Text: The United States Federal Government should provide support to the Republic of Turkey for the political organization and capacity of the Syria National Council.

1AC—Stability

Assad collapse is inevitable – there’s nothing left he can do

Olmert 3-15 (Dr. Josef, Adjunct Professor at the University of South Calrolina, "Syria, a Year Later," www.huffingtonpost.com/dr-josef-olmert/syria-uprising-anniversary_b_1347437.html)

The Alawite special forces and …the second anniversary to the uprising...

Aid now – it’s a marked alignment with the Syrian opposition

Bloomberg News 3-7 ("Syria opposition to receive direct US aid," San Francisco Chronicle, www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2012/03/06/MNBT1NGOI2.DTL)

The Obama administration is moving to ..of the Syrian opposition.

Intervention in Syria is inevitable – US action now is key to make sure that the exit is peaceful

Birnbaum 1-2 (Ben, "Opposition leader: Most Syrians want foreign military intervention," Washington Times, www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/2/opposition-leader-syrians-foreign-military-action/)

A Syrian opposition leader says most …might not be an option anymore.”

Only support to the SNC through Turkey ensures a soft landing that prevents escalation throughout the Middle East

Ben-Meir 11-22 (Alon, Senior Fellow at NYU's Center for Global Affairs, "Assad's Demise, Iranian Shadows," Huffington Post, www.huffingtonpost.com/alon-benmeir/assads-demise-iranian-sha_b_1107638.html)

Unlike any other Arab country, ..option it considered against Qaddafi's Libya.

The status quo is a stalemate – ensures civil war – only a successful SNC ensures a soft landing

Maalouf and Torbey 12-16 (Marwan and Khattar, Human Rights Lawyer Focusing on the Rule of Law and Political Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa, International Lawyer and PhD candidate in Regional Integration in the Middle East at Kansas, "Breaking the Stalemate in Syria," Project on Middle East Democracy, pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/POMED-Policy-Brief_Maalouf.pdf)

During this time, Syria’s ..push for a transfer of power.

Specifically, the SNC is perceived as sectarian – alienates support

Maalouf and Torbey 12-16 (Marwan and Khattar, Human Rights Lawyer Focusing on the Rule of Law and Political Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa, International Lawyer and PhD candidate in Regional Integration in the Middle East at Kansas, "Breaking the Stalemate in Syria," Project on Middle East Democracy, pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/POMED-Policy-Brief_Maalouf.pdf)

The Syrian National Council (…protest movement inside Syria.

Democracy assistance peels support away from Assad – enables an orderly transition

Karlin and Tabler 11 (Mara and Andrew, Levant Director at the Pentagon and Special Assistant to the Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Next Generation Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, "Obama's Pull-Push Strategy: How Washington Should Plan for a Post-Assad," www.foreignaffairs.com/fa_subcontent/67797/67800)

Within Syria, such moves would …States' most problematic regional adversaries.

Democracy assistance to the SNC grants its legitimacy and ensures a peaceful transition

Maalouf and Torbey 12-16 (Marwan and Khattar, Human Rights Lawyer Focusing on the Rule of Law and Political Reforms in the Middle East and North Africa, International Lawyer and PhD candidate in Regional Integration in the Middle East at Kansas, "Breaking the Stalemate in Syria," Project on Middle East Democracy, pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/POMED-Policy-Brief_Maalouf.pdf)

The situation in Syria has …ongoing bloodshed and humanitarian crisis.

Coordinating support for the opposition with Turkey is key

Tabler and Cagaptay 11 (Soner and Andrew, Director of the Turkish Research Program at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy and a visiting professor at Georgetown, Next Generation Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy "How Washington Can Work With Turkey on Syria," Washington Institute, July 14, www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC05.php?CID=3385)

Despite recent problems in the …transition to democratic rule.

