Plan Text

Plan: The United States Federal Government should give civil society assistance in the Kingdom of Bahrain. 

Democracy Adv.

Bahrain is the center of counterrevolution through violent crackdowns that kills the Arab Spring and will erupt in violence

Democracy Digest 9/16 (http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/09/bahrain-the-cornerstone-of-arab-counterrevolution/, Bahrain the ‘cornerstone’ of Arab counterrevolution, September 16, 2011,)
Bahrain “has emerged as  
AND
in the pursuit of power.” 

Elections will be flawed and only increase sectarian violence 

Murphy 9/20 (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20110920/ml-arab-spring-elections/ BRIAN MURPHY, 9/20/11, 1st Arab Spring votes more about stalling change, Barbara Surk in Muscat, Oman, contributed to this report)
In Bahrain, the special parliamentary election
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said the Qatar-based analyst Shaikh.   

Civil society damaged through prosecution and unjust charges

ABNA 9/4 (2011/09/04, http://abna.ir/data.asp?lang=3&Id=263549 CIVICUS urges Bahrain Government to stop sham trials of activists)
(On 11 September 2011, 21 civil society
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languish in Bahrain’s jails. 

Bahrain close to achieving democratic reform but a government-weakened civil society is stalling the transition.

BBC 8/16 (BBC Monitoring Middle East – Political, Gulf Daily News website, Manama, in English 16 Aug 11, Bahraini minister condemns opposition parties for boycotting by-elections)
The government is committed to reforms
AND
in parliament resigned in February.

Promoting civil society is the only durable method of democracy assistance.  It allows local civic participation and pressures the regime for reform

Blum 11 (Alexandra Blum 3/10/2011 “The Future of U.S. Democracy Promotion: Strategies for a Sustainable Fourth Wave of Democratization,”)
Supporting civil society combats
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that will outlast foreign aid (Stanski 2005, 200) 

US currently shows support for the monarchy - that stalls democratic transition.  US action key

WSJ 8/13 (The wrong ally in Bahrain, The Washington Post, 8/13/2011, Brian Dooley,)
Thomas W. Lippman's Aug. 5
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firmly on the side of democracy.

US action key to pushing stalled reform and prevention of Bahraini conflagration

ICG 7/28 (“POPULAR PROTEST IN NORTH AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST (VIII): BAHRAIN’S ROCKY ROAD TO REFORM”, http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/Middle%20East%20North%20Africa/Iran%20Gulf/Bahrain/111%20Popular%20Protest%20in%20North%20Africa%20and%20the%20Middle%20East%20VII%20%20Bahrains%20Rocky%20Road%20to%20Reform.pdf, International Crisis Group, 7/28/11)
There is reason to fear
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as the starting point for negotiations

Now is the key time – we have a strategic and moral obligation to ensure democratic transition

Boot 9/19 (Time to Affect Political Change in Bahrain, Max Boot http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/09/19/political-change-bahrain/ leading military historian and foreign-policy analyst master's degree in history from Yale University 9/19/11) 

It was precisely to ward off
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explosion toppling another American ally. 

Adv. 1  Iran Influence

US silence on democratic crackdown contributes to Shiite Iran alliance and Anti-Americanism which destabilize the region

International Crisis Group, 11 (“POPULAR PROTEST IN NORTH AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST (VIII): BAHRAIN’S ROCKY ROAD TO REFORM”, http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/Middle%20East%20North%20Africa/Iran%20Gulf/Bahrain/111%20Popular%20Protest%20in%20North%20Africa%20and%20the%20Middle%20East%20VII%20%20Bahrains%20Rocky%20Road%20to%20Reform.pdf, 7/28)
Following on the heels of
AND
Washington purportedly wishes to accomplish

Current instability radicalizes opposition, causes Iran rise and internal violence – action to support democracy is key  

Ahmed & Jacobs 11 (Ali al-Ahmed, Director & Joshua Jacobs, Gulf Policy Analyst at the Institute for Gulf Affairs “The Crisis in Bahrain” Policy Brief May 2011)
The US cannot continue to
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the sand is no longer an option for the United States. 

