asAmerican fundamentalism is on the rise – Anti-Muslim rhetoric threatens to turn the political sphere into an echo chamber of racism, sacrificing any remaining semblance of critical thought on the altar of bipartisanship

Giroux 11 (Henry A. Giroux, Global TV Network Chair in English and Cultural Studies at McMaster University, formerly Boston University, Miami University, Penn State University, "Breivik's Fundamentalist War on Politics, and Ours," August 3, )

The tragic slayings in Norway raise anew serious

AND

a noble practice and democracy has a future.

Status quo democratization epitomizes this logic in its attempts to prove Western Superiority over the Middle East by constructing Islam as anti-democratic and inherently threatening

Teti, 2007 (Andrea, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Aberdeen, “Confessions of a Dangerous Paradigm: Democratisation, Transitology and Orientalism”)

The literature presents – or implies – contrasting

AND

[...] regulated for the good of all.”39

This historical narrative creates an adversarial relationship to Islam which pervades U.S. foreign policy – this is exemplified by current allocations of democracy assistance which exclude Islamist parties in an attempt to pick the winner and ensure the advent of a Western-style liberal democracy

Kull, 9-5-’11 (Steven, Director of Program on International Policy Attitudes, “Why Muslims are still mad at America”

http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/05/why-muslims-are-still-mad-at-america/)

On the ten-year anniversary of the 9/11 attacks

AND

their aspirations, they grow resolutely hostile.

The current policy of “allowing” Islamist participation while simultaneously engineering elections against them ensures Islamophobic control over U.S. political party assistance

Carothers, Director Democracy Carnegie, 2011 (Thomas, Feb 24, “How not to promote democracy in Egypt,” http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-

dyn/content/article/2011/02/24/AR2011022406530.html)

As the U.S. government assesses the uprisings

AND

exclusion would be a good way to start.

Islamophobia constitutes a blatantly racist and ideological worldview which MUST be rejected – the alternative is genocide and extinction.

Munjid, 2011 (3/27, Achmad, president of the Nahdlatul Ulama community in North America, “Overcoming Islamophobia in the United States,”

)

Remember, as institutionalized hatred, Islamophobia has

AND

enemy. Everybody knows what the consequences are.

The pursuit of “stability” is based on this fundamentally racist decision calculus in which Arabs have no agency and violence done to them is rendered invisible

Yezza, 2011 (Hicham, February 5, editor-in-chief of Ceasefire, “Real Arab democracy Vs mythical “regional stability”,” )

However, one of the less charming aspects

AND

political calculations at their expense must end now.

Dehumanization of foreign populations is a pre-condition to war

Collins and Glover, 2002 (John Collins, Ass. Prof. of Global Studies at St. Lawrence, and Ross Glover, Visiting Professor of Sociology at St. Lawrence University, 2002, Collateral Language, p. 6-7, The Real Effects of Language)

As any university student knows, theories about

AND

mental gaze from the physical effects of violence.

Thus the plan: The United States Federal Government should make political party support available for Egyptian political parties regardless of their religious affiliation.

Providing aid to Islamists is critical to force democratization away from Islamophobic fundamentalists - Western superiority hinges on the view of Islam as anti-democratic, sanctioning subsequent disciplinary attempts such as revoking aid and military intervention.

Teti, 2007 (Andrea, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Aberdeen, “Confessions of a Dangerous Paradigm: Democratisation, Transitology and Orientalism”)

[The bio-politics of failure:

AND

liberal forces which it sought to undermine.50

We must recognize our complicity in democratization – opposing its harmful practices can only take place working within the structures we inhabit

Kapoor, 2008 (Ilan, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Environmental Studies, York University, “The Postcolonial Politics of Development,” p. 54-55)

Taking Derrida’s lead, Spivak insists that deconstruction

AND

Freire), and ‘accountable positioning’ (Haraway).

Effective decision-making should begin with how we constitute ourselves as ethical subjects - we must refuse Islamophobia whenever we can

Kouros '97 (George, Yale Law Graduate, And Holds a B.A. in Philosophy from Emory. “Become What You Are,” p. 35-42) *we don’t endorse the gendered language in this ev

Unlike systems of ethics which take the subject

AND

greater quality of life than the inauthentic self.

