2NC
Middle East escalation empirically denied
Drum ‘7 (Kevin Drum September 9 2007 The Washington Monthly, “The Chaos Hawks”
Needless to say, this is nonsense… No regional conflagration.
Conflict will not escalate – casualties low and empirically false
Luttwak ‘7 (Edward Luttwak (senior adviser at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies) May 2007 “The middle of nowhere”, Prospect
Why are middle east experts …about as many as are killed in a season of conflict in Darfur.
He concludes deterrence solves – this matters because he cites the aff’s article and then refutes it
Russell, senior lecturer, National Security Affairs – Naval Postgraduate School, managing editor – Strategic Insights, December ‘9
(James A, “Extended Deterrence, Security Guarantees, and Nuclear Weapons: U.S. Strategic and Policy Conundrums in the Gulf,” Strategic Studies Institute) [footnote 26 included]
The build out of the … hosting those forces
Syria is key to high oil prices.
Myers, News Press Staff, 2-19
[Jimmy, “Local scholars note Syria's instability” http://www.newspressnow.com/localnews/30496708/detail.html accessed date: 3-30-12 y2k]
The instability caused by …. is not skillful.”
Stability drops prices—new oil paths.
Blewer, an IT security and systems management professional, 2-19
[Blewer, “The oil road through Damascus” http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/NB15Ak02.html accessed date: 3-30-12 y2k[
Middle East oil transit … been missed.
Syrian instability affects entire perception of instability in Middle East.
Oftedal, 8-24-11
[Georg, “The Syrian Uprising and its Impact to the Middle East/GCC Region”]
Turkey is the only one exerting …Middle East.
Less instability drops prices
Hopf ‘1/10 (“End to ethanol subsidy, Middle East tension results in significant spike on gas prices”, Jan 10, 2012, MATT HOPF, Herald-Whig Staff Writer, http://www.whig.com/story/16486157/end-to-ethanol-subsidy-middle-east-tension-results-in-significant-spike-on-gas-prices
The national average has risen to $... in the Middle East could bring some significant relief at the gas pump.
Price high- due to ME instability
Kiiitv ‘3/27 (“Reaction to High Oil Prices”, Mar 27, 2012, http://www.kiiitv.com/story/17270428/reaction-to-high-oil-prices
You can't help but notice … gallon gas is history.
Continued unrest drives prices
Assis ‘12/28 (“Oil futures on a balancing act in 2012”, Dec. 28, 2011, By Claudia Assis, San Francisco-based reporter for MarketWatch., http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-futures-on-a-balancing-act-in-2012-2011-12-28
Crude-oil futures are seen … the first half of the year.
Oil dependence undermines democracy
Sandalow ‘8 (5-22-08 –Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy @ Brookings [David B., “Rising Oil Prices, Declining National Security”,http://www.brookings.edu/testimony/2008/0522_oil_sandalow.aspx]
Finally, oil dependence … corruption.
Degradation leads to extinction
Coyne et al ‘7 Jerry Coyne et al, Professor of Ecology at University of Chicago and Hopi Hoekstra, Professor of Biology at Harvard, 9/24/07 (http://www.truthout.org/article/jerry-coyne-and-hopi-e-hoekstra-the-greatest-dying)
We are relentlessly ….of what
Oil dependence increases the trade deficit
Forbes ‘8 (July 9, 2008, http://www.forbes.com/markets/2008/07/09/iran-oil-update-markets-commodities-cx_ll_mlm_0709markets20.html?feed=rss_markets
Oil dependence poses a grave threat to … force us to send dollars overseas that could be invested at home, and complicate our foreign policy and national security.
Trade deficit causes protectionism
Preeg ’2k [Ernest H., senior fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington and holds a Ph.D. in economics from the New School for Social Research, member of U.S. delegations to the Kennedy and Uruguay Rounds of GATT trade negotiations, State Department Director of the Office of European Community and OECD Affairs, Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Finance and Development, and White House Executive Director of the Economic Policy Group, “The Trade Deficit, the Dollar, and the U.S. National Interest”, Hudson Institute, p. 84-5]
The trade deficit is used … the trade deficit has negative impact on that interest
Goes Nuclear
Panzer ‘8 (Michael J. Panzner, Faculty – New York Institute of Finance. Specializes in Global Capital Markets. MA Columbia, Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse, Revised and Updated Edition [Paperback], p. 137-138
Continuing calls for curbs on the … Western societies as the beginnings of a new world war.
Go global
Schubert ‘10 (Peter J. Schubert, PhD in electrical and computer engineering from Purdue University, holds 30 US patents, 8 foreign patents, and has published over 60 technical papers and book chapters, 12-2010, “Costs, Organization, and Roadmap for SSP,” Online Journal of Space Communication, http://spacejournal.ohio.edu/issue16/schubert.html
For a miracle to occur the US … scarce energy sources. None of these options favor SSP.
Most probable
Hatch ‘10 – (Benjamin Hatch, JD Candidate @ Emory, “Dividing the Pie in the Sky: The Need for a New Lunar Resources Regime,” Emory Int’l Law Review, Hein Online
The dominant political conflict …—the Moon.
