Georgia » Georgia Rosenthal - Feinberg Neg

Georgia Rosenthal - Feinberg Neg

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  • GSU Neg Disclosure

    • Tournament: GSU | Round: | Opponent: Sample Team | Judge: Sample Judge

    • T – 1NC

      A. Interpretation – Democracy assistance excludes indirect activities – an exclusive definition is best 

      Schmitter 10 (Philippe – Emeritus of the Department of Political and Social Sciences, “Empirical Evidence on the Impact of EU Democracy Assistance”, May, http://ancorage-net.org/content/documents/empirical%20evidence%20on%20the%20impact%20of%20eu%20democracy%20assistance.pdf)

      Had those practitioners eager to engage in … and unintentionally, might actually do the job. 

      B. Violation – Internet assistance is indirect 

      Fontaine and Rogers 11 (Richard and Will – Center for New American Security, “Internet Freedom

      A Foreign Policy Imperative in the Digital Age”, June, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_InternetFreedom_FontaineRogers_0.pdf)

      Internet freedom typically includes … dissidents and dictators act on that basis. 

      C. Voting Issue – 

      1. Limits – Indirect forms of assistance add too many affs that have a secondary impact on democracy such as economic development, improving the population’s health, ending hunger, and military interventionism

      2. Ground – Direct aid is key to all core disad ground – affs can claim providing democracy assistance without increasing democracy within a country – avoids relations, politics, and middle east democracy bad

      T-Must Be Conditioned

      A. Interpretation – 

      Democracy Assistance is conditioned on reform

      Collier 94 (Ellen C., Specialist in U.S. Foreign Policy Foreign Affairs and National Defense Division, “Democracy Building: The Foreign Policy Budget Request, Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, 4-12-94, http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PCAAA490.pdf)  

      Some criteria have been … such as Zaire, this was a major reason.' 7 

      B. Violation - The plan provides unconditional assistance to Egypt. 

      C. Standards 

      1.  Topic Education – Affirmative’s can sidestep discussing democracy entirely if they are allowed to provide unconditional assistance without linking it to reforms, destroying topic specific education. 

      2. Core Neg Ground – Unconditional affirmatives sidestep core negative strategies, such as internal political disads, NGO tradeoff arguments, alternative condition counterplans, and critiques of international negotiating. 

      D. Voting Issue – to preserve competitive equity, the foundation of debate; it is also a rule at the NDT and so should be enforced throughout the year. 

      EU CP

      Text: The European Union should provide and allow the exportation of communications-enabling software and circumvention software for Syria.

      EU democracy assistance solves and avoids backlash

      Hill, 11 (Steven, Writer at the Global Policy Institute, “The Arab Spring is an Opportunity...for Europe”, July 8, http://www.gpilondon.com/index.php?id=302)

      The Arab Spring is a historic … somewhat toward Iran.

      EU Soft Power NB – 1NC

      Counterplan boosts EU soft power 

      Martin, 11 (David, Scotland's senior Member of the European Parliament, “‘Soft Power’ Supporting Democracy – in Tanzania – and throughout the World”, June 14, http://www.blogmartinmep.eu/?p=94)

      I believe that election observation … objectives, in particular peace building.

      EU soft power key to prevent climate change

      Rocabert, 10 (Jofre M., “International Climate Policy Post-Copenhagen: what role for the EU?”, May 4, http://www.thenewfederalist.eu/International-Climate-Policy-Post-Copenhagen-what-role-for-the-EU)

      The United Nations Climate Change …  international arena, there won’t be much hope left for the climate.

      Extinction

      Tickell 8 (Oliver, Climate Researcher and Author – Kyoto2, “On a Planet 4C Hotter, All We Can Prepare For is Extinction”, The Guardian, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/11/climatechange)

      We need to get prepared for four …degenerated into a squabble over national emission rights.

      SKFTA – 1NC

      SKFTA will pass – political capital is key to resolve the TAA – that’s key to passage

      Palmer 9/2 (Doug, Reuters Reporter, " Analysis: Obama's trade legacy in a crucible this fall," 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/02/us-usa-obama-trade-idUSTRE7814CZ20110902)

      After a slow start that has …  a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. 

      The plan causes a massive congressional backlash 

      Richter, 11 (4/12/2011, Paul LA Times, “Debt worries stymieing U.S. financial aid to help Arab nations in transition; U.S. lawmakers not only have shut the door on new spending to stabilize countries rocked by the so-called Arab Spring. They have resisted proposals to shift money from other foreign aid programs,” http://articles.latimes.com/2011/apr/12/world/la-fg-mideast-aid-20110413)

      The Obama administration's …  aid to the two nations has been linked since the early 1980s.

      Political capital is key --- solves the economy, trade leadership, and Korean war

      WSJ 10 (Wall Street Journal, “A Korea-U.S. Trade Deal, At Last”, 12-6, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704767804576000542290721476.html)

      The Korea pact is a step forward, … of American businesses and workers.

      Deal deters North Korean aggression

      Gerwin 10 (Edward F., Senior Fellow for Trade and Global Economic Policy – Third Way, “5 Reasons America Needs Korea Free Trade Deal”, Wall Street Journal, 12-16, http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/12/16/guest-contribution-5-reasons-america-needs-korea-free-trade-deal/)

      5. China is Not a Fan. The Korea FTA …  also includes other “beefy” benefits for American trade.

      Korea war turns every impact and causes extinction

      Hayes and Green 10 (Peter, Professor of International Relations – Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology and Director – Nautilus Institute, and Michael Hamel, Victoria University, “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia”, Nautilus Institute Special Report, 1-5, http://www.nautil us.org/fora/security/10001HayesHamalGreen.pdf)

      At worst, there is the possibility of nuclear attack1…  one that warrants priority consideration from the international community.

      China Relations DA – 1NC

      U.S. – Sino relations are going well now – but challenges can tank this

      Lavin 6/28 (Franklin – Former Under Secretary of Commerce for International Trade, M.S. in Chinese Language , “Consequential China: U.S.–China Relations in a Time of Transition”, 2011, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/06/consequential-china-us-china-relations-in-a-time-of-transition)

      I mentioned that I have had the privilege …  the U.S. in terms of foreign policy management. 

      China fears the spread of information – cracks down on internet

      Latschan 11 (Thomas – Press Freedom, “China blocks 'Egypt' from Internet for fear of Tiananmen”, 4/2, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,14817788,00.html)

      Twenty years after tanks steamrolled … accounts would have to be paid." 

      Relations stop global nuclear war

      Conable and Lampton 93 (Barber B., President Emeritus – World Bank and David, President – National Committee, “China: The Coming Power”, Foreign Affairs, December / January, Lexis)

      Regionally American interests … attaches to building positive ties to the P.R.C.


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11/01/11
  • R1 Vandy v. Emory CM

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Democracy Assistance = Material T 1NC

       

      ---Interpretation – Democracy assistance is transfer of material

      Lappin 10 (Richard, Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade, “What we talk about when we talk about Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation,” Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, Vol 4, Issue 1, 2010)

       

      Democracy assistance can be most accurately defined as

      AND

      society groups, media groups and political parties. 