Constructing this ethical subjectivity must begin from a profoundly contrarian spirit which refuses to capitulate to social injustice

Salaita, 2006 (Steven, associate professor of English at Virginia Tech, “Anti-Arab Racism in the USA,” p. 218-220)

Other situations replete with anti-Arab racism

AND

pretend to respect Arabs while looting their resources.

Tex

Aff: thomas.hodgman@gmail.com
Neg: abhikkp@gmail.com

Cede the political - critique can only overcome power and produce change when articulated in the language of hegemony

Kapoor, 2008 (Ilan, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Environmental Studies, York University, “The Postcolonial Politics of Development,” p. 138-139)

There are perhaps  … deflect their claims.

Political calculations that prioritize combatting one form of oppression over another make BOTH inevitable – ignores the interrelation of power

Mikdashi, 2011 (Jun 29, Maya, Co-Founder of Jadaliyya, PhD candidate at Columbia University's Department of Anthropology, “What is [the] left?,” http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/2012/what-is_the_left)

I have been  … our principles, now.

Neoliberalism can represent itself as benign ONLY through the erasure of racism – perm is key

Roberts and Mahanti, Dpt. Of Geography and Planning Univ of Toronto 2010

David J. and Minel .1le- Neoliberalizing Race, Racing Neoliberalism:  Placing “Race” in Neoliberal Discourse; a paper first presented in 2008 at the AAGs in Boston, MA in April; published online February 18th; ANTIPODE, Vol. 42, Issue 2; pp. 248-257, March. http://ccrri.ukzn.ac.za/docs/Neoliberalizing_Race,_Racing_Neoliberalism_Placing_Race_In_Neoliberal_Discourses_.pdf

As a consequence … an important role.

Representation is unavoidable – some people will always be absent from material decisions - it’s critical to actualizing a social imaginary 

Laclau, 2000 (Ernesto, with Slavoj Zizek and Judith Butler, “Contingency, Hegemony, Universality: Contemporary Dialogues On The Left,” p. 211-212)

4. Finally, representation … universality is achievable. 

Abandoning democracy because of its western roots is ethnocentric and justifies dictatorship

Sadiki, 2004 (Larbi, Senior Lecturer in Middle East Politics at the University of Exeter, “The Search for Arab Democracy: Discourses and Counter-Discourses,” p. 12)

But adapting democracy  … practice of democracy.15

Criticism of formal liberal freedoms and institutions is only made possible by the privilege of those operating inside them - reject the neg’s Stalinist impulse to impose communism and equality over the universal arab aspirations for freedom and democracy

Kacem, 2011 (Medhi Belhaj, studied under Badiou, leading young French philosopher, “A Tunisian Renaissance,” interview by Alexander Galloway, Jan 31, http://www.lacan.com/thesymptom/?page_id=1046)

There seem to  … the twenty-first.

Anti-interventionism resorts to orientalist narratives seeing Arabs as needing protection from outside influence – historically this has justified dictatorship 

Sadiki, 2011 (Larbi, Jun 6, Senior Lecturer in Middle East Politics at the University of Exeter, “The mathematics of the Arab Spring,” 

http://aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2011/05/2011531132934920499.html)

On the Arab … to speak back.

Positive political signal key – historical context of American Islamophobia means a neutral stance segues to exclusion of Islamists. 

Sadiki, 2009 (Larbi, Senior Lecturer in Middle East Politics at the University of Exeter,  “Rethinking Arab Democratization: Elections Without Democracy,” p. 280-281)

US pressure has  … and political goals.’25

Revoking aid is empirically a disciplinary mechanism – in Egypt it punishes moving from Mubarak to Islam

Kapoor, 2008 (Ilan, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Environmental Studies, York University, “The Postcolonial Politics of Development,” p. 84-85)

Troublingly, there are  … 1970s (Raffer & Singer 1996: 126).

Result of the alt reinforces western hypocrisy by only keeping aid for the secular military 

Strasser, 2011 (Max, June 26, freelance journalist and writer in Istanbul, “Can USAID Be a Force For Good In Egypt?,” http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/?id=47350)

Millions of American  … to the military.

Pure opposition to transnational institutions ignores your own complicity

Kapoor, 2008 (Ilan, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Environmental Studies, York University, “The Postcolonial Politics of Development,” p. 70-71)

Moreover, it is  … the “First World”’ (1990b: 96).