Syrian civil war causes war with China, Russia, and Iran

Bacik 11 (Gokhan, "Vying for Syria: Will the Cold War really end this time?" Today's Zaman, October 16, www.todayszaman.com/columnist-260013--vying-for-syria-will-the-cold-war-really-end-this-time.html)

Syria has become the center …outcomes for other states.

Syria civil war spills over – draws in Iran and Saudi Arabia

Pollack 1-31 (Kenneth, Director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy, "The Revolt in Syria Could Easily Spread to Other Middle East Countries," Brookings Institution, www.brookings.edu/opinions/2012/0131_syria_pollack.aspx)

One of the biggest problems …on the banks of the Euphrates.

Nuclear escalation is guaranteed – conflict can’t be contained

London 10 (Herbert, President Emeritus of Hudson Institute, “The Coming Crisis in the Middle East”, June 23, http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=7101&pubType=HI_Opeds

The gathering storm in the ….That is a truly bad sign.

Most probable scenario for nuclear escalation

James A. Russell, Senior Lecturer, National Security Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School, ‘9 (Spring) “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East” IFRI, Proliferation Papers, #26, http://www.ifri.org/downloads/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf

Strategic stability in the region …risk for the entire world.

1AC – Turkey Relations

Symbolic gestures towards solidying the alliance now – not enough

Cagaptay et al 10 (Soner [Scott Carpenter and Burc Ozcelik], Director of the Turkish Research Program, Keston Family fellow, research intern at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, "Regenerating US-Turkish Relations in 2011,” In Focus Quarterly, Winter,  www.cagaptay.com/9358/us-turkish-relations)

Until recently, stemming mostly …a nation closer to the West.

Congruence of middle east policy is key to continued relations

Cagaptay et al 10 (Soner [Scott Carpenter and Burc Ozcelik], Director of the Turkish Research Program, Keston Family fellow, research intern at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, "Regenerating US-Turkish Relations in 2011,” In Focus Quarterly, Winter,  www.cagaptay.com/9358/us-turkish-relations)

Future of U.S.-Turkish Relations

The AKP's years in power …and goodwill is at stake.

Expanded co-operation is key to cement bilateral relations

Kanat 12-25 (Kilic Bugra, Research Fellow with the SETA Foundation in Washington DC, "Turkish-American Partnership 2.0?" Today's Zaman, www.sundayszaman.com/sunday/newsDetail_getNewsById.action?newsId=266628)

In recent days, in both capitals ….region and economic integration.

Democracy is key to refocus the partnership

Walker 10-3 (Joshua, "Transatlantic Fellow at the German Marshall Fund, "Turkey's muscular maneuvers on the world stage," Foreign Policy, mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/10/03/the_world_leader_you_should_be_paying_attention_to_right_now)

Erdogan and Turkey's dramatic arrival …leader in the new democratic Turkey.

Co-operative democracy assistance with Turkey solves relations

Kirisci 11 (Kemal, Professor of Political Science at Bogazici University, "Turkey's "Demonstrative Effect" and the Transformation of the Middle East," Insight Turkey, www.insightturkey.com/Insight_Turkey_Volume_13_Number_2_2011_Kemal_Kirisci.pdf)

The craving for reform in …and for its own democracy too.

Democracy assistance is key – stabilizes Turkish foreign policy by establishing coalitions with Turkish civil society groups

Kirisci et al. 10 (Kemal Kirisci, Nathalie Tocci, and Joshua Walker, fellows at the Transatlantic Academy “A Neighborhood Rediscovered: Turkey’s transatlantic value in the Middle East,” http://www.gmfus.org/galleries/ct_publication_attachments/TransatlanticAcademyKirsiciTocciWalkerBFPaperTurkeyNeighborhood.pdf;jsessionid=a4SdniMgQUI7AeYyEL)

Turkey no longer represents a Cold …democracy assistance in Turkey’s neighborhood.