       

      ---Violation – the plan doesn’t provide U.S. democracy funding to groups and doesn’t transfer material – EU Election Observation Missions only observe the election process but do not provide an increase in material assistance

      Meyer-Resende 8 (Michael, Expert and Coordinator of Democracy Reporting Intertional, Published by the European Parliament, "EU ELECTION OBSERVATION ACHIEVEMENTS, CHALLENGES", June, http://www.democracy-reporting.org/files/european_parliament_-_study_on_eu_election_observation.pdf)

       

      EU EOMs are an unusual form of intervention

      AND

      more attention to electoral developments between actual elections.

      EU EOMs observe elections as they unfold.

      AND

      South differ significantly from those in the East.

       

      ---Prefer it:

      Limits – Allowing immaterial assistance such as observations means that an aff could have Obama deliver a speech in solidarity with Tunisian rebels, guts negative predictability and strategy-making, taking out core arguments like Politics, Democratic Backlash, and Spending.

       

      Topic Education – Offers of immaterial support sidestep the core questions of the resolution, including the desirability of democratic consolidation, the mechanisms through which democracy is promoted, and the usefulness of US assistance to achieve those ends.

       

      ---Voting Issue – Topicality is a voting issue to preserve competitive equity, the foundation of debate; plus its a rule at the NDT and so should be enforced throughout the year.

      Politics 1NC

      China bill won’t pass – but support is still building

      Kasperowicz 10/13 (Pete- The Hill, “House Dem pleads for GOP leaders to bring up currency bill”, 2011, http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/house/187319-house-dem-pleads-for-gop-leaders-to-bring-up-currency-bill)

       

      Rep. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind

      AND

      for the GOP to call up the bill.

      The plan causes a massive congressional backlash

      Richter, 11 (4/12/2011, Paul LA Times, “Debt worries stymieing U.S. financial aid to help Arab nations in transition; U.S. lawmakers not only have shut the door on new spending to stabilize countries rocked by the so-called Arab Spring. They have resisted proposals to shift money from other foreign aid programs,” http://articles.latimes.com/2011/apr/12/world/la-fg-mideast-aid-20110413)

      The Obama administration's efforts to use foreign aid

      AND

      nations has been linked since the early 1980s.

       

      Political capital is key block it

      Beattie 10/4 (Alan – Financial Times, “US currency bill drama belies grind ahead”, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/ec234e82-eebc-11e0-959a-00144feab49a.html#axzz1alV9Ep17)

       

      But whether the legislation makes headway in Washington

      AND

      the Republican presidential nomination, has supported it.

       

      That causes a US-China trade war – escalates to conflict and collapses global trade

      Droke 10 (Clif, Editor – Momentum Strategies Report, “America and the Next Major War’, Green Faucet, 3-29, http://www.greenfaucet.com/technical-analysis/america-and-the-next-major-war/79314)

       

      In the current phase of relative peace and

      AND

      the entire world will suffer," writes Barker.

      US-China war goes nuclear

      Johnson 1 (Chalmers, President – Japan Policy Research Institute, “Time to Bring the Troops Home”, The Nation, 4-26, http://ieas.berkeley.edu/cks/k12/girling_troops.doc)

       

      In East Asia, the United States maintains

      AND

      it could easily escalate into nuclear holocaust. 

      Collapse of trade causes extinction

      Pazner 8 (Michael J., Faculty – New York Institute of Finance, Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse, p. 137-138)

       

      The rise in isolationism and protectionism will bring

      AND

      as the beginnings of a new world war.

      Elections DA 1NC

       

      Ennahda won’t win the October elections now because of public skepticism – their credibility increases as support for the Ben Ali government decreases

      Sayare 11 (Scott, May 15, "Tunisia Is Uneasy Over Party of Islamists", New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/16/world/africa/16tunis.html?pagewanted=all)

       

      TUNIS — Accused as subversives or terrorists, they bore the repressive brunt of the Tunisian dictator’s reign — two

      AND

       “Islam is very much anchored in society.”

       

      Western political influence ensures an Ennahda win

      Hammond, Senior Correspondent at Reuters, 11 (Andrew, Jul 13, "Tunisians nervous over slow democratic transition", http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/13/us-tunisia-elections-vacuum-idUSTRE76C1IW20110713)

       

      (Reuters) - Secularists hope Tunisia's gradual approach for moving to an open political system from a police state will help box in Islamists but it has created a political and security vacuum that could end up helping them.

      Tunisians forced out president Zine al-Abidine

      AND

      era if one better-organized group dominates.

       

      Al Qaeda takes advantage of Ennahda win to find a foothold in Tunisia

      Times Online 11 (Feb 24, "Tunisia walks fine line with Islamist revival", http://www.sundaytimes.lk/analysis/5008-tunisia-walks-fine-line-with-islamist-revival.html)

       “Whatever the cause of the risings

      AND

      he thought militancy would never find a foothold.

       

      Al-Queda represents a uniquely existential threat

      Gorka, Irregular Warfare Dept of the National Defense University, 10 (Sebastian, Memober of the US Atlantic Council's Strategic Advisors Group, May 17, "Al-Qaeda and Afghanistan in Strategic Context: Counterinsurgency versus Counterterrorism (WP)", http://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/wps/portal/rielcano_eng/Content?WCM_GLOBAL_CONTEXT=/elcano/elcano_in/zonas_in/dt15-2010)

       

      Almost immediately after 9/11, members

      AND

      and his ilk deterrence policy has no effect.

       

      UN CP

       

      Text: The United States Federal Government should propose support for the European Union Election Observation Mission for Tunisia to the United Nations Democracy Fund Advisory Board.  The United States Federal Government should provide all financial and technical assistance for the United Nations Democracy Fund to implement the proposal.  

       

      Competes –

      Tests ‘Its’ which is possessive

      English Grammar, 5 (Glossary of English Grammar Terms, http://www.usingenglish.com/glossary/possessive-pronoun.html)

      Mine, yours, his, hers, its, ours, theirs are the possessive pronouns used to substitute a noun and to show possession or ownership. EG. This is your disk and that's mine. (Mine substitutes the word disk and shows that it belongs to me.)

       

      Counterplans that test the resolution are key to predictable ground

       

      Solves -

      US democracy assistance through the UNDEF solves – comparatively more credible

      Piccone, 9 (Theodore J., senior fellow and deputy director for Foreign Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution and an adviser to the Club of Madrid, “Enhance Democracy Assistance in the Americas through Multilateral Action”, The Brookings Institute, April 13, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/reports/2009/0413_summit_americas/0413_summit_americas_piccone.pdf)

       

      Internationalize democracy assistance. The United States seriously

      AND

      requires consultation with its citizens on priority  projects.

       

      Counterplan is vital to UN credibility – reversing US false multilateralism is key to prevent it from becoming an irrelevant institution

      Deen, 10 (Thalif, “U.N. Faces Threat of Irrelevancy Amid Big Power Politics”, Inter Press Service (IPS), September 28, http://www.galdu.org/web/index.php?odas=4772&giella1=eng)

       

      Judging by remarks on opening day, there

      AND

      S.-controlled false multilateralism, Bennis declared.

       

      US engagement with the UN is key to effective multilateralism, preventing terrorism, Iran and North Korean proliferation and stabilizes Afghanistan, Iraq and multiple peacekeeping conflicts

      Brimmer, 11 (Esther - Assistant Secretary, Bureau of International Organization Affairs, Revitalizing the United Nations and Multilateral Cooperation, 2/1, p. http://www.state.gov/p/io/rm/2011/155854.htm)

       

      So our discussion today is a perfect opportunity

      AND

      leadership can leverage important contributions by other states.

