General Actions:
OREINTALISM
The threat of regional instability is not self-evident but seeped in a racist description of the world – this ideological approach genocide and unending war.
Batur 7 [Pinar, PhD @ UT-Austin – Prof. of Scociology @ Vassar, The Heart of Violence: Global Racism, War, and Genocide,” in Handbook of the The Soiology of Racial and Ethnic Relations, eds. Vera and Feagin, p. 441-443]
War and genocide are horrid, and taking them for granted is inhuman. In the 21st century, our problem is not only seeing them as natural and inevitable, but even worse: not seeing, not noticing, but ignoring them. Such
” are Iraq and New Orleans.
The alternative is to reject the affirmative in favor of a revolutionary pedagogy
Sheehi (Associate Professor and Arabic Program Director @ University of South Carolina) 11
(Stephen, The Social Relations of Islamophobia and the Role of The Academic, May 01 2011, http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/TME1/1413/the-social-relations-of-islamophobia-and-the-role-)
These revolutions were one more method o
f
both home and abroad.
View their truth claims and evidence with extreme skepticism – Western scholarship on the Arabic world suffers from a myopic focus on short-termism – ensures serial policy failure.
Baroud 11 [Ramzy, journalist, author, editor and former Al-Jazeera producer, Ramzy Baroud taught Mass Communication at Australia's Curtin University of Technology, and is Editor-in-Chief of the Palestine Chronicle. Arab Awakening and Western Media: Time for a New Revolutionary Discourse by Ramzy Baroud / July 28th, 2011 http://dissidentvoice.org/2011/07/arab-awakening-and-western-media-time-for-a-new-revolutionary-discourse/]
Western media and think-tanks have long presented a mistaken
, and more misguided policies.
EU CP Solvency
EU democracy assistance solves best – prefer our evidence it’s comparative.
Youngs, 01 (Richard, Senior Research Fellow at the Norwegian Institute for International Relations, DEMOCRACY PROMOTION: THE CASE OF EUROPEAN UNION STRATEGY. CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES WORKING DOCUMENT NO. 167. www.ceps.eu/ceps/download/759)ZDM
The foregoing account demonstrates that the EU has established a significant presence
the efficiency of policy delivery.
China Bashing
China bashing is coming via revaluation talk – congressional action inflames relations and guts the economy
Palmer 8-11
Doug Palmer, Aug 11, 2011 “Wider trade gap could propel China currency bill,” Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/08/11/us-china-usa-trade-idUSTRE77A5N220110811
Just before Congress adjourned f
another matter," he said.
The plan costs political capital
Stephens 11
Philip Stephens Associate Editor of the Financial Times May 19, 2011 “A choice of minefields for Obama” Financial Times, Lexis
The speeches - the latest on t
But we have been here before.
Political capital is key to blocking pushes for currency revaluation
Palmer 9-2
Doug Palmer, Journalist, “Analysis: Obama's trade legacy in a crucible this fall,” Reuters, Sep 2, 2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/02/us-usa-obama-trade-idUSTRE7814CZ20110902
Democrats like House Minority Leader
capital to block it.
China bashing starts the mother of all trade wars undermining global growth
Carmosky 9-8
Janet Carmosky, Contributor 9/08/2011 “China Bashing Season Officially Kicks Off” Forbes http://www.forbes.com/sites/janetcarmosky/2011/09/08/china-bashing-season-officially-kicks-off/
In the past 24 hours
(that isn’t us) be worth it?
Chinese trade conflicts is the most likely scenario for military conflict.
Landy 7
Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, publisher of the Atlantic Monthly, National Journal, and Government Executive magazines, April 3, 2007, http://chinaredux.com/2007/04/03/protectionism-and-war/#comments,)
The greatest threat for the
far more than increases in military budgets and anti-satellite tests.
Extinction
Strait Times 2K
[“No one gains in war over Taiwan,” June 25 2000, L/N]
THE high-intensity scenario postulates a cross-strait war
it cannot be ruled out entirely, for China puts sovereignty above everything else.
Spending
A. Moody’s and Fitch will maintain the triple A rating in the status quo – but loss of fiscal discipline will trigger a downgrade
Bloomberg 8/2/11, “U.S. Credit Rating Affirmed as Moody’s, Fitch Warn of Downgrade on Deficit
Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings
is maintained in 2012
B. The plan reverses foreign aid cuts that are key to fiscal discipline – everything must be on the chopping block
Huffington Post 11
Huffington Post 4/13/11, “Budget Cuts In Deal Hit Defense Spending, Foreign Aid,”
Budget Cuts In Deal Hit Defense Spending, Foreign Aid WASHINGTON
The negotiators agreed to cuts in the millions for international banks, the U.N. Population Fund and international narcotics control and law enforcement programs.
