Plan
Plan: The United States Federal Government should provide technical support for the democratic political transition in Libya through the United Nations Support Mission in Libya.
Advantage One- Stability
Libyan instability is rampant -- guarantees civil war
DJ 12-29 (Digital Journal, “Libyan Civil War Coming in 2012,” http://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/535072)
The coming year could create a lot of
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that Libya “is a conflict without boundaries.”
Technical assistance through the UN boosts NTC legitimacy and establishes the foundations for a democratic transition.
El Kasm, 11/10/2011 (Saeb – anti-corruption consultant whose clients include the UNODC, Lecturer at University of California, Irvine, Rebuilding Libya, Truthout, p. http://www.truth-out.org/rebuilding-libya/1320958361)
In order to restore law and order,
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requests and keep the Libyan transition on track.
Libya needs technical assistance to transition to democracy. That prevents a collapse.
Democracy Digest, 9/13/2011 (Libya’s maneuver ahead of ‘complex’ transition, p. http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/09/libya%E2%80%99s-factions-maneuver-ahead-of-complex-transition/)
“Transition is complex, open-ended
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will turn bad very soon and very quickly.”
Libyan collapse destabilizes the region and undermines stability in Iraq.
Pack, 3/18/2011 (Jason – researcher of Libya at Oxford University’s St. Antony’s College, Libya is too big to fail, Foreign Policy, p. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/03/18/libya_is_too_big_to_fail?page=full)
Today we face a familiar dilemma. Libya
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simply too big to be allowed to fail.
Iraq instability escalates to world war three.
Corsi 7 (Jerome, "War with Iran is imminent," Phd in Poly Sci @ Harvard, author, + staff reporter @ World Net Daily, 1-8, http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=53669)
If a broader war breaks out in Iraq
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much as World Wars I and II began.
African conflicts escalate to great power wars.
Glick, 12/12/2007 (Caroline – senior Middle East fellow at the Center for Security Policy, Condi’s African holiday, p. http://www.centerforsecuritypolicy.org/home.aspx?sid=56&categoryid=56&subcategoryid=90&newsid=11568)
The Horn of Africa is a dangerous and
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which flows through all countries of the region.
That goes nuclear.
Deutsch 2001 (Dr. Jeffery – founder at Rabid Tiger Project, Rabid Tiger Newsletter, Vol. 2, No. 7, 11-18, p. http://www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html)
The Rabid Tiger Project believes that a nuclear
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, and some people love to go fishing.
U.S. democracy assistance is critical to prevent transitional violence. Only the United States has the expertise establish the foundations of stability.
Margon, 8/22/2011 (Sarah - associate director for Sustainable Security at American Progress, Libya Will Still Need Help After Qaddafi’s Departure, Center for American Progress, p. http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/libya_next_stage.html)
Ensuring political unity in the TNC is crucial
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strong commitment to doing so on all fronts.
U.S. expertise and political knowledge is critical to prevent democratic backsliding.
Vandewalle, 4/6/2011 (Dirk – teaches in the department of government at Dartmouth, The Reconstruction of Libya – Local and International Constraints and Opportunities, Testimony before the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, p. http://foreign.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Vandewalle%20Testimony.pdf)
As the United States continues to find its
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the foundations of a future, democratic Libya.
Advantage Two – Multilateralism
Advantage Two – Multilateralism
Sustained UN engagement on Libya is critical to maintain U.S. leadership, garner cooperation on multiple issues and overall multilateralism. The alternative is counterbalancing.
Brimmer, 9/15/2011 (Esther - assistant secretary of the Bureau of International Organization Affairs, A Misguided Assault, p. http://www.humanrights.gov/2011/09/15/a-misguided-assault-why-the-united-nations-matters/)
Glancing at the agenda of the upcoming General
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those who would not act in our interests.
Solves proliferation and terrorism.
Wirth, 3/22/2011 (Timothy – former senator from Colorado, served as the Undersecretary for Global Affairs in the Clinton Administration, president of the United Nations Foundation, The US-UN partnership: greater engagement will bring a greater institution, Harvard International Review, p. EBSCO Host)
The greatest challenges to US national security today
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nuclear program and prospered from its illicit activities.
Terrorists have the means.
Bunn, November 2008 (Matthew – associate professor of public policy at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Securing the Bomb 2008, p. v)
Terrorists are still seeking nuclear weapons— and
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do to ensure that they are effectively secured.
And they can deliver.
Allison and Kokoshin, Fall 2002 (Graham – professor of government and former director of the Belfer Center at Harvard University, and Andrei – member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, The New Containment, The National Interest, p. lexis)
As Robert Walpole, a National Intelligence Officer
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be able to smuggle in a nuclear bomb."
Terrorism causes retaliation that sparks global nuclear war and extinction.