       

      Only multilateral cooperation prevents great power wars that make extinction inevitable

      Dyer, 4 (Gwynne, former senior lecturer in war studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, 12/30/2004, The End of War, The Toronto Star, p. lexis)

       

      The "firebreak" against nuclear weapons use

      AND

      then history will repeat itself and everybody loses.

       

      Cooperation CP 1NC

       

       

       

      The United States federal government and the European Union should implement the ten initiative approach outlined by the Hamilton and Burwell evidence.

       

      Their author agrees – the 10 part cooperation strategy excludes democracy and solves US-EU cooperation

      Hamilton and Burwell 10 [Daniel S, Executive Director of the Center for Transatlantic Relations; Executive Director of the American Consortium on EU Studies; Austrian Marshall Plan Foundation Research Professor at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins, and Frances, Vice President, Director of the Program on Transatlantic Relations at the Atlantic Council, former executive director of the Center for International and Security Studies at the University of Maryland, "The Setting: The United States and Europe in a G20 World," Chapter 1, http://transatlantic.sais-jhu.edu/bin/k/u/shoulder-to-shoulder-book-finaltext.pdf]

       

      To win the moment, the transatlantic partners

      AND

      a stronger, better future for us all.

       

      Cooperation Frontline [Emory CP]

       

       

      ---Cooperation now and differences exist but aren’t significant

      Wittes and Youngs 9 [Tamara, deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs at the U.S. Department of State, research fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institute, and Richard, director general of FRIDE, assistant professor at the University of Warwick, “Europe, the United States, and Middle Eastern Democracy: Repairing the Breach,” January, The Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, no 18, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2009/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes.pdf]

       

      A fifth arena of congruence may be the most significant going forward. Transatlantic coordination in practical policy implementation has been significant in regard to a number of individual Middle Eastern states. It is noteworthy, however, that much of this coordination has occurred on issues other than democracy promotion.

      One notable instance of such transatlantic cooperation and

      AND

      European countries and any mention of democracy promotion.

       

      And our stance towards Islamist groups prove

      Wittes and Youngs 9 [Tamara, deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs at the U.S. Department of State, research fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institute, and Richard, director general of FRIDE, assistant professor at the University of Warwick, “Europe, the United States, and Middle Eastern Democracy: Repairing the Breach,” January, The Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, no 18, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2009/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes.pdf]

       

      A fourth similarity is that neither the European

      AND

      regarding Western double-standards toward Arab democracy.

       

      -- No risk of Korean war

       

      Meyer 3 (Carlton, Editor – G2 Military, The Mythical North Korean Threat, http://www.g2mil.com/korea.htm)

       

      The chance of a Korean war is extremely

      AND

      US troops may be gone within ten years.

       

       

       


      ---Alt causes:

       

      A. Many issues

      Hamilton and Burwell 10 [Daniel S, Executive Director of the Center for Transatlantic Relations; Executive Director of the American Consortium on EU Studies; Austrian Marshall Plan Foundation Research Professor at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins, and Frances, Vice President, Director of the Program on Transatlantic Relations at the Atlantic Council, former executive director of the Center for International and Security Studies at the University of Maryland, "The Setting: The United States and Europe in a G20 World," Chapter 1, http://transatlantic.sais-jhu.edu/bin/k/u/shoulder-to-shoulder-book-finaltext.pdf]

       

      Building a More Effective Partnership This is a

      AND

      the need for a common response has not.

       

      B. EU structures

      Hamilton and Burwell 10 [Daniel S, Executive Director of the Center for Transatlantic Relations; Executive Director of the American Consortium on EU Studies; Austrian Marshall Plan Foundation Research Professor at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins, and Frances, Vice President, Director of the Program on Transatlantic Relations at the Atlantic Council, former executive director of the Center for International and Security Studies at the University of Maryland, "The Setting: The United States and Europe in a G20 World," Chapter 1, http://transatlantic.sais-jhu.edu/bin/k/u/shoulder-to-shoulder-book-finaltext.pdf]

       

      Barriers to a more effective partnership are also

      AND

      its own or to look elsewhere for support.

       

      C. Bilateral and regional approaches

      Wittes and Youngs 9 [Tamara, deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs at the U.S. Department of State, research fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institute, and Richard, director general of FRIDE, assistant professor at the University of Warwick, “Europe, the United States, and Middle Eastern Democracy: Repairing the Breach,” January, The Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, no 18, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2009/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes.pdf]

       

      The balance between bilateral and regional approaches represents

      AND

      more bilateral focus through new Neighborhood Action Plans.

       

      ---Cooperation doesn’t solve anything – economic issues

      Patrick 11 [Stewart, Senior Fellow and Director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance, “The Transatlantic Alliance Survives the Summer,” 8-30, http://blogs.cfr.org/patrick/2011/08/30/the-transatlantic-alliance-survives-the-summer/]

       

      On the other hand, when it comes

      AND

      overrepresented on the IMF board and voting formula.

      Democracy Frontline [Emory CP]

       

      ---Peaceful transition to democracy inevitable in Tunisia

      Stepan, Professor of Government and Director of the Center for Democracy, Toleration, and Religion at Columbia, 11 (Alfred, "Varying prospects for democratic transition in Tunisia and Egypt", April 25, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/04/varying-prospects-for-democratic-transition-in-tunisia-and-egypt/)

       

      What are the chances of successful democratic transitions

      AND

      toward Al Nahda is accommodation, not exclusion.

       

       

      -- Democracy doesn’t solve war

       

      Taner 2 (Binner, PhD Candidate – Syracuse U., Alternatives: Turkish Journal of Int’l Relations, 1(3), p. 43-44, http://www.alternativesjournal.com/binnur.pdf)

       

      The discussion above suggests that the most important

      AND

      democratic peace” is theoretically and empirically overdetermined.

       

      -- Iran has no interest in expansion

       

      Smeland 4 (Sean P., Visiting Fellow – Geneva Centre for Security Policy, “Countering Iranian Nukes: A European Strategy, Nonproliferation Review, Spring,

      http://www.gcsp.ch/e/publications/Security_Challenges/WMD/Academic_Papers/Smeland.pdf)

       

      If the Western allies are to succeed in

      AND

      possibly through its presence in Iraq or Afghanistan).

       

       

      ---EU elections not key to democracy

      Meyer-Resende 8 (Michael, Expert and Coordinator of Democracy Reporting Intertional, Published by the European Parliament, "EU ELECTION OBSERVATION ACHIEVEMENTS, CHALLENGES", June, http://www.democracy-reporting.org/files/european_parliament_-_study_on_eu_election_observation.pdf)

       

      When the EU focuses explicitly on democratisation it

      AND

      -shadowed by powerful executive branches of powers.

       

      ---EOMs fail:

       

      1. No clear strategy

      Meyer-Resende 8 (Michael, Expert and Coordinator of Democracy Reporting Intertional, Published by the European Parliament, "EU ELECTION OBSERVATION ACHIEVEMENTS, CHALLENGES", June, http://www.democracy-reporting.org/files/european_parliament_-_study_on_eu_election_observation.pdf)

       

      The EU has no agreed strategy on democracy

      AND

      much notice of the reports by these groups.

