The President of the United States should issue an executive order to substantially increase political party assistance to the Muslim Brotherhood.
Terrorism Advantage
Engaging the Libyan Muslim Brotherhood key to check terrorism.
Pack & Barfi 12
(Jason, president of Libya-Analysis.com and doctoral student at Cambridge University, he holds a master’s degree in imperial history from St. Antony’s College, Oxford University; Barak, research fellow with the New America Foundation, specializing in Arab and Islamic affairs; February, “In War’s Wake: The Struggle for Post-Qadhafi Libya,” Washington Institute for Near East Policy – kurr)
Work with moderate Islamists … the loss of U.S. prestige.
AQIM rising from Libya poses the greatest risk of terrorism
Alexander 12
(Yonah, Director, International Center for Terrorism Studies, and Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, “Special Updated Report: Terrorism in North, West, & Central Africa: From 9/11 to the Arab Spring” http://moroccoonthemove.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/2012-special-update-report-full-report-terrorism-in-africa-from-9-11-to-arab-spring-icts-potomac-2feb2012.pdf)
Last year, intelligence reports … destabilize the region even further.
The Meghreb is key, key to sustained engagement
Alexander 12
(Yonah, Director, International Center for Terrorism Studies, and Senior Fellow, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies, “Special Updated Report: Terrorism in North, West, & Central Africa: From 9/11 to the Arab Spring” http://moroccoonthemove.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/2012-special-update-report-full-report-terrorism-in-africa-from-9-11-to-arab-spring-icts-potomac-2feb2012.pdf)
In sum, a coherent and firm … remainder of the 21st century.
Al Qaeda poses a high risk of nuclear terrorism.
Kanani 11
(Editor of World Affairs Commentary, Rahim, “New al-Qaeda Chief Zawahiri Has Strong Nuclear Intent” Forbes, http://www.forbes.com/sites/rahimkanani/2011/06/29/new-al-qaeda-chief-zawahiri-has-strong-nuclear-intent/)
Rigid, arrogant, unpopular ... they put their minds to it.”
Nuclear Terror Attack causes Extinction
Hellman 8
[Martin E. Hellman, emeritus prof of engineering @ Stanford, “Risk Analysis of Nuclear Deterrence” SPRING 2008 THE BENT OF TAU BETA PI, http://www.nuclearrisk.org/paper.pdf]
The threat of nuclear terrorism looms … a necessity—not an option.
Independently, causes a bioterror attack on the US
Maginnis 9 (Robert, retired Army lieutenant colonel, and a national security and foreign affairs analyst for radio and television, “Al-Qaeda and The Plague,” )
The report that some forty … threats before they mature.
BIOLOGICAL TERRORISM CAUSES EXTINCTION
Richard Ochs, Chemical Weapons Working Group Member, 2002
[“Biological Weapons must be Abolished Immediately,” June 9, http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html]
Of all the weapons of mass destruction… EXTINCTION IS NOW POSSIBLE.
Cred Advantage
Engaging the Muslim Brotherhood is key to credibility
Seib 1/13/2012
(Philip, Professor of Journalism and Public Diplomacy and Professor of International Relations at the University of Southern California, and is director of USC’s Center on Public Diplomacy, “U.S. Public Diplomacy and the Arab Islamists” Political Machine, Lexis – kurr)
U.S. public diplomacy followed … elections and build new relationships.
America’s strategy of leading from behind in Libya destroys regional credibility.
Hamid 10/1 Shadi Hamid, 10/1/11, What Obama and American Liberals Don’t Understand About the Arab Spring, http://www.tnr.com/article/environment-energy/95538/arab-spring-obama-realism-democracy-neoconservatives-mubarak?page=0,0
Throughout the Arab spring ... for “stable,” repressive regimes.
That’s key to effective hegemony
Finnemore 9 – Martha Finnemore, professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, January 2009, “Legitimacy, Hypocrisy, and the Social Structure of Unipolarity: Why Being a Unipole Isn’t All It’s Cracked Up to Be,” World Politics, Volume 61, Number 1
The strength of a unipolar system … building armies or bank accounts.
Key to solve extinction- multilateral coalitions key to resolve every major global dispute
Feffer 9 (co-director of Foreign Policy in Focus at the Institute for Policy Studies John Feffer February 2009 “A Multipolar Moment” http://www.fpif.org/articles/a_multipolar_moment)
But times have changed, argues FPIF …e sound of dirt hitting a coffin lid?