Bahrain is the linchpin of Middle East sectarian war – failure of the US to act makes conflict inevitable

Gengler 11 (Justin Gengler, PhD Candidate in Political Science at the University of Michigan, 4-20-2011, “The Bahraini Time Bomb,” http://bahrainipolitics.blogspot.com/2011/04/bahraini-time-bomb.html)
The arrival of the GCC force
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Middle East time-bomb will continue ticking. 

Bahraini instability leads to Saudi-Iran conflict and draws in US.  

Salman 11 (Salman Shaikh, Director, Brookings Doha Center, 3-23-2011, “The Bahrain Crisis and Its Regional Dangers,” Brookings, The Bahrain Crisis and Its Regional Dangers)
While U.S. and international attention
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national dialogue that charts the future of the country.

Saudi–Iran tensions escalate into a regional arms race

Spindle 11 (Bill Spindle, political analyst, and Margaret Coker, political analyst, 4-16-2011, “The New Cold War”, WSJ, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704116404576262744106483816.html)
For three months, the Arab
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pressure to develop one of its own. 

Saudi-Iran conflict goes nuclear- Saudi will get nukes from Pakistan

Guzansky 11 (Yoel, “research fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University”, The Australian, July 1, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/tehran-tests-saudis-nerve-on-nuclear-weapons/story-e6frg6ux-1226085108555, accessed 8/3/11,)
UNTIL recently it appeared that US security
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will invest in security arrangements that help guarantee the continuity of the regime. 

5th Fleet Adv.

Shiite dissatisfaction with the current government in Bahrain and US silence risks loss of 5th fleet – key to deter Iranian aggression and weapons development.

Katzman, 7/7 (Kenneth Katzman, Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs, “Bahrain: Reform, Security, and U.S. Policy”, July 7, 2011,)
Protests that erupted in Bahrain
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has further strained Bahrain’s economy.

Fifth Fleet will leave Bahrain absent plans for long term stability; key to check Iranian influence and protect oil transports

The Australian 7/21 (“US fleet may quit troubled Bahrain”, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/us-fleet-may-quit-troubled-bahrain/story-e6frg6so-1226098580227)
THE US Navy is looking at
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destroyers and a submarine based in Bahrain.

5th fleet is key to containment of Iran

MSNBC 11 (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42128126/ns/politics-white_house/t/bahrain-upheaval-tests-obama-backing-democracy/#.Tj4ex4LF-So,  Bahrain upheaval tests Obama backing for democracy,  3/17/11
Obama doesn't want to
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some of them from other Gulf countries.

Iran moving towards nuclearization now – Credible IAEA reports confirm suspicions.

Veiluva 10 (http://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/resources/books/BAC/chapter7.pdf, Iran's Challenge to the Nuclear Order by Michael Veiluva, Beyond Arms Control: Challenges and Choices for Nuclear Disarmament, March 2010.)
Accordingly, the three-year stalemate
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another cycle of Revolutionary Guard war games. 

Nuclear armed Iran leads to Israel strikes

Hughes 8/25 (http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/John-Hughes/2011/0825/Obama-s-worst-nightmare-an-election-year-nuclear-ploy-by-Iran, John Hughes / August 25, 2011)
What would be the mother of all
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this into weapons-grade material.” 

Israel will preemptively strike a nuclear Iran for nuclearizing – 3 reasons

Murphy 10 (3 Reasons Israel will attack Iran, http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2010/0813/3-Reasons-Israel-will-attack-Iran/Holocaust-denial-and-Holocaust-fears, Murphy, Dan 8/13/10)
Three Reasons Israel Will Attack Iran.
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has some Israelis fearing irrational behavior. 

Israel strikes cause debilitating damage to the entire Middle East and bait terrorist attacks on the US

Sadr 5 (http://www.nationalreview.com/robbins/robbins200601100812.asp adi-tjc, Ehsaneh Sadr, Dept of Government and Politics at Univ. Maryland, Middle East Policy, Summer 2005,)
The military and political ramifications
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precluding any possibility of Arab-Israeli peace.

These wars escalate globally – culminate in extinction.

Moore 9 (Carol, BA in Polisci @ Wane State, “Six Escalation Scenarios to Nuclear World War III, 1  February, http://pakalert.wordpress.com /2009/02/16/six-escalation-scenarios-to-nuclear-world-war-iii/)
Israel is especially dangerous
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worldwide disarmament movement can stop it.