       

      1. Lacks resources

      Meyer-Resende 8 (Michael, Expert and Coordinator of Democracy Reporting Intertional, Published by the European Parliament, "EU ELECTION OBSERVATION ACHIEVEMENTS, CHALLENGES", June, http://www.democracy-reporting.org/files/european_parliament_-_study_on_eu_election_observation.pdf)

       

      EU EOMs’ core teams usually arrive six weeks

      AND

      and they usually do not issue public reports.

       

      1. Security limitations

      Meyer-Resende 8 (Michael, Expert and Coordinator of Democracy Reporting Intertional, Published by the European Parliament, "EU ELECTION OBSERVATION ACHIEVEMENTS, CHALLENGES", June, http://www.democracy-reporting.org/files/european_parliament_-_study_on_eu_election_observation.pdf)

       

      3.3.5. Security Limitations

      AND

      EU should consider deploying an observation mission altogether. 

      1NR

      Demo

      -- ME Won’t go nuclear

       

      Dyer 2 (Gwynne, Ph.D. in War Studies – University of London and Board of Governors – Canada’s Royal Military College, The Coming War, Queen’s Quarterly, December, Lexis)

       

      All of this indicates an extremely dangerous situation

      AND

      is: we are out of the business.


      Impact – 2NC

      Disad outweighs and turns the case ---

      Magnitude --- US/China trade war goes causes hot war that goes nuclear --- draws in major powers, collapses the economy, and causes extinction --- that’s Johnson. And --- it causes global war --- makes every case impact inevitable

      Straits Times 00 (“No One Gains In War Over Taiwan”, 6-25, Lexis)

       

      THE DOOMSDAY SCENARIO THE high-intensity scenario

      AND

      , for China puts sovereignty above everything else.

      And --- bashing collapses US/China relations ---  impact is multiple scenarios for extinction --- and turns warming and terrorism

      China Daily 8 (Rikki N. Massand and Gazelle Emami, “U.S.-China relations at the world's fingertips,” 4-20-2008, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/world/2008-04/20/content_6629700.htm)

       

      To frame the importance of this discussion and

      AND

      .S. and China," Rittenberg said.

      Impact defense

       

      Sanctions cause retaliation and trade war

      Robertson 10 (Scott, “Currency Legislation would Spark Trade War, AIIS' Phelps Says”, Metal Bulletin Daily Alerts, 9-23, Lexis)

       

      A tough bill making its way through Congress

      AND

      WTO (World Trade Organization)," he said.

       

      Sanctions collapse global trade --- sparks US/China trade war

      Yu 00 (Peter K., Professor of Intellectual Property – Michigan State University, “From Pirates To Partners: Protecting Intellectual Property In China In The Twenty-First Century”, American University Law Review, October, 50 Am. U.L. Rev. 131, Lexis)

       

      Coercion invites retaliation. 226 The first thing

      AND

      what it has worked so hard to achieve.

       


      It goes nuclear

      Taaffe 5 (Peter Taaffe, “China, A New Superpower?,” Socialist Alternative.org, Nov 1, 2005, pg. http://www.socialistalternative.org/news/article11.php?id=30)

       

      While this conflict is unresolved, the shadow

      AND

      S. when their interests are at stake.

       

       

       

      AT: boehnor no vote

       

      Still possible for House to pass it – Boehner has to convince the rest of his party

      Galston 10/11 (William - Senior fellow at The Brookings Institution, “New Republic: Caught Between China And Congress”, 2011, http://www.npr.org/2011/10/11/141229657/new-republic-caught-between-china-and-congress)

       

      The huge bipartisan majority on the procedural question

      AND

      a discharge petition to override the Speaker's wishes.

       

      Obama Pushing – 2NC

      Obama pushes against the China bill

      Reuters 10/12 (Tim Reid and Susan Cornwell, “Exclusive: China launches lobbying push on currency bill”, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/12/us-usa-china-lobbying-newspro-idUSTRE79B5PX20111012)

       

      President Barack Obama declined to support the legislation

      AND

      an already anemic U.S. economy.

      Obama pushing against China bill

      Reuters 10/6 (Reuters, “China games trading system with yuan policy: Obama”, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/06/us-obama-china-forex-idUSTRE7954Y920111006)

       

      (Reuters) - President Barack Obama said

      AND

      our international treaties and obligations," Obama said.

       

      PC Key – 2NC

      Obama’s political capital is key to block the currency legislation from passing – that independently causes trade retaliation – that’s Palmer

      Political capital key – bill risks trade conflict and collapses relations

      Palmer 9/2 (Doug, Reuters Reporter, " Analysis: Obama's trade legacy in a crucible this fall," 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/02/us-usa-obama-trade-idUSTRE7814CZ20110902)

       

      Democrats like House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and

      AND

      does not expend political capital to block it.

      Political capital key – Obama is spending it now

      Abrams 10/7 (Jim, “Senate postpones final vote on China currency “, 2011, http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-technology/senate-postpones-final-vote-on-china-currency-20111007-1lcq4.html)

       

      WASHINGTON (AP) _ A Senate vote

      AND

      another country how to set its monetary policy.

      Political capital is key

      Suri 10/13 (Jeremi - a professor of history and public affairs at the University of Texas, Austin, “America the Overcommitted”, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/14/opinion/america-the-overcommitted.html)

       

      AMERICAN foreign policy today is reactive, unfocused

      AND

      than divisive issues like currency valuations and Taiwan.

      Obama’s already spending it

      Palmer 10/7 (Doug, “Obama hits China on trade; cautious on currency bill”, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/07/us-usa-china-idUSN1E7950FF20111007?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews)

       

      Reuters) - President Barack Obama accused China

      AND

      Act insist the bill complies with WTO rules.

      At: china bash inev – wto

       

       


      AT: fights over spending now

       

      Link not just about spending

       

      Issues only cost capital once they reach the finish line.

      Drum, 3/10/2010 (Kevin – political blogger for Mother Jones, Immigration coming off the back burner?, Mother Jones, p. http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/immigration-coming-back-burner)

      Not to pick on Ezra or anything,

      AND

      Maybe not. But they will be soon.

      At: Tunisia ad now

       

       

      c/a above

       

      Budget cuts means lack of aid in places like Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya.

      NYT, 10-8-11, (“No Time to Get Stingy” http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/09/opinion/sunday/no-time-to-get-stingy-about-foreign-aid.html)

       

      The trend is shifting again. As chart

      AND

      tiny share of the $3.8 trillion

      : DA Not Intrinsic

       

      -- Our disad is intrinsic – the link proves that the plan results in ______________________.

       

      -- Destroys all ground –

      A) No disad is intrinsic – “make-up calls” can be crafted to solve any link or impact – even purely reaction-based DAs like Relations can be avoided by having the government cut the offended nation a big check

      B) Fairness outweighs – logical debate is worthless if the Neg always loses. Fairness protects the forum that makes debate educational

      -- Moving target – intrinsicness makes the plan conditional – destroys fairness because it's the locus of debate

      -- Not logical: no single actor can do the plan and other actions. Even Congress is made up of many individual legislators.

