1AC – Plan
Plan: The United States federal government should support the European Union Election Observation Mission for Tunisia.
1AC – Strategic Partnership
Contention 1 – Strategic Partnership
The US-EU partnership is not strategic in the status quo – makes cooperation useless
Hamilton and Burwell 10 [Daniel S, Executive Director of the Center for Transatlantic Relations; Executive Director of the American Consortium on EU Studies; Austrian Marshall Plan Foundation Research Professor at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins, and Frances, Vice President, Director of the Program on Transatlantic Relations at the Atlantic Council, former executive director of the Center for International and Security Studies at the University of Maryland, "The Setting: The United States and Europe in a G20 World," Chapter 1, http://transatlantic.sais-jhu.edu/bin/k/u/shoulder-to-shoulder-book-finaltext.pdf]
The United States is the …. but it was painful.
Coordination of democracy assistance to the Middle East is vital to retooling the alliance
Wittes and Youngs 9 [Tamara, deputy assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs at the U.S. Department of State, research fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institute, and Richard, director general of FRIDE, assistant professor at the University of Warwick, “Europe, the United States, and Middle Eastern Democracy: Repairing the Breach,” January, The Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, no 18, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/papers/2009/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes/01_middle_eastern_democracy_wittes.pdf]
Tensions …. in the Middle East can, cautiously, be rebuilt.
Failure to change our stance towards Europe ensures they become a counterweight – accesses every impact
Stivachtis 10 – Director of International Studies Program @ Virginia Polytechnic Institute [Dr. Yannis. A. Stivachtis (Professor of Poli Sci @ Virginia Polytechnic Institute & Ph.D. in Politics & International Relations from Lancaster University), THE IMPERATIVE FOR TRANSATLANTIC COOPERATION,” The Research Institute for European and American Studies, 2010, pg. http://www.rieas.gr/research-areas/global-issues/transatlantic-studies/78.html]
There is no doubt that US-….obviate the need to act decisively against those who do not share that vision.
Strategic relations vital to solving proliferation
Patrick 11 [Stewart, Senior Fellow and Director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance, “The Transatlantic Alliance Survives the Summer,” 8-30, http://blogs.cfr.org/patrick/2011/08/30/the-transatlantic-alliance-survives-the-summer/]
Nuclear nonproliferation remains a prime …. on nuclear matters.
Prolif leads to nuclear escalation.
Cimbala, 2008
[Stephen, Distinguished Prof. Pol. Sci. – Penn. State Brandywine, Comparative Strategy, “Anticipatory Attacks: Nuclear Crisis Stability in Future Asia”, 27, InformaWorld]
If the possibility existed of a mistaken preemption during and …. of major interstate warfare.
US will say no to Palestinian statehood. Plan creates framework for negotiating conflicts post-UN conference
The Henry Jackson Society 9-6-11 [cross-partisan, British-based think-tank, “No Path To Peace: Potential Consequences Of Palestinian Unilateral Actions At UN General Assembly – Analysis,” 9-6, http://www.eurasiareview.com/06092011-no-path-to-peace-potential-consequences-of-palestinian-unilateral-actions-at-un-general-assembly-analysis/]
Despite the continued …. to be a Pyrrhic victory for the Palestinian leadership.
Failure to find common ground in the Middle East allows countries to play the EU against the US
Menedez 9 [Haizam Amirah-Fernadez, Seenior Analyst at the Mediterranean and Arab World Program at the Elcano Royal Institute for International and Strategic Studies and Irene, Juan March Foundation, “Reform in Comparative Perspective: US and EU Strategies of Democracy Promotion in the MENA Region after 9/11,” Journal of Contemporary European Studies, Vol. 17, No. 3, 325–338, December]
And yet, cooperation seems …., at least at a regional level.
Only a coordinated strategy combines the carrots and sticks necessary to continue negotiations
Perthes 4 [Head of the Middle East and Africa Research Group at Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, the German Institute for International and
Security Affairs, Berlin, “America’s “Greater Middle East” and Europe: Key Issues for Dialogue,” 9-22, http://vps.stanleyfoundation.org/initiatives/gsi/papers/mepc_perthes.pdf]
The Arab-Israeli conflict …. pluralistic system emerging from within.
The Israel-Palestine conflict is the root of all Middle East instability – risks global war
Rowley 07 [Charles K. Rowley, Professor of Economics at GMU, and Michael J. Webb, Fellow at the Regulatory Economics Group, 2007 Public Choice 132, “Israel and Palestine: The Slow Road to Peace or the Fast Track to Mutual Annihilation?” p. 8]
Since May 14, 1948, when the British ….so far has ever experienced.