Single strike leads to extinction – No escalation needed.

Casey 6 (Mingus. Scoop News. “On the History of Nuclear Arms” 10 Oct  06, www.scoop.co.nz)
The ecological effects of nuclear
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sea life will probably die out.

Pirates plan on scourging Hormuz tankers during upcoming monsoon season; sharply increasing oil costs

Bloomberg 11 (6/15, “Pirates May Target Hormuz Tankers in Monsoons, Risk Adviser AKE Group Says”, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-15/pirates-may-target-hormuz-tankers-in-monsoons-risk-adviser-ake-group-says.html,)
Somali pirates, driven north by
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and in the Gulf of Aden, Drake said.

Oil markets can’t adapt to blocks in the Straits of Hormuz—price hikes would be inevitable

Gholz and Press, 10 (coordinator of War and Peace Studies at the John Sloan Dickey Eugene and Daryl G., Security Studies, “Protecting “The Prize”: Oil and the U.S. National Interest”, 19: 3,  453 — 485 http://www.luiss.it/mes/wp content/uploads/2010/02/SecurityStudiesProtectingTh ePrizeOilandtheUSNa tionalInterest.pdf )
Oil markets adjust to shocks,
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military strategy to protect American oil interests.

Oil shocks empirically collapse growth - Kill consumption and spike inflation 

Roubini & Setser 4 (Nouriel Roubini, Professor of Business, Brad Setser, Research Associate, Global Economic Governance Programme, University College, Oxford, August 2004, online)
Oil prices shocks have a stagflationary
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spike associated with the invasion of Iraq is a good example.

Piracy destroys the global economy

Jerusalem Post 8 (“Column One: Civilization walks the plank,” http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?apage=1&cid=1226404794131&pagename= JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull)
Piracy is fast emerging as the
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$1.5 trillion in cargo annually.

Extinction
Bearden 2000 (Lt. Col Thomas E. Bearden, PhD, MS, BSCo-inventor - the 2002 Motionless Electromagnetic Generator - a replicated overunity EM generator Listed in Marquis' Who'sWho in America, 2004)
Just prior to the terrible collapse
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modified version of it, resulting.

1. No link – plan comes out of the already budgeted regional response fund.

McInerney 11 (Executive Director of the Project on Middle East Democracy (POMED), http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/FY2012-Budget-Report-web.pdf)
Despite deep cuts to the
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in Syria, Libya, Yemen, or  elsewhere

FY2011 budget bill gives discretion to Obama to make cuts – they’d take existing appropriations to fund the plan.

McInerney 11 (Executive Director of the Project on Middle East Democracy (POMED),  http://pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/FY2012-Budget-Report-web.pdf July.)

To begin with, there
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appropriations process on  July 27. 

Moral obligation to ignore the budget when it comes to democracy assistance

Shah 11 (United States, Canada and Africa;  Usaid Administrator Speaks On Expanding Human Welfare. Africa News  June 20, 2011, Dr. Raj Shah   USAID Administrator, 6/20/11, http://geneva.usmission.gov/2011/06/22/usaid-cites-importance-of-human-dignity-and-self-determination-to-development/)   
Now, any close look
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prevention and treatment methods. 

Massive Cuts Coming

Dagoni  11 Ran, “US House C'ttee saves Israeli aid in foreign aid cut”, 7/21/11, http://www.globes.co.il/serveen/globes/docview.asp?did=1000666327, )
The US House Foreign Affairs Committee yesterday cut
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and the effectiveness of civilian programs.

Perm do both – Using macro and micro politics avoids reductionism
Marsh 95 (James L., Professor of Philosophy at Fordham University, Critique, Action, and Liberation p.346-347 GAL)
What seems to be called for and to be more
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to a certain indeterminacy on the level of praxis.

Capitalism is inevitable – its engrained by evolution
Wilkinson 5 (Will, policy analyst@CATO, CATO Policy Report, XXVII(1), January/February, http://www.cato.org/research/articles/wilkinson-050201.html, accessed: 29 June 2011, JT)
Perhaps the most depressing lesson
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cognitive adaptations for social exchange." 