C. We’re at the limit – any more spending will push us below a triple A rating
Miami Herald 11
Miami Herald 8/16/11, “Fitch Ratings keeps US at AAA rating,” http://www.miamiherald.com/2011/08/16/2361415/fitch-ratings-keeps-us-at-top.html
Fitch noted the rising proportion of U.S. d
rating, it said
D. Further downgrades lead to a global economic crisis
Goldwein 11
Marc Goldwein, senior policy analyst for the fiscal policy program at the New America Foundation and former Associate Director of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (also known as the Bowles-Simpson Commission), 8/11/11, “Drawing a AAA-Road Map for Post-Downgrade America,” The Atlantic, http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2011/08/drawing-a-aaa-road-map-for-post-downgrade-america/243463/
... Okay, Panic a Little If rating downgrades
available to bail out the U.S. government.
E. Economic collapse causes global nuclear war.
Merlini, Senior Fellow – Brookings, 11
[Cesare Merlini, nonresident senior fellow at the Center on the United States and Europe and chairman of the Board of Trustees of the Italian Institute for International Affairs (IAI) in Rome. He served as IAI president from 1979 to 2001. Until 2009, he also occupied the position of executive vice chairman of the Council for the United States and Italy, which he co-founded in 1983. His areas of expertise include transatlantic relations, European integration and nuclear non-proliferation, with particular focus on nuclear science and technology. A Post-Secular World? DOI: 10.1080/00396338.2011.571015 Article Requests: Order Reprints : Request Permissions Published in: journal Survival, Volume 53, Issue 2 April 2011 , pages 117 - 130 Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year Download PDF Download PDF (~357 KB) View Related Articles To cite this Article: Merlini, Cesare 'A Post-Secular World?', Survival, 53:2, 117 – 130]
Two neatly opposed scenarios for the future of the
with secular absolutes such as unbridled nationalism.
Iran DA SHELL
A. The plan threatens Iran’s regional status
1 Iran perceives US democracy assistance as soft warfare
Allen 11 Michael Allen, editor Democracy Digest May 17, 2011 Regime insecurity drives Iran’s repression and ‘soft war’ obsessions, says new report http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/05/regime-insecurity-drives-irans-repression-and-soft-war-obsessions-says-new-report/
The Islamic Republic’s obsession .... Donilon, President Obama’s National Security Adviser.
2. Yemen is important to Iran’s regional position
Barzegar 11 Kayhan Barzegar, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School April 20, 2011
Current Affiliation: Faculty Member, Department of International Relations, Science and Research University, Tehran, Iran
Former Associate, Project on Managing the Atom/International Security Program, 2010–2011; Former Research Fellow, Project on Managing the Atom/international Security Program, 2007–2010 "Iran's Interests and Values and the 'Arab Spring'"
The developments in... and negotiated solutions.
3. Iran perceives stable democracy as undercutting its regional strategy
Cairo Review of Global Affairs - American University in Cairo Arab Spring Seen From Tehran http://www.aucegypt.edu/gapp/cairoreview/pages/articleDetails.aspx?aid=62
While Iran has longed ...arguably the most likely scenario.
B. Iran’s loss of regional status will cause war
1, Iran will miscalculate under the pressure of being regionally contained
Barry Rubin is Director of the Global Research in International Affairs Center and Editor of The Middle East Review of International Affairs August 2010 “The Right Kind of Containment “ Foreign Affairs lexis
The second flawed assumption ...a shaky foundation.
2. The result is extinction
Chossudovsky 5 Michel Chossudovsky, Centre for Research on Globalisation 1 May 2005 Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran
http://globalresearch.ca/articles/CHO505A.html
The Bush Administration has ...US-Israeli air strikes.
Ban Impacts CP
The United States federal government should create a policy to not pre-emptively attack Iran, China, Russia, North Korea, Venezuela or Cuba.
Solves their first advantage- prevents the impact
EU CP--DONKEY FUNDING
Text: The European Union should cut all funding for Asino the blogging donkey and provide civil military support element throughout Yemen to provide local governance assistance.
EU Solves security sector reform.
De Vasconcelos et al March 11 (Alberto, Director of the EU Institute for Security Studies, The Arab democratic wave How the EU can seize the moment European Union Institute for Security Studies, http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/The_Arab_Democratic_Wave_-_how_the_EU_can_seize_the_moment.pdf.)ZDM
6. Security sector reform. A crisis of confidence now exists between Egyptian society on the one hand...following which financial • aid will be given.