Analysis of power relations solely through economic structures is ethnocentric, and only re-inscribes economic dependency in lieu of third world agency

Kapoor, 2008 (Ilan, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Environmental Studies, York University, “The Postcolonial Politics of Development,” p. 10-11)

From the postcolonial  … European parameters. (Hall 1996: 250)

The goal is not to withdraw from the state, but alter functioning of power through new political participation

Zizek 9 (Slavoj, Prof. of European Graduate School, Intl. Director of the Birkbeck Inst. for Humanities, U. of London, and Senior Researcher @ Inst. of Sociology, U. of Ljubljiana, First as Tragedy, Then as Farce, pgs. 129-131)

The Hegelian answer … such a "dictatorship"?

The upsurge of Anti-Muslim rhetoric threatens to turn the political sphere into an echo chamber of racism, sacrificing any remaining semblance of critical thought on the altar of bipartisanship.

Giroux 11 (Henry A. Giroux, Global TV Network Chair in English and Cultural Studies at McMaster University, formerly Boston University, Miami University, Penn State University, "Breivik's Fundamentalist War on Politics, and Ours," August 3, http://www.truth-out.org/breiviks-fundamentalist-war-politics-and-ours/1312390288)

The tragic slayings in Norway raise anew serious

AND

a noble practice and democracy has a future.

This is apparent in status quo democratization, which attempts to prove Western Superiority over the Middle East by constructing Islam as anti-democratic and inherently threatening

Teti, 7 (Andrea, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Aberdeen, “Confessions of a Dangerous Paradigm: Democratisation, Transitology and Orientalism”)

The literature presents – or implies – contrasting

AND

[...] regulated for the good of all.”39

Specifically, we “allow” Islamist participation while simultaneously engineering elections against them

Carothers, Director Democracy Carnegie, 11 (Thomas, Feb 24, “How not to promote democracy in Egypt,” http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-

dyn/content/article/2011/02/24/AR2011022406530.html)

As the U.S. government assesses the uprisings across

AND

exclusion would be a good way to start.

By attempting to rig the game for Western-style liberal democracy we cede U.S. foreign policy to Islamophobic forces, locking in an adversarial relationship historically responsible for massive violence

Kull, 9-5-’11 (Steven, Director of Program on International Policy Attitudes, “Why Muslims are still mad at America”

http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/09/05/why-muslims-are-still-mad-at-america/)

On the ten-year anniversary of the 9/11 attacks

AND

religion and their aspirations, they grow resolutely hostile.

Attempting to preserve stability by cultivating Western-allied regimes is based on a fundamentally racist decision calculus in which the price for Islamophobia is paid in Arab blood

Yezza, 11 (Hicham, February 5, editor-in-chief of Ceasefire, “Real Arab democracy Vs mythical “regional stability”,” http://ceasefiremagazine.co.uk/editorial/freedom-vs-stability/)

However, one of the less charming aspects

AND

political calculations at their expense must end now.

An Islamophobic political discourse is a precondition for violence – the language used to exclude populations from civilization is essential to manufacturing consent for war

Collins and Glover, 2 (John Collins, Ass. Prof. of Global Studies at St. Lawrence, and Ross Glover, Visiting Professor of Sociology at St. Lawrence University, 2002, Collateral Language, p. 6-7, The Real Effects of Language)

As any university student knows, theories about

AND

mental gaze from the physical effects of violence.

Islamophobia constitutes a blatantly racist and ideological worldview which MUST be rejected – the alternative is genocide and extinction

Munjid, 11 (3/27, Achmad, president of the Nahdlatul Ulama community in North America, “Overcoming Islamophobia in the United States,”

http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2011/03/27/overcoming-islamophobia-united-states.html)

Remember, as institutionalized hatred, Islamophobia has

AND

enemy. Everybody knows what the consequences are.

Thus the plan: The United States Federal Government should offer political party support for Egyptian political parties regardless of their religious affiliation.

Contention 2: Solvency

Providing aid to Islamists is critical to reclaim democracy from Islamophobic fundamentalists by shattering the notion that Islam and democracy are incompatible. Prioritizing liberal principles and the revocation of aid are two sides of the same coin – both sanction disciplinary interventions to re-establish the superiority of Western democracy

Teti, 7 (Andrea, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Aberdeen, “Confessions of a Dangerous Paradigm: Democratisation, Transitology and Orientalism”)

[The bio-politics of failure:

AND

liberal forces which it sought to undermine.50

We must recognize our complicity in democratization – opposing its harmful practices can only take place working within the structures we inhabit

Kapoor, 8 (Ilan, Associate Professor at the Faculty of Environmental Studies, York University, “The Postcolonial Politics of Development,” p. 54-55)

Taking Derrida’s lead, Spivak insists that deconstruction

AND

Freire), and ‘accountable positioning’ (Haraway).