Capitalism is key to space
Diamandis 10 (Peter, February 1, “NASA Embraces American Capitalism and Entrepreneurship”, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/peter-diamandis/nasa-embraces-american-ca_b_444673.html)
After 30 years of doing business
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our space program because that is their ethos

Space Colonization solves lots of extinction scenarios
Falconi 81   (Oscar, physicist, THE CASE FOR SPACE COLONIZATION, http://nutri.com/space/)

1. Genetic Manipulation - A good possibility
   AND
   we should take urgent steps to protect man's future and proceed with the colonization of space immediately.  

No alternative – force them to articulate a specific replacement for the capitalist order or default to the assumption that it will turn out like Nazi Germany
Laclau 2k   (professor of Political Theory at the University of Essex , Ernesto, Contingency, Hegemony, Universality, 2000, p. 288)
Zizek calls the reader’s attention to the fact
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that Zizek himself does not know either.

Cap isn’t the root cause of violence—it’s always proximately caused. The alternative leaves us unable to deal with any global problems.
Curtler 97   (Hugh Mercer, Rediscovering Values: Coming to Terms with Postmodernism. pp. 44-7)
The second and third concerns, though

AND
to Dionysus in the futile hope that we can rely on our blind

Transition away from capitalism risks totalitarianism, violence, poverty and war
Aligica 03 (Paul Aligica, Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and Adjunct Fellow at the Hudson Institute, “The Great Transition and the Social Limits to Growth: Herman Kahn on Social Change and Global Economic Development”, April 21, http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_details&id=2827)
Stopping things would mean if not to engage
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advocates are trying to avoid" (Kahn, 1976, 210; 1984).

The alternative can’t solve – it’s political nihilism    (ZIZEK SPECIFIC)
Laclau, 2k   professor of Political Theory at the University of Essex
Ernesto, Contingency, Hegemony, Universality, 2000, p. 33-34.
Here we reach the crux of the difficulties
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of its effects. Ergo: political nihilism

No alt to capitalism – even in times of economic upheaval there is no movement towards revolution

Derbyshire 2k  (John, 1/9/00 http://www.nationalreview.com/nr_comment/nr_com ment010901a.shtml)
On to the 1980s and 1990s, the great age
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change away from capitalism? Fuggedaboutit.

Cap authors don’t understand IR - Our impacts aren’t constructed until they prove it.
Yudkowsky 06   Research Fellow at the Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence that has published multiple peer-reviewed papers on risk assessment.  Eleizer, Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks. Forthcoming in Global Catastrophic Risks, eds. Nick Bostrom & Milan Cirkovic. 8-31-06 http://singinst.org/upload/cognitive-biases.pdf
Every true idea which discomforts you
AND
Do not take your eye off the ball.

Leftist revolutions have produced some of the worst human suffering in history
Peretz, 03   Former Assistant Professor at Harvard, Editor-in Chief of The New Republic,
Martin, "Manque", The New Republic, February 3, lexis)
What is the grand "progressive
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and greater prisons of the soul.

Right-wing groups will squash their movement and bring global fascism.
Lewis 94    (associate research professor of geography, co-director of Comparative Area Studies, Duke University,
Martin W., Green Delusions, 1994, pp. 170-171)

The extreme left, for all its intellectual
AND
embrace, and then seek to reform, capitalism

Default to a utilitarian calculus – better for public policy
Goodin 95 (Robert E., Utilitarianism as a Public Philosophy, Google Books)
My concern in this book, true to the thrust of this introduction, is with utilitarianism as a public philosophy. My main concern is with the ways in which utilitarianism can be a good guide to
AND
would argue, a uniquely defensible public philosophy.

Self-fulfilling prophecy is backwards – failure to express our fears causes them to occur

Macy 95 (Joanna, General Systems Scholar and Deep Ecologist, 1995, Ecopsychology)
There is also the superstition that negative
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guilty of contributing to that very fate.

First, policy analysis should precede discourse – most effective way to challenge power

Taft-Kaufman 95 (Jill, Speech prof @ CMU, 1995, Southern Comm. Journal, Spring, v. 60, Iss. 3, “Other Ways”, p Proquest)
The postmodern passwords of "polyvocality," "Otherness,"
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and the budgets that fuel them. 

