CSU Sacramento » CSU Sacramento Murphy-Thiel Aff

CSU Sacramento Murphy-Thiel Aff

Last modified by Administrator on 2012/10/17 22:21
#EntryDate
  • Bahrain Affirmative

    • Tournament: Pepperdine | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:

    • Plan: 

      The USFG should substantially increase advisory support to those committed to constitutional reform in Bahrain.

      Inherency:

      Bahrain is in political deadlock - plan key to negotiations that spark reform before violence erupts

      Gershman 12/1 

      (http://www.ned.org/about/board/meet-our-president/archived-presentations-and-articles/the-price-of-freedom-and-democracy)

      The core of the problem...they can seize this opportunity and realize its full potential.

      Current Silence by the US allows extremists to lead opposition, ensuring another wave of violence

      Ulrichsen 4/25/11

      (http://www.opendemocracy.net/kristian-coates-ulrichsen/gulf-states-studious silence-falls-on-arab-spring)

      The choice to suppress demonstrations... the next explosion could be greater still

      Advantage 1 Hegemony

      Without reform, the opposition will force fifth fleet withdrawal, but no alternative location exists.

      Dietz 4/21/11

      (http://www.transterramedia.com/should-us-reconsider-its-relationship-bahrain)

      Matar Ebrahim Matar, a leader of the opposition...distasteful to the US as relocating the fleet would be to Saudi

      Now is key - any imbalance of power forces the Fifth Fleet to relocate, and current assistance is failing

      Stimson Center 7/21/11

      http://www.stimson.org/spotlight/the-us-fifth-fleet-in-bahrain)

      The home base of the US Navy's...Have an interest in preventing any of these scenarios from materializing

      Subpoint A Iranian Deterrence 

      Fifth Fleet withdrawal collapses Iranian deterrent and allows takeover of the Strait of Hormuz

      Goodspeed 2/14/11

      (http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/02/14/peter-goodspeed-unrest-in-bahrain-could-threaten-key-u-s-military-outpost/)

      There are concerns large-scale...elsewhere in the Arab world suddenly engulfs the emirate

      Allowing Iran free reign collapses hegemony from lack of credibility

      Etzioni 11

      (http://icps.gwu.edu/files/2011/03/credibility.pdf)

      As of the beginning of 2011....live up to its commitments overseas.

      Subpoint B is Bases

      Perceived complicity in Bahraini crackdowns causes other host countries to shut down bases

      Cooley and Nexon 4/5/11

      (http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67700/alexander-cooley-and-daniel-h-nexon/bahrains-base-politics)

      The use of force and foreign troops...autocratic friends under the bus.

      Pulling out of even one base collapses hegemony - can't deter adversaries or assure allies

      Koplovsky 10/23/06

      (http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTrdoc?ad=ada463412&location=u2&doc=gettrdoc.pdf)

      Based on some of these previous arguments... furthers diplomatic initiatives and contributes to economic development

      Hegemony solves nuke war and extinction - multipolarity is inevitable but absolute US power smooths the transition and is empirically correlated to perpetual great-power peace.

      Barnett 3/7/11

      (http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads)

      It is worth first examining....the stage for the pacific century now unfolding.

      US hegemonic decline causes global great power war, collapses trade, and spreads protectionism.

      Zhang and Shi 1/22/11

      (http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2011/01/22/americas-decline-a-harbringer-of-conflict-and-rivalry/)

      Over the past two decades... will inevitably be devoid of unrivaled US primacy

      Solvency

      US democracy assistance nullifies extremist influence and enables dialogue towards reform-mere endorsement is insufficient. A reformed Bahrain is best for US hegemony, and the US is key

      Aziz and Musalem 11

      (http://ispu.org/pdfs/640_ispu%20report_bahrain_aziz_muslem_web.pdf)

      The Saudi monarchy watched in horror....no longer a lofty ideal: it is in the United States' national interest.




03/12/12

Attachments

FilenameDateUploaded By
Tags:
Created by on 2012/03/12 18:40

Schools

Air Force Amherst Appalachian State Arizona State Army Augustana Bard Baylor Binghamton Bishops Castle Boston College CSU Northridge CSU Sacramento CUNY Cal Berkeley Cal Lutheran Cal Poly SLO Capital Case Western Central Florida Central Oklahoma Chico Clarion Columbia Concordia Cornell Dartmouth Denver Drexel-Swarthmore ENMU East Los Angeles College Eastern Washington Emory Emporia Fayetteville State Florida Florida Int'l Florida State Fordham Fort Hays Fresno State Fullerton Gainesville State George Mason George Washington Georgetown Georgia Georgia State Gonzaga Harvard Houston Idaho State Illinois Illinois State Indiana Iowa James Madison John Carroll Johns Hopkins Johnson County CC KCKCC Kansas Kansas State Kentucky Lafayette Liberty Los Rios Louisiana-Lafayette Louisville Loyola Macalester Marist Mary Washington Mercer Methodist Miami FL Miami OH Michigan Michigan State Minnesota Mission Missouri State NYU Navy New School North Texas Northern Iowa Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Wesleyan Oklahoma Oregon Pepperdine Piedmont Pittsburgh Portland State Princeton Puget Sound Redlands Richmond Rochester Rutgers Samford San Diego State San Francisco State Santa Clara South Florida St Pete Southern Methodist Southwestern Stanford Texas State Texas-Austin Texas-Dallas Texas-San Antonio Texas-Tyler Towson Trinity UCLA UDC-CC UMKC UNLV USC Utah Vanderbilt Vermont Virginia Tech Wake Forest Wayne State Weber West Georgia West Virginia Western Connecticut Whitman Wichita State Wisconsin Oshkosh Wyoming


This wiki is licensed under a Creative Commons 2.0 license
XWiki Enterprise 4.2 - Documentation