1AC – Democracy
Contention 2 – Democracy
Failure to synergize US and EU approaches means neither is very effective – the best way to ensure democracy is to support on the ground EU programs
Youngs 4 [Richard, Director of FRIDE, “Transatlantic Cooperation on Middle East Reform: A European Misjudgement?,” October, http://cddrl.stanford.edu/publications/transatlantic_cooperation_on_middle_east_reform_a_european_misjudgement/]
Europeans risk becoming so …. fashion the US’s new commitment to supporting political change in the Middle East.
The EU has started election monitoring missions – but more support is necessary to ensure free and fair elections
Allen 11 [Michael, Editor of Democracy Digest, “Tunisia’s transition is no fait accompli: needs urgent assistance – and ‘strategic patience’,” 2-1, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/02/tunisias-transition-is-no-fait-accompli-needs-urgent-assistance-and-strategic-patience/]
“It is a mistake to consider the …. the passage of political, economic and social reform.”
US-EU election monitoring needed to maintain progress towards democracy
Walker and Tucker 11 [Christopher, director of studies at Freedom House; Vanessa, managing editor of Countries at the Crossroads, Freedom House’s annual analysis of democratic governance, “Tunisia: The Arab Spring's Pivotal Democratic Example,” August, http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=694]
POLICY … as an example for Egypt and other countries in the region.
Coordinated assistance is the decisive variable in ensuring a democratic Tunisia
Hamid 11 [Shadi, Director of Research at the Brookings Doha Center, Fellow at Saban Center for Middle East Policy, former Director of Research at the Project on Middle East Democracy, former Hewlett Fellow at Standard University’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, “When Pro-Western Regimes Fall: What Should the U.S. Do?,” 1-13, http://www.democracyarsenal.org/2011/01/when-pro-western-regimes-fall-what-should-the-us-do-.html]
One month ago, Tunisia seemed quiet, …. the day of their freedom finally arrives.” I suppose this is the time to stand?
Tunisian transition is underway but it will fail. The short term risk is implosion – that risks instability and a reversion to authoritarianism. That spills over to failed states throughout Africa
PACIELLO 11 Research associate at Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) in Rome and lecturer in Economic and Political Geography of Development at La Sapienza University of Rome
Maria Cristina Paciello, Tunisia: Changes and Challenges of Political Transition, MEDPRO Technical Report No. 3/May 2011
4. Possible scenarios for the …. great popularity but whose political intentions are not yet clear.
State failure in Africa risks migrations that cause nuclear wars & diseases
African Studies Centre et al 3 (The Transnational Institute, The Center of Social Studies, Coimbra University, and The Peace Research Center – CIP-FUHEM, “Failed and Collapsed States in the International System,” December, found at: http://www.globalpolicy.org/nations/sovereign/failed/2003/12failedcollapsedstates.pdf)
In the malign scenario of global ….attacks on their national security.
Diseases risk extinction
Souden 2k, David: former Research Fellow in History at Emmanuel College, Cambridge, consultant to the Cambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure [“Killer Diseases,” Factsheet, http://darrendixon.supanet.com/killerdiseases.htm]
Nature's ability to adapt …extinction of the human race.
Tunisia provides a model of democracy for the rest of the Arab world
Allen 11 [Michael, Editor of Democracy Digest, “Tunisia: home-grown revolution needs foreign support,” 1-27, http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/01/home-grown-revolution-needs-foreign-support-say-tunisians/]
The turbulence has given rise to ….outmanoeuvre the moderates.”
Lack of an Arab model for democracy spells doom for other Middle East transitions
Diamond 10 [Larry, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Freeman Spogli Institute at Stanford University and director of Stanford's Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, “Why Are There No Arab Democracies?,” Journal of Democracy, Volume 21, Number 1, January]
The second external factor is the other …. clearly to liberal-democratic norms.
Democracy solves conflict – multiple ways
LAPPIN 09 PhD candidate at the Centre for Peace Research and Strategic Studies at the Catholic University of Leuven in Belgium under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Luc Reychler
Richard Lappin, What Democracy? Exploring the Absent Centre of Post-Conflict Democracy Assistance, Journal of Peace, Conflict and Development, Issue 14, July 2009, http://www.humansecuritygateway.com/documents/JPCD_ExploringAbsentCentrePostConflictDemocracyAssistance.pdf
Security
The relationship between ….inhibits communal rebellion‖ 25 .
Democracy aid works – creates agent empowerment & anticipated reactions – theory & studies prove – works better than other forms of aid
SCOTT & STEELE 11 1. Professor & Dept Chair in Political Science Oklahoma State 2. PhD student in political science at the University of Illinois
[James M. Scott & Carie A. Steele, Sponsoring Democracy: The United States and Democracy Aid to the Developing World, 1988–2001, International Studies Quarterly, Volume 55, Issue 1, pages 47–69, March 2011 ]
Analysis and Conclusions
Can democratic sponsor states such as the United …. assistance accordingly.