And, realism is epistemologically true

Harvey 97 (Frank, associate professor of Political Science, Dalhouse University, The Future’s Back: Nuclear Rivalry, Deterrence Theory, And Crisis Stability After The Cold War, 1997, p. 139)
Finally, the lack of purity and precision
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relations if we pursued that strategy.

And, realism is transformative—it can synthesize critical theories to provide effective strategies of change

Murray 97 (Alastair J.H., Politics Department, University of Wales Swansea, Reconstructing Realism, 1997, p. 178-9)
In Wendt’s constructivism, the argument appears
AND
and progressivism, might be built.

And, fear is necessary to check extinction – provides a consciousness which sustains peace

Futterman 94 (J.A.H., Former US nuclear weapons scientist, 1994, “Obscenity and Peace: Meditation on the Bomb,” Virtual Church of the Blind Chihuahua, www.dogchurch.org/books/nuke.html)
But the inhibitory effect of reliable
AND
our future technological breakthroughs.[16] 

Perm do both – critiquing security rhetoric is not enough – action is essential

Burke 2 (Anthony, Prof at the School of Political Science and International Studies at University of Queensland, Alternatives “Aporias of Security” 2002 p. 22)
It is perhaps easy to become despondent
AND
security seeks to imagine and police.

And, conveying images of war instead of suppressing them is essential to value to life.

Paschalidis 97 (Gregory, of Aristotle University of Thessaloniki. Put online in: 1997. “Images of War and the War of Images.” http://genesis.ee.auth.gr/dimakis/Gramma/7/06-paschalidis.htm)
The choice, then, of the whole of
AND
without having first prevailed in the latter.

Collective fear of death is key to check genocide and extinction

Beres 96 (Louis Rene, PhD Princeton, 1996, “No Fear, No Trembling Israel, Death and the Meaning of Anxiety,” www.freeman.org/m_online/feb96/beresn.htm)
Fear of death, the ultimate source of anxiety,
AND
likely an irreversible rendezvous with extinction. 

Voting for prediction is an act which reclaims the future for the forces of pragmatic political change – the reason our social field is ruled by futurism and destructive risk management is precisely the negative’s cynical evasion of the potentiality in prediction.  Theorizing about the system sparks ideas on how to overcome it.

Kurasawa 4 (Fuyuki, Constellation, v. 11, no. 4, 2004, “Cautionary Tales,” Blackwell)
As we float in a mood of post-millennial
AND
 pursue a different tack by exploring how a dystopian

Non Unique - Iran perceives containment now

Berman 4 (Ilan ,vice president for policy at the American Foreign Policy Council in Washington, D.C., where he directs research and analysis on the Middle East and Central Asia. Middle East Quarterly Spring 2004,"How to Tame Tehran" pp. 45-54 http://www.meforum.org/614/how-to-tame-tehran)

For Tehran, the overthrow

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drive to transform their country.

 No link - The aff is not sufficient to be considered containment of Iran
Bromund and Phillips 11 (Ted R, Ph.D., is Senior Research Fellow in the Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom and James , Senior Research Fellow for Middle Eastern Affairs in the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies February 14, 2011 Heritage Foundation “Containing a Nuclear Iran: Difficult, Costly, and Dangerous”  http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/02/containing-a-nuclear-iran-difficult-costly-and-dangerous )

The situation in the Middle East

AND

major trading states in Europe and Asia.

Containing Iran in the Middle East is key to spread democracy in the region

Amess 11 (David, UPI Outside View Commentator July 6, 2011 "Arab Spring needs Iranian Summer to survive" UPI http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Analysis/Outside-View/2011/07/06/Outside-View-Arab-Spring-needs-Iranian-Summer-to-survive/UPI-10751309954560/?spt=hs&or=an)

It is clear that the United States, United Kingdom

AND

Iranian people's democratic rights.

US-Saudi relations rest on Palestinian statehood vote

Calabresi 9/13 (Time’s Central Europe Bureau Chief 1995-99 http://swampland.time.com/2011/09/13/saudi-threatens-u-s-over-palestinian-statehood-veto/?iid=sl-main-lede, MASSIMO CALABRESI, September 13, 2011 JSM)

Last night’s GOP presidential

AND

Afghanistan and Yemen as well.”