      -- Empirical intrinsicness checks – the Aff can read evidence that Congress will react to the plan by taking action – but not fiat that it occurs

      AT:  Winners Win

      Winners lose – any major win is the quickest way to kill future proposals. The GOP will backlash

      The Economist, 2/16/2011 (What’s the equilibrium here?, p. lexis)

      The Obama administration's theory of policymaking amid divided

      AND

      to let the president have such a win.

      Controversial wins bleed momentum not build it.

      Politico, 1/20/2010 (Obama's first year: What went wrong, p. http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=4DF829C9-18FE-70B2-A8381A971FA3FFC9)

      Obama believed that early success would be self

      AND

      legislative battle on Capitol Hill over health care.

      Wins don’t spill over. Climate proves.

      Hertzberg, 2/7/2011 (Hendrik – senior editor and political essayist at the New Yorker, The New Yorker, p. http://www.newyorker.com/talk/comment/2011/02/07/110207taco_talk_hertzberg?printable=true)

      Strong words. But now they are not

      AND

      its immediate manifestations, was more like Kryptonite.

      A2: Vote No

       

      -- Illogical – the status quo should always be an option – they create bad policy-making – destroying real-world education – voting issue

       

      -- Not real world – we aren’t Congress – just citizen-advocates debating ideas – they confuse roles

       

      -- Politics DAs are good – encourage timely research key to education and its core ground on a huge topic

      AT: No PC

      Obama’s political capital increasing now—successful killing of al-Awlaki

       

      Whittell 10/1/11 (Giles, The Australian, "Al-Awlaki airstrike reveals a shift in anti-terror strategy," http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/al-awlaki-airstrike-reveals-a-shift-in-anti-terror-strategy/story-e6frg6zo-1226154882971)

       

      AL-QA'IDA can run, but it

      AND

      refuge anywhere in the world," he claimed.

       

      AT: PC irrelevant

      Specific i/l proves

      Presidential leadership shapes the agenda

      Kuttner 11 (Robert, Senior Fellow – Demos and Co-editor – American Prospect, “Barack Obama's Theory of Power,” The American Prospect, 5-16, http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=barack_obamas_theory_of_power)

      As the political scientist Richard Neustadt observed in

      AND

      signals leadership that often moves the public agenda.

      A2: Fiat Solves / Magic Wand

       

      -- Voting issue –

       

      Uneducational – details of enactment are important

       

      Not real world – there’s no magic wand, nothing passes instantly

       

      Crushes ground – politics DAs are core offense on a broad topic

       

      -- Our interpretation: plan passes immediately via normal political processes

       

      -- Links worse: rushed enactment amplifies opposition, backlash is greater because there’s no time for debate

       

       

       




11/01/11
  • Vandy OCTOS v. KY CW

    • Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • 1nc T

       

      A. Interpretation:

       

      Democracy assistance is assistance for civil society, political parties and elections

      Mitchell and Phillips 8 (Lincoln A., Arnold A. Saltzman Assistant Professor in the Practice of International

      Politics at Columbia University’s School of International and Political Affairs, Chief of Party for the National

      Democratic Institute (NDI) in Georgia, and David L., project director of the National Committee on American Foreign Policy and a visiting scholar at Columbia University’s Center for the Study of Human Rights. Former senior adviser to the US Department of State and the United Nations Secretariat. “Enhancing Democracy Assistance,” January 2008, The National Committee on American Foreign Policy, The Atlantic Council of the United States, http://acus.org/files/publication_pdfs/65/Enhancing%20Democracy%20Assistance.pdf)

       

      A toolbox of approaches and methods has come

      AND

      run local services, building confidence in democratization.

       

      Democracy assistance must have the primary purpose of democratization

      Carothers 2000 (Thomas, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, A.B., Harvard College; M.Sc., London School of Economics; J.D., Harvard Law School, “Taking Stock of US Democracy Assistance,” in American Democracy Promotion: Impulses Strategies and Impacts, Edited by Michael Cox, G. John Ikenberry and Takashi Inoguchi, Oxford University Press, p. 181-199)

       

      The term ‘democracy assistance’ is sometimes used

      AND

      not therefore include economic and social aid programmes.

       

       

      B. Violation – the plan targets religious freedom assistance, not assistance for the purpose of democracy

       

      C. Reasons to Prefer –

       

      Limits – Excluding affs that contribute to but are not primarily targeted at democratization is a crucial limiter, there could be any number of plans that effectuate democracy, including economic assistance packages, regime changes, trade agreements, etc. This un-limits the topic.

      Topic Education - Democracy assistance is the central focus of topic, not simply assistance that aids in the building of democracy. Affs that don’t provide a form of democracy assistance sidestep the core question of the topic.

       

      D. Voting Issue – Topicality is a voting issue to preserve competitive equity, the foundation of debate; plus its a rule at the NDT and so should be enforced throughout the year.

       

      1nc Jobs Ptx

       

      A compromised jobs bill will pass – it will contain highway spending and payroll tax cuts.

      Jackson, 10/14/2011 (David, Obama, GOP push competing jobs plans, USA Today, p. http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2011/10/obama-gop-push-competing-jobs-plans/1)

      The question over the next few weeks is

      AND

      in December, I'll be ready to go."

      The plan causes a massive congressional backlash

      The Washington Post, 9/24/2011 (Obama faces hurdles in aiding Arab Spring countries, p. http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/obama-faces-hurdles-in-aiding-arab-spring-countries/2011/09/22/gIQAEqcOuK_story.html)

      In his U.N. speech this

      AND

      is rushing to offer all sorts of incentives.”

       

      Obama needs capital to get piecemeal jobs through.

      Washington Post, 10/6/2011 (Does President Obama still have political juice?, p. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/does-president-obama-still-have-political-juice/2011/10/06/gIQAmtoRQL_blog.html)

      Obama is betting heavily on the fact that

      AND

      whack the ball back into the House’s court?

      Payroll tax cuts prevents a recession.

      Los Angeles Times, 10/11/2011 (Democrats plan next step for Obama’s jobs package, p. http://articles.latimes.com/2011/oct/11/nation/la-na-senate-jobs-20111012)

      The payroll tax break would provide workers with

      AND

      a significant risk of going back into recession."

       

      Nuclear war.

      Economic collapse causes extinction

      Auslin 9 (Michael, Resident Scholar – American Enterprise Institute, and Desmond Lachman – Resident Fellow – American Enterprise Institute, “The Global Economy Unravels”, Forbes, 3-6, http://www.aei.org/article/100187)

       

      What do these trends mean in the short

      AND

      small explosions that coalesce into a big bang.

      least for many decades.

      1nc Military Backlash

       

      Military control is at a breaking point – any perceived loss of power causes lashout

      Allen 11 (Michael, Editor of Democracy Digest, “Egypt’s democrats divided over military’s role and continuing protests,” Democracy Digest, 7-25, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/07/egypts-democrats-divided-over-militarys-role-and-continuing-protests/)

       

      Egypt’s government today pledged to purge senior officials

      AND

      other institution would always do a better job.

       

      Democracy aid causes military freak out

      Richter and Fleishman 11 (Paul, reporter in Washington, and Jeffrey, reporter in Cairo,  “U.S. pro-democracy effort rubs many in Egypt the wrong way,” LA Times, 8-10, http://articles.latimes.com/2011/aug/10/world/la-fg-us-egypt-20110811)

       

      Six months after pro-democracy protesters ousted

      AND

      the total $165 million has been distributed.

