Baylor » Baylor Evans and Morrell Aff

Baylor Evans and Morrell Aff

Last modified by Administrator on 2012/10/17 22:17
#EntryDate
  • 1AC

    • Tournament: Bear Shock | Round: 1 | Opponent: Sample Team | Judge: Sample Judge

    • Use the second box for WYSIWYG editing, or pasting straight from Word.

      Click the pencil to the right to edit entries.

      Click the Red X to delete this sample entry.


    • 1AC

      Egyptian revolution risks becoming unfocused and violent   
      Ignatius 7-22-11
      David. “What Happens When the Arab Spring Turns to Summer?” Foreign Policy. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/22/what_happens_when_the_arab_spring_turns_to_summer?page=full
      After the exhilarating days in 

      to

      fought so hard to obtain.

      1AC 

      The United States federal government should increase Expanded International Military Education and Training for Egypt.


      Stability (A) - Econ

      Advantage 1 is Stability, first the economy
      Egyptian economy will collapse by the end of 2011 without stabilization
      Arab Times 11
      (“When will Egypt go Broke?” July 23, 2011, http://www.crethiplethi.com/when-will-egypt-go-broke/islamic-countries/egypt-islamic-countries/2011/)
      A May 19 report by the 

      To

      is thickened by wild assertions. 

      Military education solves
      Henry and Springborg 11
      (Clement professor of government and middle east studies at the University of Texas at Autstin, and Robert, professor of national security affairs at the naval post graduate school and program manager for the middle east at the Center for Civil-Military Relations, “A Tunisian Solution for Egypt’s Military, Foreign Affairs Online, February 21, 2011, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/67475/clement-m-henry-and-robert-springborg/a-tunisian-solution-for-egypts-military?page=show) 

      But Egypt faces dire economic 

      To

      movement: “Tunisia is the solution.” 


      Stability (A) - Econ

      Egyptian economic turmoil creates an unexpected shock and global economic catastrophe.
      Schuman 11
      (Michael, TIME Magazine, 2/2, “Does the turmoil in Egypt threaten the global recovery?”  http://curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com/2011/02/02/does-the-turmoil-in-egypt-threaten-the-global-recovery/#ixzz1TT6k4O6d)
      At first glance, the upheaval 

      TO

      just such an unwelcome surprise

      Stability (A) - Econ

      Economic decline causes global war
      Royal 10
      (Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction – U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises”, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215)

      Less intuitive is how periods 

      To

      'rally around the flag' effect. 



      Stability (A) - Econ

      Promoting good governance prevents oil-glut-induced hyperinflation
      Time 2007. “Curing the Dutch Disease.” (http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/article/0,28804,1720049_1722077_1722426,00.html)

      For years, the country's economic 

      To

      come a long way since then. 

       

       


      Stability (A) - Prolif
      Second is prolif -
      Military-to-military exchanges and support is the lynchpin of successful transition to democracy in Egypt
      Mujamdar 4-8-11
      Shuvaloy.  “Democracy’s dawn in the Middle East” VANCOUVER, BC, Apr. 8, 2011. http://www.troymedia.com/2011/04/08/democracys-dawn-in-the-middle-east/

      In crisis, governments tend to 

      TO

      to forces fighting for freedom. 

      The military is the key institution with the ability to make-or-break the transition to democracy
      Krieg 11
      (Andreas Krieg, PhD, King’s College London, War Studies Department / Department of Defence Studies, "EGYPTIAN CIVIL-MILITARY RELATIONS AND EGYPT’S POTENTIAL TRANSITION TO DEMOCRACY," PiCA - A Global Research Organization, http://www.thepicaproject.org/?page_id=760)

      Mubarak’s resignation after three 

      TO

      never been of great concern. 


      Stability (A) - Prolif

      Perception is necessary - external credibility makes internal violence less probable
      Savun and Tirone 11
      [Burcu Savun is Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Pittsburgh and, Daniel C. Tirone is a Ph.D. Candidate in the Department of Political Science, University of Pittsburgh, “Foreign Aid, Democratization, and Civil Conflict: How Does Democracy Aid Affect Civil Conflict?” American Journal of Political Science Volume 55, Issue 2, pages 233–246, April 2011]

      We propose that democracy 

      TO

      institutional credibility to smoothen the transition.