 Palestine veto will thump US-Saudi relations  

Gulf News 9/20 (http://gulfnews.com/opinions/columnists/us-desperate-to-thwart-palestinian-statehood-bid-1.869846, US desperate to thwart Palestinian statehood bid, Linda S. Heard 9/20/11)

The problem is if the US turns out

AND

majority of Arabs and Muslims…"  

US Saudi Relations low
IHT 11 (International Herald Tribune, 3-19, "For Obama, Bahrain is Mideast's hottest spot; Region in Revolt" LEXIS,)

The brutal crackdown in Bahrain

AND

since Mr. Mubarak was forced from office.

No impact to Saudi relations collapse – they won’t do anything.

Sajedi 9/20 (http://www.presstv.ir/detail/200216.html, Saudi's threats against US ring hollow, Seyyed Mohiyeddin Sajedi, 2/20/11)

Saudi Arabia is losing the people in Arab countries

AND

over the future of Iraq either.

Saudi relations not harmed by Arab Spring policies because democratic revolution was initiated locally.  

AFP 9/16 (http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jA_FSDO25m2rYXq51dz_ThnLtD3w?docId =CNG.b6d207691ba28c0711d32cc4f2496bd7.551, (AFP) 9/16/11)
The key diplomatic relationship between

AND

shared strategic interests," he said.

7. Saudi Arabia is behind the US involvement and even intervention in the region.  They have strategic interests in mind

Cunningham 9/20  (http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL1109/S00176/bahrain-is-washington-preparing-for-regime-change.htm, Finian Cunningham, 9/20/11, )

Apart from the US Fifth Fleet, the US 

AND

and democratic freedoms.  

8. Saudi wants to secure global economy and focus on counterterrorism – plan does both those things – they’ll understand

CNN 11 ( 7/3/11"Obama adviser discusses 'scratchy' ties with Arab allies" http://articles.cnn.com/2011-07-03/us/mideast_1_saudi-arabia-saudi-monarchy-washington-and-riyadh?_s=PM:US,)

"We did have some scratchy periods

AND

which we work with the Saudis."

Plan secures oil which is the only relevant issue in US/Saudi relations
West 2001 (J. Robinson Former Assistant Secretary of the Interior, and currently Chairman of the Petroleum Finance Co “The Saudi problem: ignore the press reports” http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m2633/is_6_15/ai_82005574)

The American public has recently been served

AND

immediately after September 11th.

Empirically proven – relations resilient

Satloff  2011 ("Filling the Strategy Vacuum in the Middle East" Washington Institute Policy Alert, June 14, 2011. Robert Satloff is executive director of The Washington Institute. South Asian Pulse, http://www.sapulse.com/new_comments.php?id=3061_0_1_0_C,)

Recent events, of course,

AND

the recent rise in oil prices.

Plan Text

Jeremy and I believe that The United States Federal Government should give civil society assistance to the Kingdom of Bahrain.

Democracy Adv.

Bahrain is the center of counterrevolution through violent crackdowns that kills the Arab Spring and will erupt in violence

Democracy Digest 9/16 (http://www.demdigest.net/blog/2011/09/bahrain-the-cornerstone-of-arab-counterrevolution/, Bahrain the ‘cornerstone’ of Arab counterrevolution, September 16, 2011,)

Bahrain “has emerged as the

AND

, in the pursuit of power.”

US currently shows support for the monarchy - that stalls democratic transition.  US action key

WSJ 11 (The wrong ally in Bahrain, The Washington Post, 8/13/2011, Brian Dooley,)

Thomas W. Lippman's Aug. 5 Washington Forum commentary, "Why Bahrain remains an ally," warned that it is dangerous for the

And

on the side of democracy.

Moral obligation for democracy – political freedom is the most important qualitative impact

Shah 11 (United States, Canada and Africa;  Usaid Administrator Speaks On Expanding Human Welfare. Africa News  June 20, 2011, Dr. Raj Shah

USAID Administrator, 6/20/11, http://geneva.usmission.gov/2011/06/22/usaid-cites-importance-of-human-dignity-and-self-determination-to-development/)

As the United States and USAID

AND

 understanding of human welfare.