Using Turkey as an intermediary is key to turning the relationship into a strategic partnership

Yohannes 10-12 (Athina, "US-Turkish Relations, Arab Spring and Fallout in Turkish-Israeli Friendship," Bilgesam - Wise Men Center for Strategic Studies, www.bilgesam.org/en/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=385:-where-to-go-from-here-current-us-turkish-relations-in-light-of-the-arab-spring-and-fallout-in-turkish-israeli-relations&catid=98:analizler-abd&Itemid=132)

Following his inauguration, the first …maintain this vital transatlantic friendship.

Syria is the key test of the new emerging Turkey-US partnership

Tainr 10-28 (Ilhan, "Syria to test Turkish-American parntership," Hurriyet Daily News, www.hurriyetdailynews.com/default.aspx?pageid=438&n=syria-to-test-turkish-american-partnership-2011-10-28)

 “I have been coming …Turkish-American partnership’s vibrancy.

US-Turkey relations are key to Middle East stability, hegemony, global energy security, central Asian stability, terrorism, afghan stability, and air power

Menon and Wimbush 7 (Rajan and S Enders, Monroe J. Rathborne Professor of International Relations at Lehigh University and Fellow at the New America Foundation, Director of the Center for Future Security Strategies at the Hudson Insttitute, "Is the United States Losing Turkey?" Hudson Institute, March 25, www.hudson.org/files/pdf_upload/Turkey%20PDF.pdf)

If Turkey, a key friend and ally…support to US forces in Iraq.

Nuclear war

Barnett, Professor, Warfare Analysis and Research Dept – U.S. Naval War College, 3/7/’11

(Thomas, “The New Rules: Leadership Fatigue Puts U.S., and Globalization, at Crossroads,” http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads)

Events in Libya are a further reminder …from state-based conflicts.

Collapse of Afghanistan spills over to Pakistan and goes nuclear

Morgan 7 (Stephen, former member of the British Labour Party National Executive Committee, Author, Political Analyst and Psychologist, "Better another Taliban Afghanistan, than a Taliban NUCLEAR Pakistan!?" YoursDaily, June 3, www.yoursdaily.com/different_views/better_another_taliban_afghanistan_than_a_taliban_nuclear_pakistan)

However events may prove him sorely …a new Cold War with China and

Obama cant leverage pol cap with the GOP- major change comes from predisposition

Klein 3/15 (Ezra Klein, March 15, 2012, “The Unpersuaded”, Who listens to a President?, The Political Scene, Columnist for the New Yorker, Washington Post, Bloomberg, Referencing Richard Neustadt, Founder of Harvards Kennedy School of Government)

This, Edwards says, is the …solve that with a speech.

It fails

Smith 3-28 (Reid, worked as a research associate specializing on US policy in the Middle East and as a speechwriter, doctoral student and graduate associate with the University of Delaware's Department of Political and International Relations, "Cyber-Cataclysm Prevention," American Spectator,spectator.org/archives/2012/03/28/cyber-cataclysm-prevention)

Although he's now backing the Lieberman…the confounding nature of cyber-defense.

Won’t pass - GOP supporting their own bill and no definite date for the bill

Engleman & Strohm 3/27 (Eric & Chris. "House Cybersecurity Bill Proposes Information Swaps." Bloomberg News on March 27, 2012.  www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-27/house-cybersecurity-bill-proposes-information-swaps.html)

The U.S. government and companies operating …although no specific date has been set.

Won’t pass - election

Reuters 3/28 ("House Republicans introduce new cybersecurity bill." Reuters on March 28, 2012. www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/28/us-congress-cybersecurity-idUSBRE82R1G820120328)

Companies and the federal government …aisle believe it is needed.

He’s pushing ending Oil Subsidies

AP 3-29 ("Obama urges Congress to end tax breaks to oil companies," www.washingtonpost.com/politics/federal_government/obama-urges-congress-to-end-tax-breaks-to-oil-companies/2012/03/29/gIQARdt9hS_story.html)

WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama is …be spent on clean energy.