       

      The military will bash Israel – turns the case

      Zahran 11 (Mudar, Palestinian writer, “Egypt's Military Council Toying with Israel,” Hudson Institute, 9-9, http://www.hudson-ny.org/2410/egypt-military-council-israel)

       

      While the Egyptian revolution was still boiling,

      AND

      million-man-protests for this cause.

       

       

      1NC UNDEF CP

       

      Text: The United States Federal Government should propose assistance for the promotion of religious freedom in Egypt to the United Nations Democracy Fund Advisory Board.  The United States Federal Government should provide all financial and technical assistance for the United Nations Democracy Fund to implement the proposal.  

       

      Competes –

      Tests ‘Its’ which is possessive

      English Grammar, 5 (Glossary of English Grammar Terms, http://www.usingenglish.com/glossary/possessive-pronoun.html)

      Mine, yours, his, hers, its, ours, theirs are the possessive pronouns used to substitute a noun and to show possession or ownership. EG. This is your disk and that's mine. (Mine substitutes the word disk and shows that it belongs to me.)

       

      Counterplans that test the resolution are key to predictable ground

       

      Solves -

      US democracy assistance through the UNDEF solves – comparatively more credible

      Piccone, 9 (Theodore J., senior fellow and deputy director for Foreign Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution and an adviser to the Club of Madrid, “Enhance Democracy Assistance in the Americas through Multilateral Action”, The Brookings Institute, April 13, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/reports/2009/0413_summit_americas/0413_summit_americas_piccone.pdf)

       

      Internationalize democracy assistance.

      The United States seriously needs to ramp up

      AND

      requires consultation with its citizens on priority  projects.

       

      Counterplan is vital to UN credibility – reversing US false multilateralism is key to prevent it from becoming an irrelevant institution

      Deen, 10 (Thalif, “U.N. Faces Threat of Irrelevancy Amid Big Power Politics”, Inter Press Service (IPS), September 28, http://www.galdu.org/web/index.php?odas=4772&giella1=eng)

       

      Judging by remarks on opening day, there

      AND

      S.-controlled false multilateralism, Bennis declared.

       

      US engagement with the UN is key to effective multilateralism, preventing terrorism, Iran and North Korean proliferation and stabilizes Afghanistan, Iraq and multiple peacekeeping conflicts

      Brimmer, 11 (Esther - Assistant Secretary, Bureau of International Organization Affairs, Revitalizing the United Nations and Multilateral Cooperation, 2/1, p. http://www.state.gov/p/io/rm/2011/155854.htm)

       

      So our discussion today is a perfect opportunity

      AND

      leadership can leverage important contributions by other states.

       

       

      Only multilateral cooperation prevents great power wars that make extinction inevitable

      Dyer, 4 (Gwynne, former senior lecturer in war studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, 12/30/2004, The End of War, The Toronto Star, p. lexis)

       

      The "firebreak" against nuclear weapons use

      AND

      then history will repeat itself and everybody loses.

       

      1nc End Participation CP

       

      The United States Federal Government should eliminate substantial technical services, without religious-based restriction, for political organization in Egypt. The United States Federal Government should issue a statement of support for religious freedom and a democratic, tolerant, and pluralist Egypt that is inclusive of all political organizations in Egypt without religious-based restrictions.

      The status quo must always remain a logical option. T

      Presumption resides with least change – err negative.

      The CP solves a moderate transition. The plan does not change the outcome of the election and results in backlash.

      Cook 11 (Steven, Senior Fellow in ME Affairs @ Council on Foreign Relations, "The U.S.-Egyptian Breakup," http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67347/steven-a-cook/the-us-egyptian-breakup?page=show)

      No Egyptian leader will make Mubarak's mistake again

      AND

      left off when the Free Officers took over.

       

      Egypt

       

      Status quo solves transition to democracy

      Peters 11 (Anne Mariel, assistant professor in the department of government at Wesleyan University, “Why Obama shouldn't increase democracy aid to Egypt,” Foreign Policy, 2-14, http://mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/02/14/why_obama_shouldn_t_increase_democracy_aid_to_egypt)

       

      The United States should promote democracy in Egypt

      AND

      little that democracy and governance funding can do.

       

       

      Israel war never translate into action

      Dabbs, 7/21/2011 (Brian, Muslim brotherhood no threat to Egypt’s Israel policy, World Politics Review, p. http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9542/muslim-brotherhood-no-threat-to-egypts-israel-policy)

      Feiler, however, says these claims are

      AND

      war with Israel or to have severe tensions."

       

       

      No escalation – military and pragmatism

      Haynes, 8/25/2011 (Christopher, Egypt-Israel relations cool but will endure, Atlantic Sentinel, p. http://atlanticsentinel.com/2011/08/egypt-israel-relations-cool-but-will-endure/)

      In these times of tension, Israel’s government

      AND

      into a state of war any time soon.

       

       

      ---CT Cooperation:

       

      --- AND US Egypt Cooperation is inevitable regardless of the government in place- this is your own evidence.
      Agency France Press, 2-6-11 (“US anxious to retain Egypt in fight against terror” http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/5070/Egypt/Politics-/US-anxious-to-retain-Egypt-in-fight-against-terror.aspx)

       

      As these countries (in the region)

      AND

      what Al-Qaeda couldn't," Nelson said.

       

       

      ---No nuclear terror – Terrorists cant acquire, build, or deliver a bomb

      Chapman 08 Steve Chapman, reporter and editorial writer for Chicago Tribune, 2/8 2008 [RealClearPolitics, “The Implausibility of Nuclear Terrorism”]

       

      But remember: After Sept. 11,

      AND

      escape, only one thing has to go wrong

       

       

      -- No attacks – terrorists are weak

      Mueller 9 (John, Professor of Political Science – Ohio State University and Contributor – Foreign Affairs, “How Dangerous Are the Taliban?”, Foreign Affairs, April / May, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/64932/john-mueller/how-dangerous-are-the-taliban)

       

      In addition, al Qaeda has yet to

      AND

      its capabilities are far inferior to its desires."

       

       

       

      International Religious Freedom

      ---Their evidence doesn’t say that granting the Muslim Brotherhood will spillover to religious freedom in areas like China, Russia, or Korea it just says that we can better understand Islamist organizations through aid.

      ---Their impact cards concede that religious suppression is inevitable MANY countries around the world- aff does nothing to solve for this.

      ---Religious Oppression Inevitable- authorities

      A. Chinese Government  
      Voice of America, 9-21-11  (“Religious Freedom Worsens In China” http://www.voanews.com/policy/editorials/asia/Religious-Freedom-Worsens-In-China-130288573.html)

       

      "In China," said U.S

      AND

      during imprisonment in 2007 and again in 2009.

      B. Russian Courts
       RT, 09 (May 6th, RT is a  Nonprofit Russian news organization, “Is religious freedom deteriorating in Russia?” http://rt.com/politics/is-religious-freedom-deteriorating-in-russia/)

       

      The commission claims Russian authorities are increasingly intolerant

      AND

      , and the issue receives high profile attention.

       

      First- their impact card doesn’t say the word stability or nuclear war in the context of any of these three countries even mentioned. 

