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T
A. Interp- Democracy assistance is grant-aided transfer of support to pro-democracy initiatives.
Burnell ‘7 Prof. of Politics @ University of Warwick, England Peter, “Does International Democracy Promotion Work?” Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik, ISBN 978-3-88985-354-7) http://www.die-gdi.de/CMS Homepage/openwebcms3.nsf/%28ynDK_ contentByKey%29/ADMR-7BRF46/$FILE/BurnellPromotionWork.pdf

All things considered, however, …  help with building political parties, and so on. 

B.  Violation- Expanded-IMET is security assistance, not democracy assistance.
Pike ‘11 Director of GlobalSecurity.org, defense information website John, “Security Assistance Training Field Activity.” http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/agency/army/satfa.htm

The term "security assistance" … as Peacekeeping Operations.

Promoting democratic governance is distinct from democracy assistance
Mitchell ‘8 Columbia University School of International and Political Affairs International Politics professor, and Phillips, National Committee on American Foreign Policy Project Director [Lincoln A. and David L., Columbia University Center for the Study of Human Rights visiting scholar, Jan 08, “Enhancing  Democracy Assistance” http://www.acus.org/files/publication_pdfs/65/Enhancing%20Democracy%20Assistance.pdf, p.10-11]

Promote Democratic Governance … participation, contestation, and accountability.

Democracy assistance must be a quid pro quo
Carothers ‘9 (Thomas Carothers is vice-president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He is the author or editor of many books on democracy promotion, January 2009. “Democracy Assistance: Political vs. Developmental?” JOURNAL OF DEMOCRACY, Volume 20, Number 1

Identifying the essential … seriously engaging in democracy aid. Arriving at a straightforward conclusion about which approach is dominant is difficult.

A. Interp -Democracy assistance is the support provided to electoral laws, processes, and institutions
IFES ‘11 – (International Foundation for Electoral Systems, http://www.ifes.org/Content/Topics/Democracy-Assistance.aspx

Democracy assistance … institutions.

A. Interp- Increase implies a previous existence
CJS ‘44  (Corpus Juris Secundum, P. 545)

Increase:In general: a … of the increase, etc.

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Counterplan solves:
The EU is ready to deploy resources for democracy assistance and has strong communications in the region
EU Commissioner Füle 11 (“Summary: 15 March 2011, Brussels - Speech by Stefan Füle, European Commissioner for Enlargement and European Neighbourhood Policy, on "Strengthening Cooperation on Democracy Support" at the 2nd Transatlantic Dialogue conference, European Parliament,” March 15, European Union at United Nations, http://www.europa-eu-un.org/articles/en/article_10824_en.htm)

 The European Union …, trade unions and associations.

((( PTX ))) ((( Payroll tax cut will pass – Bipart and Boehner. ))) ((( France News, 9-9-2011 ))) ((( [“Obama jobs bill set to be next Washington showdown” http:~/~/www.france24.com/en/20110909-obama-job-plan-washington-showdown-democrats-republicans-taxes-unemployment accessed date: 9-09-2011] y2k ))) ((( ))) ((( Cantor said he might support … has angered some Republicans. ))) ((( ))) ((( Democracy assistance is unpopular – bipartisan opposition to the plan. ))) ((( Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Center, 1-26-2011 ))) ((( [Shadi, a fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “Tunisia, Egypt, Arab world need bold US support for democracy, not mixed messages” The Christian Science Monitor. L/N, Accessed date: 7-13-2011] y2k ))) ((( ))) ((( Considering the amount of resources invested …. Oddly, they've become more difficult to find. ))) ((( ))) ((( Political capital is key to payroll tax cut. ))) ((( The Inquirer, 9-8-2011 ))) ((( [“POINT: Don't expect miracles on job growth ))) ((( Some steps could help, but don't expect miracles” http:~/~/articles.philly.com/2011-09-08/news/30130709_1_jobs-plan-american-economy-rare-tax/2 accessed date: 9-13-2011] y2k ))) ((( ))) ((( Yet Republicans say that job-creating efforts … made a major effort to privatize Social Security. ))) ((( ))) ((( Payroll tax cut is key to sustainable growth – solves econ. ))) ((( Weller, 9-12-2011 ))) ((( [Christian, an Associate Professor at the Department of Public Policy and Public Affairs, University of Massachusetts, Boston, and a Senior Fellow at Center for American Progress, “New Republic: Why We Need Payroll Tax Cuts” http:~/~/www.npr.org/2011/09/12/140393524/new-republic-why-we-need-payroll-tax-cuts accessed date: 9-12-2011] y2k ))) ((( ))) ((( The centerpiece of the jobs plan unveiled …, but sustainable and long-lasting economic growth. ))) ((( ))) ((( AND- Economic crash causes nuclear world war III ))) ((( O'Donnell, 2-26-2009 [Sean, Baltimore Republican Examiner writer and Squad Leader in the Marine Corps Reserve, the Baltimore Examiner, "Will this recession lead to World War III?," http:~/~/www.examiner.com/x-3108-Baltimore-Republican-Examiner~~y2009m2d26-Will-this-recession-lead-to-World-War-III] ))) ((( ))) ((( Could the current economic crisis …sometimes history repeats itself. ))) ((( )))