Effective decision-making should begin with how we constitute ourselves as ethical subjects - we must reject Islamophobia whenever we can

Kouros '99 (George, Yale Law Graduate, And Holds a B.A. in Philosophy from Emory. “Become What You Are,” p. 35-42) *we don’t endorse the gendered language in this ev

Unlike systems of ethics which take the subject

AND

greater quality of life than the inauthentic self.

Constructing this ethical subjectivity must begin from a profoundly contrarian spirit which refuses to capitulate to social injustice

Salaita, 6 (Steven, associate professor of English at Virginia Tech, “Anti-Arab Racism in the USA,” p. 218-220)

Other situations replete with anti-Arab racism

AND

pretend to respect Arabs while looting their resources.

Finally, our commitment to social justice can transform foreign policy - viewing the identity of the state as static abandons a critical opportunity to challenge domination

Schwedler et. al 11 (Jillian Schwedler teaches political science at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst Josh Stacher is an assistant professor of political science at Kent State University  Stacey Philbrick Yadav is the coordinator of the Middle Eastern Studies program and Assistant Professor of Political Science at Hobart and William Smith Colleges Jadaliyya June 10 http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/1826/three-powerfully-wrong_and-wrongly-powerful_americ) 9/4/11

We can expect that Islamists are likely to

AND

support for what they have come to represent.

Plan

The United States federal government should offer military education democracy programming for Egypt to substantially increase Egyptian participation in military education democracy programming.

Adv 1 – Transition

Advantage 1 is Egyptian Transition Failure

Egyptian revolution is at the crossroads – conflict between SCAF and newly elected officials will erupt unless both sides can be accommodated

Alterman, Director of the Middle East Program at CSIS, 1/2 (Egypt's real revolution, International Herald Tribune, Lexis)

The Egyptian revolution did not happen last winter

AND

- not a victory, but an accommodation.

This tension turns Egypt into a ticking time-bomb – failure to bridge the divide between SCAF and the public destabilizes Egypt

Zakher, Head of the Secular Copts Group, 12-29-’11 (Kamal, “Unrevolutionary Pace” Al-Ahram Weekly, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1078/eg10.htm)

The lack of transparency and obfuscation pose the

AND

in a position to have a veto power.

Egyptian instability causes Israeli-Iran nuclear exchange that engulfs the entire region

London, Professor emeritus at NYU, 10

(The Coming Crisis In The Middle East, www.hudson-ny.org/1387/coming-crisis-in-the-middle-east)

The coming storm in the Middle East is

AND

in both an emotional and physical retreat from the region.

Egyptian stability is the defining factor in whether Israel and Iran go to war

Byman – Professor Security Georgetown - 11 (Summer, Professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University, Washington Quarterly, “Israel’s Pessimistic View of the Arab Spring”)

Gaza offers the risk of a high-

AND

a dangerous escalation that could spiral into disaster.

Israel war poses the highest risk of escalation – Israel thinks Iran is irrational so deterrence logic fails

Nili, PhD Candidate PolSci Notre Dame, ’11 (Shmuel- IDF Captain Media and Communications Division, Spring, “The Nuclear (and the) Holocaust: Israel, Iran, and the Shadows of Auschwitz” Journal of Strategic Security, Vol 4 Issue 1, p 37-56, http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1073&context=jss)

It is a gross mistake to think that

AND

pay any price to achieve its messianic goal.

Egyptian instability tanks the global economy – stable Suez access key to global trade

El-Erian, ’11 [Mohamed A. El-Erian, Pimco chief executive officer and co-chief investment officer, Faculty @ Harvard Business School, “Egypt's Improbable Path Traces Four Points: Mohamed A. El-Erian,” Jan 31st 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-31/egypt-s-improbable-path-traces-four-points-mohamed-a-el-erian.html]

How Egypt evolves in the next few days

AND

a secular movement could be hijacked by theocrats.