      Stability (A) - Prolif

      Egypt is the litmus test and guiding factor for all revolutions
      Ignatius 7-22-11
      David. “What Happens When the Arab Spring Turns to Summer?” Foreign Policy. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/04/22/what_happens_when_the_arab_spring_turns_to_summer?page=full

      Egypt, in particular, is decisive.

      TO

      , the revolution will fail elsewhere.

      Instability causes rapid nuclearization
      Sokolski 2-8-2011
      [Henry. “Gimme Fuel, Gimme Fire What the Egyptian revolt means for nuclear proliferation.” The New Republic. http://www.tnr.com/article/82995/nuclear-weapons-middle-east-obama-mubarak]

      The United States has 

      TO

      securing U.S. nuclear cooperation.


      Stability (A) – Prolif

      Prolif makes all conflicts more likely to go nuclear – nuclear war ensues
      Horowitz 09
      Professor of Political Science @ University of Pennsylvania [Michael Horowitz (Former Emory debater and NDT Champion), “The Spread of Nuclear Weapons and International Conflict: Does Experience Matter?,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, Volume 53 Number 2, April 2009 pg. 234-257]

      Learning as states gain experience 

      To

      that will reciprocate militarized challenges.

      Leadership (A) 

      U. S. has all but abdicated leadership in the Mideast
      David Amess UPI Outside View Commentator July 6, 2011 "Arab Spring needs Iranian Summer to survive" UPI http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Analysis/Outside-View/2011/07/06/Outside-View-Arab-Spring-needs-Iranian-Summer-to-survive/UPI-10751309954560/?spt=hs&or=an
      Now as Western leaders continue 

      TO

       their democratic opposition movement.

      Status quo democracy assistance looks like attempts to undermine the Egyptian regime and sparks backlash  
      POMED 8/11/11
      ("WSJ: “Egypt Rulers Stoke Xenophobia”," Project on Middle East Democracy, http://pomed.org/blog/2011/08/wsj-egypt-rulers-stoke-xenophobia.html)
      Egypt is backlashing against US 

      TO

      can “close the gates of hell.”

      Leadership (A)

      Military-to-military training like E-IMET strengthens allies and allows the United States to transition to reliance on allies in key regions
      Mitchell and Nelson 11
      (Daniel D. Mitchell and Michael D. Nelson, "ACCOMPLISHING AMERICAN STRATEGIC GOALS  IN THE MIDDLE EAST THROUGH PERSISTENT   SPECIAL OPERATIONS," June, NAVAL  POSTGRADUATE  SCHOOL, http://edocs.nps.edu/npspubs/scholarly/theses/2011/June/11Jun_Mitchell.pdf)
      The Middle East is of 

      TO

      that maximizes U.S. opportunities.

      Shoring up allies prevents global re-alignment against the United States
      Kagan ‘7
      Robert. Kagan is a Senior Associate with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. "End of Dreams, Return of History" http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/07/end_of_dreams_return_of_histor.html

      If anything, the most 

      TO

      after the departure of Bush.

      Leadership (A) - Terrorism

      Focusing on respect for civil society and rule of law encourages bilateral intelligence sharing
      Rosenbach ‘8
      Eric Rosenbach is the executive director of the Belfer Center for International Affairs at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. He formerly served as a professional staff member on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. As a commander in the United States Army, Rosenbach earned the Meritorious Service Medal, and his unit was named the top intelligence organization in the military for two consecutive years. “The Incisive Fight: Recommendations for Improving Counterterrorism Intelligence” 618 Annals 133. July 2008. 

      Increase bilateral cooperation Despite 

      TO

      accomplish our national security goals.

      Leadership (A) - Terrorism

      Close intelligence ties with allies is key to actionable intelligence that underpins all anti-terror endeavors
      Posen ‘2
      [Barry R. Professor of Political Science in the Security Studies Program at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.“The Struggle against Terrorism: Grand Strategy, Strategy, and Tactics” International Security 26.3 (2002) 39-55. Project Muse. ]

      Enhanced intelligence capabilities are necessary 

      TO

      f the air campaign against Afghanistan.