Role of the ballot is political engagement over US democracy policy -

American public discourse on democracy assistance is crucial to breaking down the clash of civilization discourse that causes Islamophobia and orientalism---empirics prove that effective democracy promotion disaggregated from hard-line Iraq-style invasion has a positive effect---and, even if it doesn’t succeed it’s productive to advocate

Telhami 5 (SHIBLEY Anwar Sadat professor for peace and development, University of Maryland “Democracy: Rising Tide or Mirage” Middle East Policy Vol 12 Issue 2 May 23 2005 Wiley

I think we all agree that, no matter how

And

sharpness of the clash on the other side

Elections will be flawed and only increase sectarian violence

Murphy 11 (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20110920/ml-arab-spring-elections/ BRIAN MURPHY, 9/20/11, 1st Arab Spring votes more about stalling change, Barbara Surk in Muscat, Oman, contributed to this report)

In Bahrain, the special parliamentary

AND

 the Qatar-based analyst Shaikh.   

Civil society damaged through prosecution and unjust charges

ABNA 11 (2011/09/04, http://abna.ir/data.asp?lang=3&Id=263549 CIVICUS urges Bahrain Government to stop sham trials of activists)

(On 11 September 2011, 21 civil society

And

languish in Bahrain’s jails.

American engagement with Bahraini civil society prevents violent crackdowns and allows a legitimate cooperation without corruption or violence

Azziz and Musalem 11 (Sahir Aziz & Abdullah Musalem 11 Assoc. Prof of Law @ Texas Weselyan &  Social Researcher in Bahrain Institute for Social Policy and Understanding, Citizens, not subjeCts: I  S  PU July 2011 http://ispu.org/pdfs/640_ISPU%20Report_Bahrain_Aziz_Musalem_WEB.pdf)

the saudi monarchy watched in

AND

religious or secular extremists

Preventing democracy assistance is a method used to promote autocracy, stifle dissent and subjugate the population to violence

Gershman and Allen 6 (Journal of Democracy, Volume 17, Number 2, April 2006, Gershman, Carl. Allen, Michael, The Assault on Democracy Assistance ProjectMuse)

At the November 2005

AND

more specifically, jihadist Islam

Promoting civil society is the only durable method of democracy assistance.  It allows local civic participation and pressures the regime for reform

Blum 11 (Alexandra Blum 3/10/2011 “The Future of U.S. Democracy Promotion: Strategies for a Sustainable Fourth Wave of Democratization,”)

Supporting civil society combats

AND

that will outlast foreign aid (Stanski 2005, 200)

Now is the key time – we have a strategic and moral obligation to ensure democratic transition and end the daily violence against the citizens of Bahrain

Boot 9/19 (Time to Affect Political Change in Bahrain, Max Boot http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/09/19/political-change-bahrain/ leading military historian and foreign-policy analyst master's degree in history from Yale University 9/19/11)  

It was precisely to ward off

AND

toppling another American ally.

Democracy is a natural right and ensures human rights and peace

Gershman and Allen 6 (Journal of Democracy, Volume 17, Number 2, April 2006, Gershman, Carl. Allen, Michael, The Assault on Democracy Assistance ProjectMuse)

Since the fall of communism

AND

 information, and encourage democratic participation.

Moral obligation to democracy assistance – it’s an inalienable right that also creates peace and stability.

Haass 3 (Haass, Richard., Toward Greater Democracy in the Muslim World, The Washington Quarterly, Volume 26, Number 3, Summer 2003, pp. 137-148 ProjectMuse.)

At the most fundamental level,

AND

table, not on a battlefield.

Plan key to ensure authentic democracy.  Dictators want to stifle democracy assistance to tip the scales towards brutal dictatorship.

Gershman and Allen 6 (Journal of Democracy, Volume 17, Number 2, April 2006, Gershman, Carl. Allen, Michael, The Assault on Democracy Assistance ProjectMuse)

The remaining hybrid regimes—

AND

within the international system.

Democracy protects its societies rights and ensures power is with the citizens not the elites.

Haass 3 (Haass, Richard., Toward Greater Democracy in the Muslim World, The Washington Quarterly, Volume 26, Number 3, Summer 2003, pp. 137-148 ProjectMuse.)

Democracy represents more than

And

 freedom of speech and worship.

No other concerns are relevant – Democracy first regardless of the risk.

Dunne 4 (Michele Durocher Dunne “INTEGRATING DEMOCRACY PROMOTION INTO U.S. MIDDLE EAST POLICY” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2004/10/01/integrating-democracy-promotion-into-u.s.-middle-east-policy/2ys,)

The United States can pursue

AND

on their behalf.