Broad statistical models prove – unmanaged economic declines lead to global conflict

Royal, Director of cooperative threat reduction, ’10

[Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction – U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises”, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215]

Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline

AND

economic-security debate and deserves more attention.

METs are effective at quickly resolving disputes between civilian and military officials

Cope, Senior Fellow - Institute for National Strategic Studies, 95

(International Military Education and Training: an assessment, McNair Papers, Lexis)

DSAA has launched an intensive effort to reinforce

AND

desiring to participate in these programs.

The US military serving as an effective honest broker between Egyptian political and military factions solves best – heavy handed approaches will backfire

Boston Globe 11 (2/1, Back democracy, not Mubarak; US must help spur change, Lexis)

Obama should call for consultations between the current

AND

will be needed to build effective political parties.

Brokering conflict between SCAF and civilian leaders is the only way to resolve the Egyptian political crisis

Al-Anani, Scholar in International Affairs at Durham, 12/26 (Civilian-military negotiations inevitable, english.alarabiya.net/views/2011/12/26/184608.html)

One of the facets of stalled democracy in

AND

of both sides to overcome their mutual denial.

IMET training solves – creates officer restraint that makes conflict with civilians less likely

Toronto, Professor Middle East Security at Army School of Advanced Military Studies, ’11 (Nathan, November, “Active Inaction: Interagency Security Assistance to Egypt” Interagency Paper, http://thesimonscenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/IAP-No06-November2011.pdf)

The second indication is a shift in emphasis

AND

active inaction suggests—is an achievable goal.

SCAF is influenced by IMET – training creates a culture of respect for human rights as long as they still play some role in politics

Philippe Droz-Vincent - assistant professor of political science and teaches at the Institut d’Etudes Politiques in Paris – 11/10/11, Is Military Rule in Egypt Really Temporary? http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2011/11/10/is-military-rule-in-egypt-really-temporary/71dj

A new bargain will necessarily emerge between the

AND

post-Mubarak, post-SCAF Egypt.

The ability of civilian leaders to limit the

AND

a new posture in this time of uncertainty.

We don’t need to win a full relinquishment of power to solve – the US can reduce SCAF control enough to restore stability

Hilal, Director - Middle East Task Force - New America Foundation, 11 (11/25, Egypt needs a new road map, not just elections, mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/11/25/egypt_needs_a_new_road_map_not_just_elections)

Most crucial of all, the poorly planned

AND

end up on the wrong side of history.

Adv 2 – Military Access

Advantage 2 is Military Access

Obama’s inaction on Egyptian military control will create a break in the alliance – only executive leadership to reformulate military assistance solves

Diehl, Editor - Washington Post, 11 (12/11, Obama is lagging on Egypt, www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obama-lagging-on-the-arab-spring/2011/12/08/gIQApQzCoO_story.html)

The story of that statement is a good

AND

, it needs to come from the president.

Military cooperation will be cutoff unless the United States reverses perceptions of our over commitment to military control

Byman, Senior Fellow - Middle East - Brookings, 11 (2/9, Democracy in Egypt: What Are the Risks to the United States? www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/0209_egypt_democracy_byman.aspx)

Mubarak, after all, was a friend

AND

realistic outcome for U.S. policy.

Loss of Egyptian military cooperation would be a devastating blow to US global military operations – we would not be able to adapt to loss of Egyptian facilities and air space

Wood, Chief Military Correspondent for Politics Daily, 11 (2/5, At Risk in Egypt's Turmoil: U.S. Military Access to the Middle East, www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/)

Also suddenly at risk, along with Bright

AND

That should serve as a cautionary tale.''

The perception of declining military cooperation with Egypt undermines deterrence globally – reinvigorating the relationship is key to freeing fleets for other theaters of war

Said, Military and Tech Advisor - Al Ahram Center, 04 (Assessing the United States-EgyptianMilitary and Security Relations, acpss.ahram.org.eg/eng/ahram/2004/7/5/STUD8.HTM)

As a result of the Camp David peace

AND

it routinely waives this regulation for American warships.

Primacy dramatically reduces the risk of great power conflict – power projection stabilizes regional conflict and dampens miscalculation

Walt, Professor of International Relations at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, ‘2 (Stephen, Spring, “American Primacy: Its Prospects and Pitfalls” Naval War College Review, Vol 55 Issue 2, p 9, Proquest)

A second consequence of U.S.