Involve Great powers
Klare’ 4 (Klare, Michael. Author of Blood and Oil: The Dangers and Consequences of America's Growing Dependency on Imported Petroleum, expert on oil dependency as professor of Peace and World Security Studies and director of the Five College Program in Peace and World Security Studies. Interview with the Carnegie Council on September 30, 2004. http://www.carnegiecouncil.org/resources/transcripts/5017.html)
This is troubling enough, but to conclude my …. long as we continue to depend on this substance
Renewables transition solves warming
Arent et al ’10 (Douglas J. Arent et al, 11-11-2010; Alison Wise, Rachel Gelman; Arent and Gelman, National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Wise, Ecotech Institute in Denver, CO; “The status and prospects of renewable energy for combating global warming” Energy Economics 33 (2011) 584–593, Science Direct
Reducing anthropogenic …GHG emissions.
Central planning causes extinction. Economic education of the alt solves. This is critical to the search for the best policy option.
Kirzner ‘98 Professor emeritus of economics at NYU, October, 1998 [Israel, doctoral work under Ludwig von Mises, the author of many books in the Austrian tradition of economics, among them Competition and Entrepreneurship; Perception, Opportunity, and Profit; and The Meaning of Market Process. “The Nature and Significance of Economic Education Economists Should Pursue Their Science with Objectivity, Detachment, and Passion” http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/the-nature-and-significance-of-economic-education/ accessed date: 3-14-12 y2k]
For many years I have been fascinated …. detachment must be recognized and respected.
If we don’t take advantage of economic knowledge we risk stamping out civilization- public discourse of economics solves
Kirzner ‘6 (“The Anatomy of Economic Advice, Part I” August 2006 • Volume: 56 • Issue: 6, Israel M. Kirzner. professor emeritus of economics at New York University and the author of many books about Austrian economics. http://www.thefreemanonline.org/featured/the-anatomy-of-economic-advice-part-i/
Ludwig von Mises and …. courses of action.
Proper understanding of the world requires application of economic theory– the aff makes unending violence inevitable
Rockwell ‘8 Jr., president of the Ludwig von Mises Institute, 5/19/2008 (Llewellyn, “Everything You Love You Owe to Capitalism,” http://mises.org/story/2982)
Not even an event as spectacular …. malicious and destructive policies.
No value to life in central planning
Raz ‘86 Philosopher, 1986 (Joseph, The Morality of Freedom, page 307)
One way to test the thesis … than that life
1NR
-- Won’t go nuclear
Manning 00 (Robert A., Senior Fellow and Director of Asian Studies – Council on Foreign Relations, “Abbott and Costello Nuclear Policy”, Washington Times, 3-10, Lexis)
We don't want to go any lower because we … will say so.
-- North Korea stable
Straits Times 9 (“No Sudden Collapse in N.Korea”, 1-15, http://www.straitstimes.com/Breaking%2BNews/Asia/Story/STIStory_326500.html)
North Korea is unlikely to experience a sudden collapse despite growing … feed its 23 million people.
Perm guts Canadian soft power by aligning with the US in the Middle East.
Heinbecker ‘7 (Paul, former Canadian Ambassador and Permanent Representative to the United Nations & Germany, Canada and the Middle East, p. 65-6
On the negative side of the ledger, this more ideological set of policies and attitudes can hurt Canada’s … also the strength and the distinctiveness of the Canadian experience.
Canada should increase assistance to Syria.
Rae ’11 (Bob, MP in Canada, Aug 2, “Statement by Liberal Leader Bob Rae on the ongoing violence in Syria,” http://www.liberal.ca/newsroom/statement-liberal-leader-bob-rae-ongoing-violence-syria/
We stand with the people of Syria, both in their homeland and here in Canada, in … in the queue and respect the desires of those Syrians who wish to escape this brutal repression
Not exerting influence now
Clark ’11 (Campbell, Globe & Mail, May 29, “On Mideast peace and Arab Spring, Harper stands apart,” http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/on-mideast-peace-and-arab-spring-harper-stands-apart/article2037144/
At the G8, Mr. Harper also stood at a distance from the summit’s centrepiece …into an expanding military mission and are eager to keep a broad coalition of allies on board.
Disease spread causes extinction
South China Morning Post ‘96 1-4-1996 (Dr. Ben Abraham= “called "one of the 100 greatest minds in history" by super-IQ society Mensa” and owner of “Toronto-based biotechnology company, Structured Biologicals Inc” according to same article)
Despite the importance of the discovery of the "facilitating" cell, it is not what Dr Ben-Abraham … at a large scale and imperil the survival of the human race," he said.
Canadian soft power allows for international conflict resolution
Marriot and Carment ‘3 (Koren, Worked with the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy project as a researcher, and David, Director of the Centre for Security and Defence Studies at Carleton University and Associate Professor at the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, “Conflict Prevention in Canada: A Survey of Canadian Conflict Prevention Professionals”, September)
The overriding theme that appeared in several of the responses was that Canada should support the work of …of a major portion of the responses received.
The aff’s knowledge problem results in serial policy failure.
Henderson ‘8 (January 7, 2008 The Fatal Conceit in Foreign Policy David R. Henderson is a research fellow with the Hoover Institution and an associate professor of economics in the Graduate School of Business and Public Policy at the Naval Postgraduate School. http://antiwar.com/henderson/?articleid=12165
Question: Which Pakistani …., had he thought about foreign policy, would have been proud.