      Leadership (A) - Terrorism

      An effective intelligence community prevents and deters bioterrorist attacks
      Mayer 95
      Lt Col Terry N. Mayer, USAF. “The Biological Weapon: A Poor Nation’s Weapon of Mass Destruction” http://www.airpower.au.af.mil/airchronicles/battle/chp8.html

      Biological terrorism is a challenge 

      TO

      are the haves and have nots. 


      Leadership (A) - Terrorism

      Bioweapons attack would destroy key biodiversity reservoirs– the most at-risk populations are located near potential targets and escalates to extinction
      Dudley and Woodford 02
      [Joseph P. (consultant on military environmental and conservation policy issues with Versar, Inc., Springfield, VA, and a research associate at the Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska) Michael H. Woodford (fellow of the Royal College of Veterinary Surgeons, London, and chair of the Working Group on Wildlife Diseases at the Office International des Epizooties.) “Bioweapons, Biodiversity, and Ecocide: potential effects of biological weapons on biological diversity.” BioScience 52.7 (July 2002): Ebscohost. Accessed 1/19/2011.] 

      Efforts to control human disease 

      TO

       deliberate or inadvertent human activities. 


      Leadership (A)

      United States hegemony prevents nuclear wars throughout the globe, and is comparatively better than a world without US Leadership –
      Kagan 2007 , Robert. Kagan is a Senior Associate with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. "End of Dreams, Return of History" http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/07/end_of_dreams_return_of_histor.html
      The jostling for status and influence 

      TO
      back in under unfavorable circumstances.

      Solvency

      Plan changes the nature of IMET in Egypt away from technical development to democratic assistance and solves
      Cook ‘9
      Steven. Directed the Council-sponsored Independent Task Force on U.S. policy toward reform in the Arab world, fluent in Arabic, works for CFR. “Political Instability in Egypt” Council on Foreign Relations i.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/CPA_contingencymemo_4.pdf

      A different strategy would be 

      TO

      monitor Egypt’s presidential elections.  


      Solvency

      Egyptian military will backstop democratic reforms unless cultural change proves the military institution will be valued in a democracy
      Feldman 7-26-2011
      Noah. ArabianBusiness.com  July 26, 2011 Tuesday  “Don't let the Egyptian army follow Caesar's script” Bloomberg. Lexis. 

      The bottom line is that 

      TO

       US, should realise it too. 



Attachments

FilenameDateUploaded By
Tags:
Created by on 2011/09/24 12:54

Schools

Air Force Amherst Appalachian State Arizona State Army Augustana Bard Baylor Binghamton Bishops Castle Boston College CSU Northridge CSU Sacramento CUNY Cal Berkeley Cal Lutheran Cal Poly SLO Capital Case Western Central Florida Central Oklahoma Chico Clarion Columbia Concordia Cornell Dartmouth Denver Drexel-Swarthmore ENMU East Los Angeles College Eastern Washington Emory Emporia Fayetteville State Florida Florida Int'l Florida State Fordham Fort Hays Fresno State Fullerton Gainesville State George Mason George Washington Georgetown Georgia Georgia State Gonzaga Harvard Houston Idaho State Illinois Illinois State Indiana Iowa James Madison John Carroll Johns Hopkins Johnson County CC KCKCC Kansas Kansas State Kentucky Lafayette Liberty Los Rios Louisiana-Lafayette Louisville Loyola Macalester Marist Mary Washington Mercer Methodist Miami FL Miami OH Michigan Michigan State Minnesota Mission Missouri State NYU Navy New School North Texas Northern Iowa Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Wesleyan Oklahoma Oregon Pepperdine Piedmont Pittsburgh Portland State Princeton Puget Sound Redlands Richmond Rochester Rutgers Samford San Diego State San Francisco State Santa Clara South Florida St Pete Southern Methodist Southwestern Stanford Texas State Texas-Austin Texas-Dallas Texas-San Antonio Texas-Tyler Towson Trinity UCLA UDC-CC UMKC UNLV USC Utah Vanderbilt Vermont Virginia Tech Wake Forest Wayne State Weber West Georgia West Virginia Western Connecticut Whitman Wichita State Wisconsin Oshkosh Wyoming


This wiki is licensed under a Creative Commons 2.0 license
XWiki Enterprise 4.2 - Documentation