil: The Mythology, History and Future of the World’s Most Controversial Resource Westport: Praeger 2006. Pg. 262-263
Actually, all the great oil producers have … or investments in new oil-producing areas.
| 09/18/11 |
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Turkey CP
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Wake GC | Judge:
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The counterplan solves best—the US model is bankrupt and crowds out Turkish regional leadership
BAROUD 2011 (Ramzy, internationally syndicated journalist, “Arabs Should Follow Turkish Model,” Gulf News, June 22, http://gulfnews.com/opinions/columnists/arabs-should-follow-turkish-model-1.824859)
The third consecutive victory of Turkey’s … to serve their specific political agendas and military ambitions. Turkish leadership is key to peace, stability, and democracy in the Middle East—it also causes EU accession
DJAVADI 2009 (Abbas, associate director of broadcasting at Radio Free Europe, “Turkish Involvement Could Stimulate Middle East Development,” RFE/RL, March 17, http://www.rferl.org/content/Turkish_Involvement_Could_Stimulate_Middle_East_Development/1511616.html)
Turkish efforts over the last two years to mediate … preoccupied with immediate concerns closer to home. Turkish EU accession is key to prevent war in Europe
AKARCALI 2005 (Motherland Party (ANAP) Deputy Chairman Bulent Akarcali, “Cyprus PIO: Turkish Press and Other Media,” 2-3-2005, http://www.hri.org/news/cyprus/tcpr/2002/02-03-05.tcpr.html)
Answer: The EU should be aware that Turkey is very sincere on these issues … focusing on details, it would turn its back on Turkey. Global nuke war
GLASER 1993 (Charles, Professor at the University of Chicago, International Security, Summer)
However, although the lack of an imminent Soviet threat … unconcerned about Europe’s future.
| 09/18/11 |
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A2: Yemen Terror Adv
- Tournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Wake GC | Judge:
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The US exploits the power vacuum to ramp up airstrikes—and the opposition would allow them to continue anyway
Mazzetti ‘11
(Mark, Pulitzer Prize winning correspondent for New York Times, “U.S. Is Intensifying a Secret Campaign of Yemen Airstrikes,”6-8, NYT, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/09/world/middleeast/09intel.html) The Obama administration has intensified the American … who wins the power struggle in Sana. Opposition leaders’ perception of Saudi motivations prevent democratization
KNICKMEYER ‘11
(Ellen, former Washington Post Middle East bureau chief and Associated Press Africa bureau chief, “Trouble Down South,” 7-5, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/07/05/trouble_down_south?page=0,3) Saleh himself likewise governed through …Yemen's not quite ready for, Carvajal noted. US WON’T OVERREACT TO NUCLEAR TERRORISM
Hank C. Jenkins-Smith 4, PhD. Professor at the George H.W. Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University and Kerry G. Herron, Ph.D. Research Scientist at George H.W. Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University, Fall 2004
Our final contrasting set of expectations relate to … in military retaliation moderated significantly over the following year. AL QAEDA FAILS AT ACQUIRING NUKES
Kapur ‘8 [S. Paul – Assoc Prof in Dept of Strategic Research at the US Naval War College. “Nuclear Terrorism,” in The Long
Shadow: Nuclear Weapons and Security in 21st Century Asia. Ed. Muthiah Alagappa. p. 340]
Despite these advantages, a number of the group's … nuclear weapons in the future (Bergen 2006: 349; Jenkins 2002: 11-12). NO NUCLEAR TERRORISM - CAN’T GET A BOMB
A. STATES WONT TRANSFER NUKES – NO INCENTIVE AND FEAR RETALIATION
Frost ’5 [Robin Frost, political science at Simon Fraser University, December, 2005, Nuclear Terrorism After 9/11, Adelphi Papers]
With regard to the first point, it is sometimes speculated … Manhattan or Washington and crippled the national and global economies?
B. TOO EXPENSIVE TO BUY OR BUILD THEM
John Mueller, department of political science at Ohio State University, 1/1/2008, The Atomic Terrorist, p. http://polisci.osu.edu/faculty/jmueller/APSACHGO.PDF
Assessing the financial costs. The discussion so far has neglected .... arrest the atomic plot and to capture or kill the scheming perpetrators. NO BIOTERROR – NO TERRORIST-RUN LABS, NO STATE PROLIF, NO ACCESS TO MATERIALS
Leitenberg ‘9 (Milton, Senior Research Scholar @ Center for International and Security Studies @ Maryland U. since 1989, 1968, Leitenberg first American recruited to work at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Affiliated with Swedish Institute of International Affairs and the Center for International Studies Peace Program @ Cornell U., his first paper dealing biological weapons was published in 1967. At SIPRI, he was a member of the team that produced the six-volume study, The Problem of Chemical and Biological Warfare, published between 1971 and 1973. Since 1992, he has published thirty papers in the area of biological weapons, 10/27/09, “The Threat of Bioterrorism, Real and Imagined,” World Politics Review, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/article.aspx?id=4498 bb)
As for assistance from state-run BW programs to … those interested in keeping the level of government funding for biodefense high. NO MOTIVATION – TERRORISTS HAVE THE CAPABILITY BUT DON’T PREFER CYBERTERROR
Joshua Green, editor of Washington Monthly, November, 2002, The Myth of Cyberterrorism, Washington Monthly, p. http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/0211.green.html#byline
Despite all the media alarm about terrorists poised … deadlier, to strike the old-fashioned way.