A piecemeal job bill will pass – no significant opposition.
AP, 10-20-11
[“Parts of Obama's jobs bill may pass, But GOP still against tax hike for wealthy” http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2011/10/20/20111020obama-jobs-fill-parts-may-pass.html#ixzz1bLOFcEUE accessed date: 10-20-11] y2k

WASHINGTON - Congress … popular vs. their aversion to tax hikes and higher federal spending.

Political capital is key.
The Inquirer, 9-8-2011
[“POINT: Don't expect miracles on job growth
Some steps could help, but don't expect miracles” http://articles.philly.com/2011-09-08/news/30130709_1_jobs-plan-american-economy-rare-tax/2 accessed date: 9-13-2011] y2k

Yet Republicans say that … to privatize Social Security.

Unemployment insurance is key to economy.
Commerce Department, 10-5-11
[“Pathways Back to Working for Americans Looking for Jobs” Commerce Department Documents and Publications. LexisNexis. Accessed date: 10-18-11] y2k

President Obama continues … for bold reforms to put the long-term unemployed back to work.

Unemployment insurance will pass
Mintz, a staff reporter, 11-3-11
[Elianna, “Dems Intro Unemployment Benefits Extension Package” http://www.talkradionews.com/news/2011/11/3/dems-intro-unemployment-benefits-extension-package.html accessed date; 11-3-11] y2k

House Democrats have … Doggett said.

PC key to bring GOP on board
AP, 10-15-11
[“Obama pushes Congress to pass elements of job bill” http://m.ctv.ca/topstories/20111015/obama-congress-jobs-bill-111015.html Accessed date:10-17-11] y2k

WASHINGTON — President Barack … trillion-dollar annual deficits."

Unemployment Insurance is key to econ
Commerce Department, 10-5-11
[“Pathways Back to Working for Americans Looking for Jobs” Commerce Department Documents and Publications. LexisNexis. Accessed date: 10-18-11] y2k

President Obama continues … unemployed back to work.

Economic collapse leads to global war.
Lind, 5-11-10
[Michael, New America Foundation Economic Growth Program Policy Director, "Will the great recession lead to World War IV?," http://www.salon.com/news/economics/index.html?story=/opinion/feature/2010/05/11/great_recession_world_war_iv]

If history is any guide, … easy to imagine
Obama is blocking the construction of Keystone Pipeline but GOP pressure is increasing.
Restuccia, staff reporter for Hill, 12-30-11
[Andrew, “Trump blasts Obama over Keystone pipeline” http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/201813-trump-blasts-obama-over-keystone-pipelinea accessed date: 12-30-11] y2k

Donald Trump blasted … ailing economy.

Democracy assistance kills capital – bipartisan opposition to the plan.
Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Center, 1-26-2011
[Shadi, a fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “Tunisia, Egypt, Arab world need bold US support for democracy, not mixed messages” The Christian Science Monitor. L/N, Accessed date: 7-13-2011] y2k

Considering the amount … have become more difficult to find.

Political capital is key.
Patterson, former state senator and writer, 12-27-11
[Tom, “Patterson: Obama on wrong side of energy arguments” http://www.eastvalleytribune.com/opinion/article_d5a4e7a6-284b-11e1-bba6-001871e3ce6c.html accessed date: 12-30-11] y2k

The Obama … will go on without us.

Green-lighting the Keystone XL pipeline opens the floodgate for bitumen extraction – impact is extinction from warming and collapse of Canadian Boreal Forest.
Custers, International Correspondent for The Daily Star, 10-20-11
[Peter, “The Keystone XL pipeline: Will humanity's survival interests prevail?” http://www.thedailystar.net/newDesign/news-details.php?nid=207202 accessed date: 12-30-11] y2k

The stakes for oil corporations …. Conference is held in November.

Independently, Canadian boreal forest collapse causes extinction.
Pimachiowin Aki Campaign, No Date.
[“The Campaign for The Land that Gives Life–Pimachiowin Aki” http://www.landthatgiveslife.com/wp-content/uploads/FAQ.pdf accessed date: 12-30-11] y2k

Like the Amazon …for generations to come.