AND

not necessarily a better one. A compara.

Specifically, naval power projection is key to preventing war in Pakistan and global conflict escalation

Cropsey, Senior Fellow at Hudson, ’10 (Seth, September/October, “Ebb Tide” The American Interest, http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=858)

Only one statement can be made with certainty

AND

abject weakness would be an invitation to calamity.

Pakistan collapse causes Indo-Pak nuclear war

Perkovich, Vice President for Studies at Carnegie, ’11 (George, November, “The West’s New International Security Challenges” Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies, http://edam.org.tr/document/EDAM_DP_G_Perkovich.pdf)

Since 2008, Pakistan has continued its descent

AND

so willing to sell India what it wants.

Conflict will escalate globally

Pitt, Managing Editor of truthout.org, 9 “Unstable Pakistan Threatens the World,” NYT and internationally bestselling author www.arabamericannews.com/news/index.php?mod=article&cat=commentary&article=2183)

But a suicide bomber in Pakistan rammed a

AND

world on a collision course with unimaginable disaster.

US decline is not inevitable – it is built on a strong foundation of military power projection

Beitelman, PhD Candidate at Dalhousie U, ’11 (David, September, “U.S. Remains the Only Superpower” http://www.policymic.com/article/show?id=1739)

Superpower. We’ve all heard the term yet

AND

it’s important that we remember what they mean.

Making a visible shift in military to military relations from a kinetic to a non-kinetic emphasis by increasing CMR education is necessary to credibly signal US support for democratic aspirations and restore US credibility

Lahoud et al, A team of 6 Social Science Professors from West Point, 11 (6/29, The ‘Arab Spring’: Investing in Durable Peace)

In view of the pro-democratic desires

AND

therefore increase the visibility of its IMET programs.

Shifting military assistance towards CMR education avoids Egyptian backlash

Toronto, Professor Middle East Security at Army School of Advanced Military Studies, ’11 (Nathan, November, “Active Inaction: Interagency Security Assistance to Egypt” Interagency Paper, http://thesimonscenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/IAP-No06-November2011.pdf)

A third option, “active inaction,”

AND

. achieve its security assistance goal in Egypt.

The plan is a necessary middle ground – conditioning aid doesn’t solve

HRF 11 [Human Rights First] (11/22, a non-profit, nonpartisan international human rights organization based in NY and DC, Promoting Reform in Egypt, http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/wp-content/uploads/HumanRightsFirst_Egypt_Blueprint.pdf)

As Egypt undergoes negative and messy incidents on

AND

has changed for the United States from 2010.

Plan

The United States federal government should offer military education democracy programming in Egypt to substantially increase Egyptian participation in military education democracy programming.

Adv 1 – Transition

Confrontation between the SCAF and Islamists is about to happen – the Muslim Brotherhood just reversed their position

Kirkpatrick, 2-9

[David D. Kirkpatrick, Cairo bureau chief for the New York Times, “Muslim Brotherhood Demands Military Cede Power in Egypt,” February 9th 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/10/world/middleeast/muslim-brotherhood-demands-military-cede-power.html?pagewanted=all]

The Muslim Brotherhood demanded Thursday that Egypt’s

AND

with the demonstrators violently is a mistake, a sign of weakness and mismanagement by the Ministry of Interior,” he said.

And, the confrontation will violently escalate

Yeranian, 2-3

[Edward Yeranian, Cairo Correspondent for Voice of America, “Renewed Clashes Grip Egypt,” February 3rd 2012, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/africa/north/Renewed-Clashes-Grip-Egypt-At-Least-3-Dead-138643079.html]

Violence spread across Egypt Friday, killing at

AND

violence further projects the nation's unstable image worldwide.

SCAF backlash to the protestors will cause transition failure

Springborg, Professor - National Security Affairs - Naval Postgraduate School, 12 (Egypt’s Elections: Ballots vs. Bullets, www.iemed.org/observatori-en/actualitat/opinions/egypt2019s-elections-ballots-vs.-bullets)

So while the election outcome to the lower

AND

dictatorship, Islamist authoritarianism, or political chaos.