| 09/18/11 |
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Case vs. Wake LQ
- Tournament: USC | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Case – Terrorism US WON’T OVERREACT TO NUCLEAR TERRORISM Hank C. Jenkins-Smith 4, PhD. Professor at the George H.W. Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University and Kerry G. Herron, Ph.D. Research Scientist at George H.W. Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University, Fall 2004 Our final contrasting set of expectations … moderated significantly over the following year. Nuclear power causes warming – this is YOUR 1ac author. Lendman 11 – Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (Stephen, 03/ 13, “Nuclear Meltdown in Japan,” http://www.thepeoplesvoice.org/TPV3/Voices.php/2011/03/13/nuclear-meltdown-in-japan) Nuclear Power: A Technology from Hell… useful life require large amounts of energy. Case – Navy US power high – energy revolution, re-inshoring creating growth, Euro crisis, universities, and demographics Evans-Pritchard ’11, Ambrose, International Business Editor, The Telegraph, 10/23/11 (“World power swings back to America,” http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/8844646/World-power-swings-back-to-America.html) Assumptions that the Great Republic must … The 21st Century may be American after all, just like the last. Budgetary constraints limit US naval power WHITENECK 2010 (Daniel Whiteneck • Michael Price • Neil Jenkins •Peter Swartz, CNA Analysis & Solutions, “The Navy at a Tipping Point: Maritime Dominance at Stake?” March, http://www.public.navy.mil/usff/documents/navy_at_tipping_point.pdf) Within the United States, the Navy’s options … to support a larger fleet. Naval decline is inevitable—lack of public support GOURÉ 2005 (Dr. Daniel Gouré is vice president of the Lexington Institute, a defense-policy “think tank.” Prior to joining Lexington, he was the deputy director of the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, in Washington, D.C., “The Tyranny of Forward Presence,” Naval Power in the Twenty-first Century A Naval War College Review Reader) The future of forward presence, then, …bang for their presence buck.” Forward presence will cripple the Navy—large distances and limited budgets produce fatal strain GOURÉ 2005 (Dr. Daniel Gouré is vice president of the Lexington Institute, a defense-policy “think tank.” Prior to joining Lexington, he was the deputy director of the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, in Washington, D.C., “The Tyranny of Forward Presence,” Naval Power in the Twenty-first Century A Naval War College Review Reader) All naval forces are subject to the terrible tyranny of distance. … to rethink the whole proposition. Forward presence lures the US into coastal waters where we have no advantage—that invites attacks and undermines overall naval power GOURÉ 2005 (Dr. Daniel Gouré is vice president of the Lexington Institute, a defense-policy “think tank.” Prior to joining Lexington, he was the deputy director of the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, in Washington, D.C., “The Tyranny of Forward Presence,” Naval Power in the Twenty-first Century A Naval War College Review Reader) Budgetary strictures also constrain the fielding of the advanced …. foolhardy for the Navy to sail into that trap.
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| 01/03/12 |
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Unemployment Benefits DA
- Tournament: USC | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Year long unemployment insurance extension will pass-insider optimism, momentum from two month extension, and Obama push Voice of America news service 12/31 (Obama Hopeful about 2012, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/Obama-Hopeful-about-New-Year-136473603.html) President Barack Obama says he is hopeful … throughout his 2012 re-election campaign. Expanding democracy assistance drains Obama’s capital Carol Lancaster June 2008 (George Bush's Foreign Aid: Transformation or Chaos? Chapter 2, online) No matter how much need there has … political leaders in key places willing to drive a change.8 Political capital is key-prior wins don’t translate into future wins, only a sustained and focused push can get it done Allister Bull and Caren Boha, Gulf News correspondents, 12/27 (Obama: hero of the middle class? http://gulfnews.com/business/opinion/obama-hero-of-the-middle-class-1.957304) For US President Barack Obama, it was a political … into the pockets of American households in 2012. It’s key to the economy-failure to extend for a full year collapses recovery and future growth NPR 12/22 (What's the economic impact if the tax break dies? http://www.npr.org/2011/12/22/144072081/whats-the-economic-impact-if-the-tax-break-dies) For the full year, the average household — making … and consumer spending," the firm concluded. Global nuclear war Friedberg & Schoenfeld 2008 [Aaron, professor of politics and international relations at Princeton University's Woodrow Wilson School, Gabriel, Visiting Scholar @ Witherspoon Institute, The Dangers of a Diminished America, WSJ, 10/21, Proquest] Protectionist sentiments are sure to … divert attention from internal travails with external adventures.