Hot mic thumps your disad

Epstein 3-27 (Jennifer, "President Obama hot-mic slip defines his South Korea trip," Politico, www.politico.com/news/stories/0312/74560.html)

SEOUL, South Korea — President Barack …in the general election race.

Triggers EVERY internal link – popularity, controversy, bipartisanship, economy and winners win

Mascaro 3-22-2012 (Lisa, “JOBS bill clears Congress despite warnings”, http://www.fox43.com/news/nationworld/la-pn-jobs-bill-clears-congress-despite-warnings-20120327,0,226229.story)

Congress gave final approval to a …an economic address last fall.

Foreign policy wins spill over

Marshall and Prins 11 (BRYAN W, Miami University and BRANDON C, University of Tennessee & Howard H. Baker, Jr. Center for Public Policy, “Power or Posturing? Policy Availability and Congressional Influence on U.S. Presidential Decisions to Use Force”, Sept, Presidential Studies Quarterly 41, no. 3)

Presidents rely heavily on Congress in converting …managing political capital at home (Fordham 2002).

The plan has bipartisan support.

Bowman 11 (Michael, “US Senators Urge Non-Military Intervention in Syria,” VOA News,  April 24, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/usa/US-Senators-Urge-Non-Military-Intervention-in-Syria-120569589.html

U.S. senators of both major political ……ended commitment. Certainly no [U.S.] troops on the ground."

Congress wants to support the opposition, and the link is inevitable

VOA 12-14 (Voice of America, "US Congressional Panel Seeks to Aid Syrian Opposition," http://www.voanews.com/english/news/middle-east/US-Congressional-Panel-Looks-for-Ways-to-Help-Syrian-Opposition-135604588.html)

A congressional subcommittee panel on Wednesday …themselves at Syria's expense," added Hof.

Links more than USAID

Carothers 94 (Thomas, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment and Co-Director of its Democracy project, “The NED at 10,” Foreign Policy, No. 95, Summer, JSTOR)

The debate surrounding the funding vote …ment should foster democracy abroad.

Undermines our foreign policy – no benefits

Conry 93 (Barbara, Foreign Policy Analyst, Public Relations Consultant at Hensley Segal REntschler and an expert on Security Issues in the Middle East, "Loose Cannon: The National Endowment for Democracy," CATO Institute, Cato Foreign Policy Briefing No. 27, November 8, www.cato.org/pubs/fpbriefs/fpb-027.html)

NED's labyrinthine organizational structure is an …eliminate funding for the endowment.

Neoliberalism doesn’t exist in practice; their commodification arguments are purely theoretical.

Altman – 5(Daniel, International Herald Tribune, “Neoliberalism? It doesn’t exist”, July 16, http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/07/15/business/wbmarket16.php)

With globalization having somewhat rehabilitated its …handing politicians would have you believe.

                4.             Perm – do the plan and all non-competitive parts of the alternative. Solves best – combining the alt with dominant ideology solves best.

Giroux, Prof of Comm @ McMaster, 2004 p. 142-143 (Henry, The Terror of Neoliberalism)

There is a lot of talk among academics …and vows of political chastity.”

Can’t solve neoliberalism – the right will co-opt the plan’s invigoration of public spaces to prevent a genuine societal transformation

Vincent 6 [Jonathan Vincent is a PhD candidate in American studies at the University of Illinois, where he teaches American literature and composition. “A Call to Arms in a Repressive Atmosphere of Educational Acquiescence”, Pedagogy 6.1 (2006) 189-198, JSTOR] //khirn

Take Back Higher Education labors tirelessly …discourse of older forms of leftism.²

Neoliberal policies are key to form an integrated system where both social and economic harms are considered – the alternative is a split system where the critique’s impacts continue unnoticed

William Kristol, founder of The Weekly Standard and policy advisor for the Ethics and Public Policy Center., 5-18-08, “On the Neoliberal Frontier”. http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv7n3/v7n3-8.pdf

Reich's main concern is not to describe …both economic and human development."