The United States federal government should substantially increase civil society direct grants to Egyptian non-governmental organizations.
Democracy assistance to Egypt WAS direct aid to NGOs
Abdel-Baky 8/18/11
http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1061/eg1.htm
al-ahram staff
"USAID has contributed to Egyptian development needs………. the money is being distributed directly to NGOs without passing through governmental channels, such as the Ministry of State for International Cooperation.
The US WAFFLED – assistance is channeled through the government
De Los Reyes 8/16/11
http://www.devex.com/en/blogs/development-assistance-under-obama/in-egypt-compromise-on-us-funds-for-ngos-raises-fears-of-government-control-2
After months of standing its ground on its decision to channel funds directly to civil society groups, the U.S. government has agreed to let the Egyptian government identify the priorities for distributing its aid. This, however, has raised
Adv. 1—Transition
Liberals and the SCAF are trapped in a loop of protest and repression
Hamid and Plumbly 7/14/11
http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/0714_egypt_military_state_hamid.aspx
Shadi Hamid, Director of Research, Brookings Doha Center
Samuel Plumbly, Research Assistant, Brookings Doha Center
For nearly two months, from January 18 to March 4………… he voting booth and the ballot box.
Collapse of SCAF control is inevitable – the Muslim Brotherhood will takeover
Cook 8/29/11
http://www.copts.com/english/?p=2590
In the weeks and months since Egypt’s military officers……. Egyptian officers should not even bother trying.
Muslim brotherhood will spark a war with Israel – goes nuclear
Meir-Levi 9/7/11
http://frontpagemag.com/2011/09/07/nine-fronts-in-the-next-war/2/
Igniting a new war between Israel and Egypt…….. during its 1948 war of survival.
The Sinai is uniquely destabilizing – guarantees nuclear use
Zitun 9/5/11
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4118220,00.html
IDF general: Likelihood of regional war growing Senior IDF officer warns of 'radical Islamic winter' that may lead to regional war, could prompt use of WMDs…….. Eisenberg's remarks were approved for publication by censorship officials.
The brotherhood hasn’t “moderated”
Radosh, 11
,http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=7727
At present, the Brotherhood leaders pledge to not seek a presidential candidate and to be content with having a place at the table, as they do in the coalition that is meeting to write a new Egyptian constitution. Their apparent stance of moderation….. remaining a minority in a new democratic Egypt.
Brotherhood influence is inevitable – the plan creates a counterweight to prevent a political monopoly
Trager, September/October 11
http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC06.php?CID=1704
Washington should view the recent rise of the Muslim….- the liberal vision for which the youths of Tahrir Square fought so valiantly.
Protestors will boycott the election – tanks the transition
Lynch 9/6/11
http://lynch.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/09/06/will_egypts_activists_boycott_the_election
Marc Lynch is associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University.
But in some ways the turnout….. achieving a democratic Egypt.
Stopping street protests also key to Egypt-Israeli relations
Jerusalem Post editorial 9/11/11
http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Editorials/Article.aspx?id=237564
The Jerusalem Post is an Israeli daily English-language broadsheet newspaper, founded on December 1, 1932 by Gershon Agron as The Palestine Post. The daily readership numbers (tens of thousands) do not approach those of the major Hebrew newspapers. While it was once regarded as left-wing, the paper underwent a noticeable shift to the right in the late 1980s.[3] After 2004, under the editorial leadership of Editor-in-Chief David Horovitz, a non-partisan, more inclusive editorial line was fostered. Today the Post features columns and opinion articles spanning the political spectrum.
Shortly after thousands of incensed….. transition to the post- Mubarak era
Strong relations solve their impacts
Satloff, 11
Robert Satloff, executive director of The Washington Institute9/26/11, “Hanging by a Thread,” http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/opedsPDFs/4e68e438f05fd.pdf
IT’S THE GRANDDADDY OF ALL….. are too high not to try.
US direct grants to independent NGOs solve Egyptian confidence in the transition
Schenker 7/25/11
http://www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=52459
David Schenker is the Aufzien fellow and director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, from where this monograph, of which this is part 6, is adapted. Previously, he served as Levant country director, the Pentagon’s top policy aide on the Arab countries of the Levant, in the Office of the Secretary of Defense; in that capacity he was responsible for advising the secretary and other senior Pentagon leadership on the military and political affairs of Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, and the Palestinian territories.
As Egypt approaches this crossroads….. for a transition to a democratic system.
BUILDING CONFIDENCE among LIBERAL GROUPS solves STREET PROTEST
Paciello 11
Maria Cristina Paciello is researcher for Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) in Rome and lecturer in
Economic and Political Geography of Development at La Sapienza University of Rome. The author is
indebted to Dr Rym Ayadi, Prof. Abdul-Monem Al Mashat, Prof. Alia El-Mehdi and Dr Nathalie Tocci
for their insightful comments.
Egypt: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition
Maria Cristina Paciello
MEDPRO Technical Report No. 4/May 2011
While the direction of Egypt’s political……. to democracy moves forward.
Advantage two is Iran
The plan reinvigorates U.S. regional credibility – our stance on Egypt is key
Hamid 4/26/11
Shadi Hamid, Director of Research, Brookings Doha Center
http://www.brookings.edu/articles/2011/0426_middle_east_hamid.aspx
The revolutions are far from complete….. emphasis away from the latter
Nothing else matters
Michele Kelemen 11, covers the State Department for NPR, “U.S. Could Use Egypt To Boost Credibility, Some Say”, February 11, https://www.npr.org/2011/02/11/133661083/u-s-could-use-egypt-to-boost-credibility-some-say
Miller says this is part of a long….. to make sure there are real reforms.
The US must transition to an ideational model of Mid East engagement or risk total irrelevance – Egypt is the key
Peter Fettner 11, prof and PhD candidate in philosophy at Temple, published writer and researcher on US foreign policy, (writing under the pseudonym Byron), “Investigative Analysis: Soft Power in the Middle East – Reforming American Foreign Policy”, August 26, http://www.presstorm.com/2011/08/soft-power-in-the-middle-east-reforming-american-foreign-policy/
It’s easy to read the revolutions…. United States to respond.
Perception of US weakness emboldens Iran and causes other countries to bandwagon
Jon Alterman 11, director and senior fellow of the Middle East Program at CSIS, Former member of the Policy Planning Staff at the U.S. Department of State and as a special assistant to the assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs, June 2011, “Capacity and Resolve: Foreign Assessments of U.S. Power,” http://csis.org/files/publication/110613_Cohen_CapacityResolve_Web.pdf
Whatever the actual cost….. set of actions and statements.
Credibility garnered from transitions solves Iran expansionism
Marc Lynch 11, associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, “Upheaval: U.S. Policy Toward Iran in a Changing Middle East”, June, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_Upheaval_Lynch_2.pdf
America’s interest in preventing…. that commitment in practice
Causes regional war and miscalc
Marc Lynch 11, associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, “Upheaval: U.S. Policy Toward Iran in a Changing Middle East”, June, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_Upheaval_Lynch_2.pdf
As it struggles to recalibrate its Iran policy…… and game-changing war.
Goes nuclear
James A. Russell, Senior Lecturer, National Security Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School, ‘9 (Spring) “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East” IFRI, Proliferation Papers, #26, http://www.ifri.org/downloads/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf
Strategic stability in the region is….. risk for the entire world.
Their defense is out-dated and overly optimistic
Herbert I. London 10, President Emeritus of Hudson Institute, “The Coming Crisis in the Middle East”, June 23, http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=7101&pubType=HI_Opeds
The gathering storm in the…. That is a truly bad sign.