~(~(~( DEMOCRACY K ~)~)~) ~(~(~( Interventionist foreign policy produces unintended consequences. ~)~)~) ~(~(~( Coyne ‘8 (Cato Policy Report, January/February 2008, “Can We Export Democracy?” Christopher J. Coyne, assistant professor of economics at West Virginia University and author of After War: The Political Economy of Exporting Democracy, http:~~/~~/www.cato.org/pubs/policy_report/v30n1/cpr30n1-4.html) ~)~)~) ~(~(~( ~)~)~) ~(~(~( CHRISTOPHER J. COYNE: Occupiers and policymakers … foundations of global peace and global freedom. ~)~)~) ~(~(~( ~)~)~) ~(~(~( Intervention results in wars. ~)~)~) ~(~(~( Paul ‘2 (A Foreign Policy for Peace, Prosperity, and Liberty, Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX)
September 9, 2002, Ron Paul, M.D., represents the 14th Congressional District of Texas in the United States House of Representatives. http:~~/~~/www.antiwar.com/paul/paul44.html) ~)~)~) ~(~(~( ~)~)~) ~(~(~( Thomas Jefferson spoke for the founders and all our early … prayer for the blessings of divine intervention. ~)~)~) ~(~(~( ~)~)~) ~(~(~( The alternative is non-intervention. ~)~)~) ~(~(~( Vance ’11 (Can U.S. Foreign Policy Be Fixed? by Laurence M. Vance, January 3, 2011, Laurence M. Vance is a free-lance writer in central Florida, the editor of the Classic Reprints series, and the director of the Francis Wayland Institute. He holds degrees in history, theology, accounting, and economics. He is the author of The Revolution That Wasn’t. http:~~/~~/www.fff.org/comment/com1101b.asp) ~)~)~) ~(~(~( ~)~)~) ~(~(~( The WikiLeaks revelations have shined a light … to announce its retirement. ~)~)~)

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1NC

America still has strong relations with Israel but they are at a tipping point
Goldberg ’11 national correspondent for the Atlantic, April 25, 2011
(Jeffrey, Friends Forever?, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/25/friends_forever?page=0,1)

The West Bank has been … They are wrong. 

Arab democratization can permanently weaken the US-Israeli relations
Pillar ’11 Center for Peace and Security Studies, Feb 8, 2011
(Paul, Why Israel Fears Arab Democracy, National Interest, http://nationalinterest.org/blog/autocracy/why-israelis-fear-arab-democracy-4848)

As with many other Israeli …its present form.

Stable relations are key to Middle East stability.
Kramer ‘6 (Dr. Martin, fellow at The Washington Institute and senior fellow at the Olin Institute @ Harvard, “The American Interest,” Fall 2006, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC06.php?CID=980)

My answer, to anticipate …. sworn enemies.

extinction.
Moore ‘9 (Carol, BA in Polisci @ Wane State, “Six Escalation Scenarios to Nuclear World War III, 16 February,http://pakalert.wordpress.com/2009/02/16/six-escalation-scenarios-to-nuclear-world-war-iii/)

Israel is especially dangerous because… worldwide disarmament movement can stop it.
 

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Canada should be the agent of change in Arab spring- strengthens soft power
The Globe and Mail ’11 [“Canada should wake up to the Arab spring and new democracy SECTION: EDITORIAL; ELECTION 2011: CANADA AND ITS GLOBAL REACH” Lexis. 4-22-11 http://m.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/editorials/canada-can-help-arab-autocracies-become-democracies/article1995140/?service=mobile ] y2k

It is springtime in the … is a safer, more prosperous world.

Canadian soft power prevents Quebec secession.
Choudhry ‘7 [Sujit, faculty of law and department of political science at University of Toronto, September, “Does the world need more Canada? The politics of the Canadian model in constitutional politics and political theory,” International Journal of Constitutional Law, Vol. 5, No. 4]

Two important questions arise. … Canadians to value that work.

Nuclear Miscalc
Lamont ’94 [Lansing, President of the American Trust for the British Library, Breakup, p. 327-9]

That prospect, however dim at the … nations that self- destruct.

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1NC

Unique Internal Link—China is using oil contracts to expand influence in Africa and the Middle East—they will defend their oil interests with navy buildup
Saremi ‘11 (Fariborz, commentator on TV and radio on Middle East issues and a contributer to FreePressers, World Truibune, “China's global energy strategy aims at displacing U.S. influence in Central Asia”, July 19, 2011, http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribune/WTARC/2011/ea_china0895_07_19.asp)

It has not gone unnoticed that …, commercial, and military influence.

China perceives US democracy efforts as encroaching on its interests
Rezaie ’11 5/19/11 (Mehdi, Journalist for the Daily Outlook, independent newspaper in Afghanistan, Afghanistan, SCO and the Birth of New Region, http://outlookafghanistan.net/topics.php?post_id=579) 

The events in Libya … new regional architecture.

