Saudi DA

US-Saudi relations stable but fragile now—US support for democracy in MENA causes Saudi foreign policy defiance

Global Insight 9/27/11 ("Pakistan Intelligence Officials Talk to Saudi and Chinese Counterparts," lexis)

Saudi trade relations with China have also blossomed

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to a period of greater foreign policy defiance.

US-Saudi relations are high despite the US stance on Mubarak but the Arab spring ensures tension exists

Bakshi 11 (5-22, Amar C, CNN World, in partnership with TIME, “The state of the Saudi-U.S. relationship,” served as Special Assistant to the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations,  Associate Managing Editor of the Oxford International Review, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/03/22/the-state-of-the-saudi-u-s-relationship/)

At the bureaucratic level, the Saudi-

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population that will likely vote along sectarian lines.

The Arab Spring has created a divide in the US-Saudi relationship

Keleman 11 (Michele, 4-12, “U.S. Sends Another Top Official To Saudi Arabia” NPR, http://www.npr.org/2011/04/12/135354914/u-s-sends-another-top-official-to-saudi-arabia, Master's degree from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies in Russian and East European Affairs and International Economics, currently traveling with and chronicling Secretary of State Hillary Clinton)

The Saudis canceled recent plans for Secretary of

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since the shah of Iran fell in 1979.

Saudi DA – Yemen Links

Saudi Arabia will backlash against the Affirmative’s promotion of democratic reform in Yemen—they want a stable political transition, NOT a civil democratic state 

Democracy Digest 6/6/11 ("Saudi Arabia: countervailing power or ‘midwives of change’ in Yemen?," http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/06/saudi-arabia-countervailing-power-or-midwives-of-change-in-yemen/)

With Yemen finely poised between transition and regression

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delicate and tortured than elsewhere in the region.

Loss of relations causes Saudi proliferation

Guzansky 11 (Yoel, research fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University, INSS member, served at Israel's National Security Council; "Tehran tests Saudis’ Nerve on Nukes", LEXIS)

UNTIL recently it appeared that US security guarantees

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a cost of more than $US300 billion.

Saudi prolif spills over

Center for Contemporary Conflict 4  (“Conference on WMD Proliferation in the Middle East: Directions and Policy Options in the New Century” http://www.ciaonet.org/olj/si/si_3_8/si_3_8_ruj01.pdf)

James Russell from the Naval Postgraduate School presented

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means to ensure U.S. engagement?

Rapid prolif risks arms racing, terrorism, and nuclear war

Sokolski 9 (Henry, Executive Director – Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, “Avoiding a Nuclear Crowd”, Policy Review, June/July, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/46390537.html)

Finally, several new nuclear weapons contenders are

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None of this, however, is inevitable.

CP TEXT: The European Union should offer assistance for local governance training programs and assistance for civil society groups.

EU democracy assistance solves and avoids backlash

Hill, 11 (Steven, Writer at the Global Policy Institute, “The Arab Spring is an Opportunity...for Europe”, July 8, http://www.gpilondon.com/index.php?id=302)

The Arab Spring is a historic moment of

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Mideast power balance has tipped somewhat toward Iran.

2NC

Counterplan boosts EU soft power – EU engagement through democracy assistance taps into core values that boost its credibility and allow it to achieve key foreign policy objectives – that’s Martin

And, more warrants for why the counterplan revitalizes EU soft power:

First, it demonstrates foreign policy unity

Scimia, 11 (Emanuele, journalist and geopolitical analyst based in Rome, “The Arab Spring and the EU”, The Jerusalem Post, May 2, http://www.jpost.com/Magazine/Features/Article.aspx?id=216561)

More divisive than ever, the EU needs

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to several European states hit by economic woes.]  

Second, it’s a unique opportunity to show commitment

Pfeil, 11 (Hélène, journalist for the French newspaper Opinion Internationale, “The EU in the Arab spring”, 7/20, http://www.thenewscollective.org/display-related-news.php?itemHeadline=The+EU+in+the+Arab+spring%2C+H%C3%A9l%C3%A8ne+Pfeil)

Now the Arab revolutions have called this entire

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as well as on the European continent itself. 

EU assistance to MENA reinvigorates its credibility

The Ditchley Foundation, 11 (“Who holds the power in Europe?”, April 7, http://www.ditchley.co.uk/page/379/europe.htm)

In these circumstances the feeling was that expectations

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and now North Africa and the Middle East.

Solvency

EU democracy assistance is superior to the aff – regional expertise and avoids backlash

Abboud, 10 (Noufal, MA in Human Rights and BA in Law, Regional Coordinator for Arab Asia Program- Acting Head of Program for Human Security Alliance (HSA), “Regenerating the State in the Arab World: The Role Of the European Union in Democracy Building”, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance,  http://www.idea.int/resources/analysis/upload/Abboud_low_1.pdf)

Finally, the Arab world desperately needs a

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play the role of either catalyst or teacher.