Student debates about MENA are critical to shaping policy and bringing worldwide awareness to issues plaguing the Middle East.

Anderson 3 (http://www.campus-watch.org/article/id/871, Scholarship, Policy, Debate and Conflict:Why We Study the Middle East and Why It Matters 2003 MESA Presidential Address by Lisa Anderson Middle East Studies Association November 200)

Well, academic colleagues, get

AND

 somehow be linked.

Student debates play a role in public policymaking on all levels – comparison of the impacts of policies based in research is key to civic education and democratic responsibility.

Anderson 3 (http://www.campus-watch.org/article/id/871, Scholarship, Policy, Debate and Conflict:Why We Study the Middle East and Why It Matters 2003 MESA Presidential Address by Lisa Anderson Middle East Studies Association November 200)

Yet, there is far more that we

And

 or Egypt or the United States.

 First, policy analysis should precede discourse – most effective way to challenge power The K’s Discourse fails to challenge power dynamics or offer a way of challenging them

Taft-Kaufman 95 (Jill, Speech prof @ CMU, 1995, Southern Comm. Journal, Spring, v. 60, Iss. 3, “Other Ways”, p Proquest)

The postmodern passwords

AND

agencies, and the budgets that fuel them.

And, realism is epistemologically true -History has shown that realism exists 

Harvey 97 (Frank, associate professor of Political Science, Dalhouse University, The Future’s Back: Nuclear Rivalry, Deterrence Theory, And Crisis Stability After The Cold War, 1997, p. 139)

Finally, the lack of

And

we pursued that strategy.

And, realism is transformative—it can synthesize critical theories to provide effective strategies of change

Our Ideas of Realism provides a superior alternatives for change

Murray 97 (Alastair J.H., Politics Department, University of Wales Swansea, Reconstructing Realism, 1997, p. 178-9)

In Wendt’s constructivism,

AND

and progressivism, might be built.

And, fear is necessary to check extinction – provides a consciousness which sustains peace

Our extinction impacts are necessary to provide the framework to sustain peace

Futterman 94 (J.A.H., Former US nuclear weapons scientist, 1994, “Obscenity and Peace: Meditation on the Bomb,” Virtual Church of the Blind Chihuahua, www.dogchurch.org/books/nuke.html)

But the inhibitory effect of

AND

future technological breakthroughs.[16]

Perm do both – critiquing security rhetoric is not enough – action is essential

Perm do both – critiquing our language is not enough to force a change – working within the system is essential

Burke 2 (Anthony, Prof at the School of Political Science and International Studies at University of Queensland, Alternatives “Aporias of Security” 2002 p. 22)

It is perhaps easy to become

AND

to imagine and police.

And, conveying images of war instead of suppressing them is essential to value to life.

Images of war expose the horror of war – essential to value to life

Paschalidis 97 (Gregory, of Aristotle University of Thessaloniki. Put online in: 1997. “Images of War and the War of Images.” http://genesis.ee.auth.gr/dimakis/Gramma/7/06-paschalidis.htm)

The choice, then, of the

AND

having first prevailed in the latter.

Collective fear of death is key to check genocide and extinction

Beres 96 (Louis Rene, PhD Princeton, 1996, “No Fear, No Trembling Israel, Death and the Meaning of Anxiety,” www.freeman.org/m_online/feb96/beresn.htm)

Fear of death, the ultimate source

AND

irreversible rendezvous with extinction.

Voting for prediction is an act which reclaims the future for the forces of pragmatic political change – the reason our social field is ruled by futurism and destructive risk management is precisely the negative’s cynical evasion of the potentiality in prediction.  Theorizing about the system sparks ideas on how to overcome it.

Kurasawa 4 (Fuyuki, Constellation, v. 11, no. 4, 2004, “Cautionary Tales,” Blackwell)

As we float in a mood of post-millennial angst,

AND

tack by exploring how a dystopian

Self-fulfilling prophecy is backwards – failure to express our fears causes them to occur

Macy 95 (Joanna, General Systems Scholar and Deep Ecologist, 1995, Ecopsychology)

There is also the superstition

And

guilty of contributing to that very fate.