Oil tensions in the region trigger US-China war
Power Interest News Report ‘6 (PINR is an independent organization that utilizes open source intelligence to provide conflict analysis services in the context of international relations, China Becomes Increasingly Involved in the Middle East, http://www.mafhoum.com/press9/272P7.htm)

While China and … of the Chinese Navy"]

Goes Nuclear
Johnson ‘1 Chalmers Johnson, author of Blowback: The Costs and Consequences of American Empire, 5/14/2001, The Nation, Pg. 20

China is another matter… deterrent effect.

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1NC

New democracy assistance funding will trade off with climate assistance—caps mean there will be no new spending
Lefton ‘11(Rebecca, Researcher for Progressive Media at American Progress, 9/13/2011, "The Debt Deal and Budget Process Threaten Critical Climate Aid Funding", http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/09/climate_aid.html)

The debt ceiling legislation … homeland security and defense.

International climate assistance is critical to stabilize carbon emissions
Lefton and Light ‘11(Rebecca, Policy Analyst at the Center for American Progress, and Andrew, Senior Fellow and Coordinator of International Climate Policy at the Center for American Progress, April 7, "The Fight Over International Climate Investments", http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/04/intl_climate_investments.html)

At this stage in the …at two degrees.

Extinction.
Henderson ’6 [Bill, Environmental Scientist, Aug 19, “Runaway Global Warming – Denial,” http://www.countercurrents.org/cc-henderson190806.htm]

The scientific debate… share.

Latin America is USAID’s priority now- BUT new programs tradeoff
CFR ’11 “SEN. JOHN KERRY HOLDS A HEARING ON INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PRIORITIES”, April 14, 2011, SENATE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS HOLDS A HEARING ON INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PRIORITIES, RAJIV SHAH, ADMINISTRATOR, U.S. AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, SEN. BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, D-MD http://findarticles.com/p/news-articles/political-transcript-wire/mi_8167/is_20110414/sen-john-kerry-holds-hearing/ai_n57286167/pg_9/ 

So explain to me in … between the two communities on Cyprus.

USAID cuts in Latin America devastate the ABCI- key to protect the Amazon
Patlis ‘7 (Testimony of Jason M. Patlis, Vice President and Managing Director, U.S. Government Relations World Wildlife Fund Submitted to the House Committee on Appropriations, Subcommittee on State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs on behalf of World Wildlife Fund, The Nature Conservancy, Conservation International and the Wildlife Conservation Society March 29, 2007, http://www.worldwildlife.org/what/howwedoit/policy/WWFBinaryitem7118.pdf 

Amazon Basin …. Amazon watershed

Extinction.
Takacs ‘96 - teaches environmental humanities (history, ethics, justice, politics) in the Institute for Earth Systems Science and Policy at California State (David, “The Idea of Biodiversity: Philosophies of Paradise,” 1996, pg. 200-201)

So biodiversity … not with a bang but a whimper.14 

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executive policy is superior to legislation and better modeled for 5 reasons
Paul Peterson (Professor, Government at Harvard University) 1994 The President, The Congress, And The Making Of Foreign Policy, p. 14-15
The distinction between …executive branch expectations” (1973, 213-3).

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Unique Link—Russian oil economy stable now because of Middle Eastern instability—plan reverses the trend

Kramer ’11 (Andrew, New York Times,  “Russia Cashes In on Anxiety Over Supply of Middle East Oil,” March 7, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/08/business/global/08oil.html?pagewanted=all)

MOSCOW — Whatever the eventual …outbreak of social unrest.

Damage to Russian oil destroys the entire economy
Dashevsky ’11 Managing Director of Dashevsky and Partners  (Steven, “The Russian Economy and Its Oil,” May 24, http://rt.com/business/news/russia-economy-oil-rpice

RT: High oil prices … just oil and gas.”

Extinction

Huffington Post ‘9 (FILGER, Sheldon, “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction,” May 10, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/sheldon-filger/russian-economy-faces-dis_b_201147.html)

In Russia, historically… dangerous consequence.

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1NC

We should not be praising democracy the alternative is to advocate liberty
Williams ’11 Democracy Versus Liberty by Walter E. Williams John M. Olin distinguished professor of economics at George Mason University, and a nationally syndicated columnist. February 22, 2011
http://www.lewrockwell.com/williams-w/w-williams71.1.html

It is truly disgusting … a majority vote. 

Liberty is paramount
Petro ’74 Sylvester Petro, professor of law, Wake Forest University, Spring 1974, TOLEDO LAW REVIEW, p. 480.

However, one may still … with undying spirit.

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1NC Cap K

 A focus on whiteness or cultural identity discourses trades off with the material oppression that capitalism has caused to produce racism.

Koshy ‘1 assistant professor in the Asian American Studies Department at the University of California, 1 Susan Koshy, “Morphing Race into Ethnicity: Asian Americans and Critical Transformations of Whiteness”, Duke University Press, Project Muse

Whiteness studies has focused … within this intermediary racial group.