EU assistance comparatively better – superior experience

Hanelt and Möller, 11 (Christian-Peter, Middle East expert at Bertelsmann Stiftung, and Almut, Head of the Alfred von Oppenheim Center for European Policy Studies at the Research Institute of

the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) in Berlin., “How the European Union can Support Change in North Africa”, Feb, Spotlight Europe, http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Digital-Library/Policy-Briefs/Detail/?lng=en&id=127838)

The European Union can merely offer to support

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other countries and organizations can attend as observers.

Solvency – Avoids Backlash 2NC

US assistance fails – EU has a genuine opportunity to build trust and a lasting relationship – comparative ev

Fakhro, 9 (E. A., LLB from Queen Mary College, University of London, and is currently studying for an LLM in international human rights law at Harvard Law School,  “The European Union and Islam: Democracy Promotion in Bahrain and the Arab World”, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, http://www.idea.int/resources/analysis/upload/Fakhro_low_2.pdf)

At the policymaking level, the EU could

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term ally and partner of the Arab  world.

EU already an established credible actor for democracy assistance

Fakhro, 9 (E. A., LLB from Queen Mary College, University of London, and is currently studying for an LLM in international human rights law at Harvard Law School,  “The European Union and Islam: Democracy Promotion in Bahrain and the Arab World”, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, http://www.idea.int/resources/analysis/upload/Fakhro_low_2.pdf)

Any entity that seeks to promote democracy in

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term ally and  partner of the Arab world.

EU approach key to avoid backlash

Von Meijenfeldt, 11 (Roel, chairperson of the European Partnership for Democracy, the Brussels-based democracy assistance group, and a member of the steering committee of the World Movement for Democracy, “Beyond fear: how the EU can support Arab reform”, Democracy Digest, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/03/beyond-fear-how-the-eu-can-support-arab-reform/)

Suspicion of the West

The Arab world’s people-power revolutions and

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a major asset in the EU’s foreign policy.

a1NC

A. Interpretation – democracy assistance must have the primary purpose of fostering democracy.

Lappin 10 (Richard, Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the University of Leuven, visiting scholar at the Faculty of Political Sciences at the University of Belgrade, “What we talk about when we talk about Democracy Assistance: The Problem of Definition in Post-Conflict Approaches to Democratisation,” Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, Vol 4, Issue 1, 2010)

Such fastidiousness on the boundaries of what should

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post-conflict democracy assistance can be drawn.

B. Violation – only police affs targeted at democracy building are topical. We have an exclusive definition.

Carothers, 1993 (Thomas, In the Name of Democracy, p. 215)

ICITAP was not the only police training program

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stronger and more effective in their operational capabilities.

C. Standards –

1. Limits – our interpretation limits out operational training affs that boost police training in counterterrorism, narcotics, nation-building, security, riot control or any other way to use the police. These affs explode the topic and undermine predictable research.

2. Ground – core neg generics are predicated on the “Arab Springs” and a promotion of democracy. Any other interpretation allows the aff to avoid this core mechanism and gut neg DA links and CP ground.

D. Voting issue – for fairness, education and competitive equity. Err on competing interpretations when there is an exclusive definition.

ESF DA – 1NC

US renewed commitment to Pakistani economic assistance

AFP, 11 (“US renews commitment to economic support for Pakistan”, July 15, Business Recorder, http://www.brecorder.com/pakistan/business-a-economy.html)

WASHINGTON: The United States on Thursday renewed

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priorities and make sure that they match Pakistan's.

Aff’s funding forces a tradeoff within the ESF budget

POMED, 11 (Project on Middle East Democracy, “Summary and Highlights of FY11 Appropriations Act”, April 17, http://pomed.org/blog/2011/04/summary-and-highlights-of-fy11-appropriations-act.html/)

Speaking on the wave of democratic protests in

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from Economic Support Funds intended for other programming.

ESF funding is key to Pakistani economic growth

Kronstadt and Epstein, 11 (Susan B., Specialist in Foreign Policy, K. Alan, Specialist in South Asian Affairs, “Pakistan: U.S. Foreign Assistance”, June 7, Congressional Research Service, www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R41856.pdf)

The Economic Support Fund (ESF), $

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FY2012 request – $20.0 million)

That causes regional instability, terror, economic collapse, and global war

Walayat 10 (Nadeem, Editor – Market Oracle, “Pakistan Collapse Could Trigger Global Great Depression and World War III”, The Market Oracle, 1-16, http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article16543.html) 

During 2009 the 2600 terrorist attacks resulted in

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Depression ultimately resulted in the Second World War.