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| 01/08/12 |
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Saudi Relations DA
- Tournament: USC | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
The Saudis fear democratic progress in Yemen and want to manage the transition themselves – the US is leaving the situation alone Reuters 11 (6/18, Analysis: Yemen crisis puts Saudi in powerbroker's bind," http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/18/us-saudi-yemen-idUSTRE75H16T20110618 Fearing both civil war and sweeping political … Saudis. "I don't think the U.S. has a policy on Yemen," Pushing for democratic reform in Yemen will spark a Saudi backlash that effectively blocks any change Democracy Digest 11 (6/6, Saudi Arabia: countervailing power or ‘midwives of change’ in Yemen?, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/06/saudi-arabia-countervailing-power-or-midwives-of-change-in-yemen/ With Yemen finely poised between … Yemen expert at the University of Sydney. Collapse of U.S.-Saudi relations causes Saudi proliferation – multiple reasons Lippman 11 (Thomas, senior adjunct scholar at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington, “Saudi Arabia’s Nuclear Policy,” August 5, 2011, http://www.susris.com/2011/08/05/saudi-arabia%E2%80%99s-nuclear-policy-lippman/) So let us suppose that Saudi Arabia’s currently testy … delivery systems would appear logical and even necessary.” Saudi prolif leads to global nuclear war Edelman et al 11 (Eric S. Edelman, Distinguished Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments and former U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Andrew F. Krepinevich, President of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, and Evan Braden Montgomery, Research Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, “The Dangers of a Nuclear Iran,” January/February 2011, http://www.csbaonline.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/2010.12.27-The-Dangers-of-a-Nuclear-Iran.pdf) There is, however, at least one state that … Middle East could lead to a new Great Game, with unpredictable consequences.
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| 01/08/12 |
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Round Reports
- Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
USC Rd 1 vs Wake LQ - Yemen Police 1NC: Unemployment Benefits DA Public Diplomacy CP Risk Assessment K Saudi Relations DA Case D 2NR: Risk Assessment K USC Rd 3 vs Wake MM - Yemen Police 1NC: T - Police isn't Democracy Assistance Risk Assessment K Case D 2NR: Risk Assessment K USC Rd 6 vs CSUF AS - Queer Theory/Performance 1NC: FW Cap K Arendt K Case D 2NR: Arendt K CSUF Rd 2 vs UMW MM - Tunisia 1NC: Unemployment Benefits DA EU CP Assistance Ideology K Case - Democracy Bad, ME War Good 2NR: Assistance Ideology K CSUF Rd 4 vs Texas GM - Gender 1NC: T - Must be Material Assistance Ideology K Turkey CP Unemployment Benefits DA 2NR: Assistance Ideology K CSUF Rd 5 vs Emory MR - Syria 1NC: Turkey CP Unemployment Benefits DA Risk Assessment K 2NR: Unemployment Benefits DA, Case
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| 01/08/12 |
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Military Energy DA
- Tournament: Texas | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Military clean energy is the top of the docket and will pass National Journal 2/10 (White House Budget to Expand Clean-Energy Programs Through Pentagon, http://www.nationaljournal.com/2013-budget/white-house-budget-to-expand-clean-energy-programs-through-pentagon-20120210?page=1) The White House believes it has figured out … payoff on the investment,” Kingston said. Plan drains Obama’s PC Carol Lancaster June 2008 (George Bush's Foreign Aid: Transformation or Chaos? Chapter 2, online) No matter how much need there has … key places willing to drive a change.8 PC key Pheobe Draper, Brown Herald staff writer, 2/10 (http://www.browndailyherald.com/undergrad-finds-trend-in-climate-rhetoric-1.2698681#.Tza2qVF9nww) Obama's change in rhetoric is an adaptation to…energy production isn't quite so much." Key to heg Ray Mabus, Secretary of the Navy, 3/2/2011. http://www.navy.mil/navydata/people/secnav/Mabus/Speech/ARPAe02Mar11.pdf To use your director’s own words, “Our dependence …critical for the success of these ships. Solves global superpower conflict Khalilzad 2011, US ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and UN under Bush Jr.; Dir, Policy Planning, Dept of Defense, 1990-2; analyst, RAND Corporation, (“The Economy and National Security,” Nat’l Review Online, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/259024/economy-and-national-security-zalmay-khalilzad?page=1) We face this domestic challenge while other… emboldened to make aggressive moves in their regions.
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| 01/09/12 |
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| 02/16/12 |