Resisting this reliance on economic evaluation is the ultimate ethical responsibility – the current social order guarantees social exclusion on a global scale

Zizek and Daly ‘4 (Slavoj and Glyn, Conversations with Zizek page 14-16)

For Zizek it is imperative that we … in an otherwise sound matrix.

Alternative Text: “Reject the aff to abandon belief in capitalism.”

Johnston ‘4 Adrian JOHNSTON, Ph.D., Assistant Professor of Philosophy, University of New Mexico, 2004, Psychoanalysis, Culture and Society, Volume 9  Issue 3

Perhaps the absence of a detailed … socioperformative force emanating from this same material.

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1NC First Priority

Their silence is strategic. The aff fails to consider Native America because doing so would force a confrontation with a colonial history that undermines their ostensibly progressive agenda. The alternative is first priority for First Americans.

Churchill ’96 (WARD CHURCHILL, FORMER PROFESSOR OF ETHNIC STUDIES AT UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO, BOULDER 1996 [“I AM INDIGENIST,” FROM A NATIVE SON PGS 520-30]

I’ll debunk some of this nonsense … order on non-Indians.

extinction.

Friedberg ‘2k [FRIEDBERG, AUTHOR AND POLITICAL ACTIVIST WITH A MASTER'S DEGREE IN THE HUMANITIES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO AND IS CURRENTLY A DOCTORAL CANDIDATE IN GERMANIC STUDIES AT THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO, LILIAN , DARE TO COMPARE: AMERICANIZING THE HOLOCAUST,THE AMERICAN INDIAN QUARTERLY 24.3 (2000) 353]

This is not to deny or diminish … proclaimed as the new salvation."

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CIL right to democracy creates a legal obligation for promotion
Glen ‘11 Georgetown law professor, 2011 (Patrick, “Democracy Promotion in the Obama Administration: An Opportunity to Match Action to Rhetoric”, Georgetown Public Law and Legal Theory Research Paper No. 10-31 http://scholarship.law.georgetown.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1494&context=facpub)

Advocacy for a “...two centuries ago.

International Law Solves Extinction
Damrosch and Mullerson ’95  (Professor of Law, Columbia, and Mullerson, Professor of International Law, King's, Beyond Confrontation, International Law for the Post Cold War Era, 1995, p. 2-3]

Pressures on International Law: … Charter and other norms of international law.

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Investing diplomatic capital In the DRC now- key to democracy, rule of law, stability, and stopping sexual violence  
Coons ’11 (Sen. Christopher A. Coons (D-DE, Opening Statement: Chairing Senate Foreign Relations African Affairs Subcommittee hearing entitled, "Improving Governance in the Democratic Republic of Congo”, December 15, 2011, http://coons.senate.gov/newsroom/statements_and_speeches/opening-statement-chairing-senate-foreign-relations-african-affairs-subcommittee-hearing-entitled-improving-governance-in-the-democratic-republic-of-congo

I am pleased to convene today’s … for his opening statement. 

US diplomacy is stretched thin – Middle East democracy assistance creates zero-sum trade offs
Kelemen ‘11 Diplomacy Correspondent – NPR (8/16, Hillary Clinton: U.S. Diplomacy Is Stretched Thin, www.npr.org/2011/08/16/139678323/hillary-clinton-u-s-diplomacy-is-stretched-thin)

Secretary of State Hillary …and what we do."

DRC key to African growth and stability
Trippi ’11 (“DRC Elections: A Bellwether for Stability in Africa”, 11/14/11, Joe Trippi, Political advisor, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joe-trippi/drc-elections-a-bellwethe_b_1091899.html?view=print&comm_ref=false

The revolution in Libya …action before it's too late.

Instability goes nuclear
Deutsch ‘2 (Dr. Jeffrey, Deutsch, economist, founder, Rabid Tiger Project, RAPID TIGER NEWSLETTER, 2002, http://www.rabidtigers.com/rtn/newsletterv2n9.html

The … love to go fishing.

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ESF funds will be used to bolster US-Egypt science cooperation and spur innovation in their tech sector
Telegraph ‘11 (2/15, From a report of the American Embassy in Cairo, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wikileaks-files/egypt-wikileaks-cables/8326970/EGYPT-FOLLOW-UP-TO-THE-PRESIDENTS-SPEECH-PART-I-WAY-FORWARD-IN-REACHING-EDUCATION-GOALS.html)

1.(SBU) Key Points: … creation of new jobs.

New funding will come from the ESF fund
POMED ‘11 (Project on Middle East Democracy, “Summary and Highlights of FY11 Appropriations Act”, April 17, http://pomed.org/blog/2011/04/summary-and-highlights-of-fy11-appropriations-act.html/) 

Speaking on the wave … other programming.

