Plan: The United States Federal Government should provide election assistance to Egypt.
Contention 1: Elections
The Muslim Brotherhood will dominate Egyptian elections now – they have far more organization
Al-Anani 11 (Khalil Al-Anani, Scholar at Middle East Institute at Durham University and expert on Islamist Politics, “A Brotherhood Government?,” May 29, 2010, http://www.almasryalyoum.com/en/node/456025)
The only way to avoid oppression
AND
government will be an Islamic one.
Internal divisions won’t sink the Muslim Brotherhood – US assistance key to counter election victories
Trager 11 (Eric Trager, The Washington Institute's Ira Weiner fellow, is a doctoral candidate in political science at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is writing his dissertation on Egyptian opposition parties July 6, 2011 “Youth Activists Chip Away at Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood” Washington Institute for Near East Policy http://washingtoninstitute.org/templateC05.php?CID=3381)
The Egyptian Trend's emergence
AND
state are at odds with this vision.
Muslim Brotherhood will start a war with Israel
Spencer 11 (Robert Spencer, director of Jihad Watch, May 31, 2011, “Egypt Rushes Towards Sharia and War,” http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=43807)
How hopelessly at odds
AND
never going to be a friend of Israel.”
And Egyptian war with Israel would escalate into a nuclear war
Eldar 3 (Dan Eldar, adjunct research fellow at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies, Tel Aviv University, former senior analyst at the Israeli prime minister's office, “Egypt and Israel: A Reversible Peace,” The Middle East Quarterly, Fall 2003, pp. 57-65)
In addition, there is a risk
AND
consequences for the entire region.
Advantage 2: Egyptian Democracy
US assistance key to facilitate democratic transition in Egypt – that spills over to the rest of the region
Kagan & Dunne 11 (Robert, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Center on the United States and Europe AND Michele, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Why Egypt Has to be the U.S. Priority in the Middle East, March 7, 2011, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/0307_egypt_kagan.aspx)
With the horrific carnage
AND
if we blow this opportunity.
Lack of democratic reform will destabilize Egypt, collapse the economy, and undermine U.S. leadership
HRF 10 (Human Rights First, November 24, 2010 “Background Report on Egyptian Civil Society Election Monitoring in Upcoming Elections” http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/2010/11/24/background-report-on-egyptian-civil-society-election-monitoring-in-upcoming-elections/)
The U.S. government’s
AND
human rights and democracy everywhere.
The Middle East is on the brink of a nuclear war
Blake 11 (Heidi Blake, WikiLeaks: tension in the Middle East and Asia has 'direct potential' to lead to nuclear war, The Telegraph, Feb 2, 2011, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/wikileaks/8298427/WikiLeaks-tension-in-the-Middle-East-and-Asia-has-direct-potential-to-lead-to-nuclear-war.html)
Tension in the Middle East
AND
or absorbed through the skin.
Middle East war goes Global
London 10 (Herbert I. London, President of the Hudson Institute, a New York University based political think tank, and professor of Humanities at New York University, Hudson New York, 6/28/10, http://www.hudson-ny.org/1387/coming-crisis-in-the-middle-east)
The coming storm in the Middle East
AND
the tent collapses.
Democracy key to peace in the Middle East
Kirkup 11 (James Kirkup, Democracy is route to peace in Middle East, says David Cameron, The Telegraph, Feb 21, 2011, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/8339054/Democracy-is-route-to-peace-in-Middle-East-says-David-Cameron.html)
Freedom and democracy are
AND
press and healthy political parties.
Contention 3: Solvency
Funding organizations with technical expertise in Egypt solves electioneering – key to ensure democratic elections and successful democratic transition
Schenker 11 (David Schenker is the Aufzien fellow and director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute. Previously, he served as Levant country director, the Pentagon’s top policy aide on the Arab countries of the Levant, in the Office of the Secretary of Defense April 2011 “Egypt’s Enduring Challenges Shaping the Post-Mubarak Environment” Washington Institute for Near East Policy http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/pubPDFs/PolicyFocus110.pdf )
As with the revolution
AND
transition to a democratic system.