Egyptian instability causes Iran to incite proxies to isolate Israel – destabilizing the Middle East

Segal, Middle East Political Analyst, ’11 (Arik- Former Assistant at the Korean Embassy in Egypt, February/March, “The Egyptian Uprising – Implications for Regional Stability: the US, Iran and Israel” http://www.visit.fnst.org/Startpage-News/870c18421i1p/index.html)

Egypt and Iran are both regional powers that have competed

AND

push forward with the Peace Process. The only other option is isolation and conflict.

Israel war poses the highest risk of escalation – Israel thinks Iran is irrational so deterrence logic fails

Nili, PhD Candidate PolSci Notre Dame, ’11 (Shmuel- IDF Captain Media and Communications Division, Spring, “The Nuclear (and the) Holocaust: Israel, Iran, and the Shadows of Auschwitz” Journal of Strategic Security, Vol 4 Issue 1, p 37-56, http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1073&context=jss)

It is a gross mistake to think that

AND

pay any price to achieve its messianic goal.

Most likely scenario for global escalation – Middle East instability draws in major powers

Russell, Editor of Strategic Insights, 09 (James- Senior Lecturer Department of National Security Affairs, Spring, “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East” Security Studies Center Proliferation Papers, http://www.analyst-network.com/articles/141/StrategicStabilityReconsideredProspectsforEscalationandNuclearWarintheMiddleEast.pdf)

Strategic stability in the region is thus undermined

AND

, with substantial risk for the entire world.

Expanding IMET democracy training creates stability in the short term and sustainable civil-military relations in the long term

Lahoud et al, A team of 6 Social Science Professors from West Point, 11 (6/29, The ‘Arab Spring’: Investing in Durable Peace)

In view of the pro-democratic desires

AND

where the military respects the society it serves.

Mobile Education Teams ensure that the plan is able to solve quickly by creating dialogue between civilian and military officials

Cope, Senior Fellow - Institute for National Strategic Studies, 95 (International Military Education and Training: an assessment, McNair Papers, Lexis)

DSAA has launched an intensive effort to reinforce

AND

of countries desiring to participate in these programs.

E-IMET includes the highest level of military and civilian officials

Admiral Larson, Commander in Chief – US Pacific Command, 93 (IMET: A Cornerstone of Cooperative Engagement, Available Online)

A new and increasingly important component of IMET

AND

at all levels of the Sri Lankan military.

We don’t need to win a full relinquishment of power to solve – the US can reduce SCAF control enough to restore stability

Hilal, Director - Middle East Task Force - New America Foundation, 11 (11/25, Egypt needs a new road map, not just elections, mideast.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/11/25/egypt_needs_a_new_road_map_not_just_elections)

Most crucial of all, the poorly planned

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end up on the wrong side of history.

SCAF is influenced by IMET – training creates a culture of respect for human rights as long as they still play some role in politics

Philippe Droz-Vincent - assistant professor of political science and teaches at the Institut d’Etudes Politiques in Paris – 11/10/11, Is Military Rule in Egypt Really Temporary? http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2011/11/10/is-military-rule-in-egypt-really-temporary/71dj

A new bargain will necessarily emerge between the

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a new posture in this time of uncertainty.

Adv 2 – Military Access

Obama’s inaction on Egyptian military control will create a break in the alliance – only executive leadership to reformulate military assistance solves

Diehl, Editor - Washington Post, 11 (12/11, Obama is lagging on Egypt, www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obama-lagging-on-the-arab-spring/2011/12/08/gIQApQzCoO_story.html)

The story of that statement is a good

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, it needs to come from the president.

Military cooperation will be cutoff unless the US reverses the perception of commitment to military dictatorship

Byman, Senior Fellow - Middle East - Brookings, 11 (2/9, Democracy in Egypt: What Are the Risks to the United States? www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/0209_egypt_democracy_byman.aspx)

Mubarak, after all, was a friend

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realistic outcome for U.S. policy.

Public opinion shapes Egyptian policy – all political actors will want to be seen as responsive

Hellyer, Senior Analyst at he Abu Dhabi Gallup Center, 11

(8/23, Public opinion, political strategies and the new Egypt, www.commongroundnews.org/article.php?id=30247&lan=en&sp=0)

There’s a new Egypt now — an Egypt where

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Those who have not realised this need to catch up, fast.

SCAF will face an Iranian-style purge – reaching a solution now is key

Mallat, 12-27 [Chibli Mallat, Visiting Professor of Islamic Legal Studies at Harvard Law School, “Saving the Egyptian Revolution from the Military,” December 27th 2011, http://jurist.org/forum/2011/12/chibli-mallat-egypt-military.php.]