Obama is key- perception of leading from behind is creating a perception of weakness.
Hulett, 9/3
(Sue, Richard P. and Sophia D. Henke Distinguished Professor of Political Science and chair of the Political Science Department at Knox College, 2011, “Sue Hulett: Has Obama abandoned global leadership?”, http://www.galesburg.com/highlight/x1638741805/Sue-Hulett-Has-Obama-abandoned-global-leadership)
We also know a bit more … evolve promoting democracy and liberty.
Strong Obama solves Indo-Pak conflict and North Korea aggression
Hanson 9
Victor Davis Senior Fellow in Residence in Classics and Military History @ Hoover Institution, Stanford University, “Change, Weakness, Disaster, Obama: Answers from Victor Davis Hanson,” Interview with the Oregon Patriots, Resistnet.com, December 7, http://www.resistnet.com/group/oregon/forum/topics/change-weakness-disaster-obama/showLastReply
BC: Are we currently sending a … whom it will bite or when.
Indo-Pak war causes extinction
Chaffin 11
Greg Research Assistant at Foreign Policy in Focus, July 8, 2011, “Reorienting U.S. Security Strategy in South Asia,” online: http://www.fpif.org/articles/reorienting_us_security_strategy_in_south_asia
The greatest threat to … the two that could quickly escalate.
North Korea conflict causes extinction
Hayes, 10
[Peter & Michael Hamel-Green, Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development, a member of the Pacific Council on International Policy, the Western partner of the Council on Foreign Relations; and the US Committee of the Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific “The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia” Nautilus, Special Report, 10-001: January 5th, 2010, http://www.nautilus.org/fora/security/10001HayesHamalGreen.pdf]
A Korean Nuclear Weapons Free … could similarly be intercepted.
Advantage 3 Engagement
Islamist movements win now
Nikolas 1/21
(Katerina, “Libyan Islamists demand sharia law” http://digitaljournal.com/article/318242)
Libyan Islamists staged … Abdel Hakim Belhaj is a realistic prospect.
Engage Key to moderate
The Economist 2/18
(“Dialogue is the best defence” http://www.economist.com/node/21547794)
WHEN revolutionaries first … could become self-fulfilling.
U.S. party assistance’s key to secular-Islamist coalitions- solves moderation
Yacoubian 7
(Mona, Special Advisor, Muslim World Initiative – U.S. Institute of Peace, “Engaging Islamists and
Promoting Democracy”, August, http://www.usip.org/files/resources/sr190.pdf)
Cross-Party Cooperation. A crucial … important insights to be emulated elsewhere.
Libyan Mobro leads to war with Israel
NTEB News Desk 11
(“Shock! Muslim Brotherhood Orders ‘Hit’ On Gaddafi” 2/21, http://www.nowtheendbegins.com/blog/ ?p=2418)
We have warned you from the … leader remains in Tripoli.” source – All Voices
Leads to broad retaliation
Eberhart 1
(David, Newsmax, “Samson Option: Israel's Plan to Prevent Mass Destruction Attacks” Oct. 16, 2001, http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2001/10/15/112430.shtml)
After decades of living among … the Samson option was still realistically an option.
Leads to global nuclear war
Nawash 9
(Kamal Nawash, Founder of the Free Muslim Coalition Against Terrorism, Fmr White House Representative to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, 1/15/2009 (http://muslimmedianetwork.com/mmn/?p=3501)
Israel/Palestine Conflict …The answer is YES but time is running out.
Doesn’t need to draw in great powers – Israel alone has enough to cause extinction.
Casey ’6
Mingus Casey, Scoop News, 10-9-6 “On the History of Nuclear Arms, the Arms trade, and one very small very vulnerable very beautiful planet” online
The ecological effects of … sea life will probably die out.
Branding aid as official and from the federal government is key to reverse anti-Americanism
Lord 9
(Kristin M., Vice President and Director of Studies at the Center for a New American Security, “FLAG ON THE BAG? BRANDING FOREIGN ASSISTANCE AND THE STRUGGLE AGAINST VIOLENT EXTREMISM,”
Anti-American attitudes remain … opinion because of that assistance. 5
The impact’s nuclear and biological war in every global hotspot
Asali 9 (Ziad, President and Founder – American Task Force on Palestine, et al., “Changing Course: A New Direction for U.S. Relations with the Muslim World”, February, p. 9-16)
Improving relations with Muslim … or other critical challenges abroad.