Ayson 2010 (Robert, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand – Victoria University of Wellington, “After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects”, Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 33(7), July)
A terrorist nuclear attack, and even the
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might not help the chances of nuclear restraint.
Prolif escalates to global nuclear war.
Utgoff, Summer 2002 (Victor – deputy director for strategy, forces and resources division at the Institute for Defense Analysis, Survival, p. OUP Journals)
Widespread proliferation is likely to lead to an
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bodies of dead cities or even whole nations.
Regional conflicts escalate to WMD wars.
Dean, May 1995 (Jonathan – adviser on International Security Issues at the Union of Concerned Scientists, A Stronger UN Strengthens America, The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, p. http://www.thebulletin.org/issues/1995/ma95/ma95.dean.html)
Experts throughout the world expect growing population pressures
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can head off an increasing number of conflicts.
Global human rights prevents extinction.
Copelon 1998/1999 (Rhonda - professor of law and director of the International Women’s Human Rights Law Clinic, 3 N.Y. City L. Rev. 59, p. lexis)
The indivisible human rights framework survived the Cold
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to bear on both domestic and foreign policy.
Climate leadership is critical to solve warming – prevents extinction.
Moon 10/25/2009 (Ban Ki – secretary general of the United Nations, We Can Do It, New York Times, p. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/26/opinion/26iht-edban.html)
Every day, the critical December summit in
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are implanting programs to curb emissions as well.
Only multilateral cooperation prevents great power wars that make extinction inevitable.
Dyer, 12/30/2004 (Gwynne – former senior lecturer in war studies at the Royal Military Academy Sandhurt, The End of War, The Toronto Star, p. lexis)
The "firebreak" against nuclear weapons use
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then history will repeat itself and everybody loses.
The US needs to take action in Libya through the UN – key to avoid backlash and diminished US credibility
Bauer, 11 (William, “America Must Be A Back Seat Driver”, Polymic, August, http://www.policymic.com/article/show?id=1470&op=no)
So, what is next for Libya?
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the U.S. has to offer.
Libya is the test case for the future of Obama’s multilateral approach.
Rothkopf, 3/18/2011 (David - visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Why the U.N. vote on Libya means almost as much for Obama as for Qaddafi, Foreign Policy, p. http://rothkopf.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/03/18/why_the_un_vote_on_libya_means_almost_as_much_for_obama_as_for_qaddafi)
This is not because Libya is such a
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to be able to take credit for leading.
Coalitions of the willing cannot substitute for the UN.
Tharoor, September-October 2003 (Shashi – UN undersecretary-general for communication and public information, Why America still needs the United Nations, Foreign Affairs, p. EBSCO Host)
Nonetheless, since the Iraq crisis, some
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of international unilateralism may no longer be sustainable.
Advantage Three – Burden Sharing
A grand strategy of burden sharing is critical to prevent counterbalancing and getting sustained cooperation on global issues.
Ikenberry, January-February 2010 (G. John – Albert G. Milbank Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University and Global Eminence scholar at Kyung Hee University, The Right Grand Strategy, The American Interest, p. http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=760)
President Obama inherited the most daunting and intractable
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is beginning the process of gaining it back.
A shift to burden sharing is critical to maintain effective leadership.
Beauchamp, 8/22/2011 (Zack - former research associate at the Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics at the University of Oxford, Daily Dish apprentice at Newsweek and the Daily Beast, Libya, "Leading From Behind," And Global Policemen, The Daily Beast, p. http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2011/08/libya-leading-from-behind-and-global-policemen.html)
Police forces aren't made up of one member
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have to conduct every patrol on their own.
US leadership prevents great powers wars.
Khalilzad, 2/8/2011 (Zalmay – former United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq and the United Nations, The Economy and National Security, National Review, p. http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/259024/economy-and-national-security-zalmay-khalilzad?page=3%29)
We face this domestic challenge while other major
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most significant barrier facing Chinese hegemony and aggression.
Nuclear war.
Khalilzad 1995 (Zalmay – sixteen years younger than the above card, Losing The Moment? Washington Quarterly, Vol 18, No 2, p. 84)
Under the third option, the United States
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bipolar or a multipolar balance of power system.
The plan locks-in the strategy of burden sharing and multilateralism.
Brady, August 2011 (Kyle - author of Modern America: The End of Political Discourse, Libya shows multilateralism is new U.S. strategy, Policymic, p. http://www.policymic.com/articles/libya-shows-multilateralism-is-new-u-s-strategy)
The involvement of the United States in the
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to be tested, refined and fully institutionalized.
Aid now – triggers the DAs, but doesn’t solve
WSJ 12-28 (Wall Street Journal, “MIA on the Shores of Tripoli,” Online)
Leon Panetta offered a good gesture with last
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be a success unless he finishes this job.