       

      -- No India/Pakistan war –Deterrence

       

      Tellis 2 (Ashley, Foreign Policy Research Institute, Orbis, Winter, p. 24-5)

       

      In the final analysis, this situation is

      AND

      , exists within the greater South Asian region.

       

      -- AIDS can’t cause extinction

       

      Posner 5 (Richard, Senior Lecturer in Law – University of Chicago, Judge – United States Court of Appeals, Seventh Circuit, 1-1, Skeptic, “Catastrophe: The Dozen Most Significant Catastrophic Risks And What We Can Do About Them,” http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-4150331/Catastrophe-the-dozen-most-significant.html#abstract)

       

      Yet the fact that Homo sapiens has managed

      AND

      . And there is always a lust time.

       

       

       

       

      VTL Frontline

       

       

      ---They don’t read an impact card to VTL – evaluate nuclear war first, can’t have VTL if we are all dead.

       

      No link, no impact, and turn – You can’t measure life’s value. Preserving life is vital to allowing people the right to measure their own value, and their argument is the only way to create life without value.

      Schwartz, Hendry, & Preece 04 Professional Metaphysician, Senior Lecturer, General Practicianer Professor, Academic Surgeon [“Medical Ethics: A case based approach,” Lisa, Paul, and Robert]

       

      Those who choose to reason on this basis

      AND

      persons as rational and as ends in themselves.

      2nc Topicality

       

      Cross-x of the 1nc is pretty if they try to go for the argument that we don’t get links its because they ARENT democracy assistance – this proves abuse and makes it impossible to be neg proves that the primary purpose of the aff is NOT for democracy assistance

       

      Our interpretation is that Democracy Assistance is three-pronged, it must be directed at civil society, political parties and elections. That’s Mitchell and Phillips.

       

      Additionally, in order to be democracy assistance, it must have the primary purpose of democratization, that’s Carothers.

       

      ____Carothers is the leading expert on defining Democracy Assistance

      Burnell 10 (Peter, Professor in the Department of Politics and International Studies at the University of Warwick,

       “Promoting Democracy and Promoting Autocracy: Towards A Comparative Evaluation,” Journal of Politics and Law Vol. 3, No. 2; September 2010)

       

      Most democracy promoters foreswear the use of highly

      AND

      (see for example Carothers 1999 and 2004).

       

       

      ____Democracy Assistance must be action directed primarily at democratic progress, can’t be passive

      Huber 8 (Daniela, former Carlo Schmid Fellow at the United Nations Office for Project Services, holds an MA in International Relations from the Free University of Berlin, Mediterranean Politics, Vol. 13, No. 1, March, “Democracy Assistance in the Middle East and North Africa: A Comparison of US and EU Policies,” p. 44-46)

       

      The American researcher Thomas Carothers gives a definition

      AND

      Table 1 visualizes the different democracy promotion instruments.

       

      ___Excluding indirect support for democracy is key to definitional clarity

      Lappin 10 (Richard, Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade, “What we talk about when we talk about Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation,” Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, Vol 4, Issue 1, 2010)

       

      Such fastidiousness on the boundaries of what should

      AND

      post-conflict democracy assistance can be drawn.

       

      Our interpretation is the best for debate:

       

      Limits – opening the door for security assistance makes it inevitable that other forms of assistance, development assistance, foreign assistance, conflict prevention assistance will be allowed in, making the topic unacceptably broad. This destroys negative predictability and preparation, makes debates stale and unfair.

      Education – mixing in security assistance re-orients the focus of the topic away from democracy assistance and it various modes. There is plenty of literature that is directly about these types of projects which include civil society, party support and election assistance.

       

      ___Limits outweigh – they’re the vital access point for any theory impact – its key to fairness – huge research burdens mean we can’t prepare to compete – and its key to education – big topics cause hyper-generics, lack of clash, and shallow debate – and it destroys participation

      Rowland 84 (Robert C., Debate Coach – Baylor University, “Topic Selection in Debate”, American Forensics in Perspective, Ed. Parson, p. 53-54)

       

      The first major problem identified by the work

      AND

      led some small schools to cancel their programs.

       

      Our interpretation solves their offense:

       

      Sufficient Aff Flexibility – our interpretation allows the affirmative wide latitude in selecting plan mechanisms and using a diverse set of mechanisms of democracy assistance. This could include judicial independence, election reform, free press, governance support, the list goes on. We simply exclude non-democratic forms of assistance that merely result in some democratic progress. 

      Diverse Advantage Ground – our interpretation allows the aff to access the best set of possible advantages, including US democracy leadership, Egyptian elections, global democracy consolidation, Syrian politics, hegemony, globalization, etc. They can access virtually all of the same advantages, but the route has to go through democracy assistance, not some other form of assistance.

       

      ____Lack of precise interp turns case

      Lappin 10 (Richard, Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade, “What we talk about when we talk about Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation,” Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, Vol 4, Issue 1, 2010)

       

      This article has examined the emergence of democracy

      AND

      of formulating effective democratic means will remain improbable. 

       

      A2 Reasonability: 2NC

       

      --They aren’t reasonable – the Aff literally explodes the topic and eviscerates ground – they lose under their own standard

       

      -- Topicality is a prima facie affirmative burden, the aff has to demonstrate they are topical, otherwise you could vote neg for the plan as outside the scope of the resolution.

       

      -- Prefer competing interpretations –

       

      A) Only objective standard – reasonability is arbitrary and takes the debate out of the hands of the debaters by encouraging overtly subjective decisions.

       

      B) Incentivizes bad debate – Negs would read their worst strategy to prove abuse – don’t punish well-prepared teams.

       

      -- Competing interpretations should be judged by both precision and limits – means debate mirrors relevant topic literature with respect to particular resolutional wording – solves race to the bottom.

       

       

       

       

       

      2nc MB CP

      CP SOLVES:

      There are two ways to solve a situation where the U.S. has picked a winner. Either the U.S. can provide funding to all political organizations OR eliminate all funding. The CP is the latter.

      Carothers, 2/24/2011 (Thomas, vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, How not to promote democracy in Egypt, Washington Post, p. http://carnegieeurope.eu/publications/?fa=42766)

      As the U.S. government assesses

      AND

      exclusion would be a good way to start.

      We just have to prove the CP is sufficient to solve their advantage. Their Slavin concedes that the unlevel playing field is what allows the Muslim Brotherhood radical strength.

      Their Hamid evidence proves the CP solves. It says that the U.S. should not favor one group over another. If Obama publicly affirms the right of all to participate, a signal would be sent.

      Picking winners is a source of radicalization – the CP is engagement.

      Duss 11 (Matthew, Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress – Center for American Progress and MA in Middle East Studies – University of Washington, “Recognizing Reality in the Middle East”, Center for American Progress Report, 7-1, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/07/middle_east_reality.html)

       

      It appears the U.S. government

      AND

      Clinton’s comments were a step in that direction.