US assistance to bolster science education crucial to restore Egyptian regional influence
El-Baz ‘7 (Member-U.S. National Academy of Engineering, is Director of the Boston University Center for Remote Sensing, http://www.strategicforesight.com/iwforum/farouk.htm)

Egypt used to…products of American education.

Egyptian leadership key to encourage Nile water-sharing
Grebowski ‘11 (6/23, Sarah Grebowski blogs from Egypt at Cairo Comment.  She is a former research assistant at the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut, http://www.aucegypt.edu/gapp/cairoreview/pages/articleDetails.aspx?aid=81)

A curious thing has happened .. its neighbors. 

Failed water diplomacy escalates
Rotberg ‘10 (7/2, http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2010/07/02/the_threat_of_a_water_war/Robert I. Former Director-Program on Intrastate Conflict, Conflict Prevention, and Conflict Resolution at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government)

NATIONS FIGHT … war over water.  

(% class="Tag" style="mso-outline-level:1" %) (% style="mso-bidi-font-family: Arial" %)

Obama will win in 2012, but it will be close
Galston, Senior Fellows at Brookings, 2-16
[William, “The Obama Campaign Has Momentum, But Can It Keep It?” http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/100793/obama-reelection-chances-economy-2012-presidential-race acessed date: 2-18-12 y2k]

It’s all but official: … be the deciding factor.

The plan is high on the radar for AIPAC – Increasing threats of anti-Israel sentiments.
MATHES, 5/20/11 (AIPAC confronts fast-changing Mideast, US pro-Israel lobby could hardly have imagined tumult now coursing through Middle East. Middle East Online By Michael Mathes – WASHINGTON)

When planning began … do the opposite."

ROMNEY WOULD DESTROY U.S CHINA RELATIONS ON THE FIRST DAY OF OFFICE
RIGHT WING, 12 (Right Web is a program of the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS) that assesses the work of prominent organizations and individuals—both in and out of government—who promote militarist U.S. foreign and defense policies, with a special focus on the “war on terror” and the Middle East. Right Web aims to foster informed public debate about these policies with feature articles and profiles of individuals and organizations that examine political discourses and institutional allegiances over time.  Efforts to push militaristic policies cross party lines, and so Right Web examines individuals and organizations across the political spectrum, as well as “nonpartisan” political actors. Reporters, researchers, and analysts have come to rely on Right Web for its well-documented research and analysis.  Originally founded by the now-defunct International Relations Center (IRC) in 2003, Right Web represented a revival of an earlier IRC program called GroupWatch (1985-1991), which profiled more than 125 private, quasi-governmental, and religious organizations that were closely associated with the implementation of U.S. foreign policy in the 1980s, especially in Central America. IPS took over Right Web from the Political Reseaerch Associates in January 2010.)
http://rightweb.irc-online.org/profile/romney_mitt

In February 2012, Romney … know better.”[4]

RELATIONS SOLVE MULTIPLE SCENARIOS FOR EXTINCTION
WENZHON 4 (PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs. (Zhou, “Vigorously Pushing Forward the Constructive and Cooperative Relationship Between China and the United States,” http://china-japan21.org/eng/zxxx/t64286.htm)

China's development needs … and the rest of the international community

Investing capital in Myanmar now
AP ‘2/24 (“US Holds Talks in Myanmar on Recovery of Soldiers”, Associated Press, February 24, 2012, http://www2.wnct.com/news/2012/feb/24/us-holds-talks-in-myanmar-on-recovery-of-soldiers-ar-1968876/

WASHINGTON (AP) … of military rule.

Diplomatic capital is finite – each new issue trades off
Anderson and Grewell ‘2k (Terry L., Executive Director of the Property and Environment Research Center, J. Bishop, former research associate for PERC. He is a graduate of Stanford University, the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, and Northwestern Law School, “The Greening of Foreign Policy”, PERC Policy Series: PS-20, December 2000, http://www.perc.org/pdf/ps20.pdf)

Greater international … access to foreign economies.”

Key to Asia
CBS ‘1/13 (“U.S. to restore full diplomatic ties with Burma”, January 13, 2012, http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-202_162-57359121/u.s-to-restore-full-diplomatic-ties-with-burma/

(AP)  WASHINGTON … tensions, he said.

Fears of US democracy promotion spilling over cause the Saudis to freak out and massively increase government spending – there’s no risk of reform
Jones ‘11 3-23-11 (assistant professor of Middle East history at Rutgers University) (Toby, “High Anxiety,” http://www.pomeps.org/2011/08/10/arab-uprisings-the-saudi-counter-revolution/, p. 5-6)

Saudi Arabia’s ruling … obstacle later on.  