It is probably too late. Too many

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to continue leading the Middle East nonviolent revolution.

Loss of Egyptian military cooperation would be a devastating blow to US global military operations – we would not be able to adapt to loss of Egyptian facilities and air space

Wood, Chief Military Correspondent for Politics Daily, 11 (2/5, At Risk in Egypt's Turmoil: U.S. Military Access to the Middle East, www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/05/at-risk-in-egypts-turmoil-u-s-military-access-to-the-middle-e/)

Also suddenly at risk, along with Bright

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That should serve as a cautionary tale.''

The perception of declining military cooperation with Egypt undermines deterrence globally – reinvigorating the relationship is key to freeing fleets for other theaters of war

Said, Military and Tech Advisor - Al Ahram Center, 04 (Assessing the United States-EgyptianMilitary and Security Relations, acpss.ahram.org.eg/eng/ahram/2004/7/5/STUD8.HTM)

As a result of the Camp David peace

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it routinely waives this regulation for American warships.

Primacy dramatically reduces the risk of great power conflict – power projection stabilizes regional conflict and dampens miscalculation

Walt, Professor of International Relations at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, ‘2 (Stephen, Spring, “American Primacy: Its Prospects and Pitfalls” Naval War College Review, Vol 55 Issue 2, p 9, Proquest)

A second consequence of U.S.

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not necessarily a better one. A compara.

Specifically, naval power projection is key to preventing war in Pakistan and global conflict escalation

Cropsey, Senior Fellow at Hudson, ’10 (Seth, September/October, “Ebb Tide” The American Interest, http://www.the-american-interest.com/article.cfm?piece=858)

Only one statement can be made with certainty

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abject weakness would be an invitation to calamity.

Pakistan collapse causes Indo-Pak nuclear war

Perkovich, Vice President for Studies at Carnegie, ’11 (George, November, “The West’s New International Security Challenges” Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies, http://edam.org.tr/document/EDAM_DP_G_Perkovich.pdf)

Since 2008, Pakistan has continued its descent

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so willing to sell India what it wants.

Conflict will escalate globally

Pitt, Managing Editor of truthout.org, 9 “Unstable Pakistan Threatens the World,” NYT and internationally bestselling author www.arabamericannews.com/news/index.php?mod=article&cat=commentary&article=2183)

But a suicide bomber in Pakistan rammed a

AND

world on a collision course with unimaginable disaster.

US decline is not inevitable – it is built on a strong foundation of military power projection

Beitelman, PhD Candidate at Dalhousie U, ’11 (David, September, “U.S. Remains the Only Superpower” http://www.policymic.com/article/show?id=1739)

Superpower. We’ve all heard the term yet

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it’s important that we remember what they mean.

Making a visible shift in military to military relations from a kinetic to a non-kinetic emphasis by increasing CMR education is necessary to credibly signal US support for democratic aspirations and restore US credibility

Lahoud et al, A team of 6 Social Science Professors from West Point, 11 (6/29, The ‘Arab Spring’: Investing in Durable Peace)

In view of the pro-democratic desires

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therefore increase the visibility of its IMET programs.

The plan is a necessary middle ground – conditioning aid doesn’t solve

HRF 11 [Human Rights First] (11/22, a non-profit, nonpartisan international human rights organization based in NY and DC, Promoting Reform in Egypt, http://www.humanrightsfirst.org/wp-content/uploads/HumanRightsFirst_Egypt_Blueprint.pdf)

As Egypt undergoes negative and messy incidents on

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be avoided. To do otherwise would set a

Shifting military assistance towards CMR education avoids Egyptian backlash

Toronto, Professor Middle East Security at Army School of Advanced Military Studies, ’11 (Nathan, November, “Active Inaction: Interagency Security Assistance to Egypt” Interagency Paper, http://thesimonscenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/IAP-No06-November2011.pdf)

A third option, “active inaction,”

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. achieve its security assistance goal in Egypt.

IMET can bolster a transfer to civilian rule – solves instability

Alterman, Director Middle East CSIS, ’12 (Jon, January, “Egypt in Transition: Insights and Options for US Policy” http://csis.org/files/publication/120117_Egypt_Transition.pdf)

Recommendations 1) Focus on long-term goals

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leadership that different strategies would yield better results.