       

       

      A2: Perm do both

      Group perm do both and p do the CP in this case they are fundamentally the same:

      No chance of solvency the perm is theoretically impossible its not possible to support all political parties and none simultaneously any articulation of the perm is either severance or intrinsic both are equally bad because they prevent education and discussion of policy options and make the aff a moving target which is an independent fairness voter for predictability

      And perm doesn’t solve anyway because it re-entrenches the US in favoritism bc inevitably there would be a way to justify funding SOME in an attempt to both fund all and none and it still links to the politics and BL net benefits

      2nc BL

      Military Backlash – Impact 2NC

       

      Status quo military is anti-reform and is afraid of losing power any indication that the US will support religious groups that the military doesn’t is garaunteed to cause a lashout that’s the 1nc allen evidence it specifically indicts the lack of political will from the military as a reason preventing status quo reform this also implicates aff’s potential for plan solvency

      Military backlash outweighs and turns the case –  any link to the DA ensures that extremism will rise post-plan shouldering out attempts to be inclusive and making US/Egypt coordination net worse this increases the likelihood of a counterterrorism failure or of their supposed incentive for nuclear terror and it ensures religious liberty doesn’t last turning the internals to both the first and second advantages because religious tyranny in a post-freedom world is empirically net worse

      --Biggest impact – Egypt-Israeli war quickly escalates – Israel would launch its entire nuclear arsenal and the US, Russia, and China all get drawn in causing quick extinction from nuclear winter – that’s Morgan.

       

      Democracy aid causes military freak out – they want all aid to go through them to stifle opposition groups and maintain close ties with the US – that’s Richter and Fleishman.  Current hyper-sensitivity means even small aid packages cause major backlash.

       

      --Link alone turns case –

      1. military freak out means NGOs won’t accept aid because they fear military backlash – that’s Richter and Fleischman.  Also, generals will jack reforms in every way possible – it’s empirically the biggest obstacle in democratic transitions – that’s Allen.

       

      2.  – military freak out means MB won’t be able to effectively coordinate with the US gutting plan solvency and worsening harms, causes the impact

       

      Military Backlash – Link 2NC

       

      Aid to political parties uniquely causes backlash – it helps the military’s opponent making them fear loss of power – that’s Richter and Fleischman.

       

      1nr Jobs Ptx

      DA outweighs the case –

      A) Magnitude – escalates to nuclear war that draws in other great powers. That’s Mead.

       

      Economic downturn causes the U.S. to withdraw from democracy engagement in the Middle East.

      Bacevich, 2/27/2011 (Andrew J., Strategy: Sit On Your Hands, Newsweek, p. http://www.newsweek.com/2011/02/27/strategy-sit-on-your-hands.html)

      Then came the financial crisis of 2008.

      AND

      that decades of American folly had helped create.

       

       

      U 2NC

      Jobs bill can pass on a piecemeal basis – GOP will cooperate with Obama. That’s the 1NC Jackson evidence.

      If we win any of our components will pass, you err neg on uniqueness. Their evidence assumes the jobs bill as a whole.

      More reasons –

      Enormous pressure for transportation.

      Sneider, 10/14/2011 (Julie, Surface transportation funding measure could pass by year’s end, LaHood says, Progressive Railroading, p. http://www.progressiverailroading.com/federal_legislation_regulation/news/Surface-transportation-funding-measure-could-pass-by-years-end-LaHood-says--28429)

      Political pressure to craft legislation that would produce

      AND

      transportation infrastructure bill would create thousands of jobs.

      GOP support for a transportation compromise.

      Politico, 10/13/2011 (House GOP embraces big-ticket legislation, p. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/65934.html)

      House Republicans are doing an about-face

      AND

      passing massive pieces of legislation was much easier.

      Piecemeal jobs can pass – capital is key

      Wall Street Journal, 10/7/2011 (Obama pushes for jobs bill, p. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203476804576614823138026068.html)

      President Barack Obama, fearing his $447

      AND

      take the parts that we can agree on."

       

      AT: GOP opposes

       

       

      Evidence in the context of huge jobs bill that passes – this isn’t what we are – obama can use his PC to get them to overcome concerns – and the ununderlined parts say that compromise is possible and likely

       

      Obama can use his capital to win votes and pass it – we p/d

      Wright, 10/14/2011 (Kai, Is President Obama’s Jobs Drumbeat Working?, Color Lines, p. http://colorlines.com/archives/2011/10/is_president_obamas_jobs_drumbeat_working.html)

      But what Obama’s new insistence on a jobs

      AND

      might be at a turning point in Washington.

      AT: Aid now

       

       

      Budget cuts means lack of aid in places like Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya.

      NYT, 10-8-11, (“No Time to Get Stingy” http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/09/opinion/sunday/no-time-to-get-stingy-about-foreign-aid.html)

       

      The trend is shifting again. As chart

      AND

      seriously harms our ability to do just that. 

       

      AT: blip on the radar

       

       

      Budget battles make democracy assistance massively controversial – even small amount of spending on MENA ensures huge battles

      McLaughlin, 4-26-11 (Seth, writer for Washington Diplomat, "Key foreign policy players try to master capitol hill," www.washdiplomat.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=7829:key-foreign-policy-players-try-to-master-capitol-hill&catid=1473:may-2011&Itemid=471)

      Though the State Department and foreign operations budget

      AND

      operating expenses were trimmed by $39 million.

      AT: no money

      Link not just about funding – 1nc ev says Egypt seems like too sticky of a mess

       

       

      A2: DA Not Intrinsic

       

      -- Our disad is intrinsic – the link proves that the plan results in ______________________.

       

      -- Destroys all ground –

       

      A) No disad is intrinsic – “make-up calls” can be crafted to solve any link or impact – even purely reaction-based DAs like Relations can be avoided by having the government cut the offended nation a big check

       

      B) Fairness outweighs – logical debate is worthless if the Neg always loses. Fairness protects the forum that makes debate educational

       

      -- Moving target – intrinsicness makes the plan conditional – destroys fairness because it's the locus of debate

       

      -- Not logical: no single actor can do the plan and other actions. Even Congress is made up of many individual legislators.

       

      -- Empirical intrinsicness checks – the Aff can read evidence that Congress will react to the plan by taking action – but not fiat that it occurs

      A2: Fiat Solves / Magic Wand

       

      -- Voting issue –

       

      Uneducational – details of enactment are important

       

      Not real world – there’s no magic wand, nothing passes instantly

       

      Crushes ground – politics DAs are core offense on a broad topic

       

      -- Our interpretation: plan passes immediately via normal political processes

       

      -- Links worse: rushed enactment amplifies opposition, backlash is greater because there’s no time for debate

       

       

      AT: Olive Branch

       

      This card probably goes neg – says that right wing conservatives like when we promote Christians and stuff like that – his 2ac explanation just says they don’t like Christians being killed – it definitely

      Opposition to Egyptian assistances outweighs bipartisan support in Congress

      Rogin 2-2-2011 (Josh, Foreign Policy Magazine, “How the Senate resolution on Egyptian democracy died,” http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/02/02/how_the_senate_resolution_on_egyptian_democracy_died)

      Last fall, a bipartisan group of senators

      AND

      be torpedoed by a small number of lawmakers.

      AT:  Winners Win

      Winners lose – any major win is the quickest way to kill future proposals. The GOP will backlash

      The Economist, 2/16/2011 (What’s the equilibrium here?, p. lexis)

      The Obama administration's theory of policymaking amid divided

      AND

      one presumes, by a desire to win elections

       

       

       

      . One supposes that they feel they must

      AND

      to let the president have such a win.

       




11/01/11
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