Saudi Arabia’s budget is currently sustainable – new debt causes massive internal instability.
Gay ‘11 7-11-11 (an employee of a small D.C. foreign policy think tank and a graduate student studying international relations at Syracuse University) (John Allen, Saudi Arabia: The Cost of Empire, http://johnallengay.wordpress.com/2011/07/11/saudi-arabia-the-cost-of-empire/)

Saudi Arabia’s state … political system.

Saudi collapse kills the global economy
David ‘99 (prof of poli sci at Johns Hopkins) (Steven R, Jan/Feb, Foreign Affairs, “Saving America from the Coming Civil Wars,” lexis)

In a Saudi civil war, … American interests.

Economic collapse leads to global war.
Lind ‘10 5/11/2010 (New America Foundation Economic Growth Program Policy Director)
(Michael, "Will the great recession lead to World War IV?," http://www.salon.com/news/economics/index.html?story=/opinion/feature/2010/05/11/great_recession_world_war_iv)

If history is any guide, an … to imagine. 

The liberal peace project uses democracy to create a system of hierarchies that justifies war.
Behnke & Bishai ‘7 (Lecturer in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Reading & Senior Program Officer in the Education Program at the United States Institute of Peace [Linda S. & Andreas, “War, violence and the displacement of the political”, eds. Louiza Osysseos and Fabio Petito, pg. 113-4])

Within states, a temporal … states.

Vote negative to reject democratic universalism in favor of pluralism - this limits conflict
Behnke & Bishai ‘7 (Lecturer in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Reading & Senior Program Officer in the Education Program at the United States Institute of Peace [Linda S. & Andreas, “War, violence and the displacement of the political”, eds. Louiza Osysseos and Fabio Petito, pg. 120-121])

As Gary Ulmen has … it will continue to eliminate its limits. 

Russia views democracy assistance as a guise to expand U.S. power
Kuchins ‘11 (Andy C., “reset expectations Russian assessments of U.S. power”, Director and Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia Program, Sept 14 http://csis.org/files/publication/110613_kuchins_CapacityResolve_Web.pdf

As in other … abroad. 

Deference is key to cooperation
Magen ’11 (Zvi, Inst of Nat’l Sec Studs, http://www.inss.org.il/upload/(FILE)1295870646.pdf

The new … the West. 

Cooperation solves extinction.
Graham ‘9 (Thomas Graham served as special assistant to the president and senior director for Russia on the National Security Council staff, 2004–07 “Resurgent Russia and U.S. Purposes” http://tcf.org/events/pdfs/ev257/Graham.pdf

The challenges facing the … climate change.

Gold prices will remain high due to the perception of Middle East instability
Khaleej Times ’11 (“Gold’s glitter continues”, Abdul Basit, 23 August 2011, http://www.khaleejtimes.com/darticlen.asp?xfile=data/business/2011/August/business_August406.xml&section=business

Gold prices …on record.

High prices are key to Indian growth
Weytjens ’11 (“Is India The New ‘Gold Standard?”, August 4, 2011, Courtesy of Willem Weytjens, www.profitimes.com, My strategy has proven to be very profitable throughout the years – also during the most recent financial crisis. In the past I have provided guidance for many investors, often using different channels of communication. http://www.bigtrends.com/etf/is-india-the-new-gold-standard-pin-epi-gld/

Gold is … stock prices.

Extinction.
Bouton ‘10 (Marshall M., President – Chicago Council on Global Affairs, “America’s Interests in India”, CNAS Working Paper, October, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_USInterestsinIndia_ Bouton.pdf)

In South Asia, the most … civil conflict.

The term “assistance” denotes a top-down process that renders recipients passive—cooperation is key to avoid the patronizing tone of engagement
Tandon ‘7 [Yash, “The Reality of Trade: The WTO and Developing Countries,” The North-South Institute, p.65, Accessed 3/27/08, http://www.nsi-ins.ca/english/pdf/Reality_of_Trade.pdf]. 

Oddly, years … developing countries.

The devaluation of agency eradicates the capacity to make meaningful political judgments. Agency is a necessary condition for establishing a just society.
Lang ’99 Anthony Lang, Jr. The American University in Cairo, European Journal of International Relations, Vol. 5 (1): 67-107, 1999, p. 77-79

This article proposes …true democracy (Arendt, 1958)

Turkey’s soft power is high
Falk ‘2/9 [Richard Falk is an international law and international relations scholar who taught at Princeton University for forty years. Since 2002 he has lived in Santa Barbara, California, and taught at the local campus of the University of California in Global and International Studies and since 2005 chaired the Board of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation], 2/9/2012, “Turkey’s Foreign Policy: Zero Problems with Neighbors Revisited” http://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2012/02/09/turkeys-foreign-policy-zero-problems-with-neighbors-revisited/

Davutoglu … nuclear program.

Plan causes zero-sum trade-off with US influence
Islam ‘10(Rana, jr. fellow, Dusseldorfer Institut für Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik, "Turkish Foreign Policy – Reaching Out for New Frontiers?" aussenpolitik.net)

When analysing the current … in a crisis-prone region.

Turkish diplomacy is vital to stabilize the Balkans
Werz et al‘11 - Michael Werz and Caroline Wadhams are Senior Fellows with the National Security Team at the Center for American Progress, Matthew Duss is a Policy Analyst and Director of Middle East Progress at the Center, and Sarah Margon is the Associate Director of the Sustainable Security and Peacebuilding Initiative at the Center (Michael, “After Turkey’s June Elections,” 6/23,
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/06/turkey.html)

A strategic partner: … other parts of the world.

WW3
Paris ‘2(Roland Paris, Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at University of Colorado, Political Science Quarterly, Volume 117, Issue 3, Fall, Proquest)

Nevertheless, the phrase …World Wars I and II.”

Cooperation is good for democracy assistance
Twining and Fontaine ’11 (“The Ties that Bind? U.S.—Indian Values-based Cooperation”, Daniel Twining is Senior Fellow for Asia at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Richard Fontaine is Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security. Each previously handled South Asia policy at the U.S. Department of State and served as Senator John McCain’s foreign policy adviser in the U.S. Senate. Copyright # Spring 2011 Center for Strategic and International Studies The Washington Quarterly • 34:2 pp. 193-205, http://twq.com/11spring/docs/11spring_Twining_Fontaine.pdf

Democracy Assistance … Southeast Asia. 

Solves Asian war, prolif, trade, and terrorism  
Fontaine et al ‘10 (Richard L. Armitage President, Armitage International, Co-Chair R. Nicholas Burns Professor of the Practice of Diplomacy and International Politics, Harvard University, Co-Chair Richard Fontaine Senior Fellow, Center for a New American Security, Natural Allies A Blueprint for the Future of U.S.-India Relations, Center for New American Security, October, http://www.cnas.org/files/documents/publications/CNAS_Natural%20Allies_ArmitageBurnsFontaine.pdf

A strengthened U.S.-… presence in Asia.

Focus on North Korea now- leads to the abandonment of their nuclear weapons program
Pennington and Klug ‘3/1 (March 1, 2012,  “North Korea could ease nuclear fears”, By Matthew Pennington and Foster Klug
Associated Press, http://normantranscript.com/headlines/x1125105325/North-Korea-could-ease-nuclear-fears

North Korea raised hopes … and international acceptance.

Diplomatic capital is finite – each new issue trades off
Anderson and Grewell ‘2k (Terry L., Executive Director of the Property and Environment Research Center, J. Bishop, former research associate for PERC. He is a graduate of Stanford University, the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, and Northwestern Law School, “The Greening of Foreign Policy”, PERC Policy Series: PS-20, December 2000, http://www.perc.org/pdf/ps20.pdf)

Greater international … economies.”

Nuclear North Korea causes regional instability.
Lee ‘7  (Dong Sun, Assistant Prof. Pol. Sci. and IR – Korea U., Australian Journal of International Affairs, “A Nuclear North Korea and the Stability of East Asia: A Tsunami on the Horizon”, 61:4, December, Ebsco)

Although North Korean … would become unstable.

East Asian instability goes nuclear
Ridder ‘2k Knight Ridder (Jonathon S. Landay, “Top administration officials warn stakes for U.S. are high in Asian conflicts”, 3-11, L/N)

Few if any experts think China … potential disaster."

Qatari influence is high now due to Arab spring, but it needs to keep its influence up for US-Taliban negotiation over Afghanistan – key to stability.
Connolly, BBC News Writer, 1-27-12
[Kevin, “Qatar's towering ambition on show in Doha” http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16758726 accessed date: 2-20-12 y2k]

If you seek a monument to … everyone as it does.

Plan Tradeoff
Economist, 11-5-11
[“The rise of Qatar: Pygmy with the punch of a giant”, http://www.economist.com/node/21536659, accessed date: 2-22-12 y2k]

In any event, Qatar punches … of such a success

Qatar key to global economy.
Almasri, No date
[Anas, “Qatar Takes Business in the Middle East to the Next Level”, http://www.investin.com.cn/invest-in-qatar-takes-business-in-the-middle-east-to-the-next-level.html accessed date: 2-22-12 y2k]

To the outside world, Qatar’s ….remained healthy. 

Growth is key to democratic transition.
Schuman, a staff writer for Time, 8-22-11
[Michael, “Why the Arab Spring's success depends on jobs, not guns,” http://curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com/2011/08/22/why-the-arab-spring%E2%80%99s-success-depends-on-jobs-not-guns/]

Euphoria erupted in … fail